中国神华公告，2025年11月煤炭销售量为3700万吨，同比下降3.6%；累计销售量为3.9亿吨，同比下降 7.7%。 ...

2025 年 11 月，本公司航運貨運量及周轉量同比下降的主要原因，是業務結構調 整、航線結構變化。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對 其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內 容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 (在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代碼: 01088) 2025 年 11 月份主要運營數據公告 (海外監管公告) 中國神華能源股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會及全體董事保證本公告內容不 存在任何虛假記載、誤導性陳述或者重大遺漏，並對其內容的真實性、準確性和完整 性承擔法律責任。 | | | 2025 | 年 | 2024 | 年 | 同比变化 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 運營指標 | 單位 | | | (重述後) | | (%) | | | | | 11 月 | 累計 | 11 月 | 累計 | 11 月 | 累計 | | （一）煤炭 | | | | | | | | | 商品煤產量 1. | 百萬噸 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong High Dividend ETF (159302) has shown a positive performance with a year-to-date increase in scale despite a slight decrease in shares outstanding, indicating strong investor interest in high dividend yielding assets [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of December 15, the Hong Kong High Dividend ETF (159302) closed up 0.38% with a trading volume of 13.0572 million yuan [1]. - The fund was established on August 23, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - The fund's performance benchmark is the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index, adjusted for valuation exchange rates [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Liquidity - As of December 12, the latest share count for the fund was 10.3 million shares, with a total size of 136 million yuan [1]. - Compared to December 31, 2024, the fund's shares decreased by 5.06%, while its size increased by 12.53% [1]. - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount was 351 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 17.5693 million yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the cumulative trading amount reached 3.056 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 13.23 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Holdings - The current fund manager is Zhang Yichi, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 31.65% during his tenure [2]. - Major holdings include COSCO Shipping Holdings (7.63%), Yancoal Australia (5.59%), and Orient Overseas International (5.05%), among others, with significant positions in various sectors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) opened at 1.530 yuan, experiencing a slight decline of 0.33% on December 15 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise ETF's major holdings include companies such as 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology), 中芯国际 (SMIC), and 海康威视 (Hikvision), with respective opening declines of 2.02%, 1.41%, and 0.71% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the 中证央企结构调整指数 (CSI Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment Index), managed by 银华基金管理股份有限公司 (Yinhua Fund Management) [1] - Since its establishment on October 22, 2018, the ETF has achieved a return of 53.63%, while its return over the past month has been -3.61% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Movements - Notable stock movements within the ETF include 国电南瑞 (Guodian NARI) increasing by 0.34%, 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank) remaining unchanged, and 宝钢股份 (Baosteel) decreasing by 0.56% [1] - Other stocks such as 中国神华 (China Shenhua) and 中国建筑 (China State Construction) also remained unchanged, while 长安汽车 (Changan Automobile) and 中国电信 (China Telecom) saw declines of 0.77% and 0.15%, respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159266) experienced significant net redemptions, indicating a trend of outflow in the cross-border ETF market [1][2] Group 1: Fund Performance - On December 12, the ETF faced net redemptions of 2.0134 million yuan, ranking 19th out of 200 in terms of cross-border ETF net outflows [1] - The latest fund size is 685 million yuan, up from 682 million yuan the previous day, with a net outflow representing 0.30% of the previous day's size [1] - Over the past 5 days, the ETF saw net redemptions totaling 3.0162 million yuan, ranking 27th out of 200 [1] - In the last 10 days, net redemptions reached 23.5849 million yuan, ranking 14th out of 200 [1] - Over the past 20 days, the total net redemptions amounted to 31.8381 million yuan, ranking 17th out of 200 [1] Group 2: Fund Management and Holdings - The fund is managed by Liu Tingyu and Cai Leping, with Liu managing since July 23, 2025, achieving a return of 1.19%, while Cai has managed since November 5, 2025, with a return of -1.59% [2] - The ETF's top holdings include COSCO Shipping Holdings (6.08%), China Nonferrous Mining (3.25%), and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (2.54%), among others, with significant positions in various state-owned enterprises [2] - The fund's management fee is 0.50% annually, and the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1] Group 3: Market Comparison - The ETF is part of a group of funds tracking the Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index, which includes other ETFs such as Huaxia and Wanji [2] - As of December 12, the fund's size is 685 million yuan, with a recent average daily trading volume of 15.0941 million yuan over the last 20 trading days [2] - The fund's recent net subscription figures indicate a trend of outflows, with a net subscription of -0.02 billion yuan over the past month [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the coal industry as "Overweight" [4]. Core Insights - The coal sector has confirmed a cyclical bottom in Q2 2025, with supply-demand dynamics showing a reversal point and downward risks fully released [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of