Core Viewpoint - The comparison between NetEase (NTES) and Tyler Technologies (TYL) indicates that NTES currently offers better value for investors based on various financial metrics and rankings [1]. Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Estimates - NetEase has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while Tyler Technologies has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting that NTES is likely experiencing a more favorable earnings outlook [3]. - The Zacks Rank system emphasizes stocks with positive earnings estimate revisions, which is a key factor for value investors [2]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - NTES has a forward P/E ratio of 13.29, significantly lower than TYL's forward P/E of 24.11, indicating that NTES may be undervalued relative to TYL [5]. - The PEG ratio for NTES is 1.41, while TYL's PEG ratio is 1.61, suggesting that NTES has a better balance between its price and expected earnings growth [5]. - NTES has a P/B ratio of 3.24 compared to TYL's P/B of 3.53, further supporting the argument that NTES is a more attractive investment based on traditional valuation metrics [6]. Group 3: Overall Value Grades - Based on the analysis of various financial metrics, NTES holds a Value grade of B, while TYL has a Value grade of D, reinforcing the conclusion that NTES is the superior choice for value investors at this time [6].

Core Insights - NetEase has several key events to watch in 2026, focusing on new product launches, globalization efforts, and potential market liquidity changes [1] Business Progress - NetEase plans to launch several major games in 2026, including the ocean adventure RPG "Forgotten Sea" expected to release in Q3, and the open-world game "Infinite" which has completed closed testing and is set for a full-platform release. These new products may further strengthen the company's competitive position in the gaming market [2] - The global promotion of "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" will continue, with the game surpassing 80 million global users by the end of 2025. Future content updates and localized operations may enhance its influence [2] Financial Situation - If NetEase is included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect in 2026, it could attract southbound capital inflows, potentially driving valuation recovery. Institutions like JPMorgan have noted that current valuations are low, and this event could act as a liquidity catalyst [3] Company Status - AI technology has been systematically integrated into the entire game development process, with efficiency improvements exceeding 300% in certain areas. This may enhance product innovation through AI-native gameplay [4] - The company continues its dividend policy, with a payout of $0.232 per share in Q4 2025, and has extended its share buyback plan until 2029, with a buyback amount of approximately $2 billion by the end of 2025 [4]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market saw collective gains on the eve of the Lunar New Year, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.523% to close at 26,705.939 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.132%, and the National Enterprises Index up by 0.416% [1] - Mixed performance was observed in tech stocks, with Tencent, Baidu, and NetEase rising, while Alibaba, Meituan, and JD.com experienced slight declines [3] Sector Highlights - AI application stocks showed significant gains, with MINIMAX-WP surging by 24% and Zhihui rising by 4% [3] - Gold stocks performed strongly, with Lao Pu Gold rising over 6%, and Zijin Mining and Lingbao Gold both increasing by over 4% [3] - The semiconductor sector also saw robust performance, with Lanke Technology rising by over 14% and Zhaoyi Innovation increasing by over 9% [3] Stock Specifics - Xiaomi Group saw a slight decline of 0.489% with a trading volume of 1.45 billion [4] - Alibaba's stock decreased by 0.450% with a trading volume of 4.461 billion [4] - Tencent Holdings increased by 0.188% with a trading volume of 3.839 billion [4] - Meituan's stock fell by 0.122% with a trading volume of 1.917 billion [4] - Zijin Mining rose by 4.666% with a trading volume of 1.299 billion [4] - Zhaoyi Innovation increased by 9.784% with a trading volume of 0.323 billion [4] Gold Price Movement - International gold prices experienced a sudden drop, falling below $5,000, with a daily decline exceeding 1% [5] Market Outlook - According to China Merchants Securities, the recent significant decline in the Hang Seng Tech Index presents substantial allocation value. The firm suggests that the current market volatility is primarily due to liquidity shocks and that favorable factors are accumulating, recommending buying on dips and holding stocks through the holiday [7]

