Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that raw milk prices continue to decline, and by the second half of 2025, supply and demand are expected to balance, benefiting the dairy industry [1] - In the procurement season of August-September, the financial pressure on farms is significant, leading to an accelerated reduction in livestock numbers [1] - The implementation of the fertility subsidy policy in July 2025 is expected to boost dairy product consumption demand [1] Group 2 - Beef prices are reversing from low levels, entering an upward cycle in 2025 due to reduced supply and diminished import impacts [2] - The beef market has experienced three cycles, with the current cycle characterized by a decline in beef prices since 2023, primarily due to low-priced imported beef and increased domestic production [2] - The national cattle inventory decreased by 2.1% year-on-year to 99.92 million heads in Q2 2025, indicating a tightening supply [2] Group 3 - The resonance of the meat and dairy cycles provides strong profit elasticity for livestock companies, with potential gross margin improvements of 6% to 10% for leading dairy firms if milk prices increase by 10% to 20% [3] - The valuation of breeding cows and income from culling are expected to improve with a 20% to 40% increase in beef prices, potentially adding 200 million to 400 million yuan to total income for leading livestock companies [3] - Companies involved in beef operations, such as Australia Asia Group and China Shengmu, are likely to benefit directly from the rebound in live cattle prices [3]

Core Insights - The genetic evaluation results for dairy bulls in China for 2025 have been released, with the bull No. 15522027 from YouRan MuYe SaiKeXing achieving the highest score of 2905 in the Chinese Cow Genomic Performance Index (GCPI) among 803 evaluated bulls, ranking first nationally [1] - YouRan MuYe SaiKeXing demonstrated significant advantages in the evaluation, securing 3 out of the top 5 positions, 5 out of the top 20, and 12 out of the top 50 bulls, continuing to lead the industry [1] - Among the top 100 Holstein young bulls in China, YouRan MuYe SaiKeXing has the highest representation with 28 bulls [1] Investment and Development - In recent years, YouRan MuYe SaiKeXing has increased investments in research facilities, high-end talent development, and core technology research and innovation, establishing a comprehensive and efficient dairy cattle breeding technology system and innovative management mechanism [1] - These efforts have laid a solid foundation for cultivating world-class dairy bulls [1]

Key Points - The top three companies with net inflows from southbound funds are Xinda Biopharmaceutical (01801) with 835 million, China Life (02628) with 403 million, and AIA Insurance (01299) with 373 million [1][2] - The top three companies with net outflows are the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) with -6.679 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with -2.584 billion, and Anta Sports (02020) with -782 million [1][2] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Canggang Railway (02169) leads with 66.05%, followed by Bosideng (03998) with 49.50%, and Zhengzhou Bank (06196) with 48.61% [1][2] - The companies with the highest net outflow ratios include Skyworth Group (00751) at -52.19%, Anta Sports (02020) at -50.20%, and Ruipu Lanjun (00666) at -44.79% [1][2] Net Inflow Rankings - The top ten companies by net inflow include: - Xinda Biopharmaceutical (01801) with 835 million and a closing price of 95.000 (+8.82%) [2] - China Life (02628) with 403 million and a closing price of 22.800 (+0.71%) [2] - AIA Insurance (01299) with 373 million and a closing price of 76.400 (+3.03%) [2] - Other notable companies include Ideal Automotive (02015) with 365 million and a closing price of 97.150 (+3.30%) [2] Net Outflow Rankings - The top ten companies by net outflow include: - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) with -6.679 billion and a closing price of 26.080 (+2.35%) [2] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with -2.584 billion and a closing price of 93.760 (+2.76%) [2] - Anta Sports (02020) with -782 million and a closing price of 90.000 (+0.22%) [2] - Other significant outflows include Alibaba (09988) with -267 million and a closing price of 123.700 (+6.09%) [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - The top companies by net inflow ratio include: - Canggang Railway (02169) with 66.05% and a closing price of 1.310 (-0.76%) [3] - Bosideng (03998) with 49.50% and a closing price of 4.600 (+0.66%) [3] - Zhengzhou Bank (06196) with 48.61% and a closing price of 1.410 (-2.08%) [3] Net Outflow Ratio Rankings - The top companies by net outflow ratio include: - Skyworth Group (00751) with -52.19% and a closing price of 3.260 (+1.24%) [3] - Anta Sports (02020) with -50.20% and a closing price of 90.000 (+0.22%) [3] - Ruipu Lanjun (00666) with -44.79% and a closing price of 12.160 (+5.28%) [3]

