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国产创新药估值迎来修复,恒生医疗ETF(513060)上涨1.60%,冲击4连涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index (HSHCI) has shown strong performance, with significant increases in constituent stocks, indicating a positive trend in the healthcare sector [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of May 21, 2025, the HSHCI rose by 3.00%, with notable gains from stocks such as Ascentage Pharma-B (up 10.17%) and 3SBio (up 7.92%) [3]. - The Hang Seng Healthcare ETF (513060) increased by 1.60%, marking its fourth consecutive rise, with a latest price of 0.51 yuan [3]. - The ETF's trading volume reached 5.98 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 5.97% [3]. Group 2: Company Developments - 3SBio announced a partnership with Pfizer, granting exclusive rights for the global development and commercialization of the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, excluding mainland China [3]. - 3SBio retains rights for SSGJ-707 in mainland China and will grant Pfizer an option for commercialization in that region based on agreed financial terms [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The Chinese innovative drug market is projected to grow from $132.5 billion in 2019 to $159.2 billion by 2024, maintaining a global market share of around 15% [4]. - In 2024, China completed 94 license-out transactions for innovative drugs, totaling $51.9 billion, a 26% increase year-on-year [4]. - The focus on platform technologies such as ADCs, bispecific antibodies, and gene editing is increasing among multinational corporations (MNCs), highlighting the growing recognition of Chinese innovative drugs [4]. Group 4: ETF Performance Metrics - The latest size of the Hang Seng Healthcare ETF is 9.859 billion yuan, ranking it in the top third among comparable funds [5]. - The ETF has achieved a 26.90% net value increase over the past year, with a maximum monthly return of 28.34% since inception [5]. - The ETF's Sharpe ratio stands at 1.12, ranking it in the top half among comparable funds, indicating high returns relative to risk [5]. Group 5: Valuation Insights - The HSHCI's current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) is 24.38, indicating it is at a historical low, below 90.91% of the time over the past year [6]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the HSHCI account for 57.2% of the index, with companies like WuXi Biologics and Innovent Biologics among the leaders [6].
三生制药签下60亿美元大单,创新药概念今日延续强势,创新药沪港深ETF(517380)再度上涨超1.5%
生物医药ETF(159859)紧密跟踪国证生物医药指数(399441.SZ)。该指数以沪深北交易所属于生物 医药产业相关上市公司为样本空间,根据市值规模和流动性的综合排名,选出前30只证券作为指数样本 股,反映了生物医药行业的整体运行情况,向市场提供了细分行业的指数化投资标的。该ETF还配备了 联接基金(A:011040,C:011041)。 创新药沪港深ETF(517380)紧密跟踪恒生沪深港创新药50指数(HSSSHID.HI),该指数为唯一横跨 三地的创新药指数,精选50只优质创新药龙头。截至5月20日,该指数近5年市销率分位数32.18%。 创新药沪港深ETF 100%布局创新药产业链,前十大权重合计占比超50%,涵盖恒瑞医药、百济神州、 信达生物等热门标的。 招银国际认为,受益于创新药出海交易、国内集采政策优化、创新药丙类医保目录落地、医疗设备招标 复苏、内需复苏等积极因素推动,医药行业有望在2025年继续迎来估值修复。 5月21日,A股三大指数集体上涨,创新药概念延续强势。 相关ETF方面,生物医药ETF(159859)截至发稿涨0.85%,成交额超2876万元,换手率0.83%,盘中 交投活跃。 ...
中金:维持三生制药跑赢行业评级 升目标价至21.10港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 02:04
根据公告,公司将PD-1/VEGF双抗在中国内地之外全球权益授权给辉瑞,公司将保留在中国内地的开 发、制造、商业化及其他开发权,辉瑞拥有在中国商业化该许可产品的选择权,辉瑞负责许可地区未来 所有开发及监管费用。辉瑞将支付12.50亿美元首付款,最高为48.00亿美元里程碑付款以及许可地区产 品净销售额双位数百分比的梯度销售分成。同时,辉瑞也将在协议生效后按照30日成交量加权平均价认 购公司1亿美元普通股。 中金发布研报称,维持三生制药(01530)2025/2026年经调整净利润24.07亿元/26.02亿元不变(暂不涵盖BD 首付款收入),当前股价对应2025/2026年17.3/16.0倍经调整市盈率。维持跑赢行业评级,考虑板块估值 中枢提升,该行上调目标价56.3%至21.10港元,对应2025/2026年19.0/17.6倍经调整市盈率,隐含10%上 行空间。 中金主要观点如下: 公司近况 5月20日公司公告,将PD-1/VEGF双抗(SSGJ-707)的中国内地之外全球权益授权给辉瑞,辉瑞还将获得 中国市场商业化的选择权,三生国健亦将透过该协议作为签署方加入。 本次海外BD将为公司业绩带来较大弹性 ...
