证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 03 月 02 日 行业及产业 中国创新 ADC 闪耀 ASCO GU，长效三 靶点减肥药二期临床成功 医药生物 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《医药行业跟踪报告：信达生物与礼来合作再 度升级，打造全球创新生态体系》2026-02-09 《医药行业跟踪报告：MNC 重金加码中国创新 药，中国 IO2.0 双抗出海迈出关键一步》 2026-02-02 《医药行业跟踪报告：医药板块迎来开门红， 2026 年继续看好创新出海和硬科技》 2026-01-13 《2026 年度医药行业策略：创新出海新征程， 寻找需求新增量》2026-01-05 《医药行业跟踪报告：蚂蚁阿福 App 上线带动 "AI+大健康"投资热情，关注英矽智能新股发 售》2025-12-22 张智聪 S0820525020002 021-32229888-25524 zhangzhicong@ajzq.com 强于大市 投资要点： 医药板块行情复盘：本周（2/23~3/1）为春节假期后第一周，市场温和反弹，沪深 300 指 数+1.08 ...

本报记者 曹卫新 2026年，中国创新药对外BD交易（商务拓展交易）持续升温、势头强劲。医药魔方NextPharma数据库显示，截至2月25 日，年内中国创新药已发生44起对外授权（license-out）交易事件，首付款约为31.23亿美元，总金额达532.76亿美元。 普华永道中国医药医疗行业主管合伙人徐佳博士在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示："近期中国创新药海外授权 （License-out）交易密集落地，折射出中国创新药产业正从'跟跑'向'并跑'乃至'领跑'转变，实现了从'引进模仿'向'创新输出'的 结构性跨越。这不仅标志着中国正成为全球不可或缺的创新策源地，也意味着中国在全球医药创新价值链中的话语权和影响力 持续增强。" 跨境BD交易密集落地 医药魔方NextPharma数据库显示，2025年，中国创新药BD"出海"授权全年交易总金额达到1356.55亿美元，首付款70亿美 元，交易总数量达到157起，各个维度的数据统计均创历史新高。 进入2026年，中国创新药对外BD交易势头不减。1月16日，西比曼生物科技（一家处于临床阶段的专注于创新细胞疗法发 现和开发的全球性生物制药公司）宣布与阿斯利康达成协 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2][4]. Core Insights - The collaboration between Innovent Biologics and Eli Lilly has been upgraded, aiming to create a global innovative ecosystem for drug development in oncology and immunology. This partnership marks their seventh collaboration, enhancing their strategic relationship over more than a decade [2]. - The Chinese government has introduced a high-quality development plan for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), focusing on improving raw material supply, innovation, and manufacturing capabilities. The plan aims to establish a collaborative development system by 2030, with significant investments in TCM innovation [2]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW Pharmaceutical Biotechnology Index increased by 0.14% during the week of February 2 to February 8, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which decreased by 1.33%. The Chinese medicine sector saw a notable rise of 2.56% due to new policies, while vaccines and other bioproducts experienced declines [2]. Strategic Collaborations - Innovent Biologics and Eli Lilly's new agreement includes a $350 million upfront payment and potential milestone payments of up to $8.5 billion, along with a tiered sales revenue sharing model for products outside Greater China. This partnership signifies a shift from traditional licensing to deeper integration of technology platforms and R&D systems [2]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights continued optimism for Chinese innovative drugs entering international markets, particularly in areas such as antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), dual antibodies, small nucleic acids, and weight-loss medications. Key companies to watch include Innovent Biologics, 3SBio, WuXi AppTec, and others [2].

