点击注册小程序 2025 年以来地缘政治局势不确定性较强，我国能源安全受到较多外部挑战。" 三桶油"将继续维持高资本开 支，大力推进"增储上产"， 2025 年计划分别增长 1.6% 、 1.3% 、 5.9% 。 （ 1 ）中国石油 聚焦重点盆地重点 地区加大风险勘探力度，把天然气业务作为战略性、成长性和价值性工程大力发展， 2024 年天然气产量占油 气当量产量的 54.4% ，持续推动非常规油气勘探突破与规模建产。 （ 2 ）中国石化 将加快攻克深层超深层油 气等核心技术，实现勘探大突破、油气稳增长、盈亏平衡点持续下降，促进上游业务的可持续发展。 （ 3 ） 中国海油 在国内推动新油田上产和老油田稳产， 2025 年已有番禺 10/11 区块联合开发项目、东方 29-1 气田开 发项目、渤中 26-6 油田开发项目（一期）等多项目投产。 坚持自主创新强化科技攻关，谋求高质量发展 " 三桶油 " 加强自主创新，大力攻关石油化工领域的 " 卡脖子 " 技术，推动公司实现高质量发展。 中国石油 制定创新任务时间表，确定 2025 年至本世纪中叶的四阶段发展目标， 2024 年，中国石油取得深地钻探关键技 术、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The geopolitical tensions combined with OPEC+'s willingness to increase production create significant uncertainty in oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices reported at $66.65 and $64.77 per barrel respectively, reflecting increases of 6.5% from the previous week [1][10] - The "Three Oil Giants" (China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and CNOOC) are focusing on increasing reserves and production to address external energy security challenges, with capital expenditures planned to grow by 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% respectively in 2025 [2][11] - The companies are enhancing their technological capabilities to achieve high-quality development, with significant advancements in key technologies expected by 2024 [3][27] - A strategic shift towards energy transition is evident, with investments in renewable energy and carbon capture projects being prioritized [4][32] Summary by Sections Oil Price Dynamics - Geopolitical conflicts have led to a rebound in oil prices, with a potential increase in geopolitical risk premium, although OPEC+'s production increase may exert downward pressure on prices [1][10] Upstream Strategies - The "Three Oil Giants" are committed to high capital expenditures to boost oil and gas production, with specific growth targets for 2025 [2][11] - China National Petroleum Corporation is focusing on natural gas as a strategic growth area, aiming for natural gas to constitute 54.4% of its total production by 2024 [18] Technological Innovation - The companies are investing in technology to overcome critical challenges in the oil and petrochemical sectors, with a focus on deep drilling and unconventional resources [3][27] - Significant technological breakthroughs are anticipated in 2024, including advancements in deep drilling and catalyst applications [26][27] Energy Transition Initiatives - The "Three Oil Giants" are actively pursuing green and low-carbon transitions, with substantial investments in renewable energy projects and infrastructure [4][28] - China National Petroleum Corporation plans to establish over 10 million kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2024, alongside significant hydrogen production [28][34]

Core Viewpoint - The appointment of Zhang Chuanjiang as the new chairman of CNOOC marks a significant leadership change during a critical phase of the company's "14th Five-Year" strategic plan, focusing on capital expenditure and green energy initiatives [1][2]. Group 1: Leadership Change - CNOOC announced the appointment of Zhang Chuanjiang as chairman and party secretary, following the departure of former chairman Wang Dongjin [1]. - Zhang Chuanjiang has a background in coal-to-oil and coal chemical industries, with previous roles in major energy companies, including China Shenhua [1][2]. - Notably, Zhang is the only current leader among the "Big Three" oil companies who has not spent a long tenure within the oil and gas sector [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - CNOOC's annual plan for 2025 includes a capital expenditure forecast of 125 to 135 billion yuan and an oil and gas production target of 760 to 780 million barrels of oil equivalent [2]. - The company aims to implement a green low-carbon strategy, emphasizing offshore renewable energy and the integration of offshore wind power with oil and gas production [2].

