以金银为首的大宗商品继续下跌，上周五大跌的港股三大指数低开，恒指跌1.06%，国指跌1.35%，恒 生科技指数跌1.29%。权重科技股集体低迷，阿里巴巴、网易跌超2.4%；金银继续跳水，黄金股领衔有 色金属股下挫，其中灵宝黄金大跌近14%，中国黄金国际大跌超12%，山东黄金、紫金矿业、赤峰黄金 等多股跌超9%以上；三大运营商宣布调整电信服务增值税税率，由6%调至9%，三大电信股低开，中国 联通跌超7%。另外，生物医药股、锂电池概念股多数上涨，其中宁德时代涨近2%。(格隆汇) ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the top short-selling ratios for various companies, with JD Health-R, Anta Sports-R, and Lenovo Group-R leading the list at 100.00%, 89.98%, and 89.87% respectively [1][2] - The top three companies by short-selling amount are CSPC Pharmaceutical Group at 1.268 billion, Zijin Mining Group at 1.031 billion, and Xiaomi Group-W at 1.014 billion [1][2] - The highest deviation values in short-selling are recorded for Kuaishou-WR at 36.02%, Xiaomi Group-WR at 30.00%, and Heptagon Pharmaceuticals-B at 26.77% [1][2] Group 2 - The top ten short-selling ratios include JD Health-R at 100.00%, Anta Sports-R at 89.98%, and Lenovo Group-R at 89.87%, with Kuaishou-WR and Xiaomi Group-WR also featuring prominently [2] - The top ten short-selling amounts show CSPC Pharmaceutical Group leading with 1.268 billion, followed by Zijin Mining Group and Xiaomi Group-W [2] - The top ten deviation values indicate significant short-selling activity, particularly for Kuaishou-WR and Xiaomi Group-WR, suggesting potential volatility [2]

[Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨深度报告丨宁德时代（300750.SZ） [Table_Title] 迈向应用创新，再造宁德时代——换电篇 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 从宁德时代近两年的战略方向看，动力、储能电池持续的材料体系研发、极限制造创新仍是重 点和基础，与之同时面向市场应用的集成产品、商业模式创新有被更多的提及。因此，我们将 宁德时代的研究重点，从锂电池制造转向应用创新布局，关注换电与车电分离、滑板底盘、数 据中心储能集成、零碳电网等业务进展。本篇报告将重点介绍宁德时代的换电战略。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520090003 SFC：BQK482 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 22 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 邬博华 曹海花 叶之楠 [Table_scodeMsg2] 宁德时代（300750.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Tab ...

商用车：骐骥换电加码，构建八纵十横网络 电动重卡应该走换电还是超充，仍是目前产业有争议的问题，我们认为换电主要基于以下优势： 首先是补能效率换电更高，其次是经济性优势，换电模式的首次购车成本低，采用底置电池方案、电耗 具备优势，此外超充对电池寿命存在一定影响，换电生命周期成本更低。此外从远期愿景来看，重卡未 来将走向无人驾驶，公路交通未来也将绿色转型，都更加适配换电。 风险提示 1、换电车型销量不及预期风险；2、动力电池平均循环寿命不及预期；3、产业链价格大幅上涨影响经 济性；4、盈利预测不及预期。 迈向应用创新，再造宁德时代——换电篇站在2025 年展望国内动力市场，需求端国内电动化进入深水 区，仅剩的市场更加依托于更高性价比的解决方案、更广泛的基础设施建设；供给端电池企业的配套关 系进一步固化，宁德时代2024 年在高端乘用车的份额达到72%，整体则为45%，高端市场宁德时代的品 牌价值无疑，但低端市场再上层楼也需更多布局。从宁德时代近两年的战略方向看，动力、储能电池持 续的材料体系研发、极限制造创新仍是重点和基础，与之同时面向市场应用的集成产品、商业模式创新 有被更多的提及。从投资的角度看，锂电池需求的 ...

