Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 2.23% to 26,775.57 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 3.36% to 5,526.31 points [1] - Major technology stocks saw significant losses, including Alibaba down 3.49%, Tencent down 1.24%, and JD.com down 1.69% [1] - Gold and silver prices fell sharply, with Shandong Gold and Chifeng Gold both dropping over 12% [1] Company Earnings Forecasts - Haiprime (09989.HK) expects a net profit of 284 million to 377 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 41.71% to 56.09% year-on-year [2] - Datang Power (00991.HK) anticipates a net profit of approximately 6.8 billion to 7.8 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of about 51% to 73% year-on-year [6] - Longhua Automobile (02333.HK) projects total revenue of 222.79 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year growth of 10.19% [4] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 50% to 85% year-on-year [5] Company Warnings - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss increase of approximately 90.07 million to 290 million yuan for 2025 [7] - Xinyi Alloy (00505.HK) also issued a profit warning, anticipating a 50% decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders for 2025 [8] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) expects a net loss of approximately 120 million to 180 million yuan for 2025 [9] Strategic Developments - Innovation Intelligence (02121.HK) signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shanghai Jiao Tong University Hainan Research Institute [11] - Zhonghui Biotech-B (02627.HK) received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for its trivalent influenza virus subunit vaccine [12]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the utility sector, particularly for coal-fired power operators, with a recommendation to focus on quality transformation operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, Guodian Power, Huadian International, China Power, China Resources Power, and Funiu Co., Ltd. [7] Core Insights - The report highlights the importance of the capacity compensation mechanism in addressing the long-standing issue of fixed cost recovery in the coal-fired power sector. The implementation of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism is expected to resolve the dual pricing system between long-term contracts and spot market prices, leading to a more balanced electricity market. [2][5][7] - The report anticipates that by 2026, the national capacity supply-demand ratio will reach 84%-96%, with capacity prices ranging from 276 to 316 RMB/year·kW. This is expected to alleviate the downward pressure on long-term contract prices significantly. [7] - The report emphasizes that the introduction of the capacity compensation mechanism will decouple the fixed cost recovery from long-term contract pricing, thus allowing coal-fired power to return to being a public utility. [7] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report discusses the recent announcement by the National Development and Reform Commission regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism, which aims to unify various types of regulatory power sources under a new reform initiative. [18] Importance of Capacity Compensation Mechanism - The capacity price is designed to compensate for fixed costs associated with power plants, which include capital costs, fixed operating and maintenance costs, and taxes. This mechanism is crucial for ensuring that power companies can recover their fixed costs effectively. [21][22] International Examples and Domestic Innovations - The report references the PJM capacity market mechanism in the U.S. and the innovative capacity compensation mechanism trialed in Gansu Province, which aims to achieve near-full recovery of fixed costs. [6] Breaking the Profitability Dilemma - The report concludes that if the reliable capacity compensation mechanism is implemented nationwide, it will significantly reduce the profitability challenges faced by coal-fired power plants under the current dual pricing system. [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [6] Core Insights - The commercial model of the power sector is continuously transforming, with a reduced reliance on annual long-term contracts for electricity and prices. The sector is shifting towards mid-to-long-term markets, spot markets, and capacity markets, indicating a comprehensive push for marketization [19][3] - The capacity price mechanism is being refined, with the aim to optimize the electricity market and ensure fair compensation reflecting the contributions of different power plants to peak demand [15][3] - The report highlights the importance of capacity market development, with current subsidies in Gansu and Yunnan reaching 330 RMB/kW·year, which helps offset the decline in electricity prices [19][3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW public utility sector index fell by 1.66% this week, ranking 16th among 31 SW sectors. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.44% and 1.62%, respectively [33][33] - Within sub-sectors, thermal power decreased by 2.78%, hydropower increased by 0.3%, while solar and wind power fell by 4.53% and 2.49%, respectively [33][33] Price Updates - Domestic and imported thermal coal prices have rebounded slightly, with domestic Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal rising by 4 RMB/ton, remaining below 700 RMB/ton. Imported coal prices also saw a slight increase [12][12] - The average clearing price for electricity in Shanxi and Guangdong has significantly increased due to cold weather, while the monthly agent purchase electricity costs are trending upwards due to rising capacity prices and the entry of renewable energy into the settlement cycle [13][12] Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes optimizing compensation for coal and gas power generation [3][15] - Recent policy changes include relaxing the annual long-term contract signing ratio for coal-fired power companies and the cancellation of time-of-use electricity pricing in multiple regions [3][15] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable cash dividends. The profitability of thermal power is anticipated to gradually detach from coal cost dependency, shifting towards multiple influencing factors [19][3] - For long-term stable investment needs, the report recommends attention to companies like Yangtze Power, State Power Investment Corporation, and China National Nuclear Power [19][3]

