Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **Greater China Materials** industry, highlighting a **liquidity-driven bull market** supported by **supply disruptions** that are positively impacting commodity prices. The preference is for **gold, copper, and aluminum equities** in this environment [1][4][10]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Commodity Price Forecasts**: - **Aluminum**: Morgan Stanley forecasts $2,659 per ton for 2H2025, which is 6% higher than consensus. For CY2026, the forecast is $2,750, 8% above consensus [10]. - **Copper**: Expected price of $10,047 per ton for 2H2025, 5% above consensus, and $10,650 for CY2026, 9% above consensus [10]. - **Gold**: Projected at $3,719 per ounce for 2H2025, 9% above consensus, and $4,400 for CY2026, 34% above consensus [10]. - **Steel Demand Drivers**: - The **China Steel Demand Drivers** for 2025 include: - **Machinery**: 30% - **Infrastructure**: 17% - **Residential Property**: 14% - **Auto**: 9% [17][19]. - **Copper Consumption Index**: The **China Copper Consumption Index** indicates a significant reliance on sectors such as **Power (47%)**, **White Goods (15%)**, and **Auto (10%)** [21][22]. - **Aluminum Demand Breakdown**: The **China aluminum demand** is driven by: - **Property**: 22% - **Passenger Vehicles**: 20% - **Grid Investment**: 11% [27]. Additional Important Insights - **Infrastructure Spending**: - Infrastructure spending has partially offset the slowdown in new property starts, with a **5.4% YoY increase** in infrastructure spending for the first eight months of 2025 [35][55]. - **Weekly Shipments**: - Weekly cement and rebar shipments in China are being monitored, indicating trends in demand and supply dynamics [55][56]. - **Market Sentiment**: - The overall sentiment in the materials sector remains **attractive**, with Morgan Stanley's research indicating potential conflicts of interest due to business relationships with covered companies [4][5]. - **Analyst Team**: The call featured insights from a team of equity analysts at Morgan Stanley, emphasizing the importance of their research in investment decision-making [3]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the Greater China Materials industry and its current market dynamics.

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum alloy industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with production figures showing a notable increase in recent years, indicating a positive market outlook for the sector [1]. Industry Summary - As of August 2025, China's aluminum alloy production reached 1.64 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.2% [1]. - Cumulatively, from January to August 2025, the total aluminum alloy production in China amounted to 12.324 million tons, with a cumulative growth rate of 15.3% [1]. - The data indicates a robust upward trend in production, suggesting strong demand and potential investment opportunities within the industry [1]. Company Summary - Key listed companies in the aluminum sector include China Aluminum (601600), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), and Ming Tai Aluminum (601677), among others [1]. - These companies are positioned to benefit from the growing market dynamics and increasing production capacities in the aluminum alloy industry [1].

Group 1 - The controlling shareholder, Nanshan Group, holds approximately 2.404 billion shares of the company, accounting for about 20.7% of the total share capital [1] - Its concerted actor, Yili Electric, holds approximately 2.581 billion shares, representing about 22.22% of the total share capital [1] - After the completion of the share pledge extension, Nanshan Group has pledged a total of approximately 421 million shares, which is about 3.62% of the total share capital and 17.5% of the shares held by Nanshan Group [1] Group 2 - Yili Electric has pledged approximately 886 million shares, accounting for about 7.63% of the total share capital and 34.33% of the shares held by Yili Electric [1]