Group 1 - Zhang Chuanjiang has been appointed as the new Chairman and Party Secretary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), marking a significant leadership change [1][2] - The previous chairman, Wang Dongjin, has stepped down from his roles, including non-executive director and chairman, following a recent announcement [1] - Zhang Chuanjiang brings 30 years of experience in the energy sector, having previously held positions in major companies such as China Energy Group and China Shenhua Coal to Liquid Company [2] Group 2 - This appointment is notable as Zhang is the first chairman of CNOOC without a background in the "Three Barrels of Oil," indicating a shift in leadership dynamics within the company [2] - Zhang's experience in carbon neutrality initiatives at China Datang Group may accelerate CNOOC's transition towards renewable energy, as the company has been actively developing offshore wind power and integrating oil and gas exploration with new energy [2]

Group 1 - Zhang Chuanjiang has been appointed as the new chairman and party secretary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), previously serving as the general manager and party deputy secretary of China Datang Corporation [1][2] - The position of CNOOC chairman had been vacant for over a month prior to Zhang's appointment, following the removal of former chairman Wang Dongjin from his roles [1] - Zhang Chuanjiang has extensive experience in coal-to-oil and coal chemical industries, having held various technical and managerial positions in these fields [1] Group 2 - Zhang is the only current leader among the "Big Three" oil companies who has not spent a long tenure within the oil and gas sector, contrasting with his peers who have over 30 years of experience [2] - CNOOC is at a critical stage of implementing its 14th Five-Year Plan, with projected capital expenditures of 125 to 135 billion yuan and oil and gas production targets of 760 to 780 million barrels of oil equivalent by 2025 [2] - The company aims to enhance its green low-carbon strategy, focusing on offshore renewable energy and integrating offshore wind power with oil and gas production, while advancing CCS/CCUS industrialization [2]

【导读】中国海油集团、东方电气集团迎新董事长 中国基金报记者 含章 又有两家央企巨头董事长调整。 6月6日，据中国海油集团官网信息，张传江出任中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记。 东方电气集团董事长近日也出现调整，据官网信息，罗乾宜已出任东方电气集团董事长、党组书记。 中国海油集团迎新董事长 据中国海洋石油集团（以下简称中国海油集团）网站消息，6月6日，中国海油集团召开中层以上管理人员大会。中央组织部有关负责同志宣布了中央关于 中国海油集团董事长、党组书记任职的决定：张传江同志任中国海油集团董事长、党组书记，免去其中国大唐集团有限公司董事、总经理、党组副书记职 务。相关职务任免按有关法律和章程的规定办理。 图片来源：中国海油集团官网 公开资料显示，张传江出生于1968年，湖北荆门人，在能源行业工作多年，曾任国家能源集团宁夏煤业有限责任公司董事长等职。 2020年7月，张传江任中国大唐集团有限公司副总经理、党组成员；2024年4月，他接任中国大唐集团董事、总经理、党组副书记，直至此次履新中国海洋 石油集团。 据集团官网介绍，中国海油集团是1982年2月15日经国务院批准成立的特大型国有企业，是中国最大的海 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry, specifically highlighting the potential in the pesticide sector due to recent price increases and supply constraints [5]. Core Insights - The pesticide industry in China is undergoing structural optimization driven by stringent environmental regulations, leading to a gradual increase in the market share of high-efficiency, low-risk pesticides while phasing out older, more toxic products [1][2]. - The recent explosion at Youdao Chemical has impacted the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which is expected to drive up prices due to supply constraints [2][3]. - The price index for pesticide raw materials has reached a low point, with a slight increase noted, indicating a potential turning point for channel inventory [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Pesticide Industry Overview - China's pesticide product structure is being optimized, with a focus on reducing the use of high-risk products and increasing the market share of new, efficient pesticides [1]. - The pesticide raw material price index as of May 30, 2025, is 73.33 points, reflecting a 0.44 point increase since the beginning of the year [1]. 2. Supply Chain Impact - The explosion at Youdao Chemical on May 27, 2025, has disrupted the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which is the largest production facility globally with a capacity of 11,000 tons [2]. - The incident is expected to lead to stricter approvals and regulations for high-risk chemical reactions, benefiting leading chemical companies with better safety protocols and production technologies [2]. 3. Price Adjustments - ST Hongtai has raised the price of chlorantraniliprole to 300,000 yuan per ton due to increased costs from upstream raw material shortages [3]. - As of May 30, 2025, the market price for chlorantraniliprole was reported at 230,000 yuan per ton, marking a 2.22% increase from the previous day [3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend, and well-performing companies in the oil and gas sector, as well as those benefiting from domestic substitution trends in materials [4]. - Specific companies to watch include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, and Wanhu Chemical, among others [4].