Core Insights - A transformative agricultural and animal husbandry revolution is underway in Hohhot, driven by a strategy focused on "large industries and large parks" [1] - The green agricultural and livestock product processing industry cluster is expanding, with seven leading industries and their respective supply chains being established [1] Industry Development - The Biquqi Town's Youran Animal Husbandry has seen the establishment of 110 large-scale enterprises, with 28 new additions in 2024, representing 29.8% of the city's total in six major industrial clusters [3] - The "Youan Animal Husbandry Saikexing Research Institute" is utilizing genomic data to enhance dairy cattle breeding, marking a significant technological advancement in China's dairy industry [3][4] Technological Advancements - The "Breeding No. 1 Chip" has been developed, which integrates advanced sequencing and high-throughput gene detection technologies, enabling precise selection of high-quality local dairy cattle [3][4] - The chip has been successfully applied to over 300 dairy cattle, achieving an accuracy level that meets international standards [4] Economic Impact - The advancements in breeding technology are expected to significantly improve the genetic quality of cattle, extend their productive lifespan, and promote cost reduction and green transformation in farms [5] - The full industrial chain development is becoming crucial for enhancing the competitiveness of the agricultural and livestock sectors [6] Strategic Initiatives - The dairy industry is identified as the leading industry in Hohhot, with a focus on upgrading the industry as a core engine of transformation [8] - The local government is pursuing three key development directions: establishing green agricultural product processing parks, creating digital industry clusters, and building technology-driven clusters to address critical challenges in agriculture [8] Future Outlook - The integration of technology in farming practices, such as smart weather management for alfalfa cultivation, is enhancing efficiency and resource management [6] - The overall vision for Hohhot's modern agricultural and livestock industry is becoming clearer, characterized by technological empowerment, ecological friendliness, and a complete supply chain [10]

Core Viewpoint - The dairy sector continues to show strong performance, driven by new government policies aimed at boosting infant formula consumption and improving the overall dairy market conditions by 2025 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the report, China Shengmu (01432) increased by 9.09% to HKD 0.48, YouRan Dairy (09858) rose by 3.53% to HKD 4.4, Mengniu Dairy (02319) gained 1.46% to HKD 16.67, and Ausnutria (01717) climbed 1.19% to HKD 2.55 [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - On July 28, the "Implementation Plan for the Childcare Subsidy System" was released, which will provide an annual subsidy of HKD 3,600 per child for families with children under three years old starting January 1, 2025 [1] - This policy is expected to benefit over 20 million families with infants, likely leading to increased consumption of dairy products, particularly infant formula [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Guosen Securities is optimistic about a reversal in the beef cycle by 2025, predicting that meat prices will continue to rise until 2027 [1] - The domestic raw milk supply and demand situation is expected to improve in the second half of 2025, with prices likely to recover [1] - For dairy farming companies, the improvement in raw milk prices is anticipated to enhance main business profitability, while the upward trend in the beef cycle may significantly increase profits from culling dairy cows and selling calves [1] - Companies such as YouRan Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu are recommended due to their high performance recovery potential in the context of dairy and beef market synergy [1]

Group 1 - Dairy stocks continue to show strong performance, with China Shengmu (01432) up 9.09% to HKD 0.48, Yurun Dairy (09858) up 3.53% to HKD 4.4, Mengniu Dairy (02319) up 1.46% to HKD 16.67, and Ausnutria (01717) up 1.19% to HKD 2.55 [1] - The implementation plan for the childcare subsidy system was released on July 28, which will provide a subsidy of HKD 3,600 per child per year for children under three years old starting from January 1, 2025, benefiting over 20 million families [1] - The policy is expected to directly boost the consumption of dairy products, particularly infant formula [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities is optimistic about the reversal of the beef cycle in 2025, predicting that meat prices will continue to rise until 2027 [1] - The domestic raw milk supply and demand situation is expected to improve in the second half of 2025, leading to a potential price recovery [1] - The improvement in raw milk prices is favorable for the profitability of dairy farming, and the upward trend in the beef cycle is expected to significantly enhance the income from culling dairy cows and selling calves, recommending Yurun Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu for their high performance recovery potential [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - A total of 142 stocks reached their 52-week highs as of August 12, with notable performers including Yingmei Holdings (02028), Elite Group (01775), and Fuying Global Group (01620) achieving high rates of 164.89%, 84.78%, and 40.63% respectively [1]. Stock Performance - **Top Performers**: - Yingmei Holdings (02028) closed at 0.223 with a peak of 0.249, marking a 164.89% increase [1]. - Elite Group (01775) closed at 0.350 with a peak of 0.425, reflecting an 84.78% increase [1]. - Fuying Global Group (01620) closed at 0.180, reaching its peak at 0.180, showing a 40.63% increase [1]. - **Other Notable Stocks**: - Aoya Group (02425) increased by 34.36% [1]. - Fuyiy International Holdings (01470) saw a rise of 28.30% [1]. - Huajian Medical (01931) experienced a 27.58% increase [1]. 52-Week High Rankings - The ranking of stocks that reached their 52-week highs includes: - Yingmei Holdings (02028) at 164.89% [1]. - Elite Group (01775) at 84.78% [1]. - Fuying Global Group (01620) at 40.63% [1]. 52-Week Low Rankings - The report also highlights stocks that reached their 52-week lows, with notable declines including: - Jiadeng International Group (08153) at -15.25% [4]. - Kun Group (00924) at -12.86% [4]. - Zhongjia Guoxin (00899) at -10.00% [4].

