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2023年年报点评:Q4盈利承压,24年积极应对,期待需求景气复苏
Minsheng Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
重庆啤酒(600132.SH)2023年年报点评 Q4 盈利承压,24 年积极应对,期待需求景气复苏 2024年03月30日 ➢ 事件:公司发布 2023 年年报。2023 年公司实现营业总收入/归母净利润/ 推荐 维持评级 扣非后归母净利润148.15/13.37/13.14亿元,分别同比+5.53%/5.78%/6.45%; 当前价格: 64.47元 经测算,23Q4公司实现营业总收入17.86亿元,同比-3.76%,实现归母净利润 /扣非后归母净利润-0.07/-0.13亿元,22Q4分别为0.81/0.73亿元。 [Table_Author] ➢ 全年量稳增、价微升,Q4高档销售承压叠加费投恢复,吨价表现承压。2023 年公司销量同比增4.93%至299.75万千升,显著优于行业水平(同期全国规上 企业产量同比增 0.3%),份额持续提升;吨价同比增 0.49%至 4818 元。其中 高档/主流/经济档次产品销量同比+3.98%/+5.97%/3.80%,吨价分别同比 +1.2%/-0.3%/+6.0%。大单品方面,我们判断疆外乌苏、1664对现饮场景依赖 度较高,增速承压;嘉士伯品牌在持续市场拓展及 ...
结构承压,期待渠道和成本改善
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-03-31 16:00
业绩简评 3 月 29 日,公司公告,2023 年营业收入 148.15 亿元,同比 +5.53%;归母净利 13.37 亿元,同比+5.78%。Q4 营业收入 17.86 亿元,同比-3.76%;归母净利-0.07 亿元(由盈转亏)。 经营分析 23 年销量增速快于行业,中档基本盘稳健,结构疲弱。 23年销量299.75 万吨,同比+4.9%;啤酒吨价+0.5%至 4818 元。 分档次看,高档(8元以上)/主流(4-8元)/经济(4 元以下) 收入同比+5.2%/5.6%/10.1%,其中量+4.0%/6.0%/3.8%,价同比 +1.2%/-0.3%/+6.0%。高档销量占比同比-0.4pct 至 48%、收入占 比-0.2pct 至 61.3%。我们认为,公司 23 年现饮:非现饮 45%: 55%,同比修复但对比之前仍有缺口(21 年 55%:45%),疆外乌 苏、1664 现饮依赖程度高、经济扰动大,叠加自身渠道改革而下 滑;区域品牌重庆、乐堡、疆内乌苏受益于旅游火爆,嘉士伯表 现亮眼。 分区域看,西北/中/南区 23 年收入同比+1%/3%/14%,23Q4 同比 人民币(元) 成交金额(百万元 ...
公司年报点评:加速扬帆,高端化和全国化稳步推进
Ping An Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
食品饮料 公 2024年03月31日 司 报 重庆啤酒(600132.SH) 告 加速扬帆,高端化和全国化稳步推进 推荐 ( 维持 ) 事项: 公司发布2023年报,全年实现营收148.15亿元,同比增长5.53%;归母净利润 股价:64.47元 13.37亿元,同比增长5.78%。其中2023Q4实现营收17.86亿元,同比减少 公 主要数据 3.76%;归母净利润-0.07亿元,2022Q4同期盈利0.81亿元,同比转亏。拟每 行业 食品饮料 司 股分配现金红利2.80元(含税)。 ...
Q4业绩略低预期,高分红提振信心
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 重庆啤酒(600132.SH) 2024年03月31日 重庆啤酒(600132.SH):Q4 业 买入(维持) 所属行业:食品饮料/非白酒 绩略低预期,高分红提振信心 当前价格(元):64.47 证券分析师 投资要点 熊鹏 资格编号:S0120522120002 事件:公司发布2023年年度报告。2023年公司实现营业收入148.15亿元,同比  邮箱:xiongpeng@tebon.com.cn +5.53%;归母净利润13.37亿元,同比+5.78%;扣非归母净利润13.14亿元,同 韦香怡 比+6.45%。其中,2023Q4实现营业收入17.86亿元,同比-3.76%;归母净利润 资格编号:S0120522080002 -0.07 亿元,同比-109.23%(22Q4 为 0.81 亿元);扣非归母净利润-0.13 亿元, 邮箱:weixy@tebon.com.cn 同比-117.73%(22Q4为0.73亿元)。 研究助理 高端化节奏略有放缓,销量增长为主要业绩贡献。(1)2023年全年公司量价齐升  趋势不改,但内部结构略有分化。整体来看,2 ...
