Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates are rising while ocean freight rates are declining. The China Import Crude Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) reached 2325.40 points on November 20, up 4.2% from November 13. VLCC market activity remains strong, but overall market activity is expected to decline without actual cargo support [3][14] - Changlong Airlines has initiated its IPO process, and VOLANT has signed a confirmation order for the VE25-100 eVTOL aircraft with a state-owned investment group, with the order amount exceeding 100 million yuan [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has surpassed 3500 trips this year, marking a historical high. A new "passenger-cargo-mail integration" model has been launched in cooperation between Rizhao Public Transport and SF Express [3][22] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are high while ocean freight rates are declining. The Shanghai port export price to Europe was $1367/TEU, down 3.5%, and to the US West and East Coast was $1645/FEU and $2384/FEU, down 9.8% and 8.3% respectively [3][15] - Changlong Airlines is preparing for its IPO, with a focus on expanding its operational capacity and market reach [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has achieved a record of over 3500 trips this year, with a focus on high-value goods transportation [3][23] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased both month-on-month and year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in air freight pricing [4][28] - Domestic express delivery volume increased by 7.90% year-on-year in October 2025, with total express delivery volume reaching 176 billion pieces [4][50] - The national highway freight truck traffic increased by 2.57% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in road logistics [4][18] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the low-altitude economy sector, with recommendations for CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in the road and rail sectors, recommending companies such as Gansu Expressway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [5]

| 股票简称 | 股票代码 | 限售股类型 | 解禁股数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 湖北能源 | 000883 | 股权激励限售流通 | 31.47万 | | 亚钾国际 | 000893 | 股权激励限售流通 | 240万 | | 南方航空 | 600029 | 增发A股原股东配售上市 | 8.04亿 | | 宁波韵升 | 600366 | 增发A股法人配售上市 | 3599.9万 | | 华兰生物 | 002007 | 股权激励限售流通 | 132.43万 | | 久其软件 | 002279 | 股权激励限售流通 | 244.78万 | | 吉峰科技 | 300022 | 股权激励限售流通 | 25万 | | 海默科技 | 300084 | 股权激励限售流通 | 270.9万 | | 金禾实业 | 002597 | 股权激励限售流通 | 54.64万 | | 维力医疗 | 603309 | 股权激励限售流通 | 3.3万 | | 艾德生物 | 300685 | 股权激励限售流通 | 153.63万 | | 海晨股份 | 300873 | 增发A股原股东配售上市 | 1726 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On November 24, a total of 15 companies had their restricted shares unlocked, with a total unlock volume of 1.097 billion shares, amounting to a market value of 10.916 billion yuan based on the latest closing prices [1] Company-Specific Summaries - **Unlock Volume Leaders**: The companies with the highest unlock volumes were China Southern Airlines, Huadong Medicine, and Matrix Holdings, with unlock shares of 804 million, 167 million, and 55.0324 million respectively [1] - **Unlock Market Value Leaders**: In terms of market value, China Southern Airlines, Huadong Medicine, and Matrix Holdings also led, with unlock market values of 5.689 billion yuan, 1.742 billion yuan, and 1.222 billion yuan respectively [1] - **Unlock Ratio Leaders**: The companies with the highest unlock ratios relative to their total share capital were Matrix Holdings, Huadong Medicine, and Yilian Technology, with unlock ratios of 30.57%, 20.78%, and 12.55% respectively [1]

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京11月24日电 A股7家上市航空公司2025年三季报均已披露完毕。 新华财经和面包财经研究员梳理公开资料显示，2025年前三季度，南方航空、中国国航、中国东航营收规模超过千亿元。归母净利润方面，7家航司普遍实 现盈利。春秋航空、吉祥航空前三季度归母净利润同比出现下滑。 客座率方面，2025年前三季度，春秋航空、吉祥航空、南方航空客座率居前。 吉祥航空营收同比微降 2025年前三季度，南方航空、中国国航、中国东航营业收入规模均超过千亿元，分别为1376.65亿元、1298.26亿元、1064.14亿元。 | | A股上市航司2025年前三季度 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 营业总收入 | | 600029.SH | 南方航空 | 1,376.( | | 601111.SH | 中国国航 | 1,298.2 | | 600115.SH | 中国东航 1,064.1 | | | 600221.SH | 海航控股 | 534.3 | | 601021.SH | 春秋航空 | 167.7. | | ୧୦3885 ટેમ | 吉祥航空 | 17 ...

