国泰海通证券发布研报称，维持优然牧业(09858)"增持"评级。该行预计公司2025-27年营收分别为 208.55、230.18、258.42亿元，同比增长3.8%、10.4%、12.3%，归母净利润为2.18、18.37、42.82亿 元;EPS分别为0.06、0.47、1.10元/股。公司为牧业行业龙头，受益于周期反转红利，给予2026年公司1.6 倍P/B，对应目标价6.72港元/股。 国泰海通证券主要观点如下： 增发募资23亿港元，未来或推动牧场整合优化 1月16日公司订立配售及认购、特别授权认购协议，合计拟发行5.99亿股，约占交易前股本的15.4%;募 集资金净额为23.30亿港元，将用于偿还贷款及数字化转型建设等，公司持续推动降本增效与资产结构 优化。此外，周期底部资产收购性价比较高，公司未来或进一步整合优化牧场布局。 大股东定增彰显信心，持股比例将增至36% 公司拟向承配人(先旧后新配售方式)/伊利全资子公司博源投资(特别授股方式)均发行2.99亿股，约占交 易前股本的7.7%，发行价格为3.92港元/股(较1月15日收盘价折让8.8%)，募集资金净额分别为 11.59/11.72亿港元，该 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通证券发布研报称，维持优然牧业(09858)"增持"评级。该行预计公司2025- 27年营收分别为208.55、230.18、258.42亿元，同比增长3.8%、10.4%、12.3%，归母净利润为2.18、 18.37、42.82亿元;EPS分别为0.06、0.47、1.10元/股。公司为牧业行业龙头，受益于周期反转红利，给 予2026年公司1.6倍P/B，对应目标价6.72港元/股。 国泰海通证券主要观点如下： 增发募资23亿港元，未来或推动牧场整合优化 后备牛存栏持续去化，短期节奏不改长期趋势 春节备货影响短期节奏，后备牛存栏持续去化，节后成母牛补栏断档影响有望逐月体现。此外，玉米、 豆粕与苜蓿草价格环比回升，较前期低点增长7%/3%/14%，饲草料价格回升有望加速去化进程。随着 反补贴政策落地，我国乳制品深加工产业国产替代有望加速。受益于初深加工产能建设投产与供给端存 栏去化持续，26年奶价有望步入上行周期。肉牛周期景气向上，其中供给端能繁母牛持续去化，进口牛 肉保障政策落地提振国内牛肉需求。公司为牧业行业龙头，有望受益于肉奶周期反转，整体盈利弹性较 强。 风险提示 存栏去化 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Youran Dairy (09858), is engaging in a share placement and subscription agreement, with a share price set at HKD 3.92, which represents an approximate 8.84% discount from the last trading price of HKD 4.30 [1][2]. Group 1: Share Placement and Subscription Details - On January 16, 2026, the company entered into a placement and subscription agreement, where the seller will sell shares and the placement agent will facilitate the sale to at least six subscribers at a price of HKD 3.92 per share [1]. - The company will issue new shares equivalent to the number of shares sold under the placement agreement at the same price of HKD 3.92 per share [1]. - The estimated net proceeds from the subscription are expected to be approximately HKD 11.72 billion [2]. Group 2: Share Capital Impact - The placement shares will represent about 7.14% of the company's enlarged issued share capital after the completion of the subscription [2]. - The total issued share capital after the placement and subscription will be approximately 6.66% larger than before [2]. - The number of shares to be subscribed under the special authorization agreement is 299 million, which will also represent about 7.14% of the enlarged issued share capital [2].

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月16日，优然牧业(09858)股东将股票存入J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited，存仓市值12.87亿港元，占比7.69%。 优然牧业发布公告，于2026年1月16日，公司、卖方博源及配售代理订立配售及认购协议，卖方将出 售，而配售代理将作为卖方的代理，竭力促使不少于6名承配人按每股配售股份3.92港元的配售价购买 配售股份，及公司将根据一般授权按相等于每股先旧后新认购股份的配售价3.92港元的先旧后新认购价 格向卖方配发及发行先旧后新认购股份(而该等先旧后新认购股份数目应与配售代理根据配售及认购协 议配售的配售股份数目相同)。 董事会欣然宣布，于2026年1月16日，公司与卖方订立特别授权认购协议，根据特别授权认购协议所载 的条款及条件，公司已有条件同意配发及发行，而卖方已有条件同意按特别授权认购价每股特别授权认 购股份3.92港元认购特别授权认购股份。于特别授权认购事项完成后，根据特别授权认购协议的条款及 条件，公司将配发及发行，而卖方将认购2.99亿股新股份。 配售股份占紧随先旧后新认购事项交割后经配发及发行先旧后 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the comprehensive reforms in Guizhou Moutai's market-oriented operation plan for 2026, focusing on product system, operational model, channel layout, and pricing mechanism [1] - The report indicates that the new store model is driving recovery in specific sectors, with Mingming very active in the Hong Kong stock market hearing [1] - Yili's shareholding ratio increased from 33.93% to 36.07% after participating in the YouRan placement, reflecting confidence at the industry bottom [1] Group 2 - In the consumer goods sector, three main themes are emphasized: the recovery expectations in the catering chain (focusing on new store models and customized supermarket offerings), high growth in health-oriented and functional products, and optimization of the cost cycle [1] - For Q1, attention is drawn to three key themes: first, snack and dairy products leading the market during the year-end rally, while liquor is expected to recover post-Spring Festival; second, the upcoming annual report forecast period may see leading companies in consumer goods exceed profit expectations; third, data from late January's Spring Festival stocking is expected to boost performance, combined with low valuations and sentiment recovery, amplifying the potential for Q1 performance surprises [1]

