Core Viewpoint - The significant increase in short-selling data for Pop Mart and Blok is contrasted with their high market valuations and strong performance, indicating potential concerns about future growth and sustainability in the new consumption sector [1][3][9]. Group 1: Short-Selling Trends - Pop Mart's short-selling shares rose from 563,600 in early May to 1,707,000 by June 11, an increase of over 200% [1]. - Blok's short-selling shares increased from 71,400 on May 16 to 256,800 on June 11, marking a 260% rise [3]. - In contrast, other companies in the new consumption sector, such as Guming and Maogeping, experienced a decline in short-selling volumes [5]. Group 2: Performance and Valuation Concerns - Despite strong performance, the stock price increases for Pop Mart and Blok have potentially overstretched future growth expectations [9]. - The Labubu series from Pop Mart has a secondary market premium exceeding 10 times, raising concerns about valuation fragility [9]. Group 3: IP Dependency Risks - Blok relies on the Ultraman IP for 48.9% of its revenue, with the copyright expiring in 2027, leading to uncertainties regarding renewal costs and alternative IPs [9]. - Pop Mart's Labubu series contributes 23.3% of its revenue, with projected income of 3.04 billion in 2024, but faces challenges in managing the IP lifecycle [9]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Consumer Behavior - On June 9, the day Blok was included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, short-selling volume surged by 459%, indicating potential short-term arbitrage opportunities [9]. - Research shows that about 30% of blind box consumers are reducing purchases due to waning novelty, raising concerns about the sustainability of emotional consumption among Generation Z [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at 193.3 HKD, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum in Q2 2025, driven by the launch of nine new products in May, including popular IPs like Conan and Transformers [1]. - The introduction of the Minions product line enhances user engagement and brand image through interactive features and a five-month exhibition tour across six cities [2]. - The company's global strategy is advancing, with a significant presence at the CCXP Mexico event, showcasing various well-known IPs and aiming to penetrate the Latin American market further [3]. - The BFC creation competition has gained traction, with nearly 8,000 events held across 120 cities, indicating increased community engagement and brand loyalty [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 960 million, 1.48 billion, and 2.08 billion HKD, with corresponding PE ratios of 50, 32, and 23 [5]. Summary by Sections New Product Launches - In May, the company launched nine new products, indicating a strong pipeline and potential for continued sales growth in Q2 [1]. User Engagement and Brand Image - The Minions product line features six popular characters with enhanced interactive designs, supported by a promotional tour to boost user engagement [2]. Global Expansion - The company showcased its products at a major Latin American cultural event, reinforcing its commitment to global market penetration [3]. Community Engagement - The BFC creation competition has seen significant participation, with plans for further expansion in 2025, enhancing community involvement [4]. Financial Projections - The report maintains profit forecasts for the next three years, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [5].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Tech Index has seen an expanded decline of 1% [1] - Most new consumption stocks have experienced a downturn, with Bruker falling approximately 8% [1] - Other notable declines include Gu Ming down about 6.5% and Mixue Group down around 6% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum in Q2 2025, driven by the launch of 9 new products in May, including popular IPs like Conan and Transformers [1]. - The introduction of the Minions product line enhances user engagement and brand image through interactive features and a 5-month exhibition tour across 6 cities [2]. - The company's global strategy is advancing, with participation in the CCXP Mexico event, showcasing various well-known IPs and aiming to penetrate the Latin American market [3]. - The BFC creation competition has gained significant traction, with nearly 8,000 events held across 120 cities, indicating increased community engagement and brand loyalty [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 960 million, 1.48 billion, and 2.08 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 50, 32, and 23 [5]. Summary by Sections New Product Launches - In May, the company launched 9 new products, indicating a strong pipeline and potential for continued growth in Q2 [1]. User Engagement and Brand Image - The Minions product line features 6 popular characters with enhanced interactive designs and a nationwide exhibition to boost user engagement [2]. Global Expansion - The company showcased its products at a major Latin American cultural event, reinforcing its commitment to global market penetration [3]. Community Engagement - The BFC creation competition has seen a significant increase in participation, enhancing community vitality and brand stickiness [4]. Financial Projections - The company maintains its profit forecasts for the next three years, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory [5].

Group 1 - The performance of new consumption concept stocks in the Hong Kong market shows divergence, with Pop Mart (09992.HK) rising over 4% to reach a new historical high [1] - Guoquan (02517.HK) increased nearly 3%, while Nayuki Tea (02150.HK) and Miniso (09896.HK) both saw gains of nearly 2% [1] - Conversely, Guming (01364.HK) and Mixue Group (02097.HK) both declined by over 4%, with Cha Baidao (02555.HK) dropping more than 3.6% and Blukoo (00325.HK) falling by 2.2% [1]