2023年年报点评:高分红标的,建议关注渠道战略转型进展
EBSCN· 2024-03-31 16:00
2024年4月1日 公司研究 高分红标的,建议关注渠道战略转型进展 ——重庆啤酒(600132.SH)2023 年年报点评 买入(维持) 要点 当前价:64.47元 事件:重庆啤酒发布2023年年报。23年实现营业收入148.1亿元,同比+5.5%; 作者 归母净利润13.4亿元,同比+5.8%;扣非归母净利润13.1亿元,同比+6.5%。 分析师:陈彦彤 其中,23Q4实现营业收入17.9亿元,同比-3.8%;归母净利润-0.1亿元,同比由 执业证书编号:S0930518070002 盈转亏;扣非归母净利润-0.1亿元,同比由盈转亏。 021-52523689 吨价提升略有放缓,“大城市计划”带动南区实现较快增长。 chenyt@ebscn.com 分析师:汪航宇 2023年公司实现啤酒销量299.75万千升,较2022年增长4.93%;ASP同比+0.5%。 执业证书编号:S0930523070002 1)按产品档次划分:高档/主流/经济档次的产品销量143.75/146.16/9.84万千升, 021-52523174 wanghangyu@ebscn.com yoy+3.98%/+5.97%/+3.8 ...
公司事件点评报告:高股息支撑市场信心,嘉速扬帆提速起航
Huaxin Securities· 2024-03-30 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.815 billion yuan in 2023, an increase of 5.53% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.337 billion yuan, up 5.78% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.8 yuan per 10 shares, translating to a dividend yield of approximately 4.3%, which supports the stock price [2] - The company is expected to experience stable growth in sales volume, with a year-on-year increase of 4.93% in beer sales volume in 2023 [2] - The average price per ton of beer in 2023 was 4,942.40 yuan per thousand liters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.57% [2] - Short-term profit forecasts have been adjusted downwards due to external economic pressures, with expected EPS for 2024 and 2025 at 2.98 yuan and 3.30 yuan, respectively [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 49.15% for the entire year of 2023, a decrease of 1.33 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The sales expense ratio for 2023 was 17.10%, an increase of 0.53 percentage points year-on-year, while the management expense ratio was 3.34%, a decrease of 0.47 percentage points [2] - The company’s total market capitalization is 31.2 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 64.47 yuan [2] Revenue Breakdown - In 2023, the revenue from high-end beer (priced at 8 yuan and above) was 8.855 billion yuan, up 5.18% year-on-year; mainstream beer (priced between 4-8 yuan) generated 5.297 billion yuan, up 5.64%; and economy beer (priced below 4 yuan) brought in 290 million yuan, up 10.06% [2] - Revenue from different regions showed that the southern region generated 4.334 billion yuan, up 13.74%, while the central region had 6.084 billion yuan, up 3.01%, and the northwest region had 4.023 billion yuan, up 1.10% [2] Profit Forecasts - The company’s projected revenue for 2024 is 15.731 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.2%, and for 2025, it is expected to reach 16.597 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.5% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.440 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 7.7%, and 1.599 billion yuan in 2025, with an 11.0% growth rate [3] - The diluted EPS is expected to be 2.98 yuan in 2024 and 3.30 yuan in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.7 and 19.5 times [2][3]
23年维持高分红,24年关注高端化表现
申万宏源· 2024-03-30 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [5]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 14.815 billion RMB in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.53%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.337 billion RMB, up 5.78% year-on-year. The Q4 2023 revenue was 1.786 billion RMB, down 3.76% year-on-year [5]. - The company has a high dividend payout policy, distributing 28 RMB per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 101.39% for 2023. The forecasted dividend yield for 2024 is 4%, which is attractive compared to the 10-year government bond yield of 2.4% [5]. - The company aims to enhance its product premiumization strategy, leveraging both international high-end brands and strong local brands to drive growth [5]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price as of March 29, 2024, is 64.47 RMB, with a one-year high of 128.5 RMB and a low of 52.53 RMB. The price-to-book ratio is 14.6, and the circulating A-share market value is approximately 31.202 billion RMB [2]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a sales volume of 2.9975 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-on-year. The sales volume for high-end, mainstream, and economy products was 1.44 million tons, 1.46 million tons, and 0.1 million tons, respectively [5]. - The overall gross margin for 2023 was 49.15%, a decrease of 1.33 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the faster growth in mainstream product sales compared to premium products [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong performance in the southern market, especially with the upcoming production from the Foshan factory, which will address capacity shortages [5]. - The forecasted net profit for 2024 is 1.472 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 10%, and the company anticipates a gradual recovery in external demand [6].
