Group 1: Precious Metals - Gold - The weakening of the US dollar credit remains the core logic for gold pricing in 2025, with a notable negative correlation between gold prices and the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves [11][12] - The Federal Reserve is expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle into 2026, which may support gold prices, especially with concerns over the independence of monetary policy due to potential changes in leadership [13][15] - The long-term trend of weakening US dollar credit is not expected to change, with the US fiscal deficit projected to reach 6.9% of GDP in 2024, indicating ongoing structural issues in the US fiscal system [16][17] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Supply constraints for copper are expected to intensify, with significant disruptions in overseas copper mining projects leading to a projected decrease in output by over 100,000 tons in 2025 [23][24] - The demand for copper is anticipated to grow significantly due to the rise of AI and data centers, with each MW of installed capacity requiring approximately 27 tons of copper [27][28] - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by a weak dollar and continued rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is expected to drive copper prices upward [29][31] Group 3: Energy Metals - The supply of lithium and cobalt is expected to improve significantly due to the end of overseas capacity clearances and the implementation of supply constraint policies by major producing countries [33] - The demand for energy metals is projected to benefit from the resilience of battery technologies and the growth of the energy storage sector, leading to a positive supply-demand dynamic [33][34] Group 4: Tin - The supply of tin is tightening due to regulatory changes in Indonesia and ongoing production disruptions in Myanmar, with exports from Indonesia declining by approximately 20% year-on-year [45][46] - The global demand for refined tin is expected to grow, particularly in the electronics sector, driven by high semiconductor sales and the increasing use of tin solder in AI and high-performance computing applications [51]

| 原信息 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每般的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期相 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | | | (請參閱上拉*詩 | 有投票權限(日 / 月 / 年) | | | | | | 日年 3 | 分自分市 | | CS20251205E00161 | UPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1001(L) | 3,513,545(L) | HKD 17.3286 199,655,634(L) | 5.07(L)02/12/2025 | | | | | | 17,029,368(S) | 0.43(S) | | | | | | 131,850,620(P) | 3.35(P) | 增持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为199,655,634股，持好仓比例由4.98%上升至5.07%。 | 股份代號: | 03993 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 洛陽缮川姐業集團股份有限公司 - H股 | ...

香港联交所最新资料显示，12月2日，小摩增持洛阳钼业（603993）(03993)351.3545万股，每股作价 17.3286港元，总金额约为6088.48万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.997亿股，最新持股比例为 5.07%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，12月2日，小摩增持洛阳钼业(03993)351.3545万股，每 股作价17.3286港元，总金额约为6088.48万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.997亿股，最新持股比例为 5.07%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the production of molybdenum, tungsten, gold, cobalt, and other precious metals, with significant growth in gold production expected in the coming years [2][3][8]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is located in Luoyang, Henan Province, and was established on December 22, 1999. It was listed on October 9, 2012. The company engages in mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals [7]. - The company is among the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer, and a leading copper producer [2][8]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, with cobalt products sold in the international market. It has signed an agreement to acquire a 100% stake in Woyuan Holdings, indirectly increasing its stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt to 30% [2]. - In 2022, the company's gold production from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia was 16,000 ounces, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period. The average trading cost of the stock is 13.40 yuan, with the stock price approaching a resistance level of 18.66 yuan [5][8]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in holdings among the top shareholders [9].

智通财经APP获悉，洛阳钼业(03993)午后涨超4%，截至发稿，涨4.09%，报18.86港元，成交4.47亿港 元。 行业层面，国金证券指出，节奏上2026年上半年有望迎来再通胀交易。在美联储历次软着陆降息后，铜 价与美国制造业PMI通常3-6个月企稳回升，本轮降息周期从9月18日降息算起，基本面复苏对应明年一 二季度。此外，在短期宏观偏逆风背景下，铜价之所以维持10500美金以上偏强震荡，价格韧性强于以 往降息后表现，核心支撑在于供给，因此，未来经济基本面好转后，铜价或迎来超越过往的价格弹性表 现。 消息面上，12月3日，富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指数、富时 中国A200指数、富时中国 A400指数的季度审核变更。其中，富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业。本次变 更将于2025年12月19日星期五收盘后生效。瑞银此前指出，洛阳钼业2025年铜产量极有可能超越指引的 60万至66万吨，今年首三季已达54.3万吨，主要受惠于生产线技术升级及供电改善。管理层有信心2026 至27年产量将持续增长，并认为新增产量的贡献可持续。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collective rise of tungsten production stocks in the A-share market, with an average increase of 2.02% in early trading, driven by the continuous rise in tungsten product prices [1] - Seven stocks related to tungsten production have been identified, with notable gains from Zhongtung High-tech, Xianglu Tungsten, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which rose by 3.82%, 3.22%, and 2.85% respectively [1] - Institutional interest in tungsten-related stocks has surged, with Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, and Zhangyuan Tungsten being the most researched, receiving 275, 87, and 52 institutional inquiries respectively [1] Group 2 - The performance of tungsten-related stocks has improved significantly in the third quarter, with Xianglu Tungsten and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals turning losses into profits [1] - The remaining five stocks reported year-on-year growth in net profit, with Luoyang Molybdenum, Hunan Gold, and Zhangyuan Tungsten showing the highest increases of 72.61%, 54.28%, and 29.71% respectively [1]

行业层面，国金证券指出，节奏上2026年上半年有望迎来再通胀交易。在美联储历次软着陆降息后，铜 价与美国制造业PMI通常3-6个月企稳回升，本轮降息周期从9月18日降息算起，基本面复苏对应明年一 二季度。此外，在短期宏观偏逆风背景下，铜价之所以维持10500美金以上偏强震荡，价格韧性强于以 往降息后表现，核心支撑在于供给，因此，未来经济基本面好转后，铜价或迎来超越过往的价格弹性表 现。 洛阳钼业（603993）(03993)午后涨超4%，截至发稿，涨4.09%，报18.86港元，成交4.47亿港元。 消息面上，12月3日，富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指数、富时 中国A200指数、富时中国A400指数的季度审核变更。其中，富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业。本次变 更将于2025年12月19日星期五收盘后生效。瑞银此前指出，洛阳钼业2025年铜产量极有可能超越指引的 60万至66万吨，今年首三季已达54.3万吨，主要受惠于生产线技术升级及供电改善。管理层有信心2026 至27年产量将持续增长，并认为新增产量的贡献可持续。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) experienced a 0.73% increase, closing at 1.243 yuan with a trading volume of 2.9218 million yuan on December 5 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) has a performance benchmark based on the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index return [1] - Since its inception on April 23, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 23.58%, with a monthly return of 2.50% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major stocks in the ETF include: - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) down 0.89% - Midea Group up 0.11% - Gree Electric Appliances down 0.54% - Wuliangye Yibin up 0.26% - China Merchants Energy down 0.40% - Luoyang Molybdenum up 2.85% - TCL Technology up 2.06% - China Aluminum Corporation up 3.95% - SF Express up 0.37% - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry down 0.62% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold concept sector leads the market with a rise of 1.3%, indicating strong investor interest in gold-related stocks [1] Group 1: Sector Performance - The gold concept sector has increased by 1.3% [1] - Notable performers include: - Xiaocheng Technology, which surged by 12.94% [1] - Jiangxi Copper, which rose by 3.99% [1] - Nanjing Mining Group, which increased by 3.15% [1] - Shengtun Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Hebang Biotechnology, all of which saw gains exceeding 2% [1]