Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights an upward trend in crude oil freight rates, with the China Import Crude Oil Index (CTFI) reaching 2520.07 points, an increase of 8.4% from November 20 [3][13] - The postal industry revenue surpassed the telecommunications industry for the first time in history, reaching 1.47 trillion yuan, compared to 1.467 trillion yuan for telecommunications [3][24] - The civil aviation sector showed growth in both passenger and cargo transport volumes in October, with international routes performing particularly well [3][17] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are rising, with the Middle East route seeing a 10.76% increase in rates [13] - Qifly Aviation signed a procurement agreement for 105 eVTOL aircraft with three companies in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on low-altitude logistics [15][16] - The postal industry revenue for January to October 2025 reached 1.47 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [24][25] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year [26] - Domestic freight flights in October 2025 increased by 0.32% year-on-year, while international flights rose by 11.12% [32] - The express delivery business volume in October 2025 increased by 7.90% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 131.67 billion yuan [50] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [5] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, particularly in companies like CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Consider investment opportunities in the express delivery sector, recommending SF Express and Jitu Express [5]

Group 1: Metal Sector - Huaxi Nonferrous is expected to see net profit growth from CNY 6.58 billion in 2024 to CNY 11.40 billion in 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 37.28 to 21.52[10] - The company has a projected capacity increase to 0.6 million tons of tin and 1 million tons of antimony by 2027, benefiting from resource consolidation trends in Guangxi[12] Group 2: Construction Materials - Huaxin Cement's net profit is forecasted to rise from CNY 24.16 billion in 2024 to CNY 36.73 billion in 2026, with a PE ratio dropping from 17.21 to 11.32[10] - The company has diversified its growth strategy, focusing on overseas markets and stabilizing its aggregate business[28] Group 3: Transportation - ZTO Express is projected to achieve net profits of CNY 88.17 billion in 2024, increasing to CNY 104.11 billion by 2026, with a PE ratio improving from 13.39 to 11.34[10] - The "anti-involution" measures in the express delivery sector have led to a recovery in profitability, with significant improvements in average ticket prices since August 2025[33] Group 4: Energy Sector - ChuanTou Energy's net profit is expected to grow from CNY 45.08 billion in 2024 to CNY 52.59 billion in 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 15.93 to 13.65[10] - The company benefits from its stake in Yalong River Hydropower, which contributes significantly to its earnings[73] Group 5: Chemical Sector - Yara International's net profit is projected to increase from CNY 9.50 billion in 2024 to CNY 39.34 billion in 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 42.50 to 10.27[10] - The company is positioned as a leader in overseas potash mining, with significant reserves in Laos[49]

Core Viewpoint - The long-standing and controversial airline "seat locking" phenomenon is expected to undergo rectification following a special investigation by the Jiangsu Provincial Consumer Protection Committee, which has interviewed ten domestic airlines and requested written responses regarding corrective actions [1][5]. Group 1: Investigation Findings - The Jiangsu Provincial Consumer Protection Committee conducted an investigation into the "seat locking" practices of ten major airlines, revealing that the proportion of locked seats during the purchasing phase ranged from 19.9% to 62.1%, with an average of 38.7% [2][3]. - Notably, Spring Airlines' Nanjing-Lanzhou route had a seat locking rate exceeding 60%, while Shenzhen Airlines' Shenzhen-Zhanjiang route exceeded 50% [2][3]. - Other airlines like Hainan Airlines, Eastern Airlines, and Xiamen Airlines had locking rates between 40% and 46%, while Lucky Air had a relatively low rate of less than 20% [2][3]. Group 2: Reasons for Seat Locking - Airlines provided various justifications for seat locking, including reserving seats for special passengers, ensuring emergency seat availability, and maintaining flight load balance [4]. - The investigation identified common issues with the "seat locking" phenomenon, including a lack of clear communication regarding seat locking rules, vague explanations, differential resource allocation based on membership levels, and unilateral rights granted to airlines [4]. Group 3: Consumer Feedback and Reactions - Consumers expressed dissatisfaction with the differentiation of paid and free seating areas in economy class, indicating that such practices increase travel costs and lead to a frustrating experience [6][10]. - Feedback highlighted that many passengers were unaware of the specific rules regarding seat locking, leading to limited seat choices, especially for families traveling together [10][11]. Group 4: Regulatory Actions and Implications - The Jiangsu Provincial Consumer Protection Committee has mandated that the airlines submit written corrective actions within 15 working days, including self-inspections and revisions of unfair terms related to "seat locking" [5][15]. - Legal experts have commented that the "seat locking" practice infringes on consumer rights and may violate consumer protection laws, suggesting that the committee's actions could serve as a model for regulatory oversight in other regions [15][16].