金十数据6月6日讯，"中国海油"微信公众号消息，6月6日，中国海洋石油集团有限公司召开中层以上管 理人员大会。中央组织部有关负责同志宣布了中央关于中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记任 职的决定：张传江同志任中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记，免去其中国大唐集团有限公司 董事、总经理、党组副书记职务。相关职务任免按有关法律和章程的规定办理。 张传江任中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the refining industry. Core Insights - The Chinese refining industry is undergoing significant structural changes, focusing on "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" as the main strategy for transformation and upgrading [47][50]. - The industry is expected to see a capacity expansion, with refining capacity projected to exceed 980 million tons per year by 2025, driven by large integrated refining and chemical projects [5][6]. - The shift towards a more integrated and green development model is anticipated to dominate the industry over the next 5-10 years [5]. Summary by Sections Part 1: Industry Status and Background - The refining industry is experiencing a dual drive from energy structure transformation and chemical industry upgrades, leading to a structural upgrade in capacity [5]. Part 2: Key Project Layout and Capacity Upgrade - Major projects are set to come online between 2024 and 2030, including a 6 million tons per year crude distillation unit in Shandong and a 1.6 million tons per year unit in Fujian, enhancing the overall refining capacity [8][13]. Part 3: Market Structure Changes and Industry Impact - The regional refining capacity is expected to reach 220 million tons per year, accounting for 25% of the national total, with a significant increase in local chemical production [18]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with large state-owned enterprises like Sinopec and PetroChina leveraging scale and technology to dominate the high-end chemical market [20]. Part 4: Future Demand Changes Post-Integration - The demand for refined oil products is projected to decline, with the share of refined oil products decreasing from 62% in 2023 to below 50% by 2030, while high-end lubricants and specialty fuels will increase [23]. Part 5: Challenges from Future New Energy Impact and Chemical Capacity Release - The rapid development of electric vehicles is expected to pressure traditional fuel markets, leading to a potential decline in refined oil consumption [29]. Part 6: Future Directions of the Refining Market - Refining enterprises are encouraged to deepen their integration with chemical production, enhancing resource efficiency and product quality [41]. Part 7: Conclusion - The industry is transitioning from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with a focus on sustainable development and the transformation of traditional refining bases into green facilities [50].

证券研究报告 中国海油 (883 HK/600938 CH) 2025 年中期策略会速递— 天然气增量可期，提高分红彰显信心 | 华泰研究 | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 6 月 | 05 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 石油（天然气）开采 | 6 月 4 日中国海油出席了我们组织的 2025 年中期策略会，会上公司详细描 述了今年一季度的经营情况，重申了 25 年全年的产量、资本开支以及分红 指引，同时简要介绍了海外区块及天然气业务的主要成果及未来规划。考虑 公司稳油增气、提质降本效果卓越，抵御油价波动的韧性显著提升，维持 A/H"买入"评级。 关税预期修正，OPEC 连续上调产量目标，5 月油价先反弹后回落 5月中美经贸会谈取得实质性进展，而 OPEC集团连续上调 5-7月产量目标， 油价先反弹后回落。据 Wind，6 月 4 日 WTI/Brent 期货收于 62.85/66.61 美元/桶，较 5 月初上涨 6.1%/4.4%。考虑贸易政策扰动下全球宏观经济及 石油需求预期不确定性仍存，以及 OPEC+内部协同意愿显著趋弱，我们维 持 25-26 年布伦特原 ...