受益的行业非常多，这个要分短期和中长期，因为时间跨度很长，预期是10-15年，但按照中国的速 度，只要资金到位，10年内就完工并非不可能。 短期来看，最开始就是水泥建材这些先行一步，考虑到水泥有个运输半径问题，因此最大龙头是本地水 泥厂的西藏天路(600326.SH)，被巨量封住一字，再是离基地项目400公里的港股华新水泥(06655)，大涨 超85%。本地产能肯定是不够的，需要从其它地区引进，其它有华润建材科技(01313)、中国建材 (03323)、金隅集团(02009)、中国建材(03323)、海螺水泥(00914)均涨超10%。 【解剖大盘】 周末没啥利空，市场主要担心的无非是日本的参议院选举，最新情况是由自民党和公明党组成的执政联 盟丧失参议院过半数议席。但靴子落地后日元并未出现明显波动，市场预期石破茂依旧可以继续履行职 责，从而稳定局面。因此港股继续跳空上行，今天涨0.68%。 扰动市场的巨头内卷也开始收敛，7月18日，根据央视新闻，市场监管总局约谈饿了么、美团、京东三 家平台企业，号召理性参与竞争。美团-W(03690)、京东集团(09618)、阿里巴巴(09988)均涨幅超2%。 而爆炸性题材 ...

Market Overview - On July 21, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.68%, closing at 24,994.14 points, with a total net inflow of southbound funds through the Stock Connect amounting to HKD 70.51 billion [1] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on July 21 was HKD 1,603.52 billion, with a net buy of HKD 70.51 billion [1] - The Shanghai Stock Connect recorded a trading volume of HKD 1,033.25 billion and a net buy of HKD 39.00 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect had a trading volume of HKD 570.27 billion and a net buy of HKD 31.52 billion [1] Active Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the top active stock by trading volume was Dongfang Electric, with a transaction amount of HKD 92.89 billion and a closing price increase of 65.21% [1] - Other notable stocks included Huaxin Cement and Alibaba-W, with transaction amounts of HKD 70.24 billion and HKD 33.08 billion, respectively [1] - In terms of net buying, Dongfang Electric led with a net buy of HKD 9.60 billion, while Xiaomi Group-W had the highest net sell of HKD 4.52 billion, closing up by 1.32% [1] Shenzhen Stock Connect Highlights - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Meituan-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 31.76 billion, followed by Dongfang Electric and Huaxin Cement with HKD 30.12 billion and HKD 25.25 billion, respectively [2] - Alibaba-W recorded the highest net buy of HKD 3.93 billion, closing up by 1.81%, while Meituan-W had the highest net sell of HKD 4.42 billion, closing up by 2.75% [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both A-shares and H-shares, with target prices set at RMB 17.71 and HKD 13.25 respectively [8][9]. Core Views - The company is recognized as a pioneer in the domestic cement industry with a strong global expansion strategy, particularly through acquisitions in Brazil, which enhances its integrated strategy and is expected to drive growth in scale and profitability [19][20]. - The domestic cement industry is currently experiencing a phase of demand decline while capacity clearance is still needed. However, the company has three core advantages: deep engagement in key regions, high self-supply ratio of raw materials, and leading energy efficiency and environmental processes [2][20]. - The overseas cement business is accelerating, with production capacity growing significantly from 3.9 million tons in 2018 to 23.7 million tons in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 35.1%. The EBITDA from overseas operations has also increased substantially during this period [3][21]. Summary by Sections Domestic Cement Business - The company focuses on the Yangtze River Economic Belt and key areas in the western development, with major projects expected to support regional demand. The average price of cement in these regions has shown significant year-on-year increases [2][20]. - The self-supply ratio of raw materials is high, with a notable decrease in coal prices since 2025, leading to improved cost trends. The comprehensive energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions per ton of clinker are industry-leading [2][20]. Overseas Cement Business - The company has rapidly expanded its overseas cement capacity, with a significant increase in sales and profitability from African markets, where the cement prices are notably higher than in Central Asia [3][21]. - The EBITDA from overseas operations has grown from RMB 580 million to RMB 2.37 billion from 2018 to 2024, with the overseas EBITDA ratio increasing from 6.3% to 27.2% [3][21]. Non-Cement Business - The revenue from non-cement clinker business has grown from RMB 1.61 billion to RMB 15.43 billion from 2016 to 2024, with a significant increase in both revenue and gross profit margins [4][22]. - The aggregate business has become a key driver of profitability, with a gross margin that remains significantly higher than other business segments [4][22]. Market Perspective - The report highlights a divergence from market views, emphasizing the importance of strategic planning and operational advantages in overseas markets, particularly through partnerships and acquisitions that enhance market entry and operational efficiency [5][23]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for the company have been adjusted upwards, with EPS estimates for 2025-2027 revised to RMB 1.23, 1.50, and 1.64 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on overseas and non-cement business expansions [6][24].