Market Overview - Recent surge in precious metals led to market excitement, but a sharp decline followed, with Hong Kong stocks dropping 2.08% [1] - International gold and silver prices experienced volatility, with gold surpassing $5,500 per ounce before falling below $5,200 [2] - Resource stocks, including those in gold and copper, saw significant declines, with companies like Zhaifeng Gold and Shandong Gold dropping over 14% [2] Geopolitical Developments - Trump announced plans to engage in dialogue with Iran, contingent on Iran not possessing nuclear weapons and ceasing repression of protesters, which may temporarily stabilize oil prices [1] - The U.S. Federal Reserve chair nomination is expected to favor a hawkish candidate, potentially leading to a stronger dollar [1] Corporate News - Longfor's subsidiary faced a ruling from Panama's Supreme Court declaring its port contracts unconstitutional, impacting its $22.8 billion global port asset sale [2][3] - The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated it would take measures to protect the rights of Chinese enterprises affected by the ruling [3] Sector Focus - AI investments are gaining traction, with OpenAI planning an IPO and Alibaba considering increasing its AI and cloud investment to 480 billion RMB over three years [3] - Companies like Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable saw stock increases of over 6% due to positive developments in the optical communication sector [3] Battery Technology - CATL launched sodium-ion battery products, which outperform lithium batteries in low-temperature environments and safety [4] - The introduction of sodium batteries could disrupt the lithium battery market, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium experiencing declines of over 10% [5] Earnings Reports - Tiger Med announced expected revenue of 6.66 to 7.68 billion RMB for 2025, with a net profit forecast of 830 million to 1.23 billion RMB, reflecting strong growth [5] - Shanghai Fudan anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 9.46% to 12.25% for 2025 [5] Film Industry Developments - The National Film Development Fund is promoting high-quality development in the film industry, with several new films set to release during the 2026 Spring Festival [6] - Beneficiaries include companies like Dama Entertainment and Maoyan Entertainment, involved in producing and distributing upcoming films [7] AI Growth - Kuaishou's AI product, Keling, has seen significant user growth, with monthly active users surpassing 12 million and a 350% increase in paid users [8] - The company expects substantial revenue growth, with projections of $140 million for 2025, significantly exceeding initial targets [9]

Group 1 - The top three companies with the highest AH premium rates are Northeast Electric (00042) at 831.03%, Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at 339.32%, and Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) at 323.71% [1][2] - The bottom three companies with the lowest AH premium rates are CATL (03750) at -14.62%, China Merchants Bank (03968) at -3.22%, and Hengrui Medicine (01276) at 1.77% [1][2] - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033), Andeli Juice (02218), and Shandong Molong (00568) have the highest deviation values at 53.41%, 21.68%, and 19.01% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The companies with the lowest deviation values include Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at -58.91%, Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) at -49.00%, and Fudan Zhangjiang (01349) at -24.81% [1][2][4] - The top ten AH stocks by premium rate include companies like Hongye Futures (03678) and Beijing Electromechanical (00187) with premium rates of 258.91% and 257.99% respectively [2] - The bottom ten AH stocks by premium rate include Weichai Power (02338) and Midea Group (00300) with premium rates of 6.84% and 8.51% respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - Kandi Technologies Group's subsidiary, Zhonghuan Electric (Zhejiang) Technology Co., Ltd., has signed a three-year strategic cooperation agreement with CATL's Times Kijiji Green Energy Technology (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. to focus on the mass production of heavy-duty truck battery swap stations, aiming to promote the large-scale development of the new energy vehicle charging market [1][4]. Group 1 - The cooperation is an extension of the previous recognition between Zhonghuan Electric and CATL, as Zhonghuan Electric has successfully entered CATL's global supplier system [3]. - Kandi Technologies has been a pioneer in the battery swap ecosystem for new energy vehicles, with Zhonghuan Electric possessing a core team with over 30 years of experience in the automotive industry [3]. - Zhonghuan Electric's self-developed smart battery swap equipment integrates multiple patented technologies, achieving efficient battery swaps in 90 seconds and providing an open battery swap solution compatible with multiple brands and models [3]. Group 2 - This partnership is a significant step in CATL's "Ten Thousand Stations Plan," which aims to establish a standardized battery swap service network across the country [4]. - The goal of the "Kijiji Battery Swap" solution is to build approximately 900 battery swap stations by 2026, leveraging the strengths of both companies for resource sharing and complementary advantages [4]. - According to iResearch, the annual compound growth rate of China's new energy heavy-duty truck market is expected to reach 25% from 2025 to 2030, with domestic sales projected to reach 500,000 units and global sales to reach 1.2 million units by 2030 [4].