Group 1 - The first AI Spring Festival Gala, co-hosted by NetEase Cloud Music and NetEase Media, received positive feedback from users and was praised as the "highest content-rich gala on the internet" [1] - The gala adopted a new format to cater to users' consumption habits of "short, quirky, and fast," presenting a diverse and exciting content feast in just 15 minutes [3] - The program "Dance, Ancestors!" showcased cultural relics in an innovative way, bringing ancient artifacts to life through AI technology, highlighting the charm of cultural heritage [3] Group 2 - The rapid development of AI technology has created disruptive opportunities for content creation, allowing for the realization of creative ideas in a convenient manner [3] - The gala featured a song performed by the AI musician "Wandering Conference Room," which successfully brought iconic characters from "Journey to the West" into the recording studio, gaining widespread popularity [3] - The AI talk show segment "Praising Techniques Manual" taught viewers fun techniques for complimenting others, addressing a common need during the New Year celebrations [3] Group 3 - Industry experts noted that the AI Spring Festival Gala explored new opportunities in digital arts, injecting fresh gameplay into cultural and entertainment experiences through AI [3] - The event resonated with young audiences by combining humor and warmth, demonstrating that the integration of technology and culture can create a more impactful experience [3]

后市展望： 招商证券指出，近期以恒生科技为代表的港股科技方向整体跌幅较大，而弱势的行情往往是各类悲观叙事滋生的温床。该券商认为，当前位置的恒生科技 指数有极大的配置价值。首先，近期行情波动只是剧烈的流动性冲击；其次，天底下没有新鲜事，当前市场的大幅波动，本质上和2025年11月没有太大差 异。向后看去，利好的因素在不断聚集，建议逢低买入、持股过节。 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） 编辑|段炼 宋思艰 校对|魏官红 2月16日除夕，港股开市半天，三大指数集体上涨。截至收盘，恒生指数涨0.523%，报26705.939点，恒生科技指数涨0.132%，国企指数涨0.416%。 科网股涨跌不一，腾讯、百度、网易上涨，阿里、美团、京东微跌。AI应用概念，MINIMAX-WP涨24%，智谱涨4%；黄金股大涨，老铺黄金涨超6%，紫 金矿业、灵宝黄金涨逾4%；半导体板块走强，澜起科技涨逾14%，兆易创新涨逾9%。 | 1 | 小米集团－W | 36.660 -0.489% 14.5亿 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 01810 | ...

Holiday Arrangements - Major companies have announced their holiday schedules for the upcoming Spring Festival, with most adhering to the national statutory holiday of 9 days [3][4] - Tencent will have a holiday from February 14 to February 23, totaling 10 days, while 58.com has the longest holiday of 17 days from February 7 to February 23 [4] - Other companies like Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Meituan, Didi, Pinduoduo, Kuaishou, JD, and Xiaomi will follow the statutory holiday from February 15 to February 23, each with 9 days off [4] Employee Sentiment - There is a general satisfaction among employees regarding the holiday duration, with many expressing hope that future holidays will not be less than 9 days [3]