Market News - China's official PMI for November and industrial profits for October will be released, with October's manufacturing PMI dropping to 49, while high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods sectors continue to expand [3] - Key economic data from the US includes September retail sales and durable goods orders, delayed due to recent government shutdowns, along with initial jobless claims [4] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book and the European Central Bank's meeting minutes will be published, with expectations for New Zealand's central bank to cut rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% and Korea's central bank to maintain rates at 2.5% [5] - The US government is considering allowing Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China, with the Commerce Department reviewing export restrictions [6] - The People's Bank of China will have 16,760 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing this week, with various amounts maturing each day [7] - MSCI announced adjustments to its indices, including the addition of 17 stocks and the removal of 16 from the MSCI China A-share index, effective November 24, 2025 [8] Sector Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the official launch of satellite IoT commercial trials in China [10] - A price adjustment window for oil products is set for November 24, with a projected decrease of 50 yuan per ton based on current oil prices [10] - The world's largest "Hualong One" nuclear power base successfully connected its second unit to the grid [10] - The 2025 Asian General Aviation Exhibition will take place from November 27 to 30 in Zhuhai, focusing on low-altitude possibilities [10] - The 2025 Software Technology Conference will be held in Beijing on November 28, themed "AI Reshaping Software, Empowering the Future of Industry" [10] - The China Automotive Supply Chain Conference is scheduled for November 24-26, 2025, in Wuhu, focusing on industry ecosystem dynamics [10] Individual Stock Events - Jiahua Technology plans to acquire controlling interest in Shudun Technology, leading to a stock suspension [15] - China Merchants Bank's financial asset investment company has been approved to commence operations [15] - CITIC Bank's wholly-owned subsidiary has also received approval to start operations [15] - Several companies are facing risks related to stock price fluctuations and bankruptcy restructuring [15] - Companies like Jinkang Technology and Qingmu Technology are planning significant acquisitions and strategic partnerships [15] Lock-up Expiration - A total of 39 companies will have lock-up shares released this week, amounting to 1.927 billion shares with a total market value of 20.295 billion yuan based on the closing price on November 21 [14] - The peak lock-up expiration day is November 24, with 18 companies releasing shares worth a total of 12.496 billion yuan, accounting for 61.57% of the week's total [14] - Notable companies with significant lock-up expirations include Southern Airlines, Huazhong Holdings, and Jiyang Precision [14] Upcoming IPOs - Two new stocks are set to be issued this week: Moer Thread on November 24 and Bai Ao Sai Tu on November 28 [19] Economic Outlook - The current volatility in global risk assets is attributed to liquidity issues and over-reliance on AI narratives, suggesting a potential for valuation corrections [21] - There is an opportunity for reallocating investments in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, focusing on traditional manufacturing and resource sectors [22] - The market is expected to see a recovery in Chinese assets as overseas risks are absorbed, with a focus on high-growth sectors like AI and manufacturing [24] - The upcoming spring market is anticipated to benefit from policy validation and cyclical price increases, with a focus on sectors like basic chemicals and industrial technology [23]

