Core Viewpoint - The Tianhong CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159281) experienced a decline of 1.03% in its closing price on September 25, with a trading volume of 40.68 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Tianhong CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF was established on August 20, 2025, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of September 24, the fund's latest share count is 344 million shares, with a total size of 335 million yuan [1]. - The current fund manager is He Yuxuan, who has managed the fund since its inception, with a performance return of -2.80% during the management period [1]. Group 2: Fund Holdings - The top holdings of the Tianhong ETF include: - China COSCO Shipping (0.85% holding, 218,000 shares, market value of 2.9175 million yuan) - Orient Overseas International (0.40% holding, 10,500 shares, market value of 1.3717 million yuan) - China Foreign Transport (0.33% holding, 270,000 shares, market value of 1.1396 million yuan) - China National Petroleum (0.32% holding, 162,000 shares, market value of 1.0973 million yuan) - CITIC Bank (0.32% holding, 175,000 shares, market value of 1.1136 million yuan) - CNOOC (0.29% holding, 58,000 shares, market value of 1.0041 million yuan) - China Shenhua Energy (0.29% holding, 30,500 shares, market value of 982,600 yuan) - China People's Insurance Group (0.29% holding, 164,000 shares, market value of 1.0107 million yuan) - China Unicom (0.28% holding, 104,000 shares, market value of 952,800 yuan) - Agricultural Bank of China (0.27% holding, 189,000 shares, market value of 933,900 yuan) [2].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential awakening of the coal sector, suggesting that after a challenging period, coal prices are expected to rise towards the end of the year, providing upward momentum for the sector [2]. Industry Performance - As of September 19, 2025, the coal industry has seen a decline of 2.3% year-to-date, ranking last among 30 industries. However, in the week of September 19, it experienced a weekly increase of 3.6%, ranking second among the industries, indicating a significant contrast in performance [2]. - The report predicts that the coal price will stabilize and potentially reach a peak by the end of the year, which could drive further positive performance in the coal sector [2]. Company Focus - The report highlights several companies to watch within the coal sector: - **Keda Control**: Noted for its focus on smart mining [2]. - **China Coal Energy (H+A)** and **China Shenhua (H+A)**: Major state-owned enterprises in the coal industry [2]. - **China Qinfa**: Recommended for its turnaround potential [2]. - **Shanxi Coal and Electricity, Huainan Mining, and Xinji Energy**: Identified as strong performers [2]. - **Yankuang Energy, Jinkong Coal, and Pingmei Shenma**: Noted for their elasticity and potential for growth [2]. - **Huayang Co. and Gansu Energy**: Suggested as companies with future growth potential [2]. - **Anyuan Coal Industry**: Highlighted for its recent changes in control and ongoing asset restructuring [2].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 9月22日，天弘中证港股通央企红利ETF（159281）收盘跌1.71%，成交额4102.11万元。 港股通央企红利ETF天弘（159281）成立于2025年8月20日，基金全称为天弘中证港股通央企红利交易 型开放式指数证券投资基金，基金简称为天弘中证港股通央企红利ETF。该基金管理费率每年0.50%， 托管费率每年0.10%。港股通央企红利ETF天弘（159281）业绩比较基准为中证港股通央企红利指数收 益率(经估值汇率调整)。 规模方面，截止9月19日，港股通央企红利ETF天弘（159281）最新份额为3.44亿份，最新规模为3.43亿 元。 港股通央企红利ETF天弘（159281）现任基金经理为贺雨轩。贺雨轩自2025年8月20日管理（或拟管 理）该基金，任职期内收益-0.41%。 最新定期报告显示，港股通央企红利ETF天弘（159281）重仓股包括中远海控、东方海外国际、中国外 运、中国石油股份、中信银行、中国海洋石油、中国神华、中国人民保险集团、中国联通、农业银行， 持仓占比如下。 股票代码股票名称持仓占比持仓股数（股）持仓市值（元）01919中远海控0.85%21.80万2 ...

