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水泥股多数上涨 行业反内卷仍在发力 机构料8月中下旬需求有望逐步回升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 05:56
Group 1 - The cement stocks have mostly risen, with Dongwu Cement increasing by 22.93% to HKD 5.63, China National Building Material up by 11.4% to HKD 5.57, and Huaxin Cement Technology rising by 2.08% to HKD 1.96 [1] - Dongwu Cement announced a significant reduction in losses expected in the first half of 2025, attributed to the "anti-involution" policy in the domestic cement industry and a slowdown in overall market demand in China [1] - The company also reported gains from the sale of cement clinker capacity indicators, which will continue to be replaced by externally purchased clinker supply [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities noted that cement prices continued to decline in July, with a national average of RMB 344 per ton, down RMB 44 per ton year-on-year and RMB 8 per ton since early July [2] - Many regions have seen cement prices reach or fall below cost lines, and rising coal prices have further increased profit pressures for companies [2] - In response, regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Hubei have begun to actively implement peak-shaving measures and raise prices by approximately RMB 30 per ton, with expectations for gradual recovery in profitability as demand enters the peak season [2]
港股建材水泥股拉升,东吴水泥大涨超17%,中国建材涨超7%,华新水泥涨2%,华润建材科技、金隅集团涨超1%,海螺水泥涨0.4%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 02:35
Group 1 - Hong Kong cement stocks experienced a significant rise, with Dongwu Cement leading the gains at over 17%, followed by China National Building Material at over 7% [1] - Other notable performers included Huaxin Cement with a 2% increase, and China Tianrui Cement, China Resources Cement Technology, and Jinyu Group all rising over 1% [1] - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicated that July was a seasonal off-peak period, with high temperatures and rain affecting downstream construction, leading to a decrease in national cement demand and an increase in clinker inventory [2] Group 2 - Dongwu Cement is expected to reduce its losses to approximately 12.966 million yuan for the six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to a loss of about 39.981 million yuan in the same period last year, representing a reduction of approximately 67.6% [3] - The industry outlook suggests that demand is expected to gradually recover in mid to late August, with a potential stabilization and rebound in cement prices [2]
1-7月地产链数据联合解读
2025-08-18 01:00
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The real estate sector is characterized as a "three low" industry (low price-to-book ratio, low positioning, low attention), suggesting that the valuation gap will eventually close [3][5] - The construction and real estate sectors are experiencing significant challenges, with broad infrastructure investment growth declining by 1.9% year-on-year in July 2025, marking the first negative growth in two years [6][9] - The construction investment growth rate in July 2025 was negative 5.1%, indicating a severe decline in local government-funded projects and highlighting fiscal difficulties [6][9] Key Points and Arguments - Real estate stocks are not to be viewed pessimistically; the market is in a phase of orderly expansion, and the sector's win rate is high due to its low valuation metrics [3][5] - In July 2025, real estate investment fell by 17.1%, while manufacturing investment decreased by 0.3%, both showing significant declines and marking a critical turning point [11] - The cash flow situation in the real estate market has improved compared to last year, with financing costs and completion rates showing strength, suggesting potential recovery in construction data in the second half of the year [2] - The introduction of special bonds and government debt in July has significantly increased, aiding in resolving real estate debt issues and enhancing macroeconomic stability [7] Notable Companies and Their Performance - Companies like Vanke, JinDi, Longfor, and New Town are identified as having high elasticity due to improved competitive dynamics [8] - Service-oriented companies such as Wanwu Cloud, China Resources Mixc, and China Overseas Property are also highlighted for their dividend performance in the mid-year reports [8] - Recommended companies in the consumer building materials sector include Oriental Yuhong and Henkel Group, which are expected to perform well due to improved market conditions [19] Risks and Future Outlook - The upcoming mid-year reports for construction companies are anticipated to be risky, with potential for lower-than-expected performance due to increased receivables and declining revenues [13][16] - Despite short-term risks, there is potential for a rebound in the fourth quarter, particularly for companies with mineral resource attributes, such as China Metallurgical Group and China Railway [14] - The cement industry is projected to face a demand decline of 4.5% for the year, with July's demand down by 5.6% [17] Additional Insights - The consumer building materials sector is showing signs of recovery, with improved fundamentals and reduced price wars, which may lead to enhanced profitability [18] - The western region's infrastructure projects are expected to significantly impact the building materials industry, with strong demand and funding availability [24] - Investors are advised to adjust their positions cautiously in anticipation of potential volatility following the mid-year report disclosures [15]