Core Points - The Dubai Airshow 2025, held from November 17 to 21, is one of the largest airshows globally, focusing on sustainable development, artificial intelligence, space exploration, and smart transportation [1] - The C919 aircraft from China made its debut at the airshow, attracting significant attention and showcasing China's manufacturing innovation [2][3] Group 1: C919 Aircraft Presentation - The C919 aircraft performed low-altitude flight demonstrations, with an average of over 1,500 visitors daily touring the aircraft [2] - The aircraft's advanced design and comfort impressed attendees, with industry professionals noting its high construction standards [2] - China Southern Airlines has gained valuable experience in preparing for C919 deliveries, enhancing its international competitiveness [2] Group 2: Middle East Aviation Market - The Middle East is rapidly expanding its aviation sector, with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) airlines ordering 1,525 aircraft, expected to double their fleet size upon delivery [3] - Chinese aircraft like the C919 are seen as vital to supporting the growth of the Middle Eastern aviation market [3] - Industry experts believe that as operational experience and procurement volumes increase, Chinese large aircraft will have broader development prospects [3] Group 3: Innovations in Aviation - The airshow featured a wide range of innovations, including 19 types of aviation engines from China Aviation Engine Group, showcasing the most comprehensive and diverse lineup of Chinese aviation engines at an international event [4] - Key components such as 3D-printed lightweight engines and advanced power systems were highlighted, demonstrating China's advancements in aviation technology [4] - Collaborations were formed during the event, including agreements between UAE and international companies for manufacturing and training [4] Group 4: Low Altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is emerging as a new growth point in the Middle East, with projections indicating a market size of $22 billion to $26 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate of over 35% [7] - The airshow introduced drone night performances, showcasing various unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) technologies [7] - Chinese companies secured 1,600 orders for industrial-grade drones during the event, highlighting their innovative capabilities in low-altitude operations [7] Group 5: Low Altitude Safety Solutions - The rapid development of the low-altitude economy presents new challenges for safety governance, with significant market demand for safety solutions [8] - Chinese companies introduced low-altitude safety solutions, including a drone defense system for managing and addressing low-altitude UAVs [8] - The stable relationship between Middle Eastern countries and China is expected to enhance cooperation in the aerospace sector, benefiting regional development [8]

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the express delivery sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding as a preferred investment choice due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector experienced an 8% year-on-year growth in business volume in October, with a total of approximately 44.19 billion parcels collected, reflecting a 4.72% increase from the previous week and an 11.3% increase year-on-year [2]. - The logistics sector is encouraged to focus on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector shows a slight increase in flight operations, with an average of 14,777 flights per day, marking a 3.27% year-on-year growth [4]. - The shipping sector saw a rise in oil and dry bulk transportation indices, with the BDTI index increasing by 1.9% week-on-week and 58.2% year-on-year [5]. - The road and rail sector reported a decrease in truck traffic on highways, with a total of 57.83 million trucks passing through last week, reflecting a 2.57% increase week-on-week and a 5.30% increase year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Transportation Sector Market Review - The transportation index fell by 4.8% during the week of November 15-21, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 3.8% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The export container shipping price index (CCFI) was 1,122.79 points, up 2.6% week-on-week but down 23.8% year-on-year [22]. - The oil transportation index (BDTI) reached 1,445.4 points, reflecting a 1.9% increase week-on-week and a 58.2% increase year-on-year [34]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - In October 2025, the civil aviation passenger volume reached 67.84 million, a year-on-year increase of 8% [54]. - The average daily flight operations increased by 3.27% year-on-year, with international flights showing an 11.81% increase [4]. 2.3 Rail and Road - The national railway passenger volume in October was 410 million, a 10.14% increase year-on-year [75]. - The national highway freight volume was 3.706 billion tons, showing a slight increase of 0.08% year-on-year [80]. 2.4 Express Delivery and Logistics - The express delivery business revenue in October reached 131.67 billion yuan, a 4.7% year-on-year increase [2].

