由于与辉瑞达成合作，三生国健（688336.SH）2025年业绩大涨。根据公司发布的业绩快报，2025年三生国建实现营业收入41.99亿元，较上年增加 251.81%；实现归母净利润29.39亿元，较上年涨幅317.09%。 同时，扣除本年度确认的政府补助收益、理财产品利息收入、固定资产处置损失、参股公司分红收益及营业外支出后，实现扣非净利润28.05亿元，涨幅 1041.01%。 三生国健在业绩快报中指出，营业总收入、归母净利润、扣非净利润、基本每股收益、总资产等指标相比上年同期均出现较大幅度增长，主要由于报告期内 公司与辉瑞公司（Pfizer Inc.）达成重要合作，公司收到辉瑞公司就707项目支付的授权许可首付款并相应确认收入约28.90亿元。 2025年5月20日，三生国健的母公司三生制药（01530.HK）与辉瑞关于PD-1/VEGF双特异性抗体SSGJ-707的交易发布，此次交易达成12.5亿美元不可退还且 不可抵扣的首付款。 在达成重磅交易的同时，三生国健或将面临PD-1/VEGF双抗赛道日趋激烈的市场竞争。作为近年来备受瞩目的明星靶点，该赛道入局者众多、竞争激烈。 Insight数据库显示，目 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [5] Core Insights - The underlying logic of the current pharmaceutical industry era is innovation and international expansion, with a focus on innovative drugs and technology-driven sectors [2][3] - The report highlights the strong performance of the CRO market and suggests a dual investment strategy focusing on both "0 to 1" technology innovation and low-position stocks [2][3] - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of BD (Business Development) transactions in innovative drugs, with significant growth expected in 2026 [4][15] Summary by Sections 1. Key Events in the Pharmaceutical Industry During the Spring Festival - Innovative drug BD transactions have seen a strong start, with significant overseas development and registration progress for key products [13][14] - The total amount of BD transactions for innovative drugs in China for 2026 has already surpassed one-third of the total for 2025 [15] - The revision of the National Essential Medicines List Management Measures may signal changes in the essential medicines directory [28] 2. Pharmaceutical Market Review and Hotspot Tracking - The pharmaceutical sector's performance was relatively weak, with a weekly decline of 0.81%, ranking 20th among all industries [34][38] - The total trading volume for pharmaceuticals was 401.12 billion yuan, accounting for 3.83% of the total market, below the historical average of 7.09% [55] - The report notes a rising valuation level for the pharmaceutical industry, with a PE ratio of 29.25, which is below the historical average [52] 3. Stock Performance Review - The report lists the top-performing stocks, including Dongyangguang and Zhendemedical, while highlighting the underperformers like Huayuan Biology and *ST Sailong [58][59]

Core Viewpoint - The keyword for the stock market in 2025 is expected to be "innovative drugs," with significant stock price increases driven by the potential of in-development innovative drugs and BD (business development) transactions rather than traditional revenue from already marketed drugs [1] Group 1: BD Transactions - In 2025, China's innovative drug BD transaction total exceeded $100 billion, with notable orders reaching $10 billion, and upfront payments from multinational pharmaceutical companies reaching a new high of $1.25 billion [1] - Landmark transactions include a $13 billion collaboration between Qihuang Dejian and Biohaven/AimedBio in January, marking a milestone for China's ADC technology [2] - In May, 3SBio's deal with Pfizer exceeded $6 billion, setting a record for upfront payments in China at $1.25 billion, highlighting the value of both first-in-class and fast-follow drugs [2] - In July, a $12 billion strategic partnership between Hengrui Medicine and GlaxoSmithKline showcased the depth of early-stage pipelines in leading Chinese pharmaceutical companies [2] - In October, Innovent Biologics and Takeda's collaboration worth $11.4 billion included a cost-sharing model for global R&D, enhancing operational capabilities for future international ventures [2] Group 2: Milestone Payments and Emerging Fields - Several past BD transactions reached milestone payments in 2025, including a $300 million payment to China National Pharmaceutical's subsidiary from Merck and a $250 million payment to Bairui Tianheng from Bristol-Myers Squibb [3] - The focus of BD transactions is shifting from oncology to other therapeutic areas, with autoimmune diseases, metabolism, and central nervous system disorders emerging as new hot fields [3] - Notable deals include the global rights licensing of BTK inhibitor Orelabrutinib for multiple sclerosis by Nocera Biopharma, with a potential total transaction value exceeding $2 billion [3] - The metabolic field is gaining traction, driven by global weight loss trends, with several companies entering into licensing agreements for GLP-1 targeted drugs [3] Group 3: Independent Clinical Trials and Regulatory Approvals - Numerous innovative drug companies in China are advancing their own overseas clinical trials, achieving significant progress [4] - In early 2025, Dize Pharmaceutical's lung cancer targeted drug received priority review from the FDA and was approved in July, becoming the first globally innovative drug independently developed in China to gain approval in the U.S. [4] - Other advancements include breakthrough therapy designations for CS0159 by Kexi Kedi and a Phase III trial approval for a recombinant human albumin injection by Heyuan Biopharma [4] - These developments indicate that the Chinese innovative drug industry is becoming a significant force in global innovation, transitioning from fast-following to original innovation and integrating deeply into the global value chain [4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong innovative drug concept stocks have declined, with companies such as 3SBio, Kelun-Botai Biopharmaceuticals falling over 3%, and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, China Biologic Products, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical dropping over 2% [1] - The Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs have also seen a decline of over 2% [1] Group 2 - Current analysis indicates that the healthcare sector presents multiple investment opportunities, with the CXO industry experiencing sustained improvement due to a recovery