鈉電池量產催化，寧德時代技術築底信號已現？ 近期，寧德時代（03750.HK）的股價走勢與整個新能源汽車板塊一道，呈現出一種複雜的技術性格局。截至1月29日，股價收報477.4元 ，雖日內微漲 0.42%，但股價已在中短期均線下方運行。與此同時，公司在技術前沿傳來重磅消息：其鈉離子電池已在輕型商用車領域實現量產落地，被市場視為開 啟"能源重構"的關鍵一步。這種基本面新動向與技術面尋底狀態的交織，構成了當前分析寧德時代的核心背景。 一、技術分析：均線承壓下的弱勢整理 今日（30日）最新股價報493.6元，升幅3.35%。走勢逆勢上揚。從日線圖觀察，寧德時代的股價正處於一個關鍵的盤整階段。目前，股價已連續運行在30日 （約493.5元 ）和60日（約500.8元 ）等重要移動平均線之下，這通常被視為中期趨勢偏弱的信號。數據顯示，多條移動平均線已發出"強力賣出"的綜合信 號，表明上方存在明顯的技術性拋壓。 二、關鍵支持與阻力：聚焦關鍵區域的突破方向 三、市場動態整合：鈉電池量產帶來的新預期 正當股價技術面陷入膠著時，來自基本面的新動能成為市場矚目的焦點。1月底，寧德時代首席技術官高煥明確表示，公司目標是"大量推廣鈉 ...

Core Viewpoint - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) shares rose over 4% in early trading, indicating a positive market sentiment despite broader market conditions [5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of the latest update, CATL's stock price increased by 4.06%, reaching HKD 496.80, with a trading volume of HKD 1.069 billion [5]. - Morgan Stanley forecasts that CATL's stock will outperform the industry average in the next 15 days, with a probability of 70% to 80% [5]. Group 2: Analyst Insights - Morgan Stanley has rated CATL as "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 490 [5]. - The recent stock price correction has made CATL's short-term valuation more attractive, according to Morgan Stanley [5]. - The firm believes that market concerns regarding cost inflation impacting profit margins are overstated, as these costs can ultimately be passed on [5]. Group 3: Production and Inventory - CATL has demonstrated its ability to pass on costs during previous lithium price upcycles, and it is expected that lithium production will resume shortly [5]. - The company is projected to maintain a sufficient supply of low-cost inventory through the first quarter of 2026 [5].

Core Viewpoint - CATL's stock price has shown resilience, increasing by over 4% despite market conditions, with a current price of 493.2 HKD and a trading volume of 7.92 billion HKD, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Morgan Stanley forecasts that CATL's stock price will rise relative to the industry average within the next 15 days, with a probability of 70% to 80% [1] - The recent stock price correction has made CATL's short-term valuation more attractive, as the market has overly worried about cost inflation impacting profit margins [1] - CATL has demonstrated its ability to pass on costs during previous lithium price upcycles, and it is expected that lithium production will resume shortly [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - According to SNE Research, global shipments of lithium-ion battery energy storage systems (ESS) are projected to reach 550 GWh by 2025, representing a 79% year-on-year increase, highlighting strong demand for storage technology amid global energy transition [1] - China is expected to lead the global ESS market in 2025, with a market size of 352 GWh, accounting for 64% of the global total [1] - CATL remains the global leader in the ESS market with a shipment volume of 167 GWh, capturing a 30% market share and achieving an 80% year-on-year growth [1]