Economic Indicators - The latest CPI data from the US shows a decrease in the annual rate from 2.7% to 2.4%, the lowest since May 2025, with market expectations at 2.5% [1] - The core CPI annual rate fell from 2.6% to 2.5%, marking the lowest level since March 2021, aligning with market expectations [1] - Following the CPI release, the probability of the Federal Reserve easing policies in June increased from 63% to 69%, with a 50% chance of a third rate cut this year [1] Stock Market Performance - The three major US stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.1%, S&P 500 up 0.05%, and Nasdaq down 0.22% [2] - Over the week, the Dow Jones fell by 1.23%, S&P 500 by 1.39%, and Nasdaq by 2.1% [2] Individual Stock Movements - Major tech stocks experienced declines, with Apple and Nvidia down over 2%, while Tesla saw a slight increase of 0.09% [4] - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 0.66%, driven by significant gains in Applied Materials and ARM [4] - Gold stocks showed strong performance, with several companies like Coeur Mining and Harmony Gold seeing increases of over 6% [4] Commodity Prices - Gold and silver prices surged, with gold closing at $5042.808 per ounce, up over 2.4%, and silver reaching $77.338 per ounce after a rise of over 5% [6] Geopolitical Developments - The US is increasing military presence in the Middle East, with President Trump confirming the deployment of a second aircraft carrier strike group to pressure Iran into negotiations [8] - Trump emphasized the need for a deal with Iran within a month, warning of severe consequences if negotiations fail [9] - Israeli officials expressed skepticism about the potential agreement, stressing the importance of including issues related to Iran's nuclear capabilities and missile programs [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes optimism regarding the company's growth driven by new game launches, overseas expansion, and AI empowerment [5] - The company achieved revenue of 27.5 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.0% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.9% [5] - The report highlights a strong growth momentum in contract liabilities, which increased by 5% to 20.5 billion yuan by the end of Q4 [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the long-term operation of classic games and the launch of new titles, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026-2028 being 37.2 billion, 41.9 billion, and 45.1 billion yuan respectively [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 105.3 billion yuan for 2024, 112.6 billion yuan for 2025, 119.6 billion yuan for 2026, 129.9 billion yuan for 2027, and 136.1 billion yuan for 2028, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.8%, 7.0%, 6.2%, 8.7%, and 4.7% respectively [6] - Net profit estimates are 29.7 billion yuan for 2024, 33.8 billion yuan for 2025, 37.2 billion yuan for 2026, 41.9 billion yuan for 2027, and 45.1 billion yuan for 2028, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 1.0%, 13.7%, 10.2%, 12.6%, and 7.6% [6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 14.1, 12.5, and 11.6 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the company's strong growth potential driven by new game launches, the revitalization of existing games, and the integration of AI technology [5] - The company achieved a revenue of 27.5 billion yuan in Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.9% [5] - The report highlights the successful performance of the game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds," which topped the iOS sales chart in mainland China and achieved over 80 million global players [5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory with projected net profits of 37.2 billion yuan in 2026, 41.9 billion yuan in 2027, and 45.1 billion yuan in 2028 [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 105.3 billion yuan in 2024, 112.6 billion yuan in 2025, 119.6 billion yuan in 2026, 129.9 billion yuan in 2027, and 136.1 billion yuan in 2028 [6] - The net profit is projected to grow from 29.7 billion yuan in 2024 to 45.1 billion yuan in 2028, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 1.0%, 13.7%, 10.2%, 12.6%, and 7.6% [6] - The report indicates a projected P/E ratio of 14.1 for 2026, 12.5 for 2027, and 11.6 for 2028, suggesting a favorable valuation outlook [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 4Q25 Non-GAAP net profit fell short of both internal and market expectations, primarily due to higher-than-expected investment losses and lower revenue recognition from deferred income [1][2] Performance Review - 4Q25 revenue increased by 3% year-on-year to 27.5 billion yuan, below the expected 28.5 billion yuan, attributed to a slower-than-expected recognition of deferred income [1] - Non-GAAP net profit decreased by 27% year-on-year to 7.1 billion yuan, also below the expected 8.25 billion yuan, mainly due to investment losses exceeding expectations by approximately 1.07 billion yuan [1][2] - Gross margin improved to 64.2%, indicating effective cost control by the company [2] Development Trends - Deferred income saw a net increase of 1.04 billion yuan in 4Q25, better than market expectations, suggesting potential revenue release in the future [1] - The new game "Forgotten Sea" is expected to launch in 3Q26, with positive market feedback on gameplay and art style [1] - The game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" has over 80 million players globally as of the 4Q25 earnings release [1] Financial Policies - The company declared a dividend of $1.16 per ADS for 4Q25, with a dividend payout ratio of 83%, maintaining a stable shareholder return policy [2] - The share repurchase plan has been extended to January 2029, with approximately $2 billion repurchased by the end of 2025 [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for 2026 Non-GAAP net profit has been revised down by 4% to 40.9 billion yuan, while the 2027 forecast remains unchanged [2] - Current stock prices correspond to 14x and 12x Non-GAAP P/E for 2026 and 2027, respectively, indicating an upside potential of 36% for Hong Kong stocks and 38% for U.S. stocks [2]