Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2025, from January to May, the total amount of license-out transactions by Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies reached $45.5 billion, compared to $51.9 billion for the entire year of 2024 [1] - A milestone event occurred on May 20, when 3SBio signed a global exclusive development agreement with Pfizer worth over $6 billion, setting a record for upfront payments in China's innovative drug license-out transactions at $1.25 billion [1] - The rapid growth of China's innovative drug sector is attributed to long-term accumulation, with significant reforms in drug review systems starting in 2015, leading to increased innovation and investment in the healthcare sector [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The introduction of the 18A chapter listing rules in Hong Kong in 2018 allowed unprofitable biotech companies to go public, which, along with similar rules in the STAR Market, opened up new capital market channels for the biotech sector [2] - Despite a downturn in the secondary market for biotech stocks, the fundamentals of the industry have improved, leading to a resurgence in investment in innovative drug companies [2] Group 3: Factors Driving Growth - Chinese innovative drug companies have developed strong capabilities due to a decade of talent and technology accumulation, along with increased collaboration with multinational pharmaceutical companies [3] - Multinational companies face a "patent cliff," creating a demand for new product pipelines, which has shifted their focus to Chinese biotech firms as viable partners for business development [4] Group 4: Transaction Trends - The skepticism from multinational companies regarding the reliability of Chinese clinical data has decreased over the past few years, leading to increased interest in Chinese assets due to their lower transaction costs [5] - The efficiency and speed of Chinese teams in drug development, along with the emergence of experienced management teams, have contributed to the rising volume of license-out transactions [5] Group 5: Investment and Exit Strategies - Pivotal bioVenture has established a new fund to invest in innovative drug companies, focusing on strong innovation and solid management teams [7] - The IPO remains a significant exit strategy for investors, with an increasing number of biotech companies successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [8] - Mergers and acquisitions in the biotech sector are becoming a trend, providing diverse exit pathways for venture capital firms [9] - Cash flow from business development transactions is also becoming a source of dividends for investors, enhancing fund performance [10]

总体来看，港股年内涨幅超过40%的生物医药类ETF有17只，汇添富、银华、华泰柏瑞、万家、广发、 富国基金旗下相关产品年内涨幅均超55%。 今年以来，国产创新药行情火爆远超市场预期。 数据显示，截至6月9日，万得创新药指数年内涨近30%，而港股创新药指数更是飙升近60%，创下近年 新高。 | 陸号 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 区间涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | [区间首日] 本年初 [区间롭日] 2025-6-9 | | | | | | [車位] %] | | | | 866076.WI | 万得创新药指数 | | 27.6209 | | 2 | 931787CNY00.CSI | 港股创新药(CNY) | | 56.4975 | 值得一提的是，本轮"吃药"行情与过往医药牛市存在显著差异： 涨幅龙头集中于创新药企业，且港股表现尤为强劲。南下资金持续涌入带来的估值抬升，使得重仓港股 的医药主题QDII基金表现亮眼。 截至6月9日，跨境ETF涨幅榜中，年内涨超40%的基金均为与生物医药主题相关基金： | | | | 售股生物医药类ETF年内核心情 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.33%, gaining 79 points to reach 24,261 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.33% [1] - Insurance funds continue to increase holdings in Chinese bank stocks, with institutions indicating significant valuation recovery potential for Hong Kong bank stocks [1] - Bank of Communications (01988) rose by 3.47%, China Everbright Bank (06818) increased by 1.86%, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) gained 1.68% [1] - Three-Synch Pharmaceutical (01530) surged over 11% to a new high after reaching a significant licensing agreement with Pfizer, with strong ASCO data performance [1] - Innovent Biologics (01801) rose over 3.42%, with a year-to-date increase of over 120%, as Morgan Stanley anticipates further clinical catalysts to boost stock performance [1] - InnoCare Pharma-B (09606) increased by 13%, recently disclosing clinical data for DB-1310, attracting attention from international pharmaceutical giants [1] - China Rare Earth (00769) surged over 17%, following a 60% increase in trading volume, with positive signals for rare earth exports [1] - Pop Mart International (09992) rose by 2.47%, continuing to set historical highs, with its Labubu brand gaining global popularity [1] - Airline stocks continued their recent upward trend, benefiting from falling oil prices and the appreciation of the Renminbi, with institutions optimistic about airline profitability [1] - Air China (00753) rose by 4.5%, China Eastern Airlines (00670) increased by 4.42%, China Southern Airlines (01055) gained 4.18%, and BOC Aviation (02588) rose by 3.42% [1] Group 2 - Zhi Zi Cheng Technology (09911) rose over 7%, approaching historical highs, as the company plans to establish its global headquarters in Hong Kong, with institutions optimistic about future profit margin improvement [2] - Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry (02419) increased by 4.97% to a new high, with the company reporting sales of 869,400 pigs in May, drawing market attention to industry capacity regulation progress [2] - Shide Global (00487) surged nearly 140%, as Australia’s Crown Resorts expressed interest in acquiring the property where the Sixteen Piers Casino is located [2]

Core Viewpoint - The current "medication" market rally is distinct from previous ones, with leading gains concentrated in innovative pharmaceutical companies, particularly strong performance in the Hong Kong stock market [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - On June 9, both Hong Kong and A-share innovative pharmaceutical sectors saw significant gains, with the Hang Seng Innovative Drug ETF rising by 4.08% and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical ETF increasing by 4.25% [3] - Notable individual stock performances included 3SBio (01530.HK) reaching a peak of 22.5 HKD, just shy of its historical high, and a 260% increase in its stock price since February [3] - The A-share innovative drug index rose by 31.5% and the Hong Kong innovative drug index surged by 61.54% since April 9, with several stocks doubling in value [4] Group 2: Catalysts for Growth - The surge in innovative drug stocks is attributed to multiple factors, including recent approvals for 11 innovative drugs from eight companies and promising clinical data for major diseases [5] - The upcoming 2025 ASCO annual meeting will feature 73 research studies from China, a 30% increase from the previous year [5] Group 3: Long-term Positive Factors - Many leading companies are approaching breakeven points, with significant revenue growth reported, particularly for Ascentage Pharma (332.31% growth) [7][8] - The overseas licensing deals have seen substantial increases, with a record-breaking deal of 6.05 billion USD for 3SBio's drug rights to Pfizer [9] - The overall licensing-out transactions in the innovative drug sector have surged, with 41 transactions in Q1 2024 alone, totaling 36.93 billion USD [9] Group 4: Policy Support - Recent policy changes are favorable for innovative drug companies, including optimized centralized procurement policies and increased support for innovative drugs in government reports [10] - The 2024 government work report includes 38 new innovative drugs in the medical insurance catalog, the highest ever, with plans for further optimization in 2025 [10] Group 5: Market Outlook - The valuation of the pharmaceutical sector remains relatively safe compared to other growth industries, with a current TTM P/E ratio of 27.1 times [11] - Some analysts suggest that the innovative drug sector is transitioning from following to leading in the global market, indicating a new era for domestic innovation [11] - However, there are concerns about potential short-term volatility due to rapid price increases and profit-taking by investors [11]

从连续性进行统计， 有1只股获南向资金连续3天以上净买入，连续净买入天数较多的有美团-W，连续 净买入天数分别为16天。以其间净买入金额统计，净买入金额最多的是美团-W，合计净买入为175.27 亿港元。有3只股获连续净卖出，净卖出金额居前的有腾讯控股、小米集团-W、中芯国际等，合计净卖 出金额分别为80.54亿港元、56.31亿港元、6.27亿港元。（数据宝） 6月9日南向资金成交活跃股 | 代码 | 简称 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01801 | 信达生物 | 271750.94 | 112494.78 | 8.00 | | 03690 | 美团-W | 470002.94 | 104634.04 | 4.73 | | 02015 | 理想汽车-W | 108280.18 | 45205.40 | 2.74 | | 01093 | 石药集团 | 224175.92 | 40844.52 | -0.45 | | 01530 | 三生制药 | 67163.91 | 26521.08 | 8.1 ...