海螺水泥(00914.HK)获The Capital Group增持305.9万股
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-17 23:09
| 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的價入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的有關事件的日 相關法 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | | | | 恭、恭上題參照。 有投票權股 期 (日 / 月 / | | | | | | | 份自分比 年) | | | | | | | 96 | | CS20250815E00001 | The Capital Group | 1101(L) | 3,059,000(L | HKD 24.7227 | 119,519,500(L) 9.20(L) 13/08/2025 | | | Companies, Inc. | | | | | 增持后,The Capital Group Companies, Inc.最新持股数目为119,519,500股,持股比例由8.96%上升至9.20%。 | 股份代號: | 00914 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 - H股 | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | ...
1-7月水、电固投高增,关注区域基建板块
HUAXI Securities· 2025-08-17 11:05
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in fixed asset investment in water and electricity sectors, with a focus on regional infrastructure [1][3] - The cement market remains stable, while glass prices are experiencing fluctuations due to competitive dynamics [2] - The real estate market shows a decline in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes [3][21] - The report emphasizes the ongoing demand for construction materials driven by major national projects and infrastructure investments [7][8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include strong performers like "Three Trees" and high-dividend stocks such as "Weixing New Materials" and "Rabbit Baby" [1] - Cement leaders like "Huaxin Cement" and "Conch Cement" are recommended due to their cost and scale advantages [7] - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from major engineering projects, such as "China Power Construction" and "China Energy Construction" [8] Market Trends - The national cement price is reported at 340.33 CNY/ton, showing stability despite low demand [2] - The average price of float glass has decreased to 1235.66 CNY/ton, reflecting a 3.08% decline from the previous week [2][73] - The report notes a 1.6% year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment, with infrastructure investment growing by 3.2% [3][6] Real Estate Market - New home transaction volume in 30 major cities decreased by 12% year-on-year, with a significant 44.7% drop from the previous week [3][21] - Second-hand home transactions in 15 monitored cities showed a slight decline of 1.7% year-on-year [3][21] Sector Performance - The report indicates a robust performance in the industrial sector, with a 9.0% year-on-year increase in industrial investment [6] - The water and electricity sectors are highlighted for their strong investment growth, with electricity supply investment up by 21.5% [6]
地产仍处弱景气,供给端的变化更值得期待
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 05:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The real estate sector remains in a weak economic environment, but changes on the supply side are more promising [1]. - The cement sector is expected to benefit from demand driven by urban renewal and supply restrictions, leading to improved market conditions [4][7]. - The report highlights the potential for price increases in waterproofing products, which could enhance industry profit margins [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The building materials industry consists of 73 listed companies with a total market value of 838.733 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 789.313 billion yuan [2]. - The report notes a decline in real estate development investment, with a 12% year-on-year decrease, and a 4% drop in commercial housing sales area [7]. Key Companies - North New Building Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China Jushi: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Weixing New Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Sankeshu: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.5 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Huaxin Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.4 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Qibin Group: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Dongfang Yuhong: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Jianlang Hardware: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.3 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China National Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. Market Trends - The cement market saw a 0.2% increase in prices, with specific regions experiencing price hikes of 10-30 yuan per ton [31]. - The national cement output for January to July 2025 was 958 million tons, a 4.5% year-on-year decrease [7]. - The report anticipates a steady upward trend in cement prices due to rising coal costs and improved demand conditions [31]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from supply restrictions and urban renewal projects, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement [7][8]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the waterproofing sector, like Dongfang Yuhong, for potential profit margin improvements [7].