Group 1 - The Invesco Great Wall CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (520990) closed down 1.58% on September 22, with a trading volume of 154 million yuan [1] - The fund was established on June 26, 2024, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of September 19, 2024, the fund had 4.308 billion shares and a total size of 4.373 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.00% increase in shares and a 24.88% increase in size year-to-date [1] Group 2 - The current fund managers are Gong Lili and Wang Yang, with returns of 17.76% and 4.19% respectively during their management periods [2] - The fund's top holdings include China Mobile, China Petroleum, COSCO Shipping, CNOOC, China Shenhua, Sinopec, China Telecom, China Unicom, China Merchants Bank, and China Coal Energy, with varying holding percentages [2][3] Group 3 - The top holdings and their respective percentages are as follows: - China Mobile: 10.83% - China Petroleum: 10.55% - COSCO Shipping: 9.66% - CNOOC: 9.03% - China Shenhua: 8.09% - Sinopec: 7.66% - China Telecom: 4.85% - China Unicom: 3.68% - China Merchants Bank: 2.63% - China Coal Energy: 2.57% [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The coal supply is expected to significantly improve the supply-demand balance due to ongoing production checks and a reduction in coal output [5][39] - In August 2025, the national raw coal production was 39,049.7 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, marking two consecutive months of negative growth [5][11] - The policy of "checking overproduction" has accelerated the contraction of supply, leading to a notable shift in production trends [5][39] - The domestic coal price has been under pressure, with northern port prices remaining at or below 650 yuan/ton, impacting the operations of coal companies in key production areas [7][41] - The coal industry is expected to enter a new phase of supply-demand rebalancing driven by policy changes, with a potential price floor at 700 yuan/ton [7][41] Summary by Sections Coal Production - In August 2025, coal production in Shanxi decreased by 6.7% year-on-year, while Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi saw slight increases of 0.3% and 1.1%, respectively [5][11] - The production checks initiated by the National Energy Administration have significantly influenced the supply contraction process [5][41] Coal Imports - In August 2025, coal imports were 42.74 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7%, continuing a six-month trend of declining imports [6][19] - The cumulative coal imports from January to August 2025 were 29,994 million tons, down 12.2% year-on-year [6][19] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include high-dividend and stable performance coal companies such as China Coal Energy, China Shenhua Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [7][41] - Attention is also suggested for companies with high dividends and elasticity, such as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company [7][41]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - A V-shaped reversal in coal prices is anticipated, with winter prices expected to reach 800 CNY/ton. The long-term contracts are supporting spot prices, and policy-driven sentiment is leading to significant price increases. The long-term contract prices for September are 674, 613, and 551 CNY/ton for 5500, 5000, and 4500 kcal respectively, with the CCI index showing slight variations [6][26] - The coal market is expected to see a balance between supply and demand gradually, with prices steadily rising. The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the industry and suggests focusing on flexible thermal coal companies and those in turnaround situations in coking coal and coke sectors [6][26] Summary by Sections Coal Sector Performance - The coal sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 3.59% as of September 19, 2025, while the index fell by 0.44%, resulting in a 4.03 percentage point outperformance. A total of 24 stocks in the sector rose, with Yongtai Energy showing the highest increase of 13.42% [2] - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 7.22 million tons for the week of September 12-18, 2025, a week-on-week increase of 5.3%. The average daily production was 7.18 million tons, also up 4.8% week-on-week and 4.4% year-on-year [2][24] Price Trends - As of September 19, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 676 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.15%. The import price index for thermal coal was 812 CNY/ton, up 4.5% week-on-week. Prices at various ports and production areas also showed increases [3] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1610 CNY/ton, up 3.9% week-on-week, while the futures settlement price for coking coal was 1216 CNY/ton, reflecting a 6.9% increase [4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The total coal inventory monitored was 25.54 million tons as of September 18, 2025, a decrease of 1% week-on-week and 6% year-on-year. The cumulative sales volume of key monitored enterprises was 180.46 million tons, down 2.4% year-on-year [2][24] - The report indicates that the demand from the power and chemical industries has varied, with coal consumption in the power sector down 2.9% year-on-year, while the chemical sector saw an increase of 16% [2][24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the thermal coal sector such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others, as well as coking coal companies like Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal. It also highlights companies in the coke sector that are expected to see profit improvements [6][26]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the coal economy is at the beginning of a new upward cycle, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector [3][13] - The report highlights that coal prices have shown signs of stabilization, and there is an expectation for price increases due to seasonal demand and supply constraints [5][13] - The report emphasizes the continued investment logic of coal capacity shortages, with a short-term balance and a long-term gap