Major Events - Lanke Technology (06809) will conduct an IPO from January 30 to February 4, with an expected listing on February 9 [1] - Aixin Yuanzhi (00600) will conduct an IPO from January 30 to February 5, with an expected listing on February 10 [1] - Lexin Outdoor (02720) will conduct an IPO from January 31 to February 5, raising HKD 130 million from Horizon Capital and Huangshan Dejun [1] - Dongpeng Beverage (09980) sets the offer price at HKD 248 per share [1] - Zhonghui Biotech-B (02627) received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for a trivalent influenza virus subunit vaccine [1] - Kangzheng Pharmaceutical (00867) received approval for the first and only targeted drug for vitiligo treatment in China [1] - Shishi Pharmaceutical Group (02005) received production registration for Propafenone Hydrochloride Injection from the National Medical Products Administration [1] - China Aluminum (02600) plans to jointly acquire 68.6% of Brazilian Aluminum from Rio Tinto and will initiate a mandatory offer [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) plans to transfer 100% equity of Inner Mongolia Xintai Coal [1] - Botai Car Union (02889) plans to collaborate with Ping An Property & Casualty to reconstruct the smart travel insurance ecosystem [1] - Jin Jing New Energy (01783) signed a strategic framework agreement with Tianqi Grand for lithium battery recycling and precious metal extraction [1] - Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Holdings (01396) subsidiary Hongce Data introduces Fudian Capital as a strategic investor for 40% equity [1] - China Mobile (00941), China Unicom (00762), and China Telecom (00728) will adjust the applicable scope of value-added tax for telecom services [1] Operating Performance - BYD Company (01211) sold approximately 210,000 new energy vehicles in January [2] - Geely Automobile (00175) reported total vehicle sales of 270,200 units in January, a year-on-year increase of about 1% [2] - Chery Automobile (09973) saw total sales of 191,500 vehicles in January, a year-on-year decrease of about 10.7% [2] - Seres (09927) reported total vehicle sales of 45,900 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 104.85% [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) sold approximately 90,300 vehicles in January, a year-on-year increase of 11.59% [2] - Li Auto-W (02015) delivered 27,668 new vehicles in January, a year-on-year decrease of 7.5% [2] - NIO-SW (09866) delivered 27,182 vehicles in January, a year-on-year increase of 96.1% [2] - GAC Group (02238) reported vehicle sales of 116,600 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 18.47% [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) released a preliminary report indicating a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.912 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 21.71% [2] - Shandong Gold (01787) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% [2] Earnings Forecast - SF Express (09699) expects a year-on-year profit increase of no less than 80% for 2025 [3] - China International Capital Corporation (03908) anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - China Shenhua (01088) expects a year-on-year decline in net profit for 2025 [3] - Datang Power (00991) anticipates a net profit of approximately 6.8 billion to 7.8 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [3] - China Southern Airlines (01055) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 800 million to 1 billion yuan for 2025, turning a profit [3] - Air China (00753) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - China Eastern Airlines (00670) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - GAC Group (02238) expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of 8 billion to 9 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - Ansteel (00347) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.077 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year narrowing of 42.75% [3] - Junshi Biosciences (01877) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 873 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 31.85% [3]

大唐发电（601991）(601991.SH)发布公告，公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润68亿 元到78亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加22.94亿元到32.94亿元，同比增加51%到73%。 ...

智通财经APP讯，大唐发电(601991.SH)发布公告，公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利 润68亿元到78亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加22.94亿元到32.94亿元，同比增加51%到73%。 ...