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly enhance China's energy security and stimulate social and economic development [1][5][12]. Investment and Economic Impact - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project involves the construction of five cascade power stations and is projected to create new job opportunities while boosting local industries such as construction, logistics, and commerce [5][9]. - The project is anticipated to drive investment in related sectors, with estimates suggesting that the turbine and generator business could be valued between 53.5 billion yuan and 95.4 billion yuan [10][11]. Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the project's initiation, both A-share and H-share markets experienced significant increases, with numerous stocks related to hydropower construction reaching their daily limit [9][10]. - Major companies such as China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering saw their stock prices surge, reflecting investor optimism regarding the project's potential [9][11]. Strategic Importance - The project is part of China's broader strategy to transition to green and low-carbon energy, utilizing the abundant hydropower resources in Tibet [5][8]. - The Yarlung Tsangpo project is expected to enhance China's hydropower capacity and contribute to the country's clean energy transformation [8][12]. Historical Context - The project has been in the planning stages for many years, with significant policy backing from the government, including its inclusion in the 14th Five-Year Plan [6][12]. - The hydropower resources in Tibet are substantial, with the region holding approximately 30% of China's total theoretical hydropower capacity [7].

Group 1 - On July 21, 2025, the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong) were Dongfang Electric (01072) with a trading volume of 9.289 billion, Huaxin Cement (06655) with 7.024 billion, and Alibaba-W (09988) with 3.308 billion [1] - In the Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong), the top three companies were Meituan-W (03690) with a trading volume of 3.176 billion, Dongfang Electric (01072) with 3.012 billion, and Huaxin Cement (06655) with 2.525 billion [1] Group 2 - In the Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong), the net buying amounts were as follows: Dongfang Electric (01072) +0.960 billion, Huaxin Cement (06655) +0.546 billion, and Alibaba-W (09988) -0.354 billion [2] - In the Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong), the net buying amounts were: Dongfang Electric (01072) +0.125 billion, Huaxin Cement (06655) -0.130 billion, and Alibaba-W (09988) +0.393 billion [2]

智通财经APP获悉，7月21日港股市场，北水成交净买入70.51亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入39亿 港元，港股通(深)成交净买入31.52亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是东方电气(01072)、建设银行(00939)、中国能源建设(03996)。北水净卖出最多 的个股是小米集团-W(01810)、国泰君安国际(01788)。 | 股票名称 | 买入额 | 卖出额 | 买卖总额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 净流入 | | 东方电气 | 51.25 乙 | 41.65亿 | 92.89亿 | | HK 01072 | | | +9.60亿 | | 华新水泥 | 37.85亿 | 32.39 亿 | 70.24亿 | | HK 06655 | | | +5.46 Z | | 阿里巴巴-W | 14.77 亿 | 18.31亿 | 33.08亿 | | HK 09988 | | | -3.54 Z | | 美团-W | 14.44 Z | 17.90亿 | 32.34亿 | | HK 03690 | | | -3.46亿 | | 小米集团-W | 11.411Z | ...

