Core Viewpoint - The report on Xingyuan Material (300568) highlights its leadership in the diaphragm industry and its proactive global expansion strategy, with a buy rating and a target price of 14.58 yuan [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xingyuan Material is a leading domestic manufacturer of diaphragms, with over 20 years of experience in the industry and the first company in China to export both dry and wet diaphragm technologies [2]. - The company is projected to achieve a 17.6% market share in diaphragm shipments in 2024, maintaining its position as the second-largest player in China for five consecutive years [2]. - The management team possesses extensive industry experience and strategic capabilities, actively pursuing global expansion, including production in Sweden and a planned 20 billion square meters capacity in Malaysia by mid-2025 [2]. Group 2: Product Development and Innovation - The company is embracing the solid-state battery trend by launching multiple solid-state diaphragm products, supported by favorable policies [2]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed with Zhongke Shenlan Huize, which will lead to the establishment of a GWh solid-state battery production line by Q3 2025 [2]. - The company has developed innovative rigid skeleton diaphragms and various polymer electrolyte diaphragms, and has the capability to produce oxide/polymer solid-state electrolyte powders [2]. Group 3: Strategic Investments - In response to the AI era, the company is acquiring high-quality overseas assets, including a partnership with Ferrotec to enhance collaboration in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [2]. - The company is positioning itself in emerging markets such as semiconductor and electronic skin technologies, which are expected to drive future growth [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, 5.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.8 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 430 million yuan, 540 million yuan, and 650 million yuan respectively [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.3 yuan, 0.4 yuan, and 0.5 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with price-to-earnings ratios of 38x, 30x, and 25x [3].

Group 1 - The A-share market shows positive signals with the Shanghai Composite Index remaining above 3500 points, indicating a potential upward trend in the market [2] - The market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, with limited downside adjustment space and clearer upward logic [2] - The mid-year report disclosure period presents opportunities for investing in companies with strong performance certainty [2] Group 2 - The non-bank sector is favored, with expectations of increased market activity and recovery in brokerage performance, suggesting a focus on mergers and acquisitions driven by policy and events [3] - The logistics sector, particularly express delivery companies, is under observation due to potential recovery in terminal prices and easing of profit pressures for franchisees and companies [4]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong stocks are expected to experience a rebound as sectors with better-than-expected interim results are likely to catch up in performance [1] Group 1: Market Valuation - The absolute valuation of Hong Kong stocks is at a relatively low level, while the valuation percentile is at a historically mid-to-high level [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - High dividend stocks can provide relatively stable returns for investors amid uncertainties both domestically and internationally [1] - Sectors benefiting from favorable policies or ongoing policy support, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chain, and "anti-involution" industries, are recommended for attention [1] - Sectors that have reported better-than-expected interim results are expected to see a rebound in performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The evaluation results of the securities companies' practice quality for the second quarter of 2025 have been released, highlighting significant changes in the rankings of the top ten firms, with Shenwan Hongyuan taking the lead [1][2]. Group 1: Evaluation Results - A total of 103 securities firms were evaluated, with Shenwan Hongyuan scoring 149.30 to rank first [1][2]. - The top ten firms also include Guotou Securities, Dongxing Securities, CITIC Jianan, CITIC Securities, Kaiyuan Securities, Guotai Junan, Guosen Securities, Huatai Securities, and Galaxy Securities [1][2]. - Compared to the first quarter, Shenwan Hongyuan rose from sixth to first place, while Guotai Junan entered the top ten after merging [2]. Group 2: Business Performance - In the area of sponsorship business quality scores at the Beijing Stock Exchange, Shenwan Hongyuan, Guotou Securities, and Dongxing Securities tied for first with a score of 16 [2]. - In the M&A business quality scores, Shenwan Hongyuan and Dongxing Securities both scored over 12 [2]. - In market-making business quality, CITIC Securities led with a score of 4.92 [2]. Group 3: Compliance Issues - Six securities firms were recorded with negative practice quality behaviors, involving issues in information