Core Viewpoint - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going global continues to gain momentum in 2026, with local pharmaceutical companies like Rongchang Biologics achieving significant overseas licensing agreements, marking a shift from simple product output and price competition to a new phase of value competition based on systematic R&D and original innovation [1][2][3] Group 1: Collaboration Models - Multiple local pharmaceutical companies, including Rongchang Biologics, have recently signed significant overseas licensing agreements, indicating a diversification in collaboration models [2] - Rongchang Biologics signed an exclusive licensing agreement with AbbVie for its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody drug RC148, receiving an upfront payment of $650 million and potential milestone payments up to $4.95 billion, along with double-digit royalties on net sales outside Greater China [2] - The collaboration aims to accelerate the global development and commercialization of RC148, enhancing Rongchang Biologics' brand value and international influence [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Characteristics - The overseas licensing of Chinese innovative drugs has shown significant characteristics, including a shift towards diverse collaboration models and a focus on the clinical value of drugs rather than just price advantages [3] - Oncology drugs are the primary focus for overseas licensing, with a few endocrine and autoimmune drugs also achieving international collaborations [3] - The total value of overseas licensing transactions for Chinese innovative drugs exceeded $130 billion in 2025, with over 150 transactions, marking a historical high [4] Group 3: Policy and Support - The National Medical Insurance Administration is actively supporting the "going global" strategy for Chinese pharmaceuticals, aiming to enhance the internationalization of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is planning to develop a pharmaceutical industry cooperation platform, facilitating the transition of Chinese pharmaceutical companies from exporting raw materials to innovative drugs and high-end medical devices [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The overall trend of Chinese innovative drugs going global is expected to remain strong in 2026, driven by improved core capabilities and the global demand for innovation [7] - The oncology sector will continue to be the main battlefield, while metabolic and cardiovascular drug fields are anticipated to see increased international transactions [7] - The industry is shifting from a general explosion to a layered prosperity, with only assets that demonstrate global differentiation and clinical certainty likely to secure high-quality orders [7]

2026年开年以来，中国创新药出海热潮持续升温，荣昌生物等本土药企接连达成重磅海外授权合作，延 续了2025年的高光表现。与此同时，国家医保局、国家药监局等多部门协同发力，为药械"走出去"筑牢 政策与平台支撑。业内人士认为，中国创新药出海已告别单一的"单品输出"与"价格竞争"模式，正式迈 入以体系化研发能力、源头创新能力为核心的价值竞争新阶段。中外药企合作也从简单技术转让，升级 为全球协同开发、风险共担、利益绑定的深度共创模式。中国创新药正以平等的技术输出方身份，深度 参与全球医药产业竞争，实现从量的积累到质的飞跃。 ● 本报记者 傅苏颖 启明创投合伙人、医疗创新行业共同负责人陈侃日前在接受中国证券报记者采访时认为，近几年中国创 新药海外授权呈现出显著特点，核心是合作模式多元化发展，且全程以创新药自身价值为导向。其一， 合作模式打破单一局限，企业可结合自身产品管线布局及发展需求，灵活选择适配的合作路径。其二， 授权逻辑实现根本性转变，从过去依靠价格优势吸引合作，转向聚焦药物临床价值。其三，授权的靶点 与领域更趋聚焦，尽管热门靶点竞争激烈，但能够成功出海的产品均具备鲜明差异化优势。 止于至善投资总经理何理对中国 ...

Core Insights - The announcement of a $5.6 billion licensing agreement between Rongchang Biopharma and AbbVie marks a significant milestone for Chinese innovative drugs entering the global market, indicating a shift from follower to leader in the dual antibody space [1][3] - Concurrently, Kangfang Biopharma's partner, Summit Therapeutics, submitted a Biologics License Application (BLA) for Ivoris monoclonal antibody to the FDA, further highlighting the progress of Chinese dual antibodies on the international stage [1][4] - However, the termination of a licensing agreement by Yiming Oncology with Instil Bio serves as a cautionary tale for the challenges faced by Chinese companies in global expansion [1][10] Group 1: Major Developments - Rongchang Biopharma's agreement with AbbVie includes an upfront payment of $650 million and potential milestone payments of up to $4.95 billion, along with double-digit royalties on net sales outside Greater China [3] - Kangfang Biopharma's Ivoris monoclonal antibody is positioned to address a significant unmet clinical need in treating EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer, with the FDA expected to make a decision by Q4 2026 [4][5] - The competitive landscape for PD-1/VEGF dual antibodies is intensifying, with major pharmaceutical companies increasingly focusing on a few validated "winners" in the market [2][9] Group 2: Industry Trends - The recent high-value transactions in the dual antibody space reflect a growing recognition of the clinical and commercial potential of Chinese innovative drugs, with transaction amounts reaching new heights [9] - The competitive dynamics are shifting, as the number of potential international buyers decreases due to the concentration of capital and interest in a limited number of validated products [10][13] - The success of PD-1/VEGF dual antibodies is seen as pivotal for the future of cancer treatment, with ongoing clinical trials exploring their combination with other therapies to enhance efficacy [14]