in overseas orders and domestic capacity reduction, while still having room for valuation recovery [2] - The medical device sector is benefiting from domestic equipment upgrade policies and overseas market expansion, with continuous catalysts in cutting-edge areas such as brain-computer interfaces and AI imaging [2] - Internet healthcare is seeing improved operational efficiency in the context of deepening medical insurance payment reforms, leading to a clearer profit growth trajectory [2]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The proportion of driver gene-negative non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients is approximately 31% in both China and the United States, indicating a significant market opportunity for treatments targeting this demographic [2][15] - The estimated market size for immune drugs used in first-line treatment of driver gene-negative NSCLC is projected to be around 7.5 billion CNY (approximately 1.1 billion USD) in China and 18 billion CNY (approximately 2.7 billion USD) in the United States by 2030 [2] - The current first-line treatment for advanced driver gene-negative NSCLC primarily relies on PD(L)-1 inhibitors combined with chemotherapy, but there are limitations in long-term efficacy and options for patients intolerant to chemotherapy [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: NSCLC Global Overview - Lung cancer is the leading cancer type globally, with new cases accounting for approximately 12% of all cancer cases in 2022, translating to about 2.5 million new lung cancer cases [10] - In China, lung cancer represents about 22% of new cancer cases, with approximately 1.06 million new cases in 2022 [10] Section 2: Market Potential for Driver Gene-Negative NSCLC - The report highlights the significant market potential for immune therapies in treating driver gene-negative NSCLC, with a focus on the limitations of current treatment options [2][3] Section 3: Next-Generation Immunotherapy Approaches - The report discusses the advancements in dual (multi) antibody therapies and immune-oncology (IO) combined with antibody-drug conjugates (ADC), emphasizing their potential to improve treatment outcomes for patients with driver gene-negative NSCLC [5][8] - The clinical data supporting these new therapies is expected to catalyze further investment and development in this area [5] Section 4: Treatment Guidelines Comparison - The report compares treatment guidelines for driver gene-negative NSCLC between the United States and China, noting differences in treatment stratification and recommended therapies [32][34] - The U.S. guidelines emphasize PD-L1 expression levels, while Chinese guidelines focus more on performance status (PS) [32][34] Section 5: Future Catalysts - Key upcoming clinical data releases and studies are highlighted as potential catalysts for investment opportunities in the sector, particularly regarding dual antibodies and ADC therapies [5][8]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, particularly for innovative drugs and companies expected to reach profitability in 2025 [1][9][15]. Core Insights - The innovative drug sector is anticipated to see significant growth due to the commercialization of core products and contributions from business development (BD) revenues, with companies like BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others expected to achieve profitability [1][9]. - The Pharma sub-sector is projected to experience a revenue growth rate of 15-20% in 2025, with notable companies such as Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products leading this growth [2][10]. - The CXO sector is also expected to report strong performance, with companies like WuXi AppTec forecasting substantial revenue and profit increases [3][11]. - The medical services sector is currently valued at historical lows, with a projected revenue growth of 13% for Genscript Biotech, highlighting the importance of monitoring industry changes [4][12]. Summary by Sections Innovative Drugs - Companies expected to achieve profitability in 2025 include BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others, driven by increased commercialization and BD revenues [1][9]. Pharma - Revenue growth of 15-20% is expected for leading companies such as Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products, with a significant boost anticipated for 3SBio due to a major BD deal with Pfizer [2][10]. CXO - WuXi AppTec is projected to achieve approximately 454.56 billion RMB in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 15.84%, with adjusted net profits expected to rise significantly [3][11]. Medical Services - Genscript Biotech is expected to see a revenue increase of 13% in 2025, emphasizing the need to focus on overseas business expansion and AI integration in traditional medicine [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it will outperform the overall market [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the commercialization of innovative drugs, combined with licensing income, is expected to lead to profitability for several companies in 2025, including BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others [1][9]. - The Pharma sub-sector is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 15-20% in 2025 for companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products, with a significant revenue increase expected for 3SBio due to a major business development deal with Pfizer [2][10]. - The CXO sector is also expected to show strong performance, with companies like WuXi AppTec forecasting a revenue increase of approximately 15.84% and a net profit growth of about 102.65% in 2025 [3][11]. - In the medical services sector, the report notes that valuations are at historical lows, with a projected revenue growth of 13% for GuoShengTang in 2025, emphasizing the importance of overseas business expansion and AI integration in traditional Chinese medicine [4][12]. Summary by Sections Innovative Drugs - The report anticipates that several innovative drug companies will reach profitability in 2025 due to increased commercialization and business development income [9][15]. Pharma - The Pharma sub-sector is expected to see a revenue growth of 15-20% in 2025 for key players, with 3SBio projected to achieve over 100% growth due to a significant partnership with Pfizer [2][10]. CXO - WuXi AppTec is expected to report a revenue of approximately 454.56 billion RMB in 2025, with a net profit growth of around 102.65% [3][11]. Medical Services - GuoShengTang is projected to have a revenue growth of 13% in 2025, with a focus on overseas acquisitions and AI applications in traditional medicine [4][12].