煤炭周报 关税扰动下日耗同比降幅扩大，煤价筑底逻辑未变 2025 年 04 月 26 日 ➢ 关税扰动下日耗同比降幅扩大，煤价筑底逻辑未变。2025 年 4 月关税冲突 加码以来，受下游需求萎缩影响，沿海八省电厂日耗同比出现下降，3 月底周均 日耗 187.1 万吨，同比增加 3.5 万吨(+1.9%)，而截至 4 月 24 日当周，周均日 耗降至 176.0 万吨，同比减少 2.9 万吨(-1.6%)，在此影响下，煤价持续窄幅震 荡，本周环比延续小幅下滑。但同时，持续低煤价下新疆、内蒙古以露天矿为主 的边际产能产量或出现缩减，发运倒挂叠加大秦线检修，港口库存略有去化。展 望后市，非电需求仍维持缓慢提升，煤价向上动力不足，大秦线检修结束后铁路 发运提升，港口或有累库风险，边际产能成本、进口煤价倒挂以及长协基准价对 港口煤价有支撑，下行压力亦有限，预计短期现货价仍以窄幅震荡为主，长协价 仍表现出低波韧性。 ➢ 焦煤短期窄幅震荡为主，旺季或有阶段性反弹但空间有限。当前煤价下部分 配焦原煤转为动力煤销售更具性价比，焦煤价格已基本见底，叠加近期高炉持续 复产，铁水产量已提升至 2024 年以来最高水平 244.35 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the coal industry, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, among others [2][3][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights that coal consumption has decreased due to tariff disruptions, with daily consumption in coastal provinces dropping from 1.871 million tons in late March to 1.760 million tons by April 24, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.6% [1][7]. - Despite low coal prices, there is a lack of upward momentum for coal prices, with expectations of narrow fluctuations in the short term [1][8]. - The report suggests that while there may be a temporary rebound in coking coal prices due to seasonal demand, the overall price increase potential remains limited [2][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report notes that the coal price has been experiencing narrow fluctuations, with recent prices reported at 657 CNY/ton for Qinhuangdao port, down 8 CNY from the previous week [8]. - The report indicates that the overall coal market is influenced by both weak demand and tariff disruptions, leading to cautious market sentiment [2][8]. Company Performance - Key companies such as China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal are recommended for their stable performance and strong cash flow [2][11]. - The report provides earnings forecasts for major companies, with China Shenhua expected to have an EPS of 2.95 CNY in 2024, and a PE ratio of 13 [3]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the coal sector has underperformed compared to the broader market, with a weekly decline of 0.8% in the coal sector compared to gains in major indices [12][14]. - It also notes that the coking coal market is expected to stabilize in the short term due to increased demand for steelmaking [10][11]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on industry leaders with stable earnings, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as companies with strong cash flow like Jinkong Coal [2][11]. - It emphasizes the defensive value of companies with low debt and high cash flow amidst ongoing tariff disruptions [8].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：600546 证券简称：山煤国际 公告编号：临2025-012号 山煤国际能源集团股份有限公司 关于召开2024年度暨2025年第一季度 业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 投资者可于2025年4月24日(星期四)至4月30日(星期三)16:00前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预 征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱smzqb@smgjny.com进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进 行回答。 山煤国际能源集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将于2025年4月29日发布公司2024年年度报告及 2025年第一季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司2024年度及2025年第一季度的经营成果 和财务指标，公司计划于2025年5月6日下午15:00-16:00举行2024年度暨2025年第一季度业绩说明会，就 投资者关心的问题进行交流。 一、说明会类型 四、投资者参加方式 （一）投资者可在2025年5月6日(星 ...

