Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising stock prices of dairy companies, with significant increases observed in shares of YouRan Dairy, China Shengmu, and others [1] - YouRan Dairy's stock rose by 10.26% to HKD 3.33, while China Shengmu increased by 9.23% to HKD 0.355, indicating strong market interest in the sector [1] - Original Ecology Dairy announced a supply agreement with its controlling shareholder, China Feihe, for raw milk from 2026 to 2028, with proposed annual sales caps of RMB 3.1 billion, RMB 3.4 billion, and RMB 3.7 billion, representing 96% of total revenue [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities noted that the current dairy cow capacity reduction may be nearing its end, with Q3 silage purchases potentially accelerating the clearing of marginal costs, leading to a rebound in raw milk prices [1] - Beef prices may be at an inflection point, but various factors such as funding, confidence, and environmental concerns could affect the willingness to restock, impacting future price increases [1] - Companies with cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability, with recommendations to focus on YouRan Dairy, China Shengmu, Guangming Meat, Modern Dairy, and Aoyuan Group [1]

董 事 會 欣 然 宣 佈，於2025年9月26日 舉 行 的 股 東 特 別 大 會 上 提 呈 以 批 准、確 認 及 追 認補充金融服務框架協議（包 括 經 修 訂 年 度 上 限）及其項下擬進行之交易的決議案 （「決議案」）已 獲 獨 立 股 東 以 投 票 表 決 方 式 正 式 通 過。 中國優然牧業集團有限公司 （於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司） （股 份 代 號：9858） 於2025年9月26日舉行的 股東特別大會的投票表決結果 茲提述中國優然牧業集團有限公司（「本公司」）日期為2025年9月8日的通函（「通 函」）， 當中載有本公司股東特別大會（「股東特別大會」）通 告（「通 告」）。除 文 義 另 有 指 明 外， 本 公 告 所 用 詞 彙 與 通 函 所 用 者 具 有 相 同 涵 義。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責， 對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全 部 或 任 何 部 分 內 容 而 產 生 或 因 倚 賴 該 等 內 容 而 引 ...

Industry Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The dairy sector is experiencing a significant supply contraction, with the potential end of capacity reduction in sight. The milk price has been declining for four years, leading to an industry loss for 1.5 years, resulting in an approximate 8% reduction in dairy cow capacity as of August 2025. The upcoming third-quarter silage feed procurement season may accelerate the clearing of livestock due to increased funding needs [4][27] - The beef sector is at a turning point in a super cycle, with domestic beef cattle capacity being fully cleared. The prolonged loss cycle has driven a deep reduction in breeding cows, which is expected to lead to a decline in beef cattle inventory starting in 2024. The supply of beef is anticipated to enter a contraction phase in the second half of 2025 [5][50] Summary by Sections Dairy Sector - Supply contraction is nearing its end, with milk prices expected to rebound due to a tightening supply-demand balance. The reduction in capacity is expected to stabilize by the end of 2025 or the first half of 2026, supported by seasonal demand during the upcoming holidays and long-term improvements in consumption driven by child-rearing subsidies [4][27] - The financial performance of dairy companies varies, with some showing resilience against falling milk prices due to unique business advantages, while others face significant pressure [6] - The dairy industry is characterized by a longer production cycle compared to other livestock, leading to a more prolonged adjustment period in capacity [6][27] Beef Sector - The beef cattle market is experiencing a super cycle, with a significant reduction in domestic beef cattle capacity. The prolonged loss cycle has led to a decrease in breeding cows, which will impact beef supply in the coming years [5][50] - External factors affecting beef supply are diminishing, with a long-term global beef supply gap emerging due to various pressures on major production areas [5] - The demand for beef is expected to grow steadily, driven by rising income levels and health consciousness among consumers, with a notable reliance on imported beef to meet domestic demand [50][51] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the anticipated recovery in both the dairy and beef sectors. Specific companies to watch include China Shengmu, Guangming Meat Industry, and Fucheng Co., for beef, and Yuran Dairy, China Shengmu, and Modern Dairy for dairy [6][7]