中证智能财讯大唐发电（601991）1月30日晚间披露2025年度业绩预告，预计2025年归母净利润68亿元至78亿元，同比增长51%-73%；扣非净利润预计72亿 元至82亿元，同比增长60%-82%。以1月30日收盘价计算，大唐发电目前市盈率（TTM）约为8.97倍-10.29倍，市净率（LF）约2.05倍，市销率（TTM）约 0.57倍。 公司 -○- 行业均值 制图数据来自恒生聚源数据库 以本次披露业绩预告均值计算，公司近年市盈率（TTM）图如下所示： 近年来市盈率变化情况（倍） 500 450.62 越 00 300 200 156.36 100 26,96 21o76 19654 निर्म 0 1-20 -100 2021-12-37 2021-06-30 ' 2022-12-37 : 2022-06-30 2020-12-37 13-06-30 4-06-30 023-12-37 2n- -○- 公司 -○- 行业均值 )- 公司 -○- 行业均值 制图数据来自恒生聚源数据库 100 993 ହ 90 80 70 60 50 40 3dros 30 24d2 20 15.88 10 0 202 ...

Company News - Great Wall Motors (02333.HK) expects a total revenue of RMB 222.79 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.19%. However, net profit is projected to decline by 21.71% to RMB 9.912 billion due to increased investments in new user channels and marketing for new models and technologies [2] - China Southern Airlines (01055.HK) anticipates turning a profit in 2025, with net profit expected to be between RMB 800 million and RMB 1 billion [2] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of RMB 8.542 billion to RMB 10.535 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - Datang Power (00991.HK) projects a net profit of approximately RMB 6.8 billion to RMB 7.8 billion in 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [4] - Rongchang Bio (09995.HK) expects 2025 revenue of approximately RMB 3.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 89%, and a net profit of around RMB 716 million, achieving profitability [4] - Haijia Medical (06078.HK) anticipates revenue of approximately RMB 4.0 billion to RMB 4.05 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 9% to 10%, with net profit expected to decline by 66% to 76% to around RMB 140 million to RMB 200 million [4] - Junshi Biosciences (01877.HK) expects 2025 revenue of around RMB 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 28.32%, with a net loss of about RMB 873 million, a reduction of 31.85% compared to the previous year [4] - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a year-on-year increase in net loss of approximately RMB 90.07 million to RMB 290 million [4] - Xingye Alloy (00505.HK) issued a profit warning, anticipating a year-on-year decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders of about 50% [4] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately RMB 120 million to RMB 180 million in 2025 [4] - Chenming Paper (01812.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of RMB 8.2 billion to RMB 8.8 billion, a significant increase compared to the previous year [5] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) has commenced production of the first batch of standard chemical-grade lithium concentrate products from its third-phase expansion project [6] Financing and Buyback Activities - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) repurchased approximately 4.2 million shares for about HKD 150 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 35.13 to HKD 42.50 [10] - Vitasoy International (00345.HK) repurchased shares worth HKD 24.37 million, acquiring 3.492 million shares at prices between HKD 6.9 and HKD 7 [11] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) plans to repurchase up to HKD 100 million of H-shares [12] - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610.HK) completed a placement of 31 million shares, raising approximately HKD 1.987 billion [12]

格隆汇1月30日丨大唐发电(601991.SH)公布，公司宣布，根据本公司初步统计，截至2025年12月31日， 本公司及子公司累计完成上网电量约2,731.092亿千瓦时，同比上升约1.41%。本公司2025年度上网电量 变化的主要原因是：得益于全社会用电需求稳步增长，叠加公司新能源装机规模持续扩大，公司新能源 上网电量实现同比大幅提升，公司水电出力情况优于上年同期，多重积极因素共同推动公司整体上网电 量较上年同期实现增长。 截至2025年12月31日，本公司平均上网电价约为人民币434.82元/兆瓦时（含税），同比下降约3.68%。 2025年，公司市场化交易电量约2,357.76亿千瓦时，所占比例约为86.33%。 截至2025年12月31日，公司总装机容量86,192.081兆瓦，其中火电煤机49,134兆瓦、火电燃机9,479.38兆 瓦、水电9,204.73兆瓦、风电11,196.89兆瓦、光伏7,177.081兆瓦。2025年，公司新增装机容量7,125.854 兆瓦，其中火电煤机1,960兆瓦、火电燃机2,846.58兆瓦、风电1,138.2兆瓦、光伏1,181.074兆瓦。 ...

本次权益分派股权登记日为：2026年2月5日，除权除息日为：2026年2月6日。 格隆汇1月30日丨大唐发电(601991.SH)公布2025年第三季度权益分派实施公告,本次利润分配以方案实施 前的公司总股本8,232,101,395股为基数，每股派发现金红利0.01元（含税），共计派发现金红利 82,321,013.95元。 ...