创新药概念延续强势 舒泰神20CM涨停
news flash· 2025-05-21 01:44
智通财经5月21日电,舒泰神20CM涨停,此前三生国健3连板,赛升药业、海创药业、海辰药业、诺思 格、君实生物等跟涨。消息面上,港股创新药企三生制药公告称,其与辉瑞公司就前者自主研发的PD- 1/VEGF双特异性抗体SSGJ-707签订了独家许可协议。本次协议中12.5亿美元的首付款再次刷新了国产 创新药出海首付款金额纪录。 创新药概念延续强势 舒泰神20CM涨停 ...
三生制药(01530.HK):授权辉瑞PD-1/VEGF双抗,创新管线未来可期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-21 01:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Viewpoints - The company has entered into a licensing agreement with Pfizer for its innovative PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, which is expected to enhance its global presence and financial returns [1][2] - SSGJ-707 has shown promising clinical results, achieving excellent overall response rates (ORR) and disease control rates (DCR) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, indicating its potential as a best-in-class treatment [2] - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth driven by its core products and innovative pipeline, with projected net profits increasing from 2.36 billion RMB in 2025 to 2.98 billion RMB in 2027 [3][4] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 7.82 billion RMB in 2023 to 12.65 billion RMB in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 13.9% in 2023 and declining to 10.6% by 2027 [4] - The net profit is expected to increase from 1.55 billion RMB in 2023 to 2.98 billion RMB in 2027, with a notable recovery in 2024 at a growth rate of 34.9% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.65 RMB in 2023 to 1.24 RMB in 2027 [4] Product and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings and market reach, with SSGJ-707 being a key component of its strategy to enhance its competitive position in the oncology market [2][3] - The company has established a global strategy, with products being sold in 16 countries and collaborations with international partners to expand its pipeline [3]
宝城期货资讯早班车-20250521
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 01:18
1. Macro Data Overview - GDP in Q1 2025 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, the same as the previous quarter and higher than the same period last year [1] - In April 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down from 50.5% in the previous month and 50.4% in the same period last year [1] - The non-manufacturing PMI for business activities in April 2025 was 50.4%, down from 50.8% in the previous month and 51.2% in the same period last year [1] - Other economic indicators such as CPI, PPI, and social financing scale also showed corresponding changes [1] 2. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy to support key areas of the real economy [2] - China's latest LPR has been lowered, and major banks have cut deposit and mortgage rates [2] - China's gold and platinum imports reached new highs in April [2] - The EU is considering zero quotas on Russian natural gas imports [2] Metals - The holdings of the world's largest gold ETF increased by 0.57 tons [3] Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - Two coke ovens of Tangshan Guoyi Special Steel Co., Ltd. were shut down [4] Energy and Chemicals - The EU may propose to lower the price cap on Russian seaborne oil [5] - Macquarie Group expects OPEC+ to increase production in July [6] - Turkey discovered a new natural gas field [6] - Abu Dhabi National Oil Company reached agreements with US energy companies [6] - Kazakhstan's oil production increased in May [7] Agricultural Products - China's expected summer grain purchase volume in 2025 is about 200 billion jin [8] - Henan Province will implement policies to support grain production [8] - Gansu Province launched a drought emergency response [9] - South Korean flour mills bought US wheat [10] - Japan will not sacrifice its agriculture in trade agreements [10] 3. Financial News Compilation Open Market - The central bank conducted 357 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net injection of 177 billion yuan [11] - The Ministry of Finance issued treasury cash deposits with lower interest rates [11] Key News - China's LPR and bank deposit rates were lowered [12] - The central bank will support the real economy with a moderately loose monetary policy [12] - Fiscal revenue showed positive growth in April, and expenditure progress was fast [13] - Unemployment rates for different age groups were released [13] - A press conference on science and technology finance policies will be held [13] - The government will continue to support infrastructure and urban renewal projects [14][15] - The financial regulator will study a loan management method for urban renewal projects [14] - The scale of wealth management products exceeded 31 trillion yuan in May [16] - Views on the impact of interest rate cuts on bank net interest margins are divided [17] - Large - denomination certificates of deposit are losing popularity [17] - Insurance companies have raised over 74 billion yuan this year [17] - Japan's central bank's reduction in bond purchases affected the bond market [18] - There were various bond - related events and credit rating adjustments [18][19] Bond Market Summary - Treasury futures mostly declined slightly, and bond yields generally rose [20] - Exchange - traded bonds showed mixed performance [20] - Convertible bond indexes rose, and money market rates mostly declined [21] - Domestic and foreign bond yields showed different trends [23] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB depreciated against the US dollar, and the US dollar index declined [24] Research Report Highlights - CICC believes short - end yields may