Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory (600809)
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汾酒深度汇报
Guang Fa Yin Hang· 2024-05-13 01:12
Summary of Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - The report focuses on Shanxi Fenjiu, a prominent player in the liquor industry in China [1]. Core Points and Arguments - The presentation discusses a special report titled "The Transformation of Shanxi Fenjiu: A Dark Horse in the Liquor Market Over the Past Decade" [1]. - The report was released last week, indicating recent developments and insights into the company's performance and market position [1]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The call welcomes investors, suggesting an emphasis on engaging with stakeholders and providing updates on the company's strategic direction [1].
浅谈资本市场的汾酒十年:“黑马”变身记
GF SECURITIES· 2024-05-09 13:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu [4]. Core Views - The report discusses the transformation of Shanxi Fenjiu from a "dark horse" to a "white horse" in the market, highlighting its significant growth and market positioning [2][10]. - It emphasizes the company's successful national expansion and product structure improvement, particularly the rise of the Qinghua series, which accounted for 46% of revenue in 2023 [2][22]. - The future outlook suggests a matrix development strategy that aligns with market trends, focusing on both price and volume growth [2][35]. Summary by Sections Market Review: "Dark Horse" to "White Horse" - **Dark Horse Era (2015-2018)**: During this period, Shanxi Fenjiu's revenue and profit growth outpaced its stock price increase, leading to a relative undervaluation compared to competitors like Moutai and Wuliangye [11][20]. - **White Horse Era (2019-Present)**: Since 2019, the stock price has significantly outperformed revenue and profit growth, with a stock price increase of 990% from 2019 to 2023, indicating a shift to premium valuation [22][23]. Future Outlook: Matrix Development - **Price**: The price per ton of liquor has been steadily increasing, aligning with overall consumption trends, with a notable increase in high-end product offerings [35]. - **Volume**: The company has seen significant growth in sales volume, particularly in the Qinghua series, which has become a major contributor to revenue [39][41]. - **Regional Expansion**: The company has successfully expanded its market presence beyond its home province, with a notable increase in sales in southern China [22][27]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, projecting net profits of 13.17 billion, 16.19 billion, and 19.34 billion yuan for 2024-2026, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 25, 20, and 17 for the respective years, with a target price of 302.34 yuan per share [45].
高质量增长延续,“大清香时代”来临
Great Wall Securities· 2024-05-09 00:02
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 04月 26日 山西汾酒(600809.SH) 高质量增长延续,“大清香时代”来临 财务指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 买入(维持评级) 营业收入(百万元) 26,214 31,928 38,838 46,576 55,240 股票信息 增长率yoy(%) 31.3 21.8 21.6 19.9 18.6 归母净利润(百万元) 8,096 10,438 13,124 16,028 19,469 行业 食品饮料 增长率yoy(%) 52.4 28.9 25.7 22.1 21.5 2024年4月26日收盘价(元) 252.29 ROE(%) 37.5 37.0 36.4 33.8 31.5 总市值(百万元) 307,784.77 EPS最新摊薄(元) 6.64 8.56 10.76 13.14 15.96 流通市值(百万元) 307,784.77 P/E(倍) 37.0 28.7 22.8 18.7 15.4 总股本(百万股) 1,219.96 P/B(倍) 14.1 10.8 8.4 6.4 4.9 流通股本(百万股) 1,219 ...
山西汾酒:2023年年度股东大会资料
2024-05-08 11:17
山西杏花村汾酒厂股份有限公司 2023 年年度股东大会资料 2024 年 5 月 山西汾酒 2023 年年度股东大会资料 山西杏花村汾酒厂股份有限公司 2023 年年度股东大会 资料目录 | 一、会议须知 2 | | --- | | 二、会议议程 3 | | 三、2023 年度董事会工作报告 4 | | 四、2023 年度监事会工作报告 16 | | 五、2023 年度财务决算报告 20 | | 六、2023 年度利润分配预案 24 | | 七、2023 年度独立董事述职报告(樊三星) 25 | | 八、2023 年度独立董事述职报告(王超群) 31 | | 九、2023 年度独立董事述职报告(张远堂) 37 | | 十、2023 年度独立董事述职报告(周培玉) 43 | | 十一、2023年度独立董事述职报告(李临春) 49 | | 十二、2023年度独立董事述职报告(樊燕萍) 55 | | 十三、关于聘请公司 2024 年度年报审计机构、内部控制审计机构的 | | 议案 61 | | 十四、2023 年年度报告及其摘要 62 | | 十五、关于修订公司《章程》的议案 68 | | 十六、关于重新制订《独立 ...