New Stock Activities - Companies currently in the IPO process include Botai Cheliang, Xipuni, and Zijin Gold International [1] - Chery Automobile is at the pricing stage, while Different Group is set for its listing date [1] Earnings Announcements - JBB Builders and Chuangneng Group are scheduled to announce their earnings [1] Shareholder Meetings - Companies holding shareholder meetings include Xinhua Wencuan, Jiajin Investment International, and Everbright Securities [1] - Other companies with scheduled meetings are Jiajin Investment International, Huangdafukong, Liangqing Holdings, Youran Muye, and Jinshi Holdings Group [1] Trading Suspension and Resumption - Changhong Jiahua is set to resume trading [1] Dividend Distribution - Companies with upcoming dividend-related dates include Tian Ge Interactive (ex-dividend date), KLN (dividend payment date), COSCO Shipping Holdings (ex-dividend date), Anta Sports (dividend payment date), and Yisheng Biotechnology (dividend payment date) [1] - Other companies with dividend-related dates include Tai Hing Group (ex-dividend date), Longji Group (dividend payment date), Zhou Li Fu (ex-dividend date), and Junjie Group Holdings (ex-dividend date) [1]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Dairy Industry Industry Overview - The dairy sector is experiencing a rebound due to a decrease in feed costs, with companies like YouRan, New South Wood, and Gongji Dairy reporting a 10% year-on-year decline in sales costs, which has helped offset the impact of falling prices per ton. The gross profit margin for raw milk has increased by nearly 2 percentage points [1][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **YouRan Dairy Performance**: In the first half of 2025, YouRan's raw milk revenue grew approximately 8% to 8 billion yuan, driven by increased sales volume and the launch of three new farms. Sales costs decreased by 10%, and feed costs fell by 12%, leading to a gross margin increase of 2.4 percentage points. The reduction of heifer stock and an increase in the proportion of breeding cows also contributed to profit growth [1][5]. - **Modern Dairy Performance**: Modern Dairy has reduced its stock by about 20,000 heads to 18,700 heads by eliminating inefficient cows. Raw milk revenue remained stable at around 5 billion yuan, but the average selling price fell by 10% year-on-year. The solutions business revenue dropped by 23%. Despite a 23% increase in operating cash flow, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased due to biological asset losses [1][6][7]. - **Milk Price Trends**: In early September, milk prices slightly rebounded, ending a downward trend since April, indicating that demand is not as weak as expected. If milk prices stabilize in the fourth quarter, demand may stabilize next year. However, a significant reduction in breeding cow stock is anticipated due to mass culling, which may lead to a supply gap [1][8][10]. - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The dairy sector's stock structure has improved, with the proportion of breeding cows increasing by 2.3 percentage points to 53%. Major dairy companies have accelerated stock reduction, with Modern Dairy's heifer stock decreasing by over 20,000 heads [2][9]. - **Impact of Feed Prices**: The price of silage is expected to remain stable or slightly increase, which will affect overall milk prices. Unlike last year, silage prices have not further declined, which may impact the profitability of dairy farmers [12]. - **Meat Cycle Influence**: The meat cycle plays a crucial role, with companies like YouRan and Modern Dairy culling about 30% of their breeding cows annually. The income from culling has nearly doubled in the first half of 2025. The domestic beef supply gap is expected to continue until 2027 due to various market pressures [13]. - **International Market and Policy Changes**: The international market is seeing a decline in production from major exporters like Brazil and New Zealand due to drought and rising costs. Domestic policies are also tightening import regulations, which will increase transportation costs and affect the supply chain [14]. - **Profitability Outlook**: The reversal in milk prices and reduction in unit costs are expected to significantly enhance the profitability of dairy companies. If raw milk prices rebound and unit costs remain stable, leading companies could see gross margins improve by up to 10 percentage points [15]. Additional Important Insights - **Future Trends in Dairy Industry**: The current rebound in milk prices suggests better-than-expected demand. The supply side is also expected to perform well, with significant culling and replenishment of breeding cows. Valuation metrics indicate strong potential for profitability and growth in the dairy sector, with historical price-to-book ratios suggesting room for upward movement [16].