6月9日，随着布鲁可、古茗和蜜雪集团被调入港股通标的生效，三只新消费个股均大涨，其中布鲁可上 涨达22.34%，总市值超过480亿港元，今年上市以来上涨76.37%。古茗和蜜雪集团均上涨超过4%，总市 值分别超650亿和超2000亿港元，上市以来上涨达176.5%和115.84%。 这一调整意味着内地投资者可以直接通过港股通机制投资这些新消费龙头，无需绕道香港市场，为这些 公司带来了增量资金的注入。 Wind数据显示，被调入港股通名单时间，布鲁可用了99个交易日，古茗用了79个交易日，而蜜雪集团 仅用了66个交易日。 深交所发布关于深港通下港股通标的调整的通知。因恒生综合中型股指数实施成份股调整，根据《深圳 证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》的有关规定，港股通标的证券名单发生调整，调入布鲁可(00325)、 古茗(01364)、蜜雪集团(02097)，自2025年06月09日起生效。 | 代码 | 简称 | 调整方向 | | --- | --- | --- | | 00325 | 布鲁可 | 调入 | | 01364 | 古落 | 调入 | | 02097 | 蜜雪集团 | 调入 | ● 估值偏高 蜜雪集团的动态 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.63% to close at 24,181.43 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index also saw significant gains of 1.74% and 2.78% respectively, marking a technical bull market as they rose over 20% from April lows [1] - The trading volume for the day reached 245.83 billion HKD, indicating strong market activity [1] Blue Chip Performance - Kuaishou-W (01024) led the blue-chip stocks with a 5.58% increase, closing at 62.4 HKD, contributing 16.34 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable performers included WuXi Biologics (02269) up 5.48%, SMIC (00981) up 5.1%, while Budweiser APAC (01876) and Zijin Mining (02899) experienced declines of 2.06% and 1.64% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks collectively rose, with Kuaishou increasing over 5% and Meituan and JD.com both rising over 4% [3] - The innovative drug sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Eucure Biopharma-B (01477) up 19.45% and King’s Ray Biotech (01548) up 16.14% [3][4] - The Chinese securities sector saw a broad increase, with firms like Everbright Securities (06178) rising 5.27% and GF Securities (01776) up 4.66% [4] Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission approved the transfer of control for eight companies to Central Huijin, which may lead to a new wave of mergers and acquisitions in the securities industry [5] Consumer and Technology Trends - The upcoming Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC 2025) is expected to drive interest in consumer electronics and related stocks, with companies like AAC Technologies (01415) and Sunny Optical (02382) showing gains [6] - New consumption stocks also performed well, with companies like Bruker (00325) rising 22.34% [6][7] Commodity Movements - Gold stocks faced declines, with Shandong Gold (01787) down 3.99%, influenced by stable U.S. employment data which suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain its current interest rate stance [7] Notable Stock Movements - China Rare Earth (00769) surged 60% following news of eased export controls on rare earths, reflecting strong market interest [8] - Huicai Holdings (01180) experienced a dramatic drop of 47.54% before being suspended, indicating volatility in the entertainment equipment sector [9]

金十数据6月9日讯，港股今日高开高走，震荡上升。恒指早盘高开185点报23977点，买盘随即涌入，一 度站上两万四关口最多涨超373点报24166点。午后涨幅一度收窄200点报23995点，但随后买盘回归；恒 指再度拉升。截至收盘，恒指收涨1.63%；科指收涨2.78%，恒指大市成交额放大至2458.3亿元。盘面 上，影视娱乐、医药外包、超市便利店股走强，新消费股表现亮眼，军工、芯片股表现亮眼；贵金属、 国内零售股走低，有色金属、啤酒股下跌。个股方面，中国稀土(00769.HK)大涨60%，布鲁可 (00325.HK)涨超22%，金蝶国际(00268.HK)涨近12%，快手(01024.HK)、腾讯音乐(01698.HK)、中芯国 际(00981.HK)均涨超5%；吉利汽车(00175.HK)、百威亚太(01876.HK)均跌超2%，紫金矿业 (02899.HK)、比亚迪股份(01211.HK)均跌超1.5%。 港股收评：恒指收涨1.63% 生物医药股走势强势 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 1.74%, marking a 21% increase from the low in April, officially entering a bull market [1] - New consumption concept stocks saw significant gains, with Mixue Group increasing by approximately 5% and Pop Mart rising by about 2% [1] - Technology stocks also experienced upward movement, with Kuaishou rising by around 6% [1] Group 2 - Semiconductor stocks mostly increased, with SMIC gaining approximately 5% [1] - Chinese rare earths surged by 60%, indicating strong demand and market performance [1]

Group 1 - Three new consumer concept stocks, Bruker (00325.HK), Gu Ming (01364.HK), and Mixue Group (02097.HK), have been added to the Hong Kong Stock Connect list, effective from June 9 [1][2] - Following the announcement, Bruker saw an increase of 18.35% to HKD 187 per share, with a total market capitalization of HKD 46.61 billion; Mixue Group rose by 6.80% to HKD 573 per share, with a market cap of HKD 217.52 billion; Gu Ming increased by 2.64% to HKD 27.20 per share, with a market cap of HKD 64.69 billion [1] - The three companies have shown significant cumulative growth since their listings this year, with Bruker up over 200%, Mixue Group up over 180%, and Gu Ming up over 170% [1] Group 2 - New consumer stocks are considered a rare category among large consumers, characterized by high growth, strong cash flow, and broad market potential, making them attractive to institutional investors [3] - Despite the positive outlook, there are concerns about potential selling pressure from cornerstone investors or major shareholders in the coming months, as well as high valuations compared to larger consumer categories [3] - The Hong Kong market is expected to experience a peak in lock-up expirations from June to September 2025, with significant amounts of capital being released, which could impact stock prices [3] Group 3 - There is a divergence in market sentiment regarding new consumer stocks, with some analysts expressing concerns about overvaluation and potential bubbles in the sector [4][5] - UBS downgraded Mixue Group from "Neutral" to "Sell," citing high valuations and challenges in overseas business, while domestic brokerages remain optimistic about the company's growth potential [5] - Morgan Stanley expressed confidence in the IP industry in China, highlighting companies like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Huang Jin as top picks, indicating a positive outlook for the new consumer sector [5][6] Group 4 - The IP product category is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 35% in sales and profits over the next three years, contrasting with traditional companies that may only see single-digit growth [6] - Analysts recommend a strategic approach to investing in Hong Kong's technology and new consumer sectors, emphasizing the importance of distinguishing between genuine growth and speculative trading [6]