winter demand in determining future coal prices, especially if temperatures drop unexpectedly in December and January, potentially increasing residential electricity demand and coal consumption by power plants [4]. - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the U.S. power system, particularly the "impossible trinity" of decarbonization goals, grid reliability, and the cost-speed requirements of AI data centers, suggesting that the U.S. may need to abandon its decarbonization targets to meet these demands [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report continues to recommend core dividend stocks such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, along with Yanzhou Coal and Jinneng Holding [4]. Coal Price Trends - As of December 12, 2025, the price of Q5500 coal at Huanghua Port is 763 RMB/ton, down 38 RMB/ton (-4.7%) from the previous week [7]. - Domestic coal prices have entered a rational decline phase since November, with a focus on whether winter demand can exceed expectations [4]. Supply and Demand Analysis - Domestic supply remains stable, with imports continuing to decrease; total supply is expected to maintain a stable decline throughout the year [4]. - The report notes that the average price of metallurgical coke at major domestic ports has decreased, with the price of primary metallurgical coke at 1686 RMB/ton, down 55 RMB/ton (-3.2%) [58]. Inventory Levels - As of December 12, 2025, Qinhuangdao's coal inventory has increased by 48,000 tons (7.0%), with total inventory at major northern ports rising by 201,200 tons (5.8%) [22]. - The report indicates that the total inventory of coking coal at three major ports is 3.01 million tons, up 11,000 tons (3.8%) from the previous week [57]. Market Tracking - The report tracks coal price declines across various ports, with significant drops noted at Huanghua, Jiangsu, and Ningbo ports [7][9]. - The report also highlights that the average price of Australian coking coal has increased by 3 USD/ton (1.4%), while domestic coking coal remains cheaper than imported options [46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "stronger than the market" for the coal industry, indicating an expected increase in performance relative to the benchmark index [2][13]. Core Insights - The central economic work emphasizes "anti-involution," with limited month-on-month growth in coal imports in November. The Xinjiang railway has seen coal transportation exceed 90 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [1]. - November coal imports reached 44.05 million tons, showing a month-on-month increase of 5.6% but a year-on-year decrease of 19.9%. Cumulative imports from January to November totaled 432 million tons, down 12% year-on-year [1]. - The report anticipates that supply-side growth will remain limited, while demand is expected to be relatively stable, potentially shifting from a loose supply-demand situation to a balanced or slightly tight one [1]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that coal prices have accelerated their decline due to weak demand, with Qinhuangdao coal prices at 753 RMB/ton, down 4.8% month-on-month and 5.2% year-on-year [1]. - Average daily coal consumption in power plants across 25 provinces was 5.81 million tons, down 6.8% year-on-year, while average inventory stood at 135.46 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [1]. - The report suggests that while coal prices are expected to continue declining, the extent of the decline will be limited due to seasonal demand recovery and ongoing supply-side optimization [1]. Price Trends and Market Outlook - The report indicates that the coal price is likely to experience limited declines in the short term, with a focus on economic recovery and macro policies influencing actual demand release [1]. - The report highlights that the second round of price reductions for coke has been implemented, with a decrease of 50-55 RMB/ton, while the main coking coal prices remain stable [7]. - The report emphasizes the need to monitor the production and profitability of steel mills, as well as the overall demand for coking coal, which may influence future price movements [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are expected to benefit from stable dividends, such as China Coal Energy, China Shenhua, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [8]. - It also suggests monitoring companies that may benefit from coal capacity reserve policies and intelligent safety upgrades in coal mines, as well as those involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [9]. Core Viewpoints - Since late November, thermal coal prices have significantly declined due to abnormal weather, accelerated production resumption, and concerns over potential electricity price reductions in 2026. Despite the recent rapid price drop, the report anticipates an improvement in coal demand in 2026, with limited supply capacity utilization, suggesting a potential increase in the price baseline [2][7]. - The report emphasizes that while coal prices are currently under pressure due to weak demand, factors such as cold weather and snowfall could stabilize and potentially increase prices in the future [6][31]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The coal index (Yangtze) fell by 3.71%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.63 percentage points, ranking last among all industries [30]. - As of December 12, the market price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 745 RMB/ton, down 40 RMB/ton week-on-week [6][58]. Supply and Demand Outlook - The report outlines that the recent decline in coal prices is attributed to several factors: warmer weather leading to lower electricity consumption, increased coal supply from resumed production, and concerns regarding electricity price negotiations for 2026 [7]. - The demand outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of stable or slightly positive growth in thermal power generation, despite potential long-term impacts from energy storage technologies [7][8]. - On the supply side, the report notes that while there may be new production capacity in 2026, overall supply growth is expected to remain limited due to ongoing regulatory controls on excessive production [7][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with a balanced risk-reward profile, recommending stocks such as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and China Shenhua Energy for their strong fundamentals and dividend potential [7][8]. - It also highlights the potential for higher returns from currently undervalued stocks if demand improves and coal prices rise unexpectedly, suggesting companies like Huayang Co. and Jinkong Coal Industry as potential targets [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [10][11] - The supply-side constraints that have been in place since July remain, suggesting limited downside risk for coal prices, which are expected to stabilize [10][11] - The coal sector is characterized by high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-15%, and dividend yields exceeding 5%, indicating strong core asset attributes [10][11] - The coal assets are relatively undervalued, with expectations for overall valuation improvement, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market [10][11] - The coal sector is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance over the next 3-5 years, with high barriers to entry and strong cash flow characteristics [10][11] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of December 13, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 753 CNY/ton, down 38 CNY/ton week-on-week [27] - The international thermal coal offshore price for Newcastle NEWC5500 is 78.0 USD/ton, down 6.0 USD/ton week-on-week [27] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port remains stable at 1650 CNY/ton [29] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 92.5%, an increase of 1.0 percentage point week-on-week [44] - The daily coal consumption in inland provinces has increased by 6.20 thousand tons/day (+1.61%) [45] - The daily coal consumption in coastal provinces has increased by 2.00 thousand tons/day (+1.01%) [45] Inventory Situation - As of December 11, coal inventory in inland provinces has decreased by 11.90 thousand tons week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw a reduction of 71.10 thousand tons [45] - The available days of coal in inland provinces have decreased by 0.50 days week-on-week [45] Key Companies to Watch - Focus on stable operators with solid performance such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [11] - Pay attention to companies with higher elasticity like Yanzhou Coal, Electric Power Energy, and Guanghui Energy [11] - Consider high-quality metallurgical coal companies such as Huaibei Mining and Lu'an Environmental Energy [11]

Core Viewpoints - The coal import volume in November decreased by 20% year-on-year, with expectations for improved demand for thermal coal during the winter storage peak season [1][77] - The coal industry index fell by 3.8% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.7 percentage points [77] - The CCI 5500 thermal coal index reported 758 RMB/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 38 RMB/ton, indicating a continued downward trend since late November [11][78] Market Dynamics - **Thermal Coal**: - The price of thermal coal at ports decreased, with the CCI 5500 index at 758 RMB/ton and the Qinhuangdao port price at 703 RMB/ton [11][78] - The average utilization rate of 100 sample thermal coal mines was 90.2%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points week-on-week [20] - Coal inventory at major ports increased by 3.9% week-on-week, reaching 7,065,000 tons [20] - **Coking Coal**: - The price of coking coal remained stable, with minor decreases in production coal prices in major production areas [39][80] - The average utilization rate of 88 sample coking coal mines was 83.5%, down by 1.0 percentage point week-on-week [48] - Coking coal inventory at independent coking enterprises increased by 3.0% week-on-week [54] - **Coke**: - The price of coke at Tianjin port was 1,560 RMB/ton, down by 50 RMB/ton week-on-week [64] - The capacity utilization rate of independent coking enterprises was 71.9%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points week-on-week [66] - Coke inventory at major ports decreased slightly, while steel mills' inventory increased by 1.6% week-on-week [66] Industry Outlook - The coal demand is expected to improve in December and January due to seasonal factors, with daily consumption anticipated to rise as temperatures drop [78] - The supply side is expected to remain constrained due to strict safety regulations and the completion of annual production targets by coal mines [78][81] - The long-term contract policy for 2026 emphasizes supply security and market-oriented pricing mechanisms, which may enhance contract fulfillment rates [81][84] Key Companies - Companies with stable dividends in thermal coal include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, Shaanxi Coal, and others [5] - High elasticity companies benefiting from improved demand expectations include Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and others [5] - Companies with long-term growth potential include Baofeng Energy and China Qinfa [5]