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The beef import market is characterized by high concentration, dominated by South America and growing imports from Australia [4][18] - In the first half of 2025, China's beef imports are expected to decline in volume but increase in price, with a total import of 1.3 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 9.5% and an average price of 18.39 yuan per jin, an increase of 8.4% [4][40] - Import policies are tightening, with increased tariffs and stricter qualification requirements for importers, particularly affecting U.S. beef imports [4][59] Summary by Sections 1. Major Beef Import Countries - The top six countries accounted for over 93% of total beef imports in 2023-2025H1, with Brazil leading at 46%, followed by Argentina and Australia [4][14] - Australia has become the third-largest beef supplier to China, benefiting from the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement and U.S.-China trade tensions [4][26] 2. Changes in Beef Imports - In the first half of 2025, China's beef imports are projected to decrease in volume while prices rise, reflecting a tightening supply from overseas and an upgrade in domestic consumption [4][40] - The average price of imported beef has increased due to tightening global supply, reducing the price advantage of imported beef over domestic products [4][42] 3. Investment Recommendations - With the expected decline in import volumes and tightening import policies, domestic beef prices are likely to rise, benefiting high-quality livestock companies [4][59] - Companies such as YouRan MuYe, Modern MuYe, and China Shengmu are recommended for their potential to capitalize on rising beef prices [4][59]

Core Insights - The importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan": The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to significantly impact China's economic and social development over the next five years, shifting focus from production to a balance between production and consumption due to the current issue of insufficient effective demand [1] - Strengthening consumption policies: Starting in 2024, consumption policies will be significantly enhanced, including the allocation of special government bond funds to support consumption upgrades. Continued funding is expected in 2025 and 2026 [1] - Potential of service consumption: China's service consumption still lags behind developed economies, indicating a substantial opportunity for growth in this sector to stimulate consumer interest and optimize the consumption environment [1] - Rise of technology consumption: With a rapid technological development and an engineering talent surplus, products like robotic vacuum cleaners and drones are gaining market attention, likely creating new consumer demand [1] - Optimization of the overall consumption mechanism: Measures such as consumption tax reform will encourage local governments to transition from production-oriented to service-oriented, promoting the internationalization of quality consumption companies and enhancing residents' consumption capacity [1] Investment Recommendations - Food and Beverage: Recommended companies include Dongpeng Beverage and Lihigh Food, with a focus on Youran Dairy and Bairun Co [2] - Service Sector: Recommended companies include Guming, Mixue Group, and Bubugao, with a focus on Zhongsheng Holdings [2] - Light Industry: Companies to watch include Hengfeng Paper and Xilinmen [3] - Trendy Toys: Recommended companies include Pop Mart and Blokus [4] - Home Appliances: Recommended companies include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, TCL Electronics H, Roborock, and Ecovacs, with a focus on Yingshi Innovation [5] - Agriculture: Recommended companies include Zhongchong Co, Petty Co, Muyuan Foods, and Haida Group [11] - Textile and Apparel: Recommended companies include Anta Sports, Xtep International, 361 Degrees, and Hailan Home, with a focus on Li Ning and Sanfu Outdoor [11] Report Content Analysis - Expanding consumption share: The report emphasizes that expanding consumption share is essential for achieving Chinese-style modernization, as China's consumption rate is significantly lower than that of developed countries [9] - Shift in fiscal spending: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, fiscal spending will shift from material investments to human capital investments, increasing support for education, healthcare, and housing [9] - Promotion of common prosperity: The report highlights the need for income distribution reform and the promotion of the Zhejiang common prosperity model to achieve balanced development [9] - Consumption tax reform: The report suggests that consumption tax reform will help local governments transition from production-oriented to service-oriented, enhancing the consumption environment [9] - Transition from traditional to new consumption: The report analyzes the maturation