(活力中国调研行)变废为宝 重庆城市垃圾的“再就业”之路
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-16 06:07
图为技术 中新网重庆8月16日电 (纪嘉欣 梁钦卿)在一个巨大的垃圾深坑内,机械抓手"从天而降",将生活垃圾抓 取并转移到破碎机中。这些垃圾将被送到水泥窑"回炉重造",开启它们的"再就业"之路。 在重庆忠县,城市垃圾正通过一套完整的技术体系,完成无害化处理和二次回收利用。垃圾中的有机物 变肥料、可燃物变燃料、固体废物变原料,顺着生产线融入水泥产品制造过程,真正把"无用"化为"有 用"。 庆海螺水泥有限责任公司,水泥窑生产线正在运转。纪嘉欣 摄 在公司生产品质处常务副处长谭继平看来,这套系统还可以解决垃圾处理中的一个大难题。普通的焚烧 方式处理垃圾时,极易形成毒性很强的有机化学物质,而水泥窑内部的高温、碱性环境等工艺特点,能 够充分分解这一有毒物质,解决传统垃圾焚烧的环保痛点。 不仅是生活垃圾,厨余垃圾在这里也被"吃干榨净"。经过破碎、筛分和有机物提取流程后,厨余垃圾会 被分离成水、有机物、无机物。 "变身"后的厨余垃圾,在这里"各显神通"。无机物可以作为水泥窑生产线的替代性燃料;有机物在发酵 箱发酵成肥料后,会被送入肥料加工厂进行深加工,滋养果园中的果树;水中的油则被分选出来储存, 卖给有资质单位深加工为工业 ...
The Capital Group Companies,Inc.增持海螺水泥305.9万股 每股作价约24.72港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 11:12
据香港联交所最新数据显示,8月13日,The Capital Group Companies,Inc.增持海螺水泥(600585) (00914)305.9万股,每股作价24.7227港元,总金额约为7562.67万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.2亿 股,持股比例为9.2%。 ...
The Capital Group Companies,Inc.增持海螺水泥(00914)305.9万股 每股作价约24.72港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-15 11:08
智通财经APP获悉,据香港联交所最新数据显示,8月13日,The Capital Group Companies,Inc.增持海螺 水泥(00914)305.9万股,每股作价24.7227港元,总金额约为7562.67万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为 1.2亿股,持股比例为9.2%。 ...
活力中国调研日记|“吃”进垃圾,“吐”出燃料!看水泥厂如何让垃圾变废为宝
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the innovative waste management practices of Chongqing Conch Cement Co., which transforms waste into valuable resources, showcasing a model for green and sustainable urban development in Chongqing [1][10]. Group 1: Waste Management Practices - Chongqing Conch Cement has established a waste disposal system with a daily capacity of 200 tons for municipal waste and 60 tons for kitchen waste, achieving 100% disposal of kitchen waste in the region [5]. - The company employs a unique method of waste treatment that combines biological degradation and high-temperature incineration, allowing for the conversion of waste into oil and organic fertilizer within two hours [7]. - The resource recovery rates are impressive, with 0.63% of waste iron, 6.46% of waste slag for cement production, 6% of oil for industrial use, and a 23% yield of organic fertilizer, leading to an overall resource utilization rate exceeding 95% [7][10]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - The waste management project has significantly reduced landfill usage by over 1,000 acres and eliminated the risks associated with leachate pollution of soil and groundwater [7]. - The project has achieved a 100% harmless treatment rate for waste and aims for zero landfill by the end of the year, contributing to the ecological protection of the Yangtze River Economic Belt [7]. - The operations have resulted in a carbon reduction of 11.5 million tons and a saving of 4.2 million tons of standard coal, reflecting the company's commitment to environmental sustainability [10].