重庆啤酒23年报点评:主流价格助增长,南区产能望缓解
Huaan Securities· 2024-03-30 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that mainstream pricing is driving growth, and the production capacity in the southern region is expected to alleviate supply constraints [2] - The company reported a revenue of 17.86 billion in Q4 2023, a decrease of 3.8%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -0.07 billion compared to 0.81 billion in the same period last year [2] - For the full year 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 148.15 billion, an increase of 5.5%, and a net profit of 13.37 billion, up by 5.8% [2] - The company declared a dividend of 13.55 billion for 2023, with a payout ratio of 101% [2] Revenue Analysis - The report indicates a slowdown in revenue growth, but international and southern regions showed strong performance [2] - In 2023, the total sales volume reached 3 million tons, an increase of 4.9%, with an average price of 4,818 yuan per ton, up by 0.5% [2] - The revenue breakdown by price segment shows high-end, mainstream, and economy segments generating 8.9 billion, 5.3 billion, and 0.3 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5.2%, 5.6%, and 10.1% [2] - The report notes that the mainstream price segment is the main driver of volume growth, while international brands outperformed local brands [2] Profitability Analysis - The report mentions an increase in costs, with a gross margin of 49.1% in 2023, down by 1.3 percentage points due to a 3.2% rise in ton costs [2] - The net profit margin for 2023 was 9.02%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, despite an increase in sales expenses [2] - The report anticipates continued structural upgrades in 2024, with expectations of stable total costs due to a decrease in barley costs and the production launch of the Foshan factory in Q2 2024 [2] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 158 billion, 166 billion, and 176 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.4%, 5.3%, and 5.8% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 15 billion, 16 billion, and 18 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 11.0%, 10.0%, and 7.5% [3] - The report indicates that the current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 21, 19, and 18 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, suggesting that the valuation is at a historically low level [2][3]
重庆啤酒(600132) - 2023 Q4 - 年度财报
2024-03-29 16:00
Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for 2023 reached RMB 14,814,836,410.26, representing a 5.53% increase compared to RMB 14,039,040,539.45 in 2022[22]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was RMB 1,336,597,321.13, up 5.78% from RMB 1,263,619,606.46 in the previous year[22]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB 1,313,987,214.02, reflecting a 6.45% increase from RMB 1,234,352,860.32 in 2022[22]. - The company's basic earnings per share for 2023 was CNY 2.76, representing a 5.78% increase compared to CNY 2.61 in 2022[23]. - The weighted average return on equity decreased to 67.05% in 2023, down by 2.20 percentage points from 69.25% in 2022[23]. - The gross margin for the beer segment was 49.75%, a decrease of 1.31 percentage points compared to the previous year[44]. - The company's gross profit margin for high-end products was reported at 55.01%, a decrease of 1.57% year-on-year[70]. Cash Flow and Assets - The net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 17.47% to RMB 3,096,948,816.62 from RMB 3,752,648,258.54 in 2022[22]. - The total assets as of the end of 2023 were RMB 12,386,911,593.95, a slight decrease of 0.89% from RMB 12,497,582,459.14 at the end of 2022[22]. - The net cash inflow from operating activities decreased by ¥655,699,400 due to increased tax expenses[55]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities was 3.097 billion RMB, down 17.47% from 3.753 billion RMB in the previous year[42]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to RMB 2,712,720,235.65 from RMB 3,397,877,592.02, representing a decline of 20.19%[197]. Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1,355,119,354.40, which translates to RMB 2.80 per share[4]. - The cash dividend distribution represents 101.39% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders in the consolidated financial statements, which amounts to RMB 1,336,597,321.13[119]. Sales and Market Performance - The company achieved a 4.93% increase in sales volume in 2023, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 0.3%[30]. - The company reported a total production capacity of 500,000 kiloliters, with an actual capacity of 430,000 kiloliters, indicating a utilization rate of 86%[59]. - The total sales revenue for high-end products reached CNY 8.85 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.18%[70]. - The company achieved a significant increase in sales, marking 2023 as the first year of gradual consumption recovery, with a notable rise in revenue per hectoliter[32]. Strategic Initiatives and Innovations - The company is focusing on product high-endization and sales model innovation as part of its strategic initiatives[30]. - The company launched new high-end products, including the Chongqing Craft White Beer, which received positive market feedback[30]. - The company plans to enhance its online sales strategy by integrating e-commerce and O2O operations into a larger marketing department[69]. - The company is expanding its market presence in Asia, targeting a 30% increase in market share by the end of 2024[94]. Environmental and Sustainability Efforts - The company reduced carbon emissions by 2,568 tons in 2023, achieving a 75.58% reduction compared to 2015 baseline data[34]. - The average water consumption in the company’s breweries decreased by 5.8% compared to 2022, reaching 2.11 HL/HL, and a total water savings of over 254,000 tons was achieved[35]. - The company is committed to improving supply chain efficiency and achieving zero carbon emissions in its operations by 2040[85]. - The company achieved a carbon reduction of 2,568.3 tons in 2023, with a 74.1% decrease in carbon emissions per hectoliter of beer brewed compared to 2015[138]. Governance and Compliance - The company received an A-level rating for information disclosure from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the 2022-2023 period, reflecting its commitment to transparency[90]. - The company has maintained compliance with regulatory requirements, with no penalties from securities regulatory agencies in the past three years[103]. - The company has established effective communication channels with investors, holding 4 regular performance briefings during the reporting period[90]. Legal Matters and Risks - The company is involved in a lawsuit where its subsidiary, Chongqing Jiawei, is claiming RMB 631.68 million in damages from Chongqing Beer Co., Ltd. due to a contract dispute[157]. - The company has a pending lawsuit regarding a claim of RMB 20.85 million for unfulfilled sales expenses, with the court already rejecting the company's jurisdiction objection[157]. - The company has outlined potential risks in its future development discussions, emphasizing the importance of investor awareness regarding investment risks[5].
重庆啤酒:重庆啤酒股份有限公司非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况的专项审计说明
2024-03-29 11:09
关于重庆啤酒股份有限公司 非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况 汇总表的专项审计报告 目 录 1、 专项审计报告 2、 附表 委托单位:重庆啤酒股份有限公司 审计单位:天健会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 联系电话:0571-88216888 非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况的 专项审计说明 天健审〔2024〕8-21 号 重庆啤酒股份有限公司全体股东: 我们接受委托,审计了重庆啤酒股份有限公司(以下简称重庆啤酒公司)2023 年度财务报表,包括2023年12月31日的合并及母公司资产负债表,2023年度 的合并及母公司利润表、合并及母公司现金流量表、合并及母公司所有者权益变 动表,以及财务报表附注,并出具了审计报告。在此基础上,我们审计了后附的 重庆啤酒公司管理层编制的 2023年度《非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来 情况汇总表》(以下简称汇总表)。 一、对报告使用者和使用目的的限定 本报告仅供重庆啤酒公司年度报告披露时使用,不得用作任何其他目的。我 们同意将本报告作为重庆啤酒公司年度报告的必备文件,随同其他文件一起报送 并对外披露。 为了更好地理解重庆啤酒公司 2023年度非经营性资金占用及其他关联 ...