be range - bound, while medium - and long - end yields may decline [25] - Guosheng believes the 4 - month economic data is strong, and mid - term bond rates have room to fall [25] Today's Reminders - Many bonds will be listed, issued, have payments, and pay principal and interest on May 21 [27] 4. Stock Market News - A - shares rose on Tuesday, with small - cap stocks active and the North Exchange 50 and micro - cap indexes hitting new highs [28] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and related indexes rose, with biotech stocks performing strongly [29] - Shengsheng Guojian and Shengsheng Pharmaceutical signed a large - scale cooperation agreement with Pfizer [29][30] - Huaxi Bio responded to the "naming brokerage" incident [30] - Xinhua Insurance will participate in the establishment of Honghu Fund Phase III [30] - Bilibili's Q1 revenue increased, and it achieved profitability [30] - CATL's H - share issuance increased after the over - allotment option was exercised [31]
国产创新药BD再破纪录,东阳光药(01558)创新和BD价值有望持续释放
智通财经网· 2025-05-21 00:47
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that 3SBio has signed a licensing agreement with Pfizer for the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, valued at over $6 billion, setting a record for upfront payments for domestic bispecific antibodies [1] - Following the licensing agreement, 3SBio's stock price surged nearly 40%, pushing its market capitalization above 50 billion RMB, highlighting the growing prominence of domestic innovative drugs in the global market [1] - The trend of Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies engaging in license-out agreements to share global market benefits has been on the rise, with 2024 expected to see record highs in transaction amounts and events [1] Group 2 - Dongyang Sunshine Pharmaceutical has also engaged in significant licensing agreements, including granting 3SBio exclusive commercialization rights for a specific indication of a drug, showcasing its increasing recognition in the industry [2] - The company has over 100 drugs in development, including 45 first-class innovative drugs, indicating its strong competitive advantage in key research areas [2] - The drug Iphinidone, currently in clinical phase III, shows potential to become a leading treatment for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a condition with significant unmet medical needs [4] Group 3 - IPF is a chronic and progressive lung disease affecting approximately 3 million people globally, with limited treatment options and poor prognosis, leading to a growing demand for new therapies [3] - Existing treatments like Esbriet and Ofev have demonstrated substantial sales, reflecting the high unmet need in the IPF market [3] - Dongyang Sunshine's Iphinidone has shown superior efficacy compared to existing treatments and is expected to become a significant player in the IPF market, potentially achieving blockbuster status [4]
国产创新药出海热潮不止 有望成为医药板块投资主线(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 23:38
Group 1 - On May 20, 2023, 3SBio announced a licensing agreement with Pfizer for its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody "SSGJ-707," granting Pfizer exclusive global rights outside mainland China, with a potential total deal value of $60.5 billion, exceeding 430 billion RMB at current exchange rates [1] - The agreement includes a non-refundable upfront payment of $1.25 billion and up to $4.8 billion in milestone payments for development, regulatory approval, and sales, along with a tiered sales royalty based on product sales in licensed regions [1] - Following the announcement, 3SBio's stock surged over 32%, reaching a market capitalization of 46 billion HKD [1] Group 2 - 3SBio's CEO stated that Pfizer's extensive development experience and international perspective will significantly accelerate the global development and commercialization of SSGJ-707, aiming to provide breakthrough treatment options for patients worldwide [2] - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs entering international markets is expanding, with recent agreements such as CSPC's exclusive licensing deal with Cipla for irinotecan liposome injection in the U.S., which includes a $15 million upfront payment and potential total payments nearing $1.1 billion [2] - Data from Yaozhi shows that in 2024, there were 94 completed outbound licensing transactions for Chinese innovative drugs, totaling $51.9 billion, a 26% year-on-year increase, with 41 transactions in the first quarter of 2025 alone, amounting to $36.9 billion, setting new historical highs [2] Group 3 - On May 12, 2023, former President Trump signed an executive order aimed at reducing prescription drug prices in the U.S., suggesting that prices should decrease by at least 59%, with potential reductions of 80% or 90% in certain cases [3] - Guoyuan Securities believes that the push for drug price reductions in the U.S. will not significantly impact the outbound licensing of innovative drugs from China, citing factors such as low prices for generics and intense competition in the U.S. market [3] - The firm anticipates that the pharmaceutical industry will enter a performance vacuum period starting in May, shifting market focus from earnings to fundamental changes in the industry and companies, maintaining a positive outlook on innovative drugs and international expansion [3] Group 4 - Related concept stocks include Cornerstone Pharmaceuticals, which showcased five innovative products at the AACR annual meeting, including a tri-specific antibody and several ADC molecules [4] - Hanyu Pharmaceuticals announced that its selective small molecule CSF-1R inhibitor has been prioritized for review by the Chinese National Medical Products Administration for treating TGCT patients [4] Group 5 - Hengrui Medicine entered a significant strategic collaboration with AstraZeneca, which includes licensing options for two preclinical immunotherapy projects, with Hengrui receiving $175 million in upfront and milestone payments, plus potential royalties based on net sales [5]