Group 1 - The stock prices of raw milk companies, particularly Aoyuan Group, have surged significantly, with Aoyuan Group's stock rising over 40% in a single day [1] - The increase in stock prices is attributed to a quiet growth in domestic raw milk demand, driven by multiple favorable factors and preparations by dairy companies for the Mid-Autumn Festival [1][2] - Other raw milk stocks also experienced substantial gains, with Modern Dairy's stock rising over 10% and Yuran Dairy's stock increasing by 7.44% [1] Group 2 - Despite the recent price surge, the average purchase price of fresh milk in major producing provinces remains stable at 3.03 yuan per kilogram, showing no significant rebound [1] - The rapid increase in raw milk stock prices is a result of the market recovery and the influence of several supportive policies [2]

今日开盘后，原奶股继续快速上涨，涨幅持续扩大。截至记者发稿时，除澳亚集团股价飙升超41%外，现代牧业涨15.87%，优然牧业（09858.HK）涨 7.44%。 2022年以来，国内原奶价格持续下行，原奶股股价表现也相对低迷，连续两日大涨的情况并不多见。农业农村部最新价格数据显示，今年七月第五周，内蒙 古、河北等10个主产省份生鲜乳平均收购价格为3.03元/公斤，与月初持平，尚未见明显反弹。 记者了解到，此番原奶股价快速上涨，也是原奶市场回暖和多项政策利好共同作用所致。 原奶市场供需关系在逐步缓和，行业开始有回暖迹象。 虽然国内奶价尚未明显反弹，但港股原奶上市公司股价近两日已"起飞"。今日（8月12日）盘中，澳亚集团（02425.HK）涨幅一度超过40%。 记者多方了解到，在多项利好刺激及中秋乳企备货推动下，国内原奶需求正悄然增长，有部分省市散奶价格涨幅接近翻倍。 昨日（8月11日）午盘后，原奶股股价即出现大幅拉升。截至收盘，现代牧业（01117.HK）股价上涨超10%，多股涨幅逾7%。 部分受访奶农表示，近期因中秋国庆旺季备货期来临，乳企加大了原奶采购量，整体市场供需有所改善。河北奶农徐新介绍，当前市场供需 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in dairy stocks, with Australia Asia Group increasing by over 37%, Modern Dairy by 15%, and other companies like Original Ecology Dairy and China Shengmu rising over 10% [1][2] - The Chinese dairy industry is undergoing a strategic transformation from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement," driven by global supply chain adjustments and consumption upgrades [1] - Solid dairy products such as cheese and butter are becoming key drivers for innovation in the catering industry and the development of healthy food, with the B-end dairy product market expected to exceed 40 billion yuan by 2024 and reach 70.3 billion yuan by 2028 [1] Group 2 - Australia Asia Group's stock rose by 37.67% to a latest price of 2.010, with a total market value of 1.971 billion yuan [2] - Modern Dairy's stock increased by 15.08% to a price of 1.450, with a market capitalization of 11.478 billion yuan [2] - Other notable increases include Original Ecology Dairy at 10.53% (0.420, 0.197 billion yuan), China Shengmu at 10.23% (0.485, 0.4065 billion yuan), and YouRan Dairy at 8.44% (4.370, 17.011 billion yuan) [2]