2023完美收官,2024Q1利润超预期
Shanxi Securities· 2024-05-06 02:30
白酒 山西汾酒(600809.SH) 买入-A(维持) 年报点评 2023完美收官,2024Q1 利润超预期 2024年5月5日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 事件:2023年实现营业收入319.28亿元,同比增长21.8%;归属于上市 公司股东的净利润104.38亿元,同比增长28.93%;基本每股收益8.56元。 2024Q1公司实现营收153.38亿元,同比增长20.94%;归母净利润62.62亿 元,同比增长29.95%。 事件点评 营收跨越300亿,清香天下的市场布局初步形成。公司2023年营业收 入319.28亿元,同比+21.8%;归母净利润为104.38亿元,同比+28.93%;其 市场数据:2024年4月30日 中单Q4实现营业收入51.84亿元,同比+27.38%;归母净利润10.07亿元, 收盘价(元): 262.31 同比+1.95%,业绩符合预期,如期实现目标,青花延续高增长。具体来看: 年内最高/最低(元): 267.38/183.95 1)分产品来,①汾酒系列,青花汾酒预计140亿+,同比增长30%左右,其 流通A股/总股本(亿): 12.20/12. ...
全国化&高端化趋势延续,费用率管控优秀下利润弹性尽显
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-05-03 09:00
公司报告 | 年报点评报告 山西汾酒(600809) 证券研究报告 2024年05月 01日 投资评级 全国化&高端化趋势延续,费用率管控优秀下利润弹 行业 食品饮料/白酒Ⅱ 性尽显 6个月评级 买入(维持评级) 当前价格 262.31元 【23 年业绩】2023 年公司营业收入/归母净利润分别 319.28/104.38 亿元(同比 +21.80%/+28.93%);2024Q1公司营业收入/归母净利润分别153.38/62.62亿元(同 目标价格 元 比+20.94%/+29.95%)。【分红率】从22年的50.03%提到23年的51.07%(同比变动 +1.04pct)。 基本数据 A股总股本(百万股) 1,219.96 汾酒呈现量价齐升态势,中高价酒类价升趋势明显。23年公司酒类收入317.43亿 元(同比+21.90%),中高价酒类/其他酒类营业收入分别为 232.03/85.40 亿元(同 流通A股股本(百万股) 1,219.96 比+22.56%/+20.15%),中高价位产品收入同比+0.39个百分点至73.10%。①从量来 A股总市值(百万元) 320,008.82 看,23年酒类销量 20 ...
Q1再次验证处于强势能期,全年业绩确定性较强
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-02 02:24
山西汾酒(600809) /白酒Ⅱ饮料 / 公司点评 /2024.05.01 Q1 再次验证处于强势能期,全年业绩确定性较强 证券研究报告 投资评级:买入(上调) 核心观点 ❖ 事件:2023年实现营收319.28亿元,同比+21.80%;实现归母净利润104.38 基本数据 2024-04-30 亿元,同比+28.93%;实现扣非净利润104.44亿元,同比+29.15%。2024Q1实 收盘价(元) 262.31 流通股本(亿股) 12.20 现营收153.38亿元,同比+20.94%;实现归母净利润62.62亿元,同比+29.95%; 每股净资产(元) 27.95 实现扣非净利润62.61亿元,同比+30.08%。 总股本(亿股) 12.20 最近12月市场表现 ❖ 青花系列持续放量。2023年公司中高价酒/其他酒实现收入232.03亿元/85.40 亿元,同比+22.56%/+20.15%;2024Q1 中高价酒类/其他酒类分别实现收入 山西汾酒 沪深300 118.60/34.36亿元,分别同比+24.90%/+9.88%。2023年青花系列占比达到46%。 上证指数 白酒Ⅱ 12% 5% ❖ 20 ...