Core Viewpoint - The ETF market experienced significant inflows in September, with a total net inflow of 201 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in sector-specific ETFs, particularly in new energy and semiconductor themes [11][14]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78 points, with expectations to reach 3900 points post-holiday [1]. - The top-performing indices in September included the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Sci-Tech 50, and Sci-Tech 100, with respective gains of 14.40%, 12.04%, 11.48%, and 8.73% [4][5]. Group 2: ETF Performance - The top-performing ETFs in September were focused on new energy and semiconductors, with lithium battery ETFs and semiconductor equipment ETFs seeing gains exceeding 30% [6][7]. - The lithium battery ETF had a remarkable increase of 40%, while the battery ETF from Harvest Fund rose by 39.47% [7]. Group 3: Sector Inflows and Outflows - In September, the financial and military-themed ETFs underperformed, with several declining over 7% until a slight rebound in the last two days before the holiday [9][10]. - The AAA Sci-Tech bond, securities companies, and other indices saw significant inflows, while the Sci-Tech 50 and other major indices experienced notable outflows [14][15]. Group 4: Notable Companies - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) surpassed Kweichow Moutai in total market capitalization, reaching 1833.784 billion yuan [1][2]. - The top companies by market capitalization included Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (26,017.66 billion yuan), Agricultural Bank of China (23,343.87 billion yuan), and China Mobile (22,632.90 billion yuan) [2].

证券代码：600219 证券简称：南山铝业 公告编号：2025-057 一、上市公司股份质押展期 公司于近日收到控股股东南山集团的一致行动人怡力电业的通知，获悉其质 押给中国民生银行股份有限公司烟台分行的部分公司股份已办理股份质押展期 手续，具体事项如下： 上述质押股份不存在被用作重大资产重组业绩补偿等事项的担保或其他保 障用途的情形。 2、股东累计质押股份情况 山东南山铝业股份有限公司关于控股股东的一致行 动人所持部分股权质押展期的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ●截止至披露日，山东南山铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股 东南山集团有限公司（以下简称"南山集团"）持有公司股份总数为 2,404,403,647 股，约占公司总股本的 20.70%；其一致行动人山东怡力电业有限公司（以下简 称"怡力电业"）持有公司股份总数为 2,581,044,590 股，约占公司总股本的 22.22%。 ●本次股份质押展期业务完成后，南山集团累计质押其所持有的公司股份 420,690,357 股， ...