Core Viewpoint - Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. is participating in a share placement and subscription of new shares in China Youran Dairy Group Co., Ltd. through its wholly-owned subsidiary, aiming to enhance its supply chain efficiency and secure high-quality milk sources for better development in the dairy processing business [1][6]. Group 1: Transaction Overview - The company, through its subsidiary Boyuan Investment Holdings Ltd., holds a 33.93% stake in Youran Dairy. It will sell 299,250,000 shares at HKD 3.92 per share and simultaneously subscribe for the same number of new shares at the same price [1][2]. - The total subscription amount for the new shares is HKD 1,173,060,000 [3]. Group 2: Approval Process - The transaction was approved by the company's board of directors on January 14, 2026, with unanimous support, and does not require shareholder approval as it falls within the board's authority [3][4]. Group 3: Pricing Basis - The pricing for the sale and subscription was based on the latest market price of Youran Dairy prior to the agreement and was determined through fair negotiations between the parties involved [4]. Group 4: Financial Arrangements - Funding for the transaction will come from various sources, including potential capital increases from the company to Boyuan Investment and self-raised funds by Boyuan Investment [5]. Group 5: Impact on the Company - The transaction is strategically significant as it allows the company to secure high-quality milk sources and enhance its competitive position in the dairy industry, aligning with its long-term development goals [6].

Group 1 - The company, Yili Group, announced that it holds a total of 33.93% equity in Youran Dairy through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Boyuan Investment and Jinguang Holdings [1] - On January 16, 2026, Boyuan Investment will participate in the placement and subscription of new shares of Youran Dairy, selling 299 million shares at a price of HKD 3.92 per share, while subscribing to the same number of new shares, with a total subscription price of HKD 1.173 billion [1] - After the completion of the transaction, the company's total shareholding will increase from 33.93% to 36.07% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the dairy industry is entering a new phase characterized by "structural differentiation," with companies facing performance pressures in 2025 and a slowdown in liquid milk business growth [1] - The market is experiencing a significant shift, with traditional liquid milk consumption declining due to changing consumption scenarios, leading to intense price wars as a survival strategy for companies [1] - High-value segments such as premium milk powder, low-temperature fresh milk, and life-cycle nutrition products are rapidly emerging, creating new growth trajectories for the industry [1] Group 2 - Companies are now competing on a broader scale, moving beyond simple size and price comparisons to a systematic contest involving technology, supply chain, and brand value [1] - The industry is expected to see new development prospects by 2026 amid structural adjustments and transformations [1] Group 3 - In the stock market, dairy stocks in Hong Kong saw a rebound, with Yurun Dairy leading with a nearly 8% increase, followed by Modern Dairy with over 5%, and Australia Asia Group with a 2.3% rise [2] - Other companies such as Original Ecology Dairy, Mengniu Dairy, and China Feihe also experienced gains, albeit smaller, indicating a positive market response [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a rebound in Hong Kong dairy stocks, with significant gains in companies like Yurun Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Australia Asia Group, amidst a challenging performance outlook for the dairy industry in 2025 [1] - The dairy industry is entering a new phase characterized by "structural differentiation," with liquid milk business growth slowing down and intense price competition becoming a survival strategy for companies [1] - High-value segments such as premium milk powder, low-temperature fresh milk, and life-cycle nutrition products are emerging rapidly, creating new growth trajectories for the industry [1] Group 2 - The competitive landscape has shifted from simple scale and price competition to a comprehensive contest involving technology, supply chain, and brand value [1] - Structural adjustments and transformations are expected to lead to new development prospects for the industry by 2026 [1] Group 3 - Specific stock performance includes Yurun Agriculture rising by 7.91% to 4.640, Modern Farming increasing by 5.37% to 1.570, and Australia Asia Group up by 2.30% to 2.670 [2] - Other companies such as Original Ecology Agriculture, Mengniu Dairy, and China Feihe also experienced slight increases in their stock prices [2]

公告称，公司将先旧后新配售2.9925亿股，卖方(博源，公司控股股东伊利的全资附属公司)另将认购 2.9925亿股新股份。紧随完成后，控股股东于公司持股由33.93%增加至36.07%。 智通财经APP获悉，优然牧业(09858)低开逾5%，截至发稿，涨5.12%，报4.08港元，成交额11.81亿港 元。 消息面上，优然牧业发布公告，拟按每股3.92港元配售股份，较1月15日收市价4.3港元折让8.84%，所 得款项净额23.3亿港元，拟用于先进技术赋能及数位转型，以提升营运效能；偿还计息债务并优化资本 结构，为潜在收购或投资机会提供灵活性；及补充营运资金并用作一般公司用途。 ...