Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 149.00 / CNY 134.69 [4][3] Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of CNY 26.2 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 3.9% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.8%, primarily driven by increased mobile game net revenue [2] - Q3 gross margin was 62.9%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.7 percentage points, mainly due to the growth in gross margin from cloud music [2] - The company anticipates a recovery in game revenue in Q4, driven by the return of Blizzard games, with expected revenue of CNY 21.7 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4% [2][3] Financial Summary - Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 6.54 billion, down 16.6% year-over-year and 3.3% quarter-over-quarter [2] - The company expects net profit for 2024 to be CNY 28.7 billion, with projections of CNY 32.5 billion and CNY 34.9 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively [3] - The report highlights a total revenue forecast of CNY 106.3 billion for 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 2.77% [3] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue from games and related value-added services in Q3 was CNY 20.86 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 4.2% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.0% [2] - Mobile game revenue was CNY 14.3 billion, down 9.7% year-over-year and 2.9% quarter-over-quarter, while PC game revenue increased significantly by 29.0% year-over-year and 30.0% quarter-over-quarter to CNY 5.9 billion [2] - Cloud music revenue in Q3 was CNY 2.0 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.3% [2] Future Growth Drivers - Upcoming mobile games such as "Seven Days World" and "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" are expected to drive future growth [3] - The return of Blizzard's "Hearthstone" is anticipated to significantly boost mobile game revenue, with expected daily active users (DAU) increasing by 150% compared to before the game's closure [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 149.00 / CNY 134.69 [4][3] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q3 2024 was CNY 26.2 billion, showing a year-over-year decrease of 3.9% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.8%, primarily driven by increased mobile game net income [2] - The gross margin for Q3 was 62.9%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.7 percentage points, mainly due to the growth in gross margin from cloud music [2] - The company expects significant revenue growth in Q4 2024, driven by the return of Blizzard games, with projected revenue reaching CNY 21.7 billion, a year-over-year increase of 4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4% [2][3] Financial Summary - Q3 2024 total revenue from games and related value-added services was CNY 20.86 billion, down 4.2% year-over-year but up 4.0% quarter-over-quarter [2] - Mobile game revenue was CNY 14.3 billion, down 9.7% year-over-year and down 2.9% quarter-over-quarter, while PC game revenue was CNY 5.9 billion, up 29.0% year-over-year and up 30.0% quarter-over-quarter [2] - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 to be CNY 28.7 billion, CNY 32.5 billion, and CNY 34.9 billion respectively [3] Revenue Breakdown - Q3 2024 cloud music revenue was CNY 2.0 billion, up 1.3% year-over-year, primarily due to increased subscription revenue [2] - Q3 2024 Youdao revenue was CNY 1.57 billion, up 2.3% year-over-year and up 19.0% quarter-over-quarter, driven by growth in online marketing services and smart devices [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for NetEase-S (09999 HK) [2][5][28] Core Views - NetEase's PC gaming revenue showed strong growth, while mobile gaming revenue declined due to a high base effect [3][19] - The company's gaming business is stabilizing, with key focus on the upcoming game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" [3][21] - NetEase's old games like "Fantasy Westward Journey" remain stable, while "Identity V" and "Naraka: Bladepoint" continue to perform well [3][21] - The company's game development capabilities and pipeline are strong, with multiple new games set to launch [5][21] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, NetEase reported revenue of RMB 26 2 billion, down 4% YoY, with Non-GAAP net profit of RMB 7 5 billion, down 13% YoY [2][10] - The company's gaming revenue was RMB 20 2 billion, down 1% YoY, with PC gaming revenue up 29% YoY to RMB 5 9 billion [3][19] - NetEase's deferred revenue grew 10% YoY to RMB 15 5 billion [3][20] - Youdao's revenue increased 2% YoY to RMB 1 6 billion, with advertising revenue up 46% YoY [4][22] - NetEase Cloud Music's revenue grew 1% YoY to RMB 2 billion, with gross margin improving 5 6 percentage points to 32 8% [4][26] Business Segments Gaming - PC gaming revenue growth was driven by the return of "World of Warcraft" and the strong performance of "Naraka: Bladepoint" [3][19] - "World of Warcraft" saw a 50% increase in daily active users compared to pre-shutdown levels, while "Hearthstone" saw a 150% increase in active users [3][21] - New games like "Marvel Rivals" and "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" are set to launch in December 2024 [3][21] Youdao - Youdao's learning services revenue declined 19% YoY to RMB 770 million due to business restructuring and optimization [4][22] - Smart device revenue grew 25% YoY to RMB 320 million, driven by new product launches [4][22] - Advertising revenue increased 46% YoY to RMB 490 million, supported by the application of AI technology [4][22] NetEase Cloud Music - NetEase Cloud Music's gross margin improved significantly, reaching 32 8% in Q3 2024, up 5 6 percentage points YoY [4][26] - The improvement was attributed to increased music subscription revenue and better cost control [4][26] Valuation and Forecast - The report revised down NetEase's profit forecasts