Core Viewpoint - Nanshan Aluminum's major shareholder, Nanshan Group, holds approximately 20.70% of the company's total shares, while its concerted party, Yili Electric, holds about 22.22% [1] Shareholding and Pledge Details - Yili Electric has extended the pledge of 335 million shares to China Minsheng Bank Yantai Branch, with the original pledge due on October 28, 2025, and the extended due date on October 24, 2026, representing 12.98% of its holdings and 2.88% of the company's total shares [1] - As of the disclosure date, the cumulative pledged shares by Nanshan Group and Yili Electric account for 11.25% of the company's total shares [1] Financial Health and Control - Both Nanshan Group and Yili Electric are reported to have good creditworthiness, and the pledge risk is considered controllable, ensuring that there will be no change in the company's actual controlling rights [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Nanshan Group has been recognized in the "Top 500 Chinese Manufacturing Enterprises" list, ranking 67th, which is an 11-position increase from the previous year, showcasing its strong development momentum and continuous innovation capability [1] Group 2 - Nanshan Group, founded during the early reform and opening-up period, has maintained its focus on its main business and has developed a multi-industry approach over 47 years, with key sectors including Nanshan Aluminum, Nanshan Zhishang, Hengtong Co., Yulong Petrochemical, and others [3] - The company operates in various manufacturing sectors, including non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling, textiles, petroleum and coal processing, and chemical manufacturing, demonstrating its robust industrial strength and diversified strategic layout [3] Group 3 - Nanshan Group has consistently driven technological innovation, optimized its industrial structure, improved product quality, and strengthened brand building, gaining wide market recognition [7] - The company is committed to high-quality development, guided by principles of integration, optimization, innovation, enhancement, and development, aiming to contribute more to the prosperity of Chinese manufacturing [7]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3872.88 points, up 1.17%, with a total trading volume of 1.7438 trillion yuan [1] - As of the current date, 94 A-shares have surpassed their annual moving average [1] Stocks Surpassing Annual Moving Average - Notable stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Kaiwang Technology (301182) with a deviation rate of 15.21% and a daily increase of 17.68% [1] - Wanli Stone (002785) with a deviation rate of 9.52% and a daily increase of 10.01% [1] - Daqing Huake (000985) with a deviation rate of 9.44% and a daily increase of 10.00% [1] - Other stocks with smaller deviation rates include: - China CNR (601990) and Beidahuang (000995), both just above their annual moving average [1] Additional Stocks with Positive Performance - Other stocks showing positive performance include: - Tonghui Information (430090) with a daily increase of 6.20% and a deviation rate of 4.69% [1] - Huangtai Liquor (000995) with a daily increase of 5.17% and a deviation rate of 4.47% [1] - Nanjing Securities (601990) with a daily increase of 4.09% and a deviation rate of 4.00% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article reviews the performance of battery aluminum foil companies in the first half of 2025 and forecasts the industry's future, highlighting challenges such as high concentration in demand and declining processing fees impacting profitability [2][12][29]. Production and Supply - The total production of battery aluminum foil from January to August 2025 reached 317,000 tons, marking a 37% year-on-year increase [3]. - The expected total production for the year is close to 500,000 tons, with effective domestic production capacity at 869,000 tons, where Ding Sheng New Materials holds a 32% market share [5][7]. - The industry shows signs of idle capacity, particularly among newer entrants, while leading players maintain higher utilization rates [9][10]. Financial Performance - Key companies' financial results for the first half of 2025 show varied performance, with Ding Sheng New Materials reporting a revenue of 13.314 billion and a net profit of 188 million, reflecting a 2% increase [11]. - Other companies like Wan Shun New Materials and Jin Yu Co. faced significant declines in revenue and profits, indicating a challenging environment for battery aluminum foil manufacturers [12][14]. Market Dynamics - The demand for battery aluminum foil is highly concentrated, with two major battery cell manufacturers accounting for over 50% of total procurement, leading to increased bargaining power and pressure on profit margins for aluminum foil companies [11]. - The processing fee structure for battery aluminum foil is primarily determined by the price of electrolytic aluminum and the processing fee, with the latter being the main area for price negotiation [16][17]. Future Outlook - The forecast for 2026 anticipates a domestic demand for battery aluminum foil between 650,000 to 700,000 tons, while effective production capacity is expected to reach 921,000 tons [18][19]. - The article suggests that the industry may not see a significant recovery in processing fees in the near term, as the supply-demand balance is expected to stabilize over time [22][29]. - The competitive landscape indicates that while some smaller players may exit the market due to declining processing fees, larger companies with substantial resources are likely to remain resilient [24][27].

Core Insights - Nanshan Aluminum is rapidly advancing its alumina production base in Indonesia, with a total capacity expected to reach 4 million tons following the completion of its fourth phase project [1][2] - The company is shifting its "going out" strategy from "product export" to "capacity export," enhancing its global presence and contributing to the globalization of China's aluminum industry [1][2] - Nanshan Aluminum's Indonesian project is a key driver of its revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 33.477 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.06% [2] Project Development - The company has initiated a 2 million tons per year alumina expansion project, including phases three and four, and is also developing a 200,000 tons per year caustic soda and 16,500 tons per year epoxy chloropropane project [2] - The vertical integration of its industrial layout is expected to yield significant cost advantages and enhance the company's resilience in overseas markets [2] ESG Integration - Nanshan Aluminum incorporates ESG principles throughout its project development and operations, including strict adherence to local environmental regulations and the establishment of an environmental management framework [3][4] - The company aims to reduce emissions of sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, and particulate matter by 50%, 15%, and 50% respectively by 2025, exceeding local requirements and reaching international standards [4] High-End Manufacturing - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, totaling 5.523 billion yuan from 2021 to 2024, positioning itself as a key supplier of aerospace aluminum extrusions for major manufacturers [6] - High-value products such as automotive and aerospace aluminum account for a growing share of the company's total sales, with high-end products contributing approximately 23% to total gross profit [6] Shareholder Returns - Nanshan Aluminum emphasizes shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks, having distributed over 9.5 billion yuan in dividends across 26 instances [7] - The company believes that sharing growth with shareholders is essential for long-term value creation [7]