Core Insights - The article discusses the successful international pricing strategy of Chinese innovative drug Yili Shu, which is priced at approximately $4,600 in the U.S. compared to its domestic price of 2,388 yuan, indicating a shift in the global valuation of Chinese innovative drugs [3][4][5] - The recognition of the value of Chinese innovative drugs in the global market is attracting multinational pharmaceutical companies to engage more deeply in the development of this industry [3][4] Group 1: Pricing and Market Strategy - Yili Shu's pricing in the U.S. reflects its integration into the global mainstream market value pricing system, moving beyond cost-based pricing [3][4] - The core of product pricing in the U.S. is based on clinical value, safety, and convenience rather than domestic costs, leading to significant price differences across markets [5] - The essence of premium pricing lies in the product's replicability and sustainability in supply and usage, rather than a one-time high price [5][6] Group 2: International Collaboration and Growth - By 2025, the total amount of foreign licensing for Chinese innovative drugs is expected to reach a historical high, with a shift from single product licensing to joint research and development [3][8] - The partnership between Heng Rui Pharmaceutical and GSK, involving a potential total amount of $12 billion, highlights the growing recognition of the global competitiveness of Chinese innovative drugs [8] - The NewCo model is emerging as a new path for Chinese innovative drug companies to enter international markets, allowing for better decision-making and sharing of long-term benefits [8][9] Group 3: Challenges and Future Directions - The Chinese innovative drug industry is transitioning from merely entering the U.S. and European markets to establishing a sustainable competitive presence [9][10] - Key challenges include developing a comprehensive intellectual property defense system, ensuring long-term compliance efficiently, and understanding cultural and commercial differences in the global market [9][10] - Future trends indicate a shift from selling products to exporting technological capabilities, with a focus on joint development and early involvement in global research decisions [10]

Core Insights - The surge in BD (business development) transactions in China's innovative pharmaceutical sector is a reflection of the industry's maturation and increasing global recognition, with 2025 marking a significant year for License-out agreements [3][4][5] Group 1: BD Transactions Overview - In December 2025, several Chinese pharmaceutical companies, including Ganli Pharmaceutical and Heng Rui Medicine, announced significant BD agreements, indicating a trend towards increased collaboration and innovation in the sector [2] - The total value of BD transactions for Chinese innovative drugs reached $135.655 billion in 2025, with upfront payments totaling $7 billion, marking a historical high in both transaction volume and value [3] - The number of BD transactions involving Chinese companies and top multinational corporations (MNCs) increased from 3 in 2015 to 35 in 2025, highlighting the growing interest from global players [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The BD transaction boom is expected to continue into 2026, with industry experts predicting sustained high activity levels, although the focus may shift from quantity to value [5][14] - The NewCo model, which allows for "technology equity + capital cooperation," is emerging as a new pathway for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to engage in international markets, although its prevalence may decrease in 2026 [14][15] - The overall trend indicates a shift from isolated transactions to a more collaborative ecosystem, where companies leverage partnerships to enhance their global market presence [16][20] Group 3: Transaction Structures and Strategies - The structure of BD transactions is evolving, with companies increasingly engaging in co-development and co-commercialization agreements, allowing for shared risks and benefits [10][11] - The pricing of BD transactions is becoming more rational, with companies focusing on the clinical value and market potential of their products, which influences upfront payment amounts [19][18] - Legal and advisory services are becoming integral to BD transactions, reflecting the increasing complexity and importance of these deals in the pharmaceutical landscape [17]

Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation of Chinese pharmaceutical companies from merely selling products to actively participating in global value chains, with a significant increase in outbound licensing deals reaching over $100 billion by November 2025, a 75% increase year-on-year [3][4]. Group 1: Major Transactions - In 2024, major deals like Hengrui's $5 billion GLP-1 product and a $12.5 billion upfront payment from Pfizer to 3SBio for a dual antibody drug highlight the trend of billion-dollar collaborations becoming standard [4][6]. - Hengrui's partnership with GSK for $12.5 billion includes not only current products but also options for 11 early-stage projects, indicating a shift towards long-term strategic partnerships [4][10]. Group 2: Licensing Strategies - Chinese companies are moving from "one-off sales" to retaining rights in core markets while sharing rights in other regions, allowing them to benefit from both local and global markets [5][6]. - The new strategy involves keeping rights for the Greater China region while sharing development costs and rights for other markets, enhancing long-term revenue potential [6][10]. Group 3: Innovative Drug Categories - Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) and dual antibodies are emerging as key areas for Chinese companies, with significant deals reflecting their growing importance in the global market [6][7]. - The shift from traditional cancer drugs to innovative metabolic drugs like GLP-1 is notable, with companies like FOSUN and Hansoh making substantial deals in this area [14][15]. Group 4: Independent Global Expansion - Companies are increasingly opting for "self-driven" global expansion rather than simply licensing out, as seen with Kangfang Biopharma's approach to leading its own global clinical trials [8][9]. - This strategy, while riskier, offers higher potential returns compared to traditional licensing agreements [9]. Group 5: Platform-Based Collaborations - The trend is shifting from selling individual products to offering entire R&D platforms, as demonstrated by Hengrui's collaboration with GSK, which includes options for future projects [10][11]. - This model allows companies to monetize their ongoing research capabilities, enhancing their value proposition to partners [10][11]. Group 6: Regulatory and Pricing Developments - The introduction of a drug pricing registration system by China's National Healthcare Security Administration is expected to alleviate concerns about domestic pricing affecting global pricing strategies [12][13]. - This regulatory change has led to increased foreign investment in Chinese R&D, with a 28% year-on-year growth in 2025 [13]. Group 7: Market Valuation Changes - The market's evaluation criteria for Chinese innovative drug companies have shifted from focusing on generic drug revenues to assessing the value of outbound pipelines and global clinical progress [19][21]. - The average price-to-earnings ratio for innovative drug companies in China has risen significantly, reflecting a revaluation of their market potential [21].

Core Insights - China is transitioning from a technology provider to an equal partner in the global innovative drug landscape, actively participating in clinical strategy formulation and commercialization in key markets like the U.S. [1] - The recent $2.5 billion clinical trial payment to BaiLi Tianheng signals that high-value business development (BD) transactions in China's innovative drug sector are entering a phase of realization [1] - The record $60.5 billion deal between 3SBio and Pfizer marks a shift of Chinese innovative drugs from fast followers to global pioneers, highlighting the increasing importance of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in the global pharmaceutical landscape [1] - The rapid development of the rare disease drug Beijiemai® by HeYu Pharmaceutical, taking only nine years and seven months from lab to market, exemplifies the "China speed" that is reshaping global drug development efficiency standards [1] Industry Trends - The Chinese innovative drug market is projected to reach 740 billion yuan (approximately $102 billion) by 2025, with expectations to grow to nearly 2.3 trillion yuan by 2030 [2] - The period from 2015 to 2024 is critical for the evolution of the global pharmaceutical innovation landscape and the transformation of China's clinical trial system [4] - The number of innovative drug clinical trials globally has increased by 23.5% over the past decade, with oncology remaining a key research focus, accounting for 32% of trials in 2024 [5] Clinical Development - In the first half of 2025, the China Drug Evaluation Center (CDE) received 6,213 drug registration applications, a 15.83% year-on-year increase, with chemical drugs making up 65.8% of the total [6] - HeYu Pharmaceutical's Beijiemai® received approval from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) for treating symptomatic tenosynovial giant cell tumors (TGCT) in adults, based on Phase III trial data showing a 54% objective response rate [1][6] Business Development - By the end of October 2025, Chinese pharmaceutical companies had achieved over $110 billion in external licensing deals, surpassing the total from 2022 to 2024 [8] - The collaboration between Innovent Biologics and Takeda Pharmaceuticals, with a potential total deal value of up to $11.4 billion, exemplifies the shift towards co-development and commercialization models [8] - The trend of biotech companies deepening globalization through various models, including joint development and independent international expansion, is becoming a core engine for growth [9] Globalization Challenges - Chinese innovative drug companies face challenges in international markets, including regulatory diversity, complex drug registration processes, and inconsistent healthcare payment systems [12] - Achieving a unified approach in clinical design and compliance across different regions is crucial for successful internationalization [12] Future Outlook - The Chinese biotech sector is expected to contribute 10% to 15% of new global drug launches in the future, driven by advancements in second-generation technologies and unmet clinical needs [7] - The successful approval of Beijiemai® in China signifies a broader industry shift, indicating that Chinese companies are no longer just serving domestic patients but are aiming to meet global patient needs [14]