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for companies in the logistics and aviation sectors, specifically highlighting SF Holding and China Southern Airlines as key investment opportunities [2][3]. Core Insights - The logistics sector is benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition, with a notable rise in express delivery volumes during the peak season [2]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a recovery, with an increase in flight operations and passenger volumes, indicating a positive trend for airline profitability [3]. - The shipping industry shows signs of improvement, particularly in dry bulk transportation, driven by increased cargo demand and adverse weather conditions affecting vessel turnover [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Sector Market Review - The transportation index decreased by 0.5% during the week of November 22-28, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.6% [12]. Logistics - The express delivery sector saw a total collection volume of approximately 4.126 billion packages, a week-on-week increase of 1.65% but a year-on-year decrease of 6.63% [2]. - The report recommends SF Holding due to its valuation, operational resilience, and improved shareholder returns [2]. Aviation - The average daily flight operations increased by 4.16% year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 2.80% and international flights up by 12.41% [3]. - The report highlights the potential for profit growth in the aviation sector due to supply constraints from manufacturers and improved ticket pricing [3]. - Recommended stocks include China Southern Airlines and Air China [3]. Shipping - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose to 2409 points, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.8% and a year-on-year increase of 62.9% [4]. - The report notes that the dry bulk market is experiencing a positive shift, with increased demand for coal and grain shipments [4]. Road and Rail - The report indicates a stable upward trend in the road transport sector, with a year-on-year increase in truck traffic on highways [5]. - The railway sector also shows positive growth, with passenger turnover increasing by 10.14% year-on-year [86].

Group 1 - The introduction of "snow holidays" in various regions, such as Jilin and Xinjiang, aims to promote winter tourism and encourage family participation in winter sports and activities [1][2][3] - Jilin Province has designated a "snow holiday" from December 3 to 7, 2025, allowing all students in compulsory education to take time off, while also encouraging parents to take paid leave to engage in winter activities with their children [1][2] - The implementation of "snow holidays" is part of a broader trend to reduce academic pressure on students and promote their overall development, similar to previously established "autumn holidays" in other regions [2][3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have emphasized the need to optimize student holiday arrangements to stimulate service consumption, suggesting adjustments to the academic calendar based on local climate and conditions [3] - Experts believe that the introduction of "snow holidays" can help cultivate the winter tourism market, making off-peak seasons more vibrant and sustainable for the tourism industry [3] - Data from Southern Airlines indicates a significant increase in flight bookings in regions with "snow holidays," with a year-on-year growth of 51% in Urumqi and 99% in the Altay region, highlighting the potential for youth travelers to become a key demographic in seasonal travel [4]

Core Viewpoint - Airbus announced the immediate recall of approximately 6,000 A320 series jets for maintenance due to potential issues with flight control systems caused by strong solar radiation [1][3][4] Group 1: Company Impact - Airbus's stock price slightly increased to €204.45, with a year-to-date rise of over 40%, and a total market capitalization exceeding €160 billion (approximately ¥1.3 trillion) [1] - The recall affects a significant portion of the global A320 fleet, which includes around 11,300 operational aircraft, with 6,440 being the core A320 model [1][4] - Major airlines operating A320 series jets include American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, and United Airlines, alongside significant customers in China, Europe, and India [1] Group 2: Domestic Airline Distribution - As of November 2025, Chinese airlines operate a total of 2,015 A320 series aircraft, accounting for 48.3% of the total civil aviation fleet in China [1] - China Eastern Airlines has the largest fleet of A320 series with 395 aircraft, followed by China Southern Airlines with 349, and Air China with 216 [2][3] Group 3: Technical Details and Challenges - The issue requires a software version update for most affected aircraft, with an estimated maintenance time of about 2 hours per aircraft [4] - The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) issued an emergency directive, which must be evaluated and approved by the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) before domestic airlines can proceed with repairs [4] - The recall is one of the largest in Airbus's 55-year history, potentially impacting over half of the global A320 fleet and causing disruptions during peak travel periods [4][5]

Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector experienced a slight increase of 0.26% on November 28, with Xiamen Airport leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 16.26, up 3.17% with a trading volume of 54,400 shares and a transaction value of 87.63 million yuan [1] - Hainan Airlines (600221) closed at 1.73, up 2.37% with a trading volume of 4.72 million shares and a transaction value of 806 million yuan [1] - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 6.94, up 0.58% with a trading volume of 99,880 shares and a transaction value of 68.31 million yuan [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 5.04, down 0.20% with a trading volume of 639,300 shares and a transaction value of 323 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 72.81 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 103 million yuan [2] - The detailed capital flow indicates that Hainan Airlines had a net inflow of 96.67 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 51.95 million yuan [3] - Xiamen Airport experienced a net outflow of 1.69 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 4.48 million yuan from retail investors [3]

新华财经乌鲁木齐11月28日电（记者郝玉）12月1日至5日，新疆乌鲁木齐市、阿勒泰地区等地的中小学 生将迎来"雪假"，预计带动新一轮冰雪旅游热潮。为应对此次集中出行，新疆铁路、民航等部门提前部 署，通过加开列车、加密航线、优化服务等多项举措，全力保障冰雪旅游出行需求。 今年"雪假"期间，伊犁哈萨克自治州、昌吉回族自治州等地配套推出主题线路与冰雪赛事，将与交 通"硬支撑"形成合力，共同提升游客的出行体验与消费品质。 （文章来源：新华财经） 中国铁路乌鲁木齐局集团有限公司介绍，针对"雪假"期间探亲、研学等客流的显著增长，计划对伊宁、 奎屯等8个方向加开119列临时旅客列车。此外，乌鲁木齐至伊宁、喀什、奎屯等方向的普速旅客列车也 将同步增开，进一步织密铁路网络。 提升运力的同时，铁路部门也着力优化旅客服务体验。一方面，专设人员对接研学团体票务办理，提供 专列开行、专属通道、专属候车区等精细化服务；另一方面，持续推进"天山雪莲"服务品牌建设，提升 客运服务品质。截至目前，新疆铁路部门已受理"雪假"期间研学团体3批次千余人。 航空方面同样迎来出行高峰。南方航空统计，11月29日至12月7日期间，乌鲁木齐、阿勒泰始发航班 ...

Core Viewpoint - The event "2025 Domestic Civil Aircraft Innovation Youth Forum" held in Nanchang aims to foster collaboration and innovation among young professionals in the domestic civil aviation sector, emphasizing the theme of "Youth Intelligence Manufacturing" [1]. Group 1: Event Overview - The forum was co-hosted by China Eastern Airlines and COMAC, gathering nearly a hundred young representatives from various aviation organizations to discuss the future of domestic civil aviation [1][3]. - Leaders from national civil aviation organizations encouraged youth to take on responsibilities in the operation of domestic civil aircraft [3]. Group 2: Discussions and Contributions - Young representatives engaged in discussions on topics such as talent development, operational innovation, and brand building, contributing practical ideas for optimizing domestic civil aircraft operations [7]. - The event included a site visit to Hongdu Group, where participants learned about technological innovation and industry advancements, reinforcing their commitment to ensuring the safe operation of domestic civil aircraft [10]. Group 3: Individual Contributions - 彭焕春 from COMAC highlighted breakthroughs in digital transformation, achieving a 95% efficiency in business processing and a 90% efficiency in route issue resolution through self-developed platforms [12]. - 王铭逸 from China Eastern Airlines shared experiences related to the C919 aircraft, expressing pride in contributing to national aviation safety and innovation [14]. - 王玉坤 from AVIC discussed the growth of the C919 fleet from 1 to 6 aircraft, emphasizing a rigorous safety management system [16]. - 李华锋 from China Southern Airlines introduced the "Tianji" flight planning system, achieving 100% operational performance in the first month of C919 commercial operations [18]. - 蒋雯君 from China Eastern Airlines presented the development plan for the C909 fleet in Jiangxi, which has expanded to 9 aircraft and covers 13 routes, enhancing regional visibility [20]. Group 4: Future Directions - The event concluded with the passing of the alliance's rotating chairmanship to AVIC, indicating ongoing collaboration and commitment among aviation youth to contribute to the domestic civil aircraft sector [20].

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines is launching its shortest intercontinental route, with a direct flight from Guangzhou to Darwin, starting on December 3 [1] Group 1 - The new route aims to enhance connectivity between China and Australia, catering to both business and tourism sectors [1] - This flight will significantly reduce travel time for passengers, making it a competitive option for travelers [1] - The introduction of this route reflects the airline's strategy to expand its international network and improve service offerings [1]