disclosure and compliance [3]. - Specific penalties included public reprimands, warning letters, and requests for written commitments from involved parties [3]. - A case highlighted involved a company failing to disclose accurate sales agreements, leading to warnings for both the company and its sponsor [3]. Group 4: Information Disclosure Standards - In the first half of 2025, the Beijing Stock Exchange received applications from 115 companies for public offerings, with 6 successfully listed, raising a total of 1.923 billion yuan [4]. - The exchange emphasized the importance of accurate and complete information disclosure, warning that errors could lead to regulatory actions [5]. - The standards for listing have not changed, and companies must meet all requirements to apply for public offerings [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The personal pension fund distribution by securities firms is facing significant challenges, with sales figures remaining low compared to banks, which offer a wider range of products and services [1][3][4]. Group 1: Current Market Situation - In the first half of this year, personal pension fund sales through securities firms were less than 5000 yuan, a stark contrast to zero sales last year [1]. - The sales scale of personal pension products among 18 securities firms varies dramatically, with a difference of over 100 times between the largest and smallest firms [3]. - Only six securities firms have surpassed 10 million yuan in sales, with the largest being CICC at 24.83 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Challenges Faced - Securities firms are limited in their ability to sell a full range of personal pension products compared to banks, which can offer savings, insurance, and various investment products [1][4]. - The requirement for securities firms to rely on banks for personal pension trading accounts complicates the business process [4]. - The average return of FOF products over two years is only 2.92%, which, combined with declining interest rates on savings and insurance products, has dampened public interest in personal pension products [5]. Group 3: Strategies for Improvement - Some securities firms are adopting a buy-side advisory approach to provide tailored pension planning solutions to clients [6][8]. - CICC and China Galaxy Securities are leveraging their strengths in wealth management and insurance sales to enhance their personal pension services [9][12]. - The introduction of independent third-party evaluation services for personal pension products is suggested to help clients navigate the complex product landscape [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is shifting from a focus on account opening to a comprehensive competition in product strength and ecosystem services [12]. - The recent regulatory changes may allow securities firms to sell bank wealth management and insurance products, potentially addressing the current challenges in the personal pension market [11][12]. - The emphasis on transforming complex professional capabilities into simple solutions for clients is seen as crucial for the future of personal pension services [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [7]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong "Stablecoin Regulation" will take effect on August 1, 2025, which is expected to enhance the development of the stablecoin industry in Hong Kong. The U.S. Congress has also passed the "Genius Act" to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, signed into law by President Trump [1][2]. - Short-term, cross-border payment scenarios are anticipated to be significant applications for stablecoins, improving efficiency and reducing costs. Financial technology companies related to cross-border payments are expected to benefit, with a focus on companies like Lianlian Digital [1]. - Long-term, stablecoins are expected to facilitate virtual asset trading and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) and security token offerings (STO). Major Chinese brokerages are accelerating their involvement, with firms like Guotai Junan International upgrading their virtual asset trading licenses [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices saw increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.69% and the ChiNext Index up by 3.17% during the week [9]. - The non-bank sector experienced an overall decline, with the non-bank financial index down by 1.24% [9]. Securities Sector - The report highlights a significant increase in trading activity, with a total trading volume of 0.73 trillion shares and a turnover of 9.34 trillion yuan, marking a 6.05% increase week-on-week [17]. - The report notes that the margin trading balance reached 1.90 trillion yuan, a 1.52% increase from the previous week [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, China Ping An, China Life, and China Property & Casualty Insurance. In the securities sector, it recommends attention to leading firms like CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and China Galaxy Securities [44][45]. - Non-bank institutions to watch include ZhongAn Online, Lianlian Digital, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, and Lianyi Technology [45].

