根据国家统计局公布的70大中城市商品住宅价格指数，2025年2月新建商品住宅价格同比/环比分别下跌 5.2%/0.1%(2025年1月：-5.4%/-0.1%)，二手商品住宅价格同比/环比跌幅也有所好转，分别下跌 7.5%/0.3%(2025年1月：-7.8%/-0.3%)。 政府工作报告再提明确行业止跌回稳目标，料后续楼市持续修复 3月国务院政府工作报告首次将"稳住楼市股市"写入年度经济工作要求，并再次强调要"持续用力推动房 地产市场止跌回稳"。交银国际认为，当前国家的整体政策重心已从短期救市逐渐转向长效机制建设， 通过存量盘活、金融支持和需求松绑等推动行业转型。尽管3月的销售情况同比仍略有承压，但在低基 数的背景下，预计"银四"市场或将持续修复，应持续关注各线城市之间、国企与民企之间的分化情况。 投资启示 智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，根据克而瑞的初步数据，2025年3月前百开发商的全口径销 售总额由2月的1,981亿元环比提升73.9%至3,445亿元。据跟踪的23家主要上市开发商3月销售额也明显 复苏，环比提升67.6%，其中多数开发商同比跌幅均有所收窄。尽管3月的销售情况同比仍略有承压， ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投证券发布研报称，3月重点城市新房成交同比增长3.5%，二手房成交同比 增长37%，二手房成交占比继续提升。核心城市表现亮眼。北上广深成杭二手房成交套数同比增速均在 30%以上。百强房企3月销售金额降幅扩大，主要系二手房替代和新开盘项目减少，但核心城市项目首 开去化率明显提升。土地市场延续火热，核心城市单价"地王"频现，推高土拍溢价率。3月全国宅地成 交溢价率为17.15%，环比提升4.4个百分点。贸易战背景下针对内需的宏观政策积极有为、靠前发力， 看好房地产行业板块整体表现。 中信建投证券主要观点如下： 新房成交延续止跌，二手房成交处于历史高位 一季度重点40城新房成交面积2580万方，同比增长4.5%。其中3月新房成交面积为1124万平，同比增长 3.5%。在新开盘项目收缩背景下，3月重点城市新房成交面积仍实现正增长，且一线城市新房成交面积 同比增速达到两位数。二手房成交景气度好于新房，一季度重点13城二手房成交面积为1960万方，同比 增长33%，成交量处于历史高位。其中3月二手房成交面积为850万方，同比增长37%，北上广深成杭六 个核心城市一季度二手房成交套数增速均在30% ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates a significant recovery in the real estate market, with expectations for continued improvement in both secondary and primary markets, particularly favoring state-owned enterprises like China Resources Land and Yuexiu Property [1] Group 1: Market Performance - According to preliminary data from CRIC, the total sales of the top 100 developers are expected to increase by 73.9% month-on-month to 344.5 billion RMB before March 2025 [1] - Sales of 23 major listed developers in March saw a month-on-month increase of 67.6%, with most developers experiencing a narrowing of declines compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2: Policy and Market Outlook - The focus of policies has shifted from short-term market rescue to the establishment of long-term mechanisms, suggesting a more stable market environment moving forward [1] - The "Silver Four" market is anticipated to continue its recovery, with sustained improvement in secondary market demand and stability in the primary market [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Buyers are expected to continue favoring state-owned enterprise projects, with a positive outlook on China Resources Land (01109.HK) and Yuexiu Property (00123.HK), both rated as "buy" [1]

4月7日，越秀地产（0123.HK）发布公告称，今年1—3月，公司累计合同销售金额约308.27亿元，同比 增长42%，其中于3月份实现合同销售额180亿元，同比增长58.7%。 上海静安天玥项目开盘即售罄，销售额达23亿元；北京海淀和樾望雲、和樾玉鳴双盘同日开盘，当日成 交额152亿元，成交套数超1000套，开盘去化率超90%；广州"广府系"珑悦西关、熙悦江湾等项目吸引 上千人购买……2025年开局，越秀地产在多地楼市掀起的热浪，将这家"稳健派"房企推到了行业中突出 的位置。 2024年业绩公告显示，报告期内，越秀地产实现合同销售额1145.4亿元。根据克而瑞统计，越秀地产位 列2024年房企销售排行榜第八位。公告显示，一线城市在报告期内销售贡献超过五成，有力支撑了越秀 地产2024年的经营业绩。 事实上，房地产行业进入深度调整期的这些年，土地市场亦呈现明显分化格局。一线城市和核心二线城 市由于市场潜力大、投资吸引力强，销售表现较好，头部房企扎堆一线城市拿地、卷产品。越秀地产亦 不例外，且因长期深耕北上广，其在当前市场环境下优势愈发凸显。 "销售力"表现不俗背后，越秀地产近年坚定践行"四好企业"战略，把"产 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任 何責任。 （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：00123） 公 告 本公告乃根據上市規則第13.18條之規定而作出。 融資協議一規定，倘本公司之控股股東越秀企業（集團）有限公司（「越秀企業」）於本公司已發 行之具投票權股份中持有少於30%之直接或間接權益，或倘越秀企業不再是本公司單一最大 實益股東的地位，或倘越秀企業不再對本公司行使有效之管理控制權，即構成違約事件。若發 生有關違約事件，則貸款人一可宣佈融資項下所有債項將立即到期應付。 150,000,000港元之定期貸款融資 於二○二五年四月十日，泓景（作為借款人）與一家銀行（「貸款人二」）訂立一份融資協議（「融 資協議二」），據此，貸款人二在融資協議二的條款及條件之規限下提供150,000,000港元之定 期貸款融資，貸款最終到期日至二○二六年三月三十一日。泓景於融資協議二項下責任由本公 司擔保。 – 1 – 融資協議二規定，倘本公司之控股股東越秀企業於 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][25][29] Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in net profit, with a 67% year-on-year decrease, resulting in a net profit of 1 billion yuan for 2024, despite an 8% increase in revenue to 86.4 billion yuan [1][7][25] - The company has a robust land reserve, with a total land bank of 19.71 million square meters, and aims to achieve a sales target of 120.5 billion yuan in 2025, which would represent a 5% year-on-year growth if achieved [1][13][25] - Financially, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 68.1% and a net debt ratio of 51.7% as of the end of 2024, indicating stable financial health [2][20] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of 86.4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1 billion yuan, reflecting a 67% decline in net profit compared to the previous year [3][22] - The company's core net profit is expected to be 1.6 billion yuan in 2024, down 54% year-on-year [1][7] - The company’s sales area is expected to decrease by 12% to 3.92 million square meters in 2024, with a sales amount of 115.4 billion yuan, also a 12% decline [1][13] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is forecasted to reach 89.1 billion yuan in 2025 and 91.4 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 1 billion yuan for both years [22][23] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.25 yuan in 2025 and 0.24 yuan in 2026, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15.7 and 15.9 respectively [25][27]

2025 年 4 月 8 日 公司研究 聚焦核心城市，销售保持增长信心 ——越秀地产（0123.HK）动态跟踪 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年业绩公告和 2025 年 1-3 月销售资料。 点评： 开发业务结算放量，毛利率下滑明显：2024 年，公司实现营业收入 864 亿元， 同比增长 7.7%，营收增长主要受房地产开发业务结算收入增长带动，年内房地 产开发业务实现营收 806 亿元，同比增长 7.2%；公司综合毛利率为 10.5%，同 比下降 4.8pct，主要因计提 22.7 亿元存货减值损失（同比增长 44.4%）及前期 低毛利项目集中结算等影响；公司归母净利润 10.4 亿元，同比下降 67.3%，其 中核心归母净利润为 15.9 亿元，同比下降 54.4%，主要受毛利率下降等影响。 截至 2024 年末，公司已售未结销售额约 1701 亿元，同比下降 14.7%，合同负 债覆盖营收 0.97 倍，预计后续开发业务结算增速或有所放缓。 2024 市场排名提升，2025 销售保持增长信心：2024 年，公司实现销售额 1145 亿元，同比下降 19.4%，年度销售首次进入全国前 10，位列第 8， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, with a focus on financially stable and well-performing leading companies [2]. Core Views - Recent government policies have been implemented to support the real estate market, including the cancellation of sales restrictions in Nanjing and adjustments to down payment ratios in Tianjin, which are expected to stimulate demand [7][17]. - The real estate market is experiencing structural differentiation, with new home sales declining while second-hand home sales show slight resilience [7][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading real estate companies that can effectively navigate market fluctuations, such as Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and China Resources Mixc Life [7][19]. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 0.9%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 1.37%, indicating that the sector outperformed the broader market by 0.47% [3][13]. - The total market capitalization of the real estate sector is approximately 1,034.3 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 995.5 billion yuan [8]. Industry Fundamentals Primary Market Analysis - In the week of March 28 to April 3, a total of 31,221 new homes were sold across 38 key cities, representing a year-on-year decline of 33.7% and a month-on-month decline of 15% [5][21]. - The total transaction area for new homes was 3.821 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 27.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 5.9% [5][21]. Secondary Market Analysis - During the same week, 22,398 second-hand homes were sold in 16 key cities, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% but a month-on-month decrease of 10.7% [32]. - The total transaction area for second-hand homes was 2.178 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 11.5% [32]. Inventory Situation - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 186.291 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.5% and a depletion cycle of 156.6 weeks [45][52]. Land Market Analysis - In the week of March 24 to March 30, land supply reached 21.186 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, while the average supply price was 2,715 yuan per square meter, up 223.2% year-on-year [53]. - Land transactions totaled 23.359 million square meters, with a transaction amount of 62.15 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55.4% [53].