智通港股解盘 | 美国未受冲击背后的逻辑 降息刺激消费走强
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 13:09
Market Overview - Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating did not significantly impact US stock markets, which opened lower but turned positive, with the Hang Seng Index closing up over 1.49% [1] - The lack of severe market reaction is attributed to previous adjustments in collateral requirements for derivatives and loans, which have shifted from AAA-rated bonds to "government securities" [1] - The ongoing pressure from the US fiscal deficit remains a concern, with the timing of potential repercussions still uncertain [1] Interest Rate Adjustments - The People's Bank of China lowered the 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) to 3.00% and the 5-year LPR to 3.50%, both down by 10 basis points, marking the first reduction of the year [2] - Major state-owned banks followed suit by reducing deposit rates more significantly than the LPR cuts, with 1-year and 5-year deposit rates down by 15 and 25 basis points respectively [2] - Despite the interest rate cuts being generally favorable for real estate stocks, the sector showed little movement due to unchanged mortgage rates and low industry sentiment [2] Investment Trends - The new round of deposit rate cuts may drive funds towards stock markets, bond markets, and wealth management products, although the stock market's attractiveness remains limited due to weak profit potential [3] - Consumer spending may increase, particularly in gold investments, as lower interest rates reduce deposit incentives [3] - The 618 shopping festival is expected to boost online consumption, with significant growth in domestic beauty brands observed during pre-sale events [3] Pet Industry Growth - The pet industry in China is projected to exceed 400 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 12.6% from 2015 to 2027, driven by changing social dynamics [4] - Companies like H&H International Holdings reported a 10.4% year-on-year revenue increase, with pet nutrition and care products showing growth [4] Pharmaceutical Sector Developments - A significant partnership between 3SBio and Pfizer involves an upfront payment of $1.25 billion, with potential milestone payments reaching up to $4.8 billion, indicating optimism for innovative drug development [5][6] - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical ETF saw a notable increase, reflecting investor interest in the sector following the announcement of the partnership [6] IPv6 Deployment Policy - The Chinese government aims to establish a leading global IPv6 infrastructure by the end of 2025, with specific targets for user numbers and traffic proportions [7] - The policy emphasizes the importance of IPv6 for various sectors, including government and enterprise, ensuring financial support for implementation [7] Company Performance Highlights - Midea Group reported a 20.61% increase in revenue for Q1 2025, with significant growth in its smart home and industrial technology segments [9][10] - The company is expanding its overseas presence and aims to increase its international revenue share from 43% in 2024 to 50% [10] - Midea's strategic acquisitions and product innovations are expected to enhance its market position and profitability in the coming years [10]
重磅利好!刚刚,集体大爆发!
券商中国· 2025-05-20 11:16
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant surge in the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly driven by 3SBio's collaboration with Pfizer, marking a major milestone for Chinese biotech companies [1][3][5]. Group 1: Company Developments - 3SBio announced a global licensing agreement with Pfizer for its innovative PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, excluding China, which includes an upfront payment of $1.25 billion and potential milestone payments of up to $4.8 billion, along with tiered double-digit royalties on net sales [5][7]. - The collaboration is considered the largest licensing deal for a Chinese biotech firm to date, reflecting growing investor confidence in the innovation quality of the industry [1][3]. - Following the announcement, 3SBio's stock surged by over 40%, reaching a historical high of HKD 22, prompting analysts to raise the target price from HKD 13 to HKD 21 [3][7]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The trend of licensing-out models in China's innovative drug sector is rapidly increasing, with significant deals being made, such as the recent agreements between Hengrui Medicine and Merck, and Bayer with Suzhou Purui Medicine [9][10]. - In 2024, the total value of pharmaceutical business development transactions in China reached $64.08 billion, with outbound transactions accounting for $57.75 billion, indicating China's growing importance in the global pharmaceutical market [10]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw 231 global transactions totaling approximately $67.5 billion, with China contributing 75 transactions worth $36.9 billion, reflecting a 34% increase in transaction volume year-on-year [10].