智通财经APP获悉，2025年6月9日当天，美团-W(03690)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、小米集团-W(01810)位 居沪港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为28.65 亿元、28.14 亿元、23.77 亿元；腾讯控股 (00700)、美团-W(03690)、小米集团-W(01810) 位居深港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为26.05 亿元、18.35 亿元、17.69 亿元。 沪港通（南向）十大活跃成交公司 | 公司名称 | 成交金额 | 净买入额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 美团-W(03690) | 28.65 亿元 | +6.20 亿元 | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988) | 28.14 亿元 | -9.16 亿元 | | 小米集团-W(01810) | 23.77 亿元 | -7.50 亿元 | | 腾讯控股(00700) | 22.40 亿元 | -8.15 亿元 | | 快手-W(01024) | 19.33 亿元 | -1.54 亿元 | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | 17.48 亿元 | -2.16 亿元 | | 中国银行(03988) | 14.56 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the active overseas commercialization of innovative drugs, with several domestic innovative drugs presenting excellent data at the ASCO conference, highlighting ongoing business development (BD) opportunities and clinical progress of key pipelines [3][39]. - Key companies such as BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others are expected to achieve significant milestones, including BeiGene's projected non-GAAP operating profit of $45 million in 2024 and a positive cash flow in 2025 [3][4]. - The report notes that the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector has shown strong performance, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising approximately 42% year-to-date, driven by the successful execution of BD transactions and the internationalization of domestic innovative drugs [14][39]. Group 2 - The report outlines the financial forecasts for key companies, indicating that BeiGene's revenue is expected to grow from 36.69 billion HKD in 2025 to 44.36 billion HKD in 2026, with a significant increase in net profit from 1.25 billion HKD to 4.56 billion HKD [4]. - The innovative drug sector is projected to see a revenue increase of 30% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 71.88 billion HKD, while the overall loss for innovative drug companies is expected to narrow by 29% [35][36]. - The report highlights the increasing number of license-out transactions, with 81 transactions in 2024 totaling $45 billion, reflecting a 28% year-on-year growth, and a notable deal between 3SBio and Pfizer involving a $1.25 billion upfront payment [43][44]. Group 3 - The report indicates that the pharmaceutical sector is undergoing a transformation, with leading companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China National Pharmaceutical Group achieving revenue growth rates of 21% and 10% respectively in 2024 [35]. - The medical services sector is facing pressure due to the impact of healthcare insurance policies and macroeconomic conditions, which may affect growth in consumer medical services [39]. - The CXO sector is showing signs of improvement, with a focus on the recovery of orders, indicating a potential rebound in performance [39]. Group 4 - The report provides a comparative analysis of valuations, noting that the overall valuation of Hong Kong pharmaceuticals is lower than that of A-share and overseas pharmaceuticals, with a median PE of 15x for Hong Kong compared to 24.7x for A-share [12][14]. - The report highlights the significant performance disparity among sub-sectors, with innovative drugs and pharma benefiting from ongoing BD transactions and a favorable valuation correction, while medical services are under pressure [18][39]. - The report also mentions the increasing trend of dual-listed pharmaceutical companies, with the number rising from 5 in 2017 to 20 currently, indicating a growing interest in the Hong Kong market [23].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Insights - The revaluation of innovative drugs continues, driven by significant transactions and a trend towards differentiation in the market. The value of innovative drugs is increasingly recognized by multinational corporations (MNCs), particularly in the areas of EGFR and PD-1 dual antibodies. The number of pharmaceutical transactions in China increased by 34% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with total transaction value rising by 222% [3] - The upcoming ADA conference presents opportunities for Chinese companies to showcase their research, particularly in the areas of diabetes and weight loss. Notable collaborations and developments in GLP-1 drugs are expected to enhance the market presence of Chinese firms [4] - The gout treatment market shows significant potential, with a projected increase in patients from 170 million in 2020 to 240 million by 2030 in China. New drugs targeting URAT1 are entering critical clinical stages, indicating a strong market opportunity for innovative treatments [5] - Chinese companies are leading breakthroughs in CAR-T technology, with key developments expected in 2025. Recent clinical trials have shown promising results for CAR-T therapies in treating various cancers, indicating a strong future for these innovations [6] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.25% in the past week, with a weekly increase of 1.13% [17] - Over the past month, the pharmaceutical sector's index rose by 6.48%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 4.76%, ranking second among all sectors [22] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical sector's current PE (TTM) is 34.41, slightly above the five-year historical average of 32.55 [41] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The research team has published several in-depth reports highlighting the growth trends in the blood products industry and the impact of policies on inhalation drug markets [44] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - Recent policies aim to enhance the pricing and procurement evaluation system in the pharmaceutical sector, promoting a fair and transparent market environment [47] - Notable industry news includes several innovative drugs receiving clinical trial approvals and partnerships between Chinese companies and international firms, indicating a vibrant and evolving market landscape [48][49]

Core Insights - The PD-1/VEGF dual antibody is currently a hot topic in innovative drug development, with significant collaborations and financial transactions highlighting its potential [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - Chinese biotech companies are emerging as key players in the global PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibody development race, demonstrating advanced research progress and achieving international recognition through high-value business development (BD) deals [2][3] - Major collaborations include 12.5 billion USD upfront payment and 60.5 billion USD total deal value between 3SBio and Pfizer for SSGJ-707, and BioNTech's 15 billion USD upfront payment for BNT327 licensed to BMS, totaling over 90 billion USD [1][2] Group 2: Clinical Developments - The PD-(L)1/VEGF target gained traction after Kangfang Biotech's AK112 outperformed the benchmark drug, Pembrolizumab (K drug), in head-to-head trials, leading to increased interest from multinational corporations (MNCs) [3][4] - AK112 demonstrated a higher objective response rate (ORR) of 50% compared to K drug's 38.5% and a disease control rate (DCR) of 89.9% versus 70.5% in late-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) trials [4][6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The success of AK112 has intensified competition among MNCs, with companies eager to capitalize on the potential of PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibodies, as evidenced by Pfizer's strategic investments [9][10] - As of May 2025, there are 14 PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibodies in clinical stages globally, with half originating from Chinese biotech firms, indicating a robust pipeline and potential for further BD opportunities [15][24] Group 4: Future Prospects - Companies like Junshi Biosciences, I-Mab, and Hualan Biological Engineering are actively pursuing PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibodies, with significant investments and clinical trials underway [15][20][22] - The shift from merely imitating existing drugs to innovating new targets and technologies marks a significant evolution in the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, enhancing its international competitiveness [24][25]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector, with the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Healthcare Index rising by 3.02% as of June 9, 2025, and several key stocks showing significant gains [1] - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical ETF (159718) has seen a weekly increase of 4.58% and a daily trading volume of 8,878.41 million HKD, indicating active market participation [1] - The ETF's recent scale growth of 784.63 million HKD over two weeks places it in the top quartile among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The 2025 ASCO conference featured a record 73 oral presentations from China, with 184 ADC pipeline studies included, of which 89 (48.4%) were from Chinese enterprises [2] - Chinese companies contributed approximately 49% of the dual-antibody research presented at ASCO, showcasing the country's innovation in drug development [2] - Southwest Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on drug development that is clinically valuable and patient-centered, suggesting three main lines of investment: leading innovative drugs, biotech, and transformation innovation [2] Group 3 - The latest PE-TTM for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Healthcare Index is 26.04 times, indicating it is at a historical low compared to the past five years [5] - The index comprises 50 liquid and large-cap healthcare companies, with the top ten stocks accounting for 60.77% of the index [5] - The top weighted stocks include BeiGene (06160), WuXi Biologics (02269), and Innovent Biologics (01801), among others, reflecting the concentration of market influence within a few key players [7]