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固收专题研究:怎么把握10年二级资本债投资机会?
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report delves into the investment opportunities of 10 - year secondary capital bonds. It analyzes the development history of commercial bank secondary capital bonds, the issuance and trading condition of 10 - year secondary capital bonds, the main investors, and provides investment strategies from both allocation and trading perspectives [4][7][49]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 10 - year Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond Decryption - **Development History of Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bonds**: The development of China's commercial bank secondary capital bonds can be divided into four stages. From 2004 - 2012, it was the "old - style sub - debt" stage; from 2013 - 2019, "new - style secondary capital bonds" emerged; from 2020 - 2023, the market's risk perception deepened; from 2024 to the present, the market entered a new innovation cycle [4][8][9]. - **The "Past and Present" of 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: The first 10 + 5 - year secondary capital bond was issued by Agricultural Bank of China in March 2019. Since 2019, only state - owned large - scale banks and state - owned joint - stock banks have issued 10Y secondary capital bonds. The state - owned large - scale banks are the main issuers, with Agricultural Bank of China having the largest issuance volume. In terms of the stock, the secondary capital bonds with a remaining term of 3 - 5 years have the largest stock, followed by those with a remaining term of 7 - 10 years [18][22][24]. - **Secondary Transaction Situation of 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: From January 1, 2025, to January 13, 2026, the secondary capital bonds with a term of 3 - 5 years were the most actively traded, followed by those with a term of 1 - 3 years. The 7 - 10 - year secondary capital bonds ranked fourth in terms of trading volume. The 9 - 10 - year secondary capital bonds had the largest trading volume among long - term bonds, and the 10 - year secondary capital bonds issued by Agricultural Bank of China had the best liquidity [30][32][33]. - **Who is Buying 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: Insurance institutions are the main buyers of 10Y secondary capital bonds, with a net increase of about 1.6 billion yuan in 7 - 10Y secondary capital bonds in the past year. However, due to accounting treatment issues, insurance funds are more cautious in asset allocation. The increase in trading volume in the past month may be due to insurance companies' net purchases. In addition, securities companies, insurance companies, and fund products are the top three buyers in the past month, but the net purchase scale of securities companies is negative, indicating a stronger trading nature [36][42][43]. Investment Strategies for 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds - **From the Perspective of Allocation**: The report uses interest rate spread and variety premium as key indicators to measure the relative value of 10Y secondary capital bonds. In terms of interest rate spread, when the funds are loose and the interest rate spread is high, the yield of 10Y secondary capital bonds may decline. In terms of variety premium, the trend of 10Y secondary capital bonds is highly consistent with that of ultra - long local bonds, with a "volatility amplification" effect in some periods [50][52][54]. - **From the Perspective of Trading**: The report reviews the term spread, the order of yield peaks of 10Y secondary capital bonds and other varieties, and the spread indicators between secondary capital bonds and urban investment bonds. Since 2025, the term spread between 10Y and 5Y secondary capital bonds has moved in the same direction as the 10Y secondary capital bond. In the interest rate upward cycle since 2023, 10Y secondary capital bonds have risen and fallen in the same direction as other varieties; in the downward cycle, almost all varieties reach the stage low at the same time. When the spread between 10Y secondary capital bonds and 10Y urban investment bonds turns negative, the yield of 10Y secondary capital bonds often has room to decline [59][66][76]. - **Summary of Trading Strategies**: The report provides a basic framework for investment decisions by reviewing historical experiences from the perspectives of allocation and trading, and summarizing the core judgment indicators and rules for the interest rate to reach the stage peak and bottom [81][82][83].
农行济南天桥滨河支行:为行动不便老人上门办理密码重置服务
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2026-01-31 15:21
今年以来,农行滨河支行已为行动不便、高龄、患病等特殊客户提供上门服务二十余次。通过建立快速 响应机制、配备便携设备、规范服务流程,切实解决客户无法亲临网点的业务办理难题。 下一步,该行将继续优化特殊客户服务模式,延伸金融服务触角,在合规前提下为有需要的群众提供更 便捷、更温暖的服务体验,积极践行"金融为民"的责任担当。 近日,一位市民焦急地走进农行济南滨河支行,反映其年过八旬的父亲因社保卡密码锁定无法取款买 药,且老人长期卧床,无法到网点办理业务。了解情况后,支行立即启动应急服务机制,安排两名工作 人员携带移动设备,上门为客户办理密码重置业务。 在老人家中,工作人员耐心协助老人完成身份验证、电子签名等流程,并细致讲解密码设置及用卡注意 事项。考虑到老年人金融安全防范需求,工作人员还结合常见案例,向老人普及了防范电信诈骗相关知 识。 "谢谢你们专门跑一趟,真是帮了我们大忙!"业务办理完成后,老人及家属对支行高效、暖心的服务表 示感谢。 ...