证券代码：600546 证券简称：山煤国际 公告编号：临 2025-012 号 山煤国际能源集团股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会 的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 5 月 6 日（星期二）下午 15:00-16:00。 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： http://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）。 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动。 投资者可于 2025 年 4 月 24 日(星期四)至 4 月 30 日(星期三)16:00 前登 录 上 证 路 演 中 心 网 站 首 页 点 击 " 提 问 预 征 集 " 栏 目 或 通 过 公 司 邮 箱 smzqb@smgjny.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 山煤国际能源集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将于 2025 年 4 月 29 日发布公司 2024 年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for small and medium-sized comprehensive energy shows a decline in performance over various time frames, indicating potential challenges in the energy sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Index for small and medium-sized comprehensive energy closed at 1901.11 points, with a decline of 6.73% over the past month, 6.43% over the past three months, and 10.19% year-to-date [1]. - The index is categorized into 11 industries based on the classification standards of the China Securities Index series, reflecting the overall performance of different industry securities [1]. Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten holdings in the index include companies such as China Coal Energy (8.65%), Yongtai Energy (8.55%), and Jereh Oilfield Services (5.15%) [1]. - The index's market composition shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 54.91%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 22.93%, and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 22.16% [2]. Group 3: Industry Composition - The index's industry composition reveals that coal accounts for 31.95%, coke for 26.40%, and oil refining for 13.43% [2]. - Other significant sectors include oil and gas extraction (10.52%), oilfield services (7.66%), and oil and gas circulation (5.27%) [2]. Group 4: Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Adjustments to the weight factors occur simultaneously with sample changes, and special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments [2].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) has shown a recent increase of 0.83%, closing at 2023.17 points with a trading volume of 38.13 billion yuan, despite a year-to-date decline of 5.83% [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index has decreased by 1.38% over the past month, but has increased by 0.13% over the last three months [2]. - The index reflects the overall performance of 100 listed companies selected for their high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, with a base date of June 30, 2009, set at 1000.0 points [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include: COSCO Shipping Holdings (2.6%), Jizhong Energy (1.97%), Shanxi Coal International (1.4%), Chengdu Bank (1.36%), Shanxi Coking Coal (1.35%), Tangshan Port (1.32%), Shanghai Bank (1.31%), Lu'an Environmental Energy (1.3%), China Shenhua Energy (1.28%), and Hengyuan Coal Power (1.27%) [2]. - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (82.98%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (17.02%) [2]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index holdings is as follows: Financials (28.01%), Industrials (26.15%), Energy (20.16%), Materials (9.19%), Communication Services (5.34%), Real Estate (3.75%), Utilities (3.34%), Consumer Discretionary (3.24%), and Consumer Staples (0.82%) [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3]. - Criteria for sample retention include: actual control by state-owned entities, a cash dividend yield greater than 0.5% over the past year, and ranking within the top 90% for average market capitalization and trading volume [3]. - The adjustment ratio is generally limited to 20%, with special conditions allowing for temporary adjustments in case of delisting or significant corporate changes [3]. Group 5: Related Funds - Public funds tracking the State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index include: Western Leading State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index Enhanced C, Pengyang China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Linked A, and several others [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal price at ports has stabilized, and the investment value of leading coal companies is emphasized [2][4] - The supply constraints in the coal mining industry remain unchanged, while demand may fluctuate, leading to price dynamics and rebalancing [7][74] - The report highlights the strong cash flow and high asset quality of leading coal companies, characterized by high profitability, high cash flow, high barriers to entry, high dividends, and high safety margins [7][74] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal - Port inventory continues to decrease, and port prices have stabilized [10][13] - The production side shows stable supply, with a slight decrease in capacity utilization in the main production areas [13][21] - Demand has improved, with increased daily consumption in coastal and inland power plants [13][24] - The average daily coal input at ports has decreased, leading to a reduction in northern port inventories [29][33] 2. Coking Coal - Production continues to contract, with a decrease in capacity utilization due to previous production issues [39][73] - Demand has improved, with rising daily iron output and reduced inventory at coking enterprises [39][73] - The overall supply-demand situation for coking coal has improved, with a decrease in production enterprise inventory [39][73] 3. Coke - The market anticipates price increases for coke after the Qingming Festival, with rising production rates in coking plants [52][73] - The average profit per ton of coke has decreased, indicating a challenging profitability environment [54][73] 4. Anthracite - The price of anthracite remains stable, with high operating rates in major production areas [68][74] 5. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - The report identifies key companies to focus on, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, among others, with strong investment recommendations [8][75] - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for various companies, indicating their investment potential [8][75]

山煤国际能源集团股份有限公司主营业务为煤炭生产业务、煤炭销售和物流业务。公司的主要产品和服 务是煤炭、煤炭销售、物流业务。公司是山西省唯一一家拥有煤炭出口专营权的煤炭企业，拥有出口内 销两个通道，可以在国际国内两个市场配置资源。 最新一期业绩显示，2024年三季报，公司实现营业收入219.65亿元，同比-23.99%；净利润20.82亿元， 同比-47.91%，销售毛利率34.67%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)20山煤国际9.255.091.30216.88亿行业平均 12.0011.881.72502.79亿行业中值9.429.181.02125.10亿1盘江股份-2052.8014.450.96105.83亿2云维股 份-980.56787.6011.5540.55亿3新大洲A-29.33-33.8212.4137.01亿4美锦能源-25.9569.301.45200.30亿5安源 煤业-20.24-55.0718.6062.66亿6云煤能源-9.0524.541.0736.07亿7陕西黑猫-7.14-12.410.9163.52亿8大有能 源-6.44-19.631.579 ...

Core Viewpoint - Investing in high-dividend companies may be a direction to outperform the index in the short term, with a focus on state-owned enterprise dividend ETFs showing slight upward movement [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of March 26, 2025, the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) decreased by 0.05%, with component stocks showing mixed performance [1]. - The State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159515) increased by 0.09%, with the latest price reported at 1.09 yuan [1]. - The latest scale of the State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF reached 51.1486 million yuan, marking a one-month high [2]. Group 2: Component Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index accounted for 15.22% of the index, with notable stocks including COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [3]. - The performance of key stocks varied, with COSCO Shipping Holdings down by 0.68% and Shanxi Coal International up by 1.07% [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - East Asia Securities suggests that focusing on high-dividend companies based on fundamentals may lead to short-term outperformance [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring market rhythm and industry progress, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence and robotics, which are expected to see growth [2]. - Short-term investment opportunities are highlighted in marine economy, military industry, and consumer sectors with clear policy expectations [2].

Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has experienced a high-level retreat in the first two months of 2025, underperforming the market by 11.8 percentage points, ranking last among all industry indices [4][14]. - The coal price is expected to stabilize and gradually recover due to improved industrial demand, slowing production growth, and reduced import expectations [4][29]. Group 1: Coal Sector Review - In the first two months of 2025, the coal sector has declined by 10.0%, ranking 30th out of 30 in the industry indices [4][14]. - The sub-sectors of thermal coal, coking coal, and coke have seen respective declines of 15.5%, 11.4%, and 7.4% in the first two months [14]. - As of March 18, 2025, the coal sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is at 10.4 times, which is at a historical average level, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio is at 1.33 times, also at a historical average [19][23]. Group 2: Coal Market Review - The growth rate of electricity consumption has dropped to 1.3% in the first two months, while non-electric demand has shown overall improvement [4][29]. - Domestic coal prices have been weak since the beginning of the year, with thermal coal prices stabilizing in March [29]. - The import growth rate of coal has decreased to 1.8% in the first two months of 2025 [4][29]. Group 3: Recent Market Dynamics - Port thermal coal prices have slightly declined, while prices in production areas have generally rebounded [4][29]. - The price of thermal coal is expected to stabilize in the short term due to inventory reductions at southern ports and coastal power plants [4][29]. - Coking coal prices have continued to decline, but demand is expected to improve as the spring construction season approaches [4][29]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The coal price is expected to find support at the bottom, with the sector's valuation and dividend advantages becoming more pronounced [4][29]. - The anticipated average coal price for 2025 may decline, but leading companies are expected to maintain stable profitability due to effective cost control [4][29]. - Key companies with robust dividends include Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua, while companies with lower valuations and long-term growth potential include Xinji Energy and Yanzhou Coal [4][29].