(责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com | 婴童用品股 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 182.414↑+5.110 +2.88% | | 交易中 | | | : 12 日 ♥ 自选 | | | | | 最高价 183.776 | 开盘价 177.376 | 成交量 9256.19万 | | | 最低价 175.020 | 昨收价 177.304 | 成交额 4.91亿 | | | 市盈率 13.334 | 换手率 0.69% | 总市值 583.19亿 (m) | | | 市净率 1.257 | 平均价 179.398 | 流通值 583.19亿 | | | 平 盘 0 | | 下 跌 2 | 上 涨 3 | | 52周最高 243.922 | 历史最高 1250.150 | | | | 52周最低 119.685 历史最低 ...

Group 1 - The national implementation of the childcare subsidy program is a groundbreaking policy aimed at directly providing cash subsidies to families with children under three years old, starting from January 1, 2025, with an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child [1][2] - The subsidy program is expected to benefit over 20 million families annually, potentially stimulating birth rates, especially in lower-tier cities, where the impact of the subsidy may be more pronounced [2][3] - The recent changes in the dairy industry, including the development of deep processing products and exploration of export potential, are expected to create new demand dynamics for the infant formula sector [3][4] Group 2 - The demand for infant formula is anticipated to improve due to the stimulus from the new policy and the expected population growth driven by the 2024 zodiac preferences, leading to a potential recovery in demand by 2025 [3][4] - The overall dairy industry is likely to benefit from the positive trends in population issues and the recovery of the raw milk cycle, which will enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [4] - Recommended companies include China Feihe, H&H International Holdings, Yili, and Mengniu Dairy, which are expected to benefit from the improving market conditions and the recovery of raw milk prices [4]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a new childcare subsidy policy in China is expected to significantly benefit the infant and child-related stocks, leading to notable increases in their market performance [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - H&H International Holdings (01112) rose by 4.28%, trading at 11.7 HKD [1] - Jinxin Fertility (01951) increased by 3.73%, trading at 3.34 HKD [1] - Beikang Medical-B (02170) saw a rise of 2.41%, trading at 2.98 HKD [1] - China Feihe (06186) grew by 1.7%, trading at 4.79 HKD [1] Group 2: Policy Announcement - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on July 30, 2023, to discuss the childcare subsidy system and related measures [1]. - Starting from January 1, 2025, families will receive an annual subsidy of 3600 CNY for each child until they reach three years old, regardless of whether they have one, two, or three children [1]. - For children born before January 1, 2025, and under three years old, the subsidy will be calculated based on the number of months eligible [1]. Group 3: Market Analysis - According to CITIC Securities, four sectors are expected to benefit the most: dairy products, maternal and infant retail, infant products, and postpartum care services [1]. - The market size for infant formula is projected to grow from 200 billion CNY to 300 billion CNY by 2025 [1]. - Maternal and infant retail is expected to maintain a growth rate of over 20% [1]. - The infant products market will continue to expand due to consumption upgrades [1]. - Postpartum care services are anticipated to be the fastest-growing segment, with an annual growth rate exceeding 30% [1].

昨日呈现高开低走的三胎概念股再起升势，其中，H&H国际控股涨4.28%，锦欣生殖涨近4%，贝康医 疗涨2.4%，中国飞鹤涨1.7%，蒙牛乳业跟涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 ▽ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01112 | H&H国际控股 | 11.700 | 4.28% | | 01951 | 锦欣生殖 | 3.340 | 3.73% | | 02170 | 贝康医疗-B | 2.980 | 2.41% | | 06186 | 中国飞鹤 | 4.790 | 1.70% | | 00151 | 中国旺旺 | 5.780 | 1.05% | | 02319 | 蒙牛乳业 | 17.020 | 0.71% | 消息面上，7月28日，中办、国办印发《育儿补贴制度实施方案》，明确对3周岁以下婴幼儿按每孩每年 3600元标准发放补贴。浙商证券发布研究报告称，国家育儿补贴制度实施方案于2025年7月28日公布， 面向育儿家庭全国范围全面直接发放现金补贴，有助于缓解家庭养育压力。随着生育补贴政策实施落 地，有望改善市场预期，母婴消费产业链或更多获益，汽车、餐饮等领域也可能迎来 ...

中信证券分析指出，乳制品、母婴连锁、婴幼儿用品、产后护理服务四大方向受益最为明显。其中，婴 幼儿配方奶粉作为刚需产品，市场规模有望从目前的2000亿元增长至2025年的3000亿元；母婴连锁零售 预计保持20%以上的增速；婴幼儿用品市场随着消费升级将持续扩容；产后护理服务则有望成为增长最 快细分领域，年增速或超过30%。 婴童概念股多数高开，截至发稿，H&H国际控股(01112)涨4.28%，报11.7港元；锦欣生殖(01951)涨 3.73%，报3.34港元；贝康医疗-B(02170)涨2.41%，报2.98港元；中国飞鹤(06186)涨1.7%，报4.79港元。 消息面上，据国新办网站消息，国务院新闻办公室将于7月30日(星期三)下午2时举行新闻发布会，请国 家卫生健康委副主任郭燕红和财政部、国家医保局、全国总工会有关负责人介绍育儿补贴制度及生育支 持措施有关情况，并答记者问。此前，国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布，从2025年1月1日起，无论一 孩、二孩、三孩，每年均可领取3600元补贴，直至年满3周岁。其中，对2025年1月1日之前出生、不满3 周岁的婴幼儿，按应补贴月数折算计发补贴。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive market response of baby and child concept stocks following the announcement of a new childcare subsidy policy by the Chinese government [1] - H&H International Holdings (01112) rose by 4.28% to HKD 11.7, Jinxin Fertility (01951) increased by 3.73% to HKD 3.34, Beikang Medical-B (02170) gained 2.41% to HKD 2.98, and China Feihe (06186) saw a rise of 1.7% to HKD 4.79 [1] - The new childcare subsidy policy will provide an annual subsidy of CNY 3,600 for each child until the age of three, starting from January 1, 2025, benefiting all families regardless of the number of children [1] Group 2 - According to CITIC Securities, four sectors are expected to benefit significantly from the new policy: dairy products, maternal and infant chain retail, baby products, and postpartum care services [1] - The market size for infant formula milk is projected to grow from CNY 200 billion to CNY 300 billion by 2025, indicating a strong demand for essential products [1] - Maternal and infant chain retail is expected to maintain a growth rate of over 20%, while the baby products market will continue to expand due to consumption upgrades [1] - Postpartum care services are anticipated to be the fastest-growing segment, with an annual growth rate potentially exceeding 30% [1]