in supply [13][14] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of September 19, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 699 CNY/ton, an increase of 21 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][31] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1610 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][33] - International thermal coal prices have also seen fluctuations, with Newcastle thermal coal at 69.6 USD/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.4 USD/ton [4][31] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.7%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points week-on-week [4][48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has increased by 4.10 thousand tons/day (+1.22%) [5][13] - The report notes that the supply side is still constrained by policies, and the demand is expected to rise as winter heating needs begin [5][13] Industry Performance - The coal sector has shown a weekly increase of 3.59%, outperforming the broader market [16] - The report identifies key companies to focus on, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, highlighting their stable operations and strong performance [14][16]

Core Viewpoint - Coal stocks experienced a midday surge, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as China Coal Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and China Shenhua Energy, driven by recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicating a mixed outlook for coal production [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the report, China Coal Energy (01898) rose by 4.41% to HKD 9.94, Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) increased by 4.01% to HKD 10.38, China Shenhua Energy (01088) gained 1.9% to HKD 38.64, and Power Development (01277) went up by 1.57% to HKD 1.29 [1] - The coal sector has seen a significant cumulative decline this year, with institutional holdings remaining low and a healthy chip structure, indicating potential for new investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Production Data - In August, the output of industrial raw coal from large-scale enterprises was 390 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, but the decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to July [1] - From January to August, the total output of industrial raw coal reached 3.17 billion tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.8% [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Guosheng Securities forecasts that, without considering the impact of "anti-involution" on production, the total output of thermal coal in 2025 is expected to reach approximately 3.88 billion tons, with a further slowdown in growth to around 1.4% [1] - Zhongtai Securities suggests that the seasonal decline in coal prices has likely reached a bottom, and the upcoming demand for non-electric coal during peak winter usage is expected to catalyze further price increases [1]

Core Viewpoint - Coal stocks experienced a midday surge, with notable increases in share prices for major companies such as China Coal Energy and Yanzhou Coal Mining, driven by recent production data and market sentiment [1] Industry Summary - In August, the output of industrial raw coal from large-scale enterprises was 390 million tons, representing a year-on-year decline of 3.2%, although the decrease narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to July [1] - From January to August, the total output of industrial raw coal reached 3.17 billion tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.8% [1] - Looking ahead to 2025, without considering the impact of "anti-involution" on production, coal production is expected to continue growing, potentially reaching around 3.88 billion tons, with a further slowdown in growth rate to approximately 1.4% [1] Company Summary - Guosen Securities noted that the coal sector has seen significant declines this year, with institutional holdings remaining low and a healthy chip structure, indicating that trading is not overcrowded [1] - The report from Zhongtai Securities highlighted that the seasonal decline in coal prices appears to have stabilized, and the demand for non-electric coal during peak winter months is expected to drive prices higher [1] - Despite short-term pressures from disappointing mid-year performance and the influence of technology sector trends, the coal sector presents new investment opportunities, suggesting a proactive approach to coal investments [1]

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (71.75%), Gree Power Environmental (69.11%), and China Shenhua (68.06%) [1] - Alibaba-W, BeiGene, and China Pacific Insurance saw the largest increases in holdings over the last five trading days, with increases of +171.65 billion, +19.60 billion, and +15.85 billion respectively [1] - Xiaomi Group-W, Tencent Holdings, and Great Wall Motors experienced the largest decreases in holdings, with reductions of -13.16 billion, -12.81 billion, and -8.09 billion respectively [2] Hong Kong Stock Connect Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding of 9.959 billion shares, representing 71.75% [1] - Gree Power Environmental (01330) has a holding of 280 million shares, representing 69.11% [1] - China Shenhua (01088) has a holding of 2.299 billion shares, representing 68.06% [1] - Other notable companies in the top 20 include COSCO Shipping Energy (67.64%) and Kaisa New Energy (67.48%) [1] Recent Increases in Holdings - Alibaba-W (09988) saw an increase of +171.65 billion, with an addition of 10.836 million shares [1] - BeiGene (06160) increased by +19.60 billion, with an addition of 970.45 thousand shares [1] - China Pacific Insurance (02601) increased by +15.85 billion, with an addition of 512.87 thousand shares [1] Recent Decreases in Holdings - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) decreased by -13.16 billion, with a reduction of 2.314 million shares [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) decreased by -12.81 billion, with a reduction of 199.52 thousand shares [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) decreased by -8.09 billion, with a reduction of 4.667 million shares [2]