农行济南港西支行:金融服务进楼宇 守护"银发"劳动者权益
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2026-01-31 12:32
Core Viewpoint - Agricultural Bank of China Jinan Port West Branch actively fulfills its social responsibility by providing financial services and knowledge to cleaning staff in office buildings, ensuring their legal rights are protected [1] Group 1: Service Initiatives - The bank collaborates with property management to set up temporary service points during the cleaning staff's break times, utilizing a "mobile smart terminal + on-site guidance" service model [1] - Staff assist cleaning personnel in opening salary accounts and provide on-site guidance for basic operations such as account inquiries and password changes [1] Group 2: Financial Education - The financial knowledge dissemination includes a three-dimensional education model using "case warnings + illustrated manuals + scenario simulations," focusing on prevalent risks like telecom fraud and illegal fundraising [1] - Real cases are used to explain the characteristics of scam tactics, and on-site demonstrations highlight the risks associated with transfer operations [1] Group 3: Outcomes and Future Plans - The initiative successfully opened salary accounts for 10 cleaning staff and distributed over 20 prevention guides [1] - The bank plans to continue its "customer-centric" service philosophy, exploring innovative service methods to provide quality and efficient financial services to more special groups [1]
2025年农业银行主承销地方政府债及信用债规模超2万亿元
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-31 12:19
Core Insights - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) is expected to underwrite over 2 trillion yuan in local government bonds and credit bonds by 2025, representing a 26% year-on-year increase [1] - The bank's underwriting of credit bonds is projected to exceed 600 billion yuan, marking a 45% year-on-year growth [1] - ABC has also underwritten nearly 1.7 trillion yuan in national bonds and policy financial bonds, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase [1] Group 1: Credit Bonds and Rural Revitalization - ABC is focusing on inclusive finance, guiding financial resources to support rural revitalization, with 462 million yuan in rural revitalization bonds underwritten from 2021 to 2025 [1] - The bank has actively participated in the market for technology innovation bonds, underwriting nearly 80 billion yuan to support the growth of innovative enterprises [1] Group 2: Green Finance Initiatives - ABC has enhanced its green finance capabilities, underwriting over 80 billion yuan in various green bonds, positioning itself among the market leaders [1] - The bank has also underwritten the first batch of "green + technology + two new" bonds, significantly supporting the development of green industries [1] Group 3: Social Welfare and Pension Finance - ABC has innovated in pension finance service models, underwriting the first pension bonds in the market, creating new financing pathways for the pension industry [1] - As a key player in the interbank bond market, ABC is committed to its mission as a state-owned bank, directing financial resources to critical sectors of the real economy [1]
二级资本债周度数据跟踪-20260131
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-31 11:00
证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20260131 二级资本债周度数据跟踪 (20260126-20260130) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况: 本周(20260126-20260130)银行间市场及交易所市场无新发行二级资本 债。 ◼ 二级市场成交情况: 本周(20260126-20260130)二级资本债周成交量合计约 2994 亿元,较 上周减少 348 亿元,成交量前三个券分别为 25 中行二级资本债 02BC (179.10 亿元)、25 农行二级资本债 04A(BC)(147.41 亿元)和 25 中行二级资本债 03A(BC)(110.91 亿元)。 分发行主体地域来看,成交量前三为广东省、山东省和山西省,分别约 为 2331 亿元、216 亿元和 140 亿元。 从到期收益率角度来看,截至 1 月 23 日,5Y 二级资本债中评级 AAA-、 AA+、AA 级到期收益率较上周涨跌幅分别为:-1.62BP、-0.15BP、- 1.15BP;7Y 二级资本债中评级 AAA-、AA+、AA 级到期收益率较上周 涨跌幅分别为:3.09B ...