国家育儿补贴政策出台，母婴概念股迎来爆发式增长。 政策利好下，市场机构纷纷上调对母婴行业的发展预期。 7月28日，中共中央办公厅、国务院办公厅近日印发的《育儿补贴制度实施方案》明确，从2025年1月1 日起，对符合法律法规规定生育的3周岁以下婴幼儿发放补贴，至其年满3周岁。育儿补贴按年发放，现 阶段国家基础标准为每孩每年3600元。这一重大利好消息立即在资本市场引发强烈反响。 7月29日,港股、A股开盘后，母婴概念股集体爆发，形成了一道亮丽的"红色风景线"。其中，A股贝因 美（002570.SZ）、爱婴室（603214.SH）等个股强势涨停，孩子王（301078.SZ）、骑士乳业 (832786.BJ)等涨幅超过10%。港股婴童概念股亦多数高开，锦欣生殖 (01951) 涨 8.93%；H&H 国际控股 (01112) 涨 7.33%；中国飞鹤 (06186) 涨 5.12%；圣贝拉 (02508) 涨 3.13%，报 7.9 港元。简言之，母婴板 块成为当日市场最耀眼的明星板块。 | 一元县大 | 34.93 +21.07% +38.94% | | --- | --- | | 837344 | | | 领涨 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the recent subsidy plan of 3,600 RMB per child per year for infants aged 0 to 3 years, released by the State Council, signals policy support for increasing birth rates, despite the limited amount of the subsidy [1] - The investment bank interprets the policy intention as primarily focused on promoting childbirth, aligning with market expectations [1] - In terms of the infant formula milk powder industry, the market size is closely related to the number of newborns [1] Group 2 - According to the bank's channel survey, there is an expected short-term rebound in the number of newborns in 2024, leading to a year-on-year stabilization in market size for the first five months of 2025 [1]

就婴幼儿配方奶粉行业而言，市场规模与新生儿数量密切相关。根据该行的渠道调查数据显示，受益于 2024年新生儿数量的短暂回升，2025年前五个月的市场规模已呈现同比大致持平的态势，相较2024年中 单位数的跌幅有所改善。目前行业观察重点在于竞争态势变化，特别是领先本土企业持续推动的补贴政 策所带来的影响。在该行的研究覆盖范围内，伊利股份(600887.SH)展现出良好的增长动能，市场份额 持续提升;H&H国际(01112)在超高端细分市场的市占率也有所回升;而中国飞鹤(06186)的短期观察重点 则在于渠道库存去化进程与零售价格管控成效。该行对伊利、H&H和飞鹤均维持"跑赢大市"的投资评 级，目标价分别为33元人民币、13.5港元及6港元。 智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，国务院办公厅最新发布的0至3岁婴幼儿每人每年3,600元人民币 补贴方案，虽金额有限但明确释出政策支持生育的信号。此举符合市场预期，该行解读其政策意图更侧 重于提振消费(约占零售总额0.2%)而非直接刺激生育，不过短期内仍可望对新生儿数量产生有限度的正 面影响。这项补贴措施实质上是监管部门针对持续下滑的出生率，以及减轻家庭生育养育压力所做 ...

Core Viewpoint - The newly implemented national childcare subsidy policy is expected to significantly boost the mother and baby industry, particularly benefiting companies in the maternal and infant product sectors as well as the dairy industry [1][4]. Group 1: National Childcare Subsidy Policy - The national childcare subsidy will provide eligible families with a cash subsidy of up to 10,800 yuan over three years for children under three years old, regardless of whether they have one, two, or three children [1]. - Following the announcement, stocks in the mother and baby sector, including companies like Beiyinmei and Sunshine Dairy, experienced significant price increases, indicating strong market optimism [1]. Group 2: Market Response and Industry Impact - The subsidy is expected to have a multi-round stimulating effect, particularly in lower-tier markets where birth rates are higher, thus increasing purchasing power for maternal and infant products [1]. - The mother and baby market, which has been in a deep adjustment period after four consecutive years of decline, is showing signs of recovery, with a projected increase in newborns in 2024 [2]. Group 3: Company Performance and Projections - Companies in the maternal and infant sector are reporting positive financial results, with Kid King expecting a net profit increase of 50% to 100% year-on-year for the first half of the year [3]. - Friesland's professional nutrition business reported a revenue of 7.2 billion euros (approximately 60.4 billion yuan) for the first half of 2025, marking an 18.1% year-on-year growth driven by the Chinese market [3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - Despite the positive short-term effects of the subsidy, industry experts remain cautious about long-term recovery, citing a potential decline in marriage registration rates and newborn numbers in 2024 [4]. - The national childcare subsidy is projected to increase retail sales of consumer goods by approximately 0.2 percentage points, particularly benefiting essential consumer goods in the mother and baby category [4].