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown a slight increase in performance, with a closing rise of 0.79% and a trading volume of 849 million yuan on February 6, 2024 [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) was established on January 3, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 5, 2024, the fund's total shares stood at 10.244 billion, with a total size of 7.906 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.36% decrease in shares and a 0.13% increase in size since December 31, 2023 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 21.573 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 1.079 billion yuan [1]. - Since the beginning of the year, the ETF has recorded a cumulative trading amount of 29.237 billion yuan over 25 trading days, averaging 1.169 billion yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager is Ma Jun, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 56.50% during the management period [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The top holdings of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) include: - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (10.44% holding, 108 million shares, market value of 825 million yuan) [2] - BeiGene (9.91% holding, 4.8299 million shares, market value of 782 million yuan) [2] - CanSino Biologics (9.72% holding, 7.52 million shares, market value of 768 million yuan) [2] - China Biologic Products (9.66% holding, 13.7 million shares, market value of 763 million yuan) [2] - Innovent Biologics (9.53% holding, 10.9295 million shares, market value of 753 million yuan) [2] - Other notable holdings include 3SBio, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, and Kelun-Biotech [2].

Investment Rating - The report provides an "Outperform" rating for multiple companies in the healthcare sector, including BeiGene, JD Health, WuXi Biologics, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - The macro and industry environment is improving due to the resolution of policy uncertainties, the release of significant clinical data, and a resurgence in global M&A activity, leading to a notable increase in investor sentiment towards innovative drugs for 2026 [4][11]. - In oncology, the PD-1/VEGF dual antibody approach is transitioning from "mechanism validation" to "clinical and industrial resonance," with multiple global Phase III trials underway, expected to catalyze approvals and data releases within the year [5][17]. - The metabolic sector is seeing growth in the cash-pay market for GLP-1 drugs, driven by limited insurance coverage and high out-of-pocket costs, prompting companies to enhance accessibility through direct sales and pricing adjustments [6][25]. - In the autoimmune space, there is a growing concentration risk among major products from multinational corporations (MNCs), with new antibody platforms expected to yield significant data in 2026, potentially leading to new business development opportunities [7]. - The central nervous system (CNS) investment focus remains on advancing Aβ monoclonal antibody treatments, with key data expected to open up early intervention market opportunities [9]. Summary by Sections Oncology - The PD-1/VEGF dual antibody's clinical and industrial certainty is strengthening, with major companies conducting multiple global Phase III trials across high-value indications [17]. - The Pan-RAS precision therapy is entering a realization phase, with key Phase III data expected in 2026 for pancreatic cancer and NSCLC [22]. Metabolic - The cash-pay market for GLP-1 drugs is expanding due to limited insurance coverage, with companies like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk adopting different direct-to-consumer strategies to enhance accessibility [25][26]. - Small nucleic acid therapies are expected to upgrade treatment paradigms, showing competitive data in weight loss and safety profiles when combined with GLP-1 [30]. Autoimmune - MNCs are increasingly reliant on a few blockbuster products, with structural opportunities arising from new antibody platforms expected to report data in 2026 [7]. - The trend towards oral formulations in autoimmune diseases is gaining traction, offering advantages in adherence and competitive differentiation [7]. CNS - The focus in CNS remains on Aβ monoclonal antibody treatments, with advancements expected to shift treatment towards earlier intervention populations [9]. - New delivery methods, such as systemic administration of small nucleic acids, are being explored as complementary approaches [9].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | | | | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | | | 公司名稱: | 三生制药（「本公司」） | | | | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月4日 | | | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | | | | | | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01530 | 說明 | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上月底結存 | 50,000,000,000 | USD | 0.00001 | USD | 500,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | USD | | | 本月底結存 | 50,000,000,000 | USD ...