Core Viewpoint - As of July 21, 200 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performers including Dongfang Electric (681.62%), Huaxin Cement (84.42%), and Aoyuan Group Equity (80.00%) [1][2]. Summary by Category 52-Week High Performers - Dongfang Electric (01072) closed at 24.650, with a peak price of 119.900, achieving a high rate of 681.62% [2]. - Huaxin Cement (06655) closed at 18.600, with a peak price of 20.100, achieving a high rate of 84.42% [2]. - Aoyuan Group Equity (02905) closed at 0.350, with a peak price of 0.450, achieving a high rate of 80.00% [2]. - Other notable stocks include: - Zhong'an Holdings Group (08462) with a high rate of 71.05% [2]. - Huajian Medical (01931) with a high rate of 57.97% [2]. - Songjing Technology (01079) with a high rate of 44.76% [2]. Additional High Performers - China Pipe Industry (00380) reached a high rate of 43.67% [2]. - Tibet Water Resources (01115) achieved a high rate of 39.33% [2]. - China Energy Construction (03996) reached a high rate of 38.03% [2]. - Other stocks with notable high rates include: - Changsheng Group-B (06628) at 25.23% [2]. - Harbin Electric (01133) at 24.84% [2]. - Fangyuan Life Services (09978) at 22.11% [2].

| 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 800000 | 恒生指数 | (0) | 24994.14 | +168.48 | 0.68% | | 800100 | 国企指数 | | 9040.20 | +53.73 | 0.60% | | 800700 | 恒生科技指数 | | 5585.50 | +46.67 | 0.84% | 盘面上，大型科技股普遍飘红，美团涨近3%，京东涨超2%，阿里巴巴、小米涨超1%。 雅鲁藏布江水电工程开工，涉1.2万亿投资，建材水泥股、钢铁股、风电股、大基建股等相关板块全天表现强势，其中，尤其是东方电气盘中一 度飙升超700%最终收涨65.2%，华新水泥飙涨85.6%，重庆钢铁大涨25.5%，山水水泥涨超23%，中铝国际、中国中铁、中国建筑国际等皆走强。 中资券商股、石油股、黄金股、煤炭股、内房股、海运股、家电股、军工股纷纷上涨。 今日，港股三大指数呈现V型走势，国企指数、恒生科技指数午后一度转跌，最终分别收涨0.6%及0.84%，恒生指数涨0.68%盘中一度站上25000 点 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong cement and building materials sector experienced a significant surge, with Huaxin Cement reaching a peak of 20.10 HKD, marking a maximum increase of over 100% [1] - As of the report, Huaxin Cement had risen by over 70%, while China Resources Cement Technology increased by nearly 15%, and China National Building Material rose by over 8% [1] Group 2: Project Announcement - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project commenced construction on July 19 in Nyingchi, Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion RMB [2] - The project will consist of five tiered power stations, primarily focusing on power transmission and consumption outside Tibet, while also addressing local needs [2] Group 3: Strategic Importance - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower development was highlighted in the 14th Five-Year Plan and is designated as a major investment project for 2025 [3] - Tibet has significant hydropower resources, with an estimated capacity of about 200 million kilowatts, accounting for nearly 30% of the national total [3] Group 4: Industry Implications - The commencement of the project is expected to drive demand in various sectors, including civil explosives, tunneling, and geotechnical industries, with a positive outlook for related companies [4] - Key beneficiaries in the investment and construction sectors include China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering, while tunnel equipment manufacturers like China Railway Engineering and China Railway Industry are also expected to benefit [4] - In the cement sector, regional leaders such as Tibet Tianlu and Huaxin Cement are anticipated to gain from the project, along with other material suppliers [4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market showed a steady upward trend, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.28% and the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.32% [1] - The building materials sector performed exceptionally well, with Huaxin Cement's stock price soaring over 70%, making it a market focus [1] - The steel sector also showed strong performance, with Chongqing Steel's stock price increasing by over 23%, reflecting positive market expectations for infrastructure-related industries [1] Group 2 - Chongqing Steel's stock saw a peak increase of 20.57% during trading, with a transaction volume of 300 million yuan, indicating investor optimism about the steel industry's recovery [2] - The overall Hong Kong stock market maintained a mild upward trend, driven by the strong performance of the building materials and steel sectors [2] - The significant rise in Huaxin Cement's stock, which reached a peak increase of 78.04% with a transaction volume of 38.14 million yuan, particularly attracted attention [1]