Summary of Yuexiu Property Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yuexiu Property - **Industry**: Real Estate Key Points 2024 Performance - **Sales Performance**: In 2024, Yuexiu Property's sales decreased by 19.4% year-on-year, totaling 114.5 billion yuan, outperforming the average decline of 24% among the top 100 developers in China, achieving a ranking of 8th nationally [2][3] - **Focus on High-Energy Cities**: The company concentrated investments in high-energy cities, with over 80% of investments in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou, and over 70% of new land reserves in first-tier cities [2][3] 2025 Sales Goals and Outlook - **Sales Target**: For 2025, the sales target is set at 120.5 billion yuan, representing a growth of approximately 5.2% [4] - **Available Resources**: The total available resources are estimated at 235.4 billion yuan, with about half located in the Greater Bay Area [4] - **Construction Plans**: Plans include starting construction on 2.73 million square meters and completing 7.78 million square meters [4] Financial Health - **Cash Flow**: The company reported a net operating cash inflow of 21.7 billion yuan in 2024, with year-end cash reserves exceeding 50 billion yuan, marking an 8.6% increase [5] - **Debt Management**: Yuexiu Property maintains a net debt ratio of 51.7%, with a weighted average financing cost reduced to 3.49% [5] Long-term Strategy - **Sustainable Development**: The company emphasizes long-termism and aims to build a "Four Good Enterprises" model, focusing on good products, brands, services, and teams [6] Q1 2025 Performance - **Sales Growth**: In Q1 2025, sales increased by approximately 41% year-on-year, with a national ranking improvement to 7th place, particularly strong performance in the Beijing market [7] Investment Strategy - **Investment Goals**: The company aims for a total equity investment of 30 billion yuan in 2025, focusing on eight core cities [9] - **Profitability Standards**: Investment standards include a projected net profit margin of 6%-8% and an internal rate of return (IRR) typically around 20% [10] Inventory Management - **Dynamic Gross Margin**: The current dynamic gross margin is estimated at 13%-15%, reflecting sales from properties acquired in the past two years [11] - **Old Inventory Strategy**: A dedicated team has been established to manage slow-moving projects, with flexible pricing strategies based on regional demand [13][15] Land Acquisition and Government Relations - **Land Recovery**: The company successfully recovered approximately 12 billion yuan from the government for undeveloped land, which will be used to acquire higher-quality land [16] - **Government Cooperation**: Strong relationships with local governments facilitate smoother negotiations regarding land and inventory management [17] Future Profitability and Dividends - **Profit Margin Expectations**: The company anticipates a gross margin of no less than 10% for 2025, with expectations for improvement in 2026 and 2027 [19][24] - **Dividend Policy**: The dividend policy aims to distribute 30%-40% of core net profits, maintaining a payout ratio of 44% for the past year [25] Market Conditions - **Market Dynamics**: The real estate market is experiencing significant differentiation, with core cities showing resilience while lower-tier cities face challenges [9][18] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Yuexiu Property's performance, strategic focus, and outlook in the real estate sector.

进入4月，越秀地产继续在一线城市"攻城略地"。 继以底价2.54亿元拿下杭州临安区锦城单元LA040301-27地块后，4月1日，越秀地产再以总价11.01亿元 竞得杭州原运河新城单元GS1004-08-1地块。两宗地块累计斥资13.55亿元。 此前2月，越秀地产联合华润置地以50.9亿元成功竞得浦东新区新杨思地块，成交楼面地价为7.47万平方 米，溢价率33.4%。据公告披露，越秀地产于该宗地块实际应占利益为51.00%。 以及1月底，越秀地产在广州大本营竞得海珠区新侨地块，实际应占利益为95.48%，涉及实际权益的土 地价款约8.39亿元。 按照越秀地产的铺排，2025年总体投资目标为300亿元，重点聚焦在北上广深一线城市，以及杭州、成 都等强二线城市，以"换仓"来完成今年1205亿元的销售目标。 然而，规模扩张的同时，利润承压也是困扰越秀地产的难题。2025年，越秀地产趋向何方？ 据2024年财报，公司去年核心净利润约15.9亿元，同比下降54.4%；权益持有人应占盈利约10.4亿元， 同比下降67.3%；毛利率约10.5%，同比下降4.8个百分点。 | . | 董事會建議不予分派二〇二四年末期股息,全 ...