for 2024-2026, with adjusted net profit estimates of RMB 32 billion, RMB 36 1 billion, and RMB 38 billion, respectively [5][28] - The target price was adjusted to HKD 157-181, representing a 22% reduction [5][28] - The valuation is based on a 13-15x PE ratio for 2025 [5][28]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The gaming business has exceeded expectations, with a focus on new game launches at the end of the year [2] - The company achieved revenue of 26.21 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 3.9% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.8% [2] - The gaming and related value-added services outperformed expectations with 20.9 billion yuan compared to the 20.7 billion yuan consensus [2] - The company’s long-term games continue to perform well, with significant contributions from titles like "Identity V" and "Naraka: Bladepoint" [2] - New games expected to launch in December, including Marvel IP licensed titles, are anticipated to drive revenue growth [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 gross profit was 16.48 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 62.9%, showing a year-over-year decrease of 2.9% [2] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 was 7.5 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 13.3% [2] - The company forecasts adjusted net profits for CY 2024/25/26 to be 31.82 billion, 34.94 billion, and 38.32 billion yuan respectively [2][4] - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected at 2.2% for 2024, 7.1% for 2025, and 6.0% for 2026 [4][8] Key Financial Indicators - The company’s operating income for 2023 is projected at 103.47 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 7.2% [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 25% in 2023 to 21% by 2026 [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 16.1 in 2023 to 10.5 by 2026 [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 26.21 billion yuan for Q3 2024, showing a year-over-year decline of 3.9% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.538 billion yuan, down 16.6% year-over-year and down 3.3% quarter-over-quarter [1][3] - The gaming segment showed strong growth, with revenue from PC games increasing by 29% year-over-year, while mobile games experienced a decline of 10% due to base effects. The company is set to release several new titles, which are expected to drive future growth [3][7] - The company’s subsidiary, Youdao, achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan in Q3 2024, marking a year-over-year growth of 2.2% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 19.0%, with significant improvements in profitability [3][8] - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 2 billion yuan in Q3 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.3% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2.0%, with a notable improvement in gross margin [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 62.9%, with a slight year-over-year increase of 0.6 percentage points. The sales expense ratio was 14.5%, the R&D expense ratio was 16.9%, and the management expense ratio was 4.2% [3] - The total market capitalization is approximately 431.81 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of the same amount [3] - The company’s revenue projections for FY2024-2026 are estimated at 104.3 billion, 108.3 billion, and 115.3 billion yuan, respectively, with adjusted net profits of 31.6 billion, 33 billion, and 36.1 billion yuan [8]

隐证券 传媒/游戏Ⅱ 2024Q3 业绩稳健，关注《燕云十六声》等后续新游 网易-S（09999.HK） 2024 年 11 月 16 日 投资评级：买入（维持） ——港股公司信息更新报告 方光照（分析师） 田鹏（分析师） fangguangzhao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030004 tianpeng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790523090001 | --- | --- | |-------------------------|---------------| | 日期 | 2024/11/15 | | 当前股价 ( 港元 ) | 134.00 | | 一年最高最低 ( 港元 ) | 185.70/116.00 | | 总市值 ( 亿港元 ) | 4,461.62 | | 流通市值 ( 亿港元 ) | 4,318.11 | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 33.30 | | 流通港股 ( 亿股 ) | 32.22 | | 近 3 个月换手率 (%) | 16.71 | 股价走势图 -48% -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 2023-11 2024-03 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to HKD 160 / USD 103, reflecting a potential upside of 34% and 22% respectively from current prices [3][6][18]. Core Insights - The company's overall performance in Q3 2024 was slightly below expectations, with revenue of RMB 26.2 billion, a year-on-year decline of 3.9% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.8%. This was 1.4% lower than market expectations. The adjusted net profit was RMB 7.5 billion, also below market expectations by 5.9% [1][3]. - The gaming segment showed mixed results, with total gaming revenue of RMB 20.2 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%. Mobile game revenue decreased by 10% due to high base effects from last year, while PC game revenue increased by 29% [2][3]. - The company is expected to see short-term growth driven by strong performance in PC games, particularly with upcoming titles and the return of Blizzard games to the Chinese market [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 revenue was RMB 26.2 billion, with a gross margin of 62.9%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The adjusted net profit margin was 28.6% [1][3]. - Revenue forecasts for FY24E and FY25E have been adjusted to RMB 105.6 billion and RMB 112.4 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit forecasts of RMB 31.9 billion and RMB 33.4 billion [3][4]. - The gaming segment's gross margin slightly decreased to 68.8%, while the overall gross margin improved [2][3]. Market Expectations - The target price reflects a P/E ratio of 14.3x for FY25E, indicating confidence in the company's long-term gaming operations and potential for new game releases [3][4]. - The stock is currently trading at HKD 119.5, with a 52-week range of HKD 116 to HKD 185.7, and a market capitalization of HKD 428.9 billion [5][6].