Group 1 - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to decrease by 50 yuan per ton due to a change in the average price of crude oil, which is currently at 61.83 USD per barrel with a change rate of -0.97% [1] Group 2 - MSCI announced the inclusion of 17 new stocks and the removal of 16 stocks from the MSCI China A-share Index, effective after the market closes on November 24, 2025 [2] Group 3 - Huawei is set to hold a product launch event on November 25, 2023, featuring the Mate 80 series, which includes four models: Mate 80, Mate 80 Pro, Mate 80 Pro Max, and Mate 80 RS [3] Group 4 - The 2025 China Automotive Supply Chain Conference will take place from November 24 to 26, 2025, in Wuhu, focusing on the theme "Chain Driving New Quality of Industrial Ecology" [4] Group 5 - Over 200 billion yuan worth of restricted shares will be unlocked next week, with Southern Airlines leading the way at 56.89 billion yuan [5] - The peak unlocking date is November 24, with significant unlocks from Southern Airlines (56.89 billion yuan), Huadong Holdings (17.42 billion yuan), and Sains (14.49 billion yuan) [5] Group 6 - Two new stocks will be issued next week: Moer Thread on November 24 at an issue price of 114.28 yuan per share, and Bai Ao Sai Tu on November 28 [7][8]

Group 1 - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to decrease by 50 yuan per ton due to a change in the average price of crude oil, which is currently at 61.83 USD per barrel with a change rate of -0.97% [1] - MSCI announced the inclusion of 17 new stocks and the removal of 16 stocks from the MSCI China A-share index, effective after the market closes on November 24, 2025 [2] - Huawei is set to hold a product launch event for the Mate 80 series and other products on November 25, 2023, featuring four models: Mate 80, Mate 80 Pro, Mate 80 Pro Max, and Mate 80 RS [3] Group 2 - Over 200 billion yuan worth of restricted shares will be unlocked next week, with Southern Airlines leading the list at 56.89 billion yuan, followed by Huadong Holdings at 17.42 billion yuan and Sains at 14.49 billion yuan [5] - The peak of share unlocks will occur on November 24, 2023, with 40 companies having their restricted shares released [5][6][7] Group 3 - Two new stocks are set to be issued next week: Moer Thread on November 24 at an issue price of 114.28 yuan per share, and Bai Ao Sai Tu on November 28 [8][9]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) freight rates, reaching a new high, driven by a notable decline in Russian oil exports, which has created additional demand for oil transportation from the Middle East to India and China [3][4] - The report suggests a positive outlook for the transportation sector, particularly in shipping and aviation, with recommendations for specific companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring seasonal trends in freight rates, particularly the potential for a "not-so-dull" off-season from December to February [3] Industry Overview - The transportation index has decreased by 5.00%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points, with the express delivery sector showing the smallest decline at -2.75% and the public transport sector experiencing the largest drop at -9.35% [4][11] - The shipping sector has shown mixed performance, with the Baltic Dry Index increasing by 5.67% while the coastal dry bulk freight index fell by 3.47% [4][11] - The report notes that the average freight rate for VLCCs has risen by 5% week-on-week, reaching $126,371 per day, with the Middle East to Far East route hitting a new high of $138,144 per day [3][4] Shipping Sector Insights - The report indicates that the average freight rate for the fourth quarter is approaching $99,000 per day, marking it as one of the highest quarterly averages in history [3] - The decline in Russian oil exports has been significant, dropping from nearly 4 million barrels per day to around 3 million barrels per day, which has increased demand for oil from the Middle East [3][4] - The report also highlights the recovery of chartering activities following the Bahri conference, with shipowners beginning to control capacity due to tightening supply [3] Aviation Sector Insights - The report discusses the unprecedented challenges in the aircraft manufacturing supply chain, with an aging fleet expected to persist over the next 5-10 years, leading to constrained supply [3] - It anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability as capacity is allocated to international routes, suggesting a potential golden era for airlines [3] - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines, which are expected to benefit from these trends [3] Express Delivery Sector Insights - The express delivery industry is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined: price recovery leading to utility-like profitability, continued competitive pressure, or higher-level consolidation [3] - Companies such as Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted as having strong potential due to their competitive advantages and market positioning [3] High Dividend Stocks in Transportation - The report lists high dividend yield stocks in the transportation sector, including Bohai Ferry with a yield of 8.08% and China Railway with a yield of 3.95% [21] - The focus on high dividend stocks is seen as a stable investment strategy amidst market fluctuations [21]