Core Viewpoint - The bond underwriting market in China is experiencing severe price competition, with underwriters willing to accept extremely low fees to secure business, leading to regulatory investigations into several institutions for abnormal pricing practices [1][6][10]. Group 1: Underwriting Fee Trends - The underwriting fees for the 2025-2026 secondary capital bond project by Guangfa Bank were reported as exceptionally low, with fees as low as 700 yuan and an average of around 10,000 yuan per institution, significantly below market averages [3][4][6]. - The total underwriting service fee for the six selected institutions was only 63,448 yuan, raising concerns about the sustainability of such low pricing [3][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Response - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association has initiated self-regulatory investigations into six institutions for their unusually low bids, citing potential violations of self-regulatory rules [6][10]. - Previous instances of low underwriting fees by Guangfa Bank have also drawn market scrutiny, indicating a pattern of aggressive pricing strategies that may undermine market integrity [6][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The intense competition among underwriting firms is driven by a desire to increase market share and rankings, leading to a cycle of low pricing that may not cover operational costs [7][9]. - The top six banks dominate the bond underwriting market, holding a combined market share of 53.7%, which pressures smaller firms to engage in price competition to secure business [9]. Group 4: Industry Concerns - There are significant concerns that continued low pricing in the underwriting market could lead to inadequate due diligence and increased risks of bond defaults, potentially harming the overall market [10]. - Experts suggest that a shift in focus from low pricing to value creation is necessary to restore a healthy competitive environment in the bond underwriting sector [10].

证券代码：601881 证券简称：中国银河 公告编号：2025-054 2025 年 7 月 17 日，本公司兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币 3,023,268,493.15 元。 特此公告。 中国银河证券股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 7 月 19 日 中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025年度第三期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带 责任。 中国银河证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）于 2025 年 2 月 18 日 成功发行了中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第三期短期融资券（以下简 称"本期短期融资券"），本期短期融资券发行额为人民币 30 亿元，票面利 率为 1.90%，短期融资券期限为 149 天，兑付日期为 2025 年 7 月 17 日。（详 见本公司于 2025 年 2 月 19 日刊登于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn） 的《中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第三期短期融资券发行结果公告》）。 ...

9 中国银河证券|CGS and the production and the start of the comment of the works of the world of the works of the 中东局势不确定性将如何影响全球产业链? 首席经济学家:章俊 研究助理:李沁蔓、田冀霖 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 全球产业链系列专题研究报告 中东局势不确定性将如何影响全球产业链? 2025年7月18日 核心观点 中东局势与市场观点: ● 近年来,中东地区地缘局势不确定性高企。当前部分冲突虽阶段性降温. 但区 域内结构性矛盾依然存在,外溢风险仍不可忽视。市场普遍认为,不稳定局势 仍将带来能源市场波动并引发供应风险,但现有研究更多剖析冲突下的能源价 格走势与短期航运威胁。本报告将系统分析中东局势的延续与升级对全球供应 链的潜在中长期影响,旨在为产业与政策层提供前瞻性判断与应对建议。 本文围绕中东局势对全球供应链的中长期影响展开系统研判: ® 我们认为,尽管霍尔木兹海峡完全封锁的可能性较低,伊朗对该海峡的控制力 仍是全球 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the implementation of the "Guidelines for Self-Regulatory Supervision of Listed Companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board - Science and Technology Growth Layer," which allows for the entry of unprofitable companies into a new market segment, thereby expanding opportunities for quality technology enterprises [1][4] - Multiple securities firms have quickly responded to the new guidelines by launching functions to enable trading permissions for the Science and Technology Growth Layer, indicating a swift adaptation to regulatory changes [1][2] - The establishment of the Science and Technology Growth Layer is seen as a significant move to support technological innovation and manage unprofitable tech companies more effectively, while also protecting investors' rights [2][3] Group 2 - The entry requirements for individual investors to participate in the Science and Technology Growth Layer remain consistent with existing rules for the Science and Technology Innovation Board, ensuring a stable investment environment [2][3] - A total of 32 unprofitable companies have been allowed to enter the Science and Technology Growth Layer, with a special "U" designation for their stocks, indicating their unprofitable status [3][4] - The inclusion of these companies spans critical technology sectors such as biomedicine, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and high-end equipment, showcasing the diverse landscape of the technology market [4]