多家银行召开经营管理工作会议为2026年工作“划重点”
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-30 22:49
Core Viewpoint - Multiple banks in China are holding meetings to summarize their 2025 operations and plan for 2026, focusing on high-quality development and aligning with national strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Banks - Policy banks are crucial for implementing national development strategies, with the China Export-Import Bank emphasizing political responsibility and enhancing core competitiveness in overseas operations [1]. - State-owned banks are committed to high-quality development, integrating this focus into all operational processes to support national policies and contribute to the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1]. Group 2: Major Commercial Banks - Major banks are prioritizing their core responsibilities, with the Agricultural Bank of China focusing on supporting rural revitalization and urban-rural integration [2]. - The Bank of China aims to enhance global capabilities in product services, marketing, and compliance, while the China Construction Bank is shifting its focus to support modern industrial systems and high-level opening-up [2]. - Banks like ICBC and Agricultural Bank emphasize the integration of investments in both physical and human capital, while the China Construction Bank is committed to sustainable development and regional coordination [2]. Group 3: Joint-Stock Banks - Joint-stock banks are focusing on leveraging their unique advantages to improve operational efficiency, with Everbright Bank aiming for steady revenue growth and enhanced customer value [3]. - Ping An Bank is focusing on seizing strategic opportunities and integrating technology as a core driver for development [3]. - Risk management remains a priority, with banks emphasizing the importance of a robust asset safety framework and the role of technology in risk prevention and management [3].
2026年如何布局?六大行全面开花,中小银行探求差异化发展路径
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-01-30 16:58
2025年银行的工作成效如何?2026年经营业务将如何安排? 《国际金融报》记者注意到,1月下旬以来,六家国有大行、多家股份行和中小银行密集召开了 2026年度工作会议,承前启后,为迎接"十五五"开局之年做好布局。分机构类型来看,国有大行布局更 为全面,股份行立足优势追求差异化发展,中小银行则更侧重地方经济和改革化险。 例如,光大银行称,将坚持错位发展打造特色优势,推动营收稳健增长,提升客户经营价值,推动 存款成本改善,促进金市业务专业化经营,着力提高财富管理、投行、托管业务等中间业务收入贡献, 持续做好为基层赋能服务,加快推动数字化智能化转型。 平安银行则表示,将坚定贯彻党建引领业务发展,紧跟国家发展方向,积极融入集团"综合金融 +医疗养老"战略,锚定"全面深化改革落地、全效发挥综金优势、全力改善业绩表现"的发展目标,围 绕"两个坚持、两个把握",即坚持"零售做强、对公做精、同业做专"战略不动摇;坚持降本增效、从严 治行要求不放松;把握"十五五"战略机遇,发掘新形势下银行发展新动能;把握科技革命时代机遇,将 科技战略作为银行发展核心驱动力,全面提升经营质效。 华夏银行称,2026年全行要紧紧围绕主要经营目标 ...
农业银行:张洪武担任非执行董事任职已生效
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-30 13:05
格隆汇1月30日丨农业银行(01288.HK)公告,本行收到《国家金融监督管理总局关于张洪武农业银行董 事任职资格的批覆》(金覆[2026]50号)。根据相关规定,张洪武担任本行非执行董事的任职已生效。 ...
农业银行(01288.HK):张洪武担任非执行董事任职已生效
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-30 13:05
格隆汇1月30日丨农业银行(01288.HK)公告,本行收到《国家金融监督管理总局关于张洪武农业银行董 事任职资格的批覆》(金覆[2026]50号)。根据相关规定,张洪武担任本行非执行董事的任职已生效。 ...
农业银行(01288) - 董事名单与其角色和职能
2026-01-30 12:56
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任 何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 獨立非執行董事 AGRICULTURAL BANK OF CHINA LIMITED 1288 董事名單與其角色和職能 中國農業銀行股份有限公司(「本行」)董事會(「董事會」)成員載列如下。 執行董事 谷 澍 王志恒 劉 洪 林 立 董事會設立7個專門委員會。下表提供各董事會成員在這些委員會中所擔任的職位。 吳聯生 汪昌雲 鞠建東 莊毓敏 張 琦 王沛詩 非執行董事 周 濟 李 蔚 劉曉鵬 張 奇 張洪武 - 1 - | 委員會 | | | 「三農」 | | | 風險 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 戰略規劃 | 金融與 | | | 管理與 | | | | | | 與可持續 | 普惠金融 | 提名與 | | 消費者 | 關聯交易 | 美國區域 | | | | 發展 | 發展 | 薪酬 | 審計 | 權 ...