Financial Data and Key Metrics - Total net revenue for Q3 2024 reached RMB 26.2 billion (USD 3.7 billion), a 3% increase quarter-over-quarter [9][10] - Online game net revenue was RMB 20.2 billion, up 5% quarter-over-quarter, driven by strong performance in PC and mobile games [10] - PC game revenue grew 29% year-over-year and 30% quarter-over-quarter, accounting for 29.2% of total online game revenue [10] - Gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 62.9%, compared to 62.2% in Q3 2023 [11] - Non-GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was RMB 7.5 billion (USD 1.1 billion) [12] Business Line Performance - Gaming division achieved net revenue of RMB 20 billion, with PC games showing robust growth [2] - Identity V reached record high revenues for the third consecutive quarter, with unprecedented DAUs and global concurrent online players [2][3] - Naraka: Bladepoint celebrated its third anniversary, achieving record high revenue in Q3 2024 [3] - Justice Mobile celebrated its first anniversary, with over 8 million AI-driven NPCs created by players [3][4] - Racing Master launched in Japan, topping the App Store and Google Play Free charts [4][5] Market Performance - Racing Master expanded to Japan, quickly topping download charts and maintaining a strong position in the iOS top-grossing chart [4][5] - Justice Mobile is set to launch in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan in November, with Dark City Dynasty preparing for global release [5] - NetEase is expanding its international footprint, with plans to release several highly anticipated titles globally, including Marvel Rivals and FragPunk [5][6] Strategic Direction and Industry Competition - The company is focusing on innovation and diversification across its gaming portfolio, with a strong emphasis on long-term game operations and player engagement [2][3] - NetEase is leveraging AI-driven NPCs and UGC (user-generated content) to enhance player experiences and drive engagement [3][4] - The company is expanding its global reach, with a dual strategy of developing games for both domestic and international markets [18][19] - Partnerships with Blizzard have been successful, with World of Warcraft and Hearthstone seeing significant player engagement post-relaunch in China [6][22] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of innovation and quality in driving long-term growth, with a focus on delivering superior content across all business lines [2][9] - The company is optimistic about the future performance of its games, particularly in the international market, with several high-profile releases planned for 2024 and 2025 [5][6][19] - NetEase is committed to maintaining a healthy balance between commercialization and user experience, ensuring long-term sustainability [16][17] Other Important Information - NetEase Cloud Music continued to grow its subscriber base, with a focus on expanding its music offerings and enhancing user engagement through AI-powered tools [7][8] - Youdao achieved its first profitable Q3, with operating income exceeding RMB 100 million, driven by growth in digital content services and smart devices [7] - The company repurchased shares worth USD 543 million in Q3, marking a 98% increase from the previous quarter [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Launch schedule for Whirlwinds Meets and updates on gameplay - Whirlwinds Meets PC version is slated for release by the end of December 2024, with the mobile version following shortly after [14][15] - The game will offer a combination of high-quality open-world exploration and casual social experiences, with a focus on both single-player and multiplayer modes [14][15] Question: Operational strategies for Justice Mobile and Aggie Party - Justice Mobile has shown strong player stickiness, with plans to enrich content and explore innovative commercialization models [16][17] - Aggie Party remains a high-DAU product, with ongoing investments in content creation and long-term content operation strategies [17] Question: Overseas game development strategy - NetEase is pursuing a dual strategy of developing games for both domestic and international markets, with several titles like Marvel Rivals and FragPunk set for global release [18][19] Question: Performance of flagship evergreen games like Fantasy Westward Journey - Fantasy Westward Journey PC has shown stable performance, with revenue growth in August and positive player feedback on recent updates [25][26] Question: Potential of Marvel Rivals and Blizzard's performance in China - Marvel Rivals has received positive feedback from closed beta tests, with a global launch planned for December 6, 2024 [20][21] - Blizzard's relaunch in China has exceeded expectations, with strong player engagement and a deep partnership between NetEase and Blizzard [22][23] Question: Pipeline updates and Project Mugen's status - FragPunk will undergo testing in December 2024, with a launch date to be determined based on results [24] - Project Mugen is set for its first offline test by the end of 2024, with high expectations for its innovative approach to open-world ACG games [24][25]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）對本公告 的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不會就本公 告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 NetEase, Inc. （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限責任公司） （股份代號：9999） 2024 年 9 月 30 日止第三季度未經審計的財務業績公告及 第三季度股息公告 網易股份有限公司（「公司」）在此公佈 2024 年第三季度的季度股息及業績公告，其 中包含截至 2024 年 9 月 30 日的三個月未經審計的財務業績。本業績公告可於香港聯交所 網站 www.hkexnews.hk 及公司網站 http://ir.netease.com 閱覽。 承董事會命 NetEase, Inc. 丁磊 董事 中國杭州，2024年 11 月 14 日 於本公告日期，本公司董事會包括董事丁磊先生；以及獨立董事唐徽女士、鄭玉芬女 士、唐子期先生及梁民傑先生。 網易 NETEASE 媒體和投資者請聯繫: 郵箱：ir@service.netease.com 電話：(+86) 571-8985-3378 ...

Company Rating - Buy/Buy rating for NetEase (NTES.O) and NetEase-S (09999.HK) with a current price of $86.98/133.10 HKD and a fair value of $132.34/206.01 HKD [1] Core Views - NetEase reported 24Q2 revenue of 254.9 billion RMB, a YoY increase of 6% but a QoQ decrease of 5% [2] - Gross margin improved by 3.08 percentage points to 62.9% in 24Q2 [2] - GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.759 billion RMB, while Non-GAAP net profit was 7.819 billion RMB, with a Non-GAAP net margin of 30.68% [2] - Game-related value-added services revenue reached 200.56 billion RMB, a YoY increase of 6.7%, with mobile games contributing 76.4% of online game revenue [2] - New games such as "World Beyond," "Naraka: Bladepoint Mobile," and "Marvel Duel" contributed to performance growth [2] - The company has a strong pipeline of games, including "Marvel Rivals" and "Where Winds Meet," expected to launch within the year [2] Business Performance - Mobile games revenue grew by 16.06% YoY to 147.25 billion RMB, while PC games revenue slightly declined by 0.05% to 45.49 billion RMB [2] - Classic mobile games like "Fantasy Westward Journey" and "Identity V" maintained strong performance, with "Identity V" showing significant improvement in revenue rankings [2][9] - NetEase's Youdao segment reported a 9.54% YoY increase in revenue to 1.322 billion RMB, with a focus on AI+education driving future growth [11] - Cloud Music's H1 revenue reached 4.07 billion RMB, exceeding expectations, with a 48% YoY increase in gross profit and a 176% YoY increase in net profit [12] Financial Projections - NetEase's total revenue is projected to be 1.09 trillion RMB in 2024, 1.225 trillion RMB in 2025, and 1.336 trillion RMB in 2026 [2] - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to be 33.3 billion RMB in 2024, 37.2 billion RMB in 2025, and 40.7 billion RMB in 2026 [2] - The SOTP valuation method yields a fair value of $132.34 per ADS (US) and 206.01 HKD per share (HK) [2] Game Pipeline and Strategy - NetEase has a robust game pipeline, including "Marvel Rivals" and "Where Winds Meet," which are expected to launch within the year [2] - The return of Blizzard games in China is expected to provide additional support to the PC gaming segment [2] - Long-term growth is supported by the company's strong R&D capabilities and its ability to consistently produce high-quality games [2] Segment Valuation - The gaming segment is valued at 574.5 billion RMB based on a 20x PE multiple [16] - Youdao is valued at 3.1 billion RMB with a 1x PS multiple [17] - Cloud Music is valued at 13.2 billion RMB with a 16x PE multiple [18] - The total SOTP valuation for NetEase is 596.6 billion RMB, translating to $850 billion USD or 661.5 billion HKD [18]