of traditional consumption markets and the rise of new consumption, which is characterized by a focus on quality and personal satisfaction [9] - Stimulating interest in service consumption: The report indicates that the shift from physical to service consumption is crucial for expanding domestic demand, with growing demand for events and performances benefiting local consumption [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating, emphasizing the resilience of leading companies and the valuation recovery opportunities in the livestock and restaurant chains [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that national beer companies have shown stable revenue and profit performance, while regional companies exhibit better elasticity in performance. The cost decline has contributed to gross profit growth, and the improvement in expense ratios is gradually releasing profitability [5][24]. - In the snack food sector, the report notes a divergence in channel performance, with emerging channels like bulk snacks and membership supermarkets maintaining high momentum, while traditional channels face challenges. The focus is shifting from revenue growth to profitability logic [25]. - The restaurant chain sector is experiencing a bottoming out of fundamentals and sentiment, with a gradual recovery expected as policies adjust and consumption peaks approach. The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies like Haidilao and Guangzhou Restaurant [29][31]. - The livestock sector is anticipated to see a fundamental reversal as raw milk prices stabilize and beef prices rise, which could significantly enhance profitability for companies like China Shengmu [36][45]. Summary by Sections Beer - National beer companies have demonstrated operational resilience, with stable revenue growth driven primarily by volume recovery. Regional companies like Yanjing and Zhujiang Beer have shown stronger revenue performance [12][13]. - Cost improvements from raw material price declines and stable pricing have driven gross margin increases for beer companies. The report anticipates continued upward potential in the beer sector as terminal demand gradually recovers [18][24]. Snack Foods - The snack food sector is characterized by a split in channel performance, with new channels like bulk snacks and membership supermarkets thriving, while traditional channels face challenges. The report emphasizes the importance of profitability over revenue growth moving forward [25][26]. - Companies like Wancheng Group and Yuyuan Foods are highlighted for their strong performance in emerging channels, while others are advised to focus on cost optimization to enhance profitability [25][26]. Restaurant Chains - The restaurant sector has been under pressure due to policies and competition, but a recovery is expected as restrictions ease and consumption peaks. The report suggests focusing on companies with low valuations and potential for recovery, such as Haidilao and Green Tea Group [29][31]. - The report notes that the overall restaurant revenue for H1 2025 was 2.75 trillion yuan, reflecting a 4.3% increase, but with high-end dining facing significant challenges [29][30]. Livestock - The livestock sector is expected to see a turnaround as raw milk prices stabilize and beef prices rise, which could significantly enhance profitability for companies like China Shengmu. The report indicates that the most challenging phase for livestock companies may be over [36][45]. - The report highlights that the decline in raw milk prices has pressured revenue, but a stabilization is anticipated, which could improve the valuation of biological assets and overall profitability [36][38].

China Youran Dairy Group Limited 中國優然牧業集團有限公司 (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （Stock Code 股份代號：9858） NOTIFICATION LETTER 通知信函 Dear Non-Registered Shareholders(Note 1) , China Youran Dairy Group Limited (the "Company") – Notice of publication of (i) 2025 Interim Report, and (ii) Circular in relation to revision of annual caps for existing continuing connected transactions in relation to the supplemental financial services framework agreement, discloseable transact ...

合同编号: JT-202508-0027 系统页码:1/4 伊利财务有限公司 系统页码:2/4 金融服务框架协议之补充协议 甲方:伊利财务有限公司,一家于中国注册成立的有限公司,其注册地址为内蒙古自 治区呼和浩特市土默特左旗救勒川乳业开发区伊利大街1号伊利财务共享服务中心楼 一层南侧("甲方");及 乙方:中国优然牧业集团有限公司,一家根据开曼群岛法律注册成立的有限公司,其 注册办事处在 89 Nexus Way Camana Bay, Grand Cayman KY1-9009, Cayman Islands ("乙方")。 除文义另有所指外,本补充协议所用词汇与原合同(《金融服务框架协议》)所界 定者具有相同含义。 与 中国优然收业集团有限公司 金融服务框架协议之补充协议 合同编号:JT-202508-0027 甲乙双方已于 2023年4月24日签订《金融服务框架协议》(以下简称"原合同"), 现经双方平等协商,于 2025年[8]月[22]日在中华人民共和国呼和浩特市签订补充 协议("本补充协议")。 一、存款服务每日最高存款结余 对原合同第三条第二款的内容进行如下修改（第三条其他条款不进行修改): 1 ...