全国化、高端化趋势延续,费用率管控优秀下利润弹性尽显
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-05-01 07:04
公司报告 | 年报点评报告 山西汾酒(600809) 证券研究报告 2024年05月 01日 投资评级 全国化&高端化趋势延续,费用率管控优秀下利润弹 行业 食品饮料/白酒Ⅱ 性尽显 6个月评级 买入(维持评级) 当前价格 262.31元 【23 年业绩】2023 年公司营业收入/归母净利润分别 319.28/104.38 亿元(同比 +21.80%/+28.93%);2024Q1公司营业收入/归母净利润分别153.38/62.62亿元(同 目标价格 元 比+20.94%/+29.95%)。【分红率】从22年的50.03%提到23年的51.07%(同比变动 +1.04pct)。 基本数据 A股总股本(百万股) 1,219.96 汾酒呈现量价齐升态势,中高价酒类价升趋势明显。23年公司酒类收入317.43亿 元(同比+21.90%),中高价酒类/其他酒类营业收入分别为 232.03/85.40 亿元(同 流通A股股本(百万股) 1,219.96 比+22.56%/+20.15%),中高价位产品收入同比+0.39个百分点至73.10%。①从量来 A股总市值(百万元) 320,008.82 看,23年酒类销量 20 ...
2023年报及2024一季度业绩点评:全面增长势能持续
中国银河· 2024-05-01 05:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 31.93 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.44 billion yuan, up 28.9% year-on-year. In Q1 2024, revenue reached 15.34 billion yuan, a 20.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.26 billion yuan, up 30.0% year-on-year [2] - The Qinghua series and Glass Fen series both experienced significant growth. In 2023, the company achieved revenues of 20.20 billion yuan and 8.54 billion yuan from mid-to-high-end and other wines, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 22.6% and 20.1%. The Qinghua series alone generated approximately 14.6 billion yuan, accounting for 46% of total revenue [2] - The company is rapidly expanding its market presence, with revenues from domestic and external markets reaching 12.08 billion yuan and 19.66 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 23.7% and 21.6%. The number of distributors increased by 52 and 251, respectively [2] - The company has improved its net profit margin through precise expense allocation, achieving a gross margin of 75.3% in 2023, with a net profit margin of 32.7%. In Q1 2024, the gross margin rose to 77.5%, with a net profit margin of 40.8% [2] - The dividend payout ratio has steadily increased, with a total dividend of 5.33 billion yuan in 2023, representing a payout ratio of 51% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024 and 2025 have been slightly raised to 10.78 yuan and 13.26 yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2026 at 15.99 yuan. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios corresponding to the closing price of 262.31 yuan on April 30, 2024, are 24, 20, and 16 times for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2] Financial Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 31.93 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of 21.80%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.44 billion yuan, with a profit growth rate of 28.93% [7] - The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 38.59 billion yuan, 46.49 billion yuan, and 55.23 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 20.87%, 20.48%, and 18.79% [7] - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 13.16 billion yuan, 16.17 billion yuan, and 19.51 billion yuan, with profit growth rates of 26.03%, 22.93%, and 20.65% [7] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 75.31% in 2023 to 77.17% in 2026 [7] - The EPS is projected to increase from 8.56 yuan in 2023 to 15.99 yuan in 2026 [7]
山西汾酒23年报&24一季报点评:改革红利稳步释放
Huaan Securities· 2024-04-30 14:00
山[Ta西ble汾_Sto酒ckN(am6eR0p0tT8yp0e9] ) 公司研究/公司点评 改革红利稳步释放 ——山西汾酒 23 年报&24 一季报点评 投资评级:买入(维持) 主要观点: [Table_Rank] 报告日期: 2024-04-29 [➢T ab公le_司Su发m布ma2r0y]2 3年及2024Q1业绩: ➢ 24Q1:收入153.38亿(+20.94%),归母62.62亿(+29.95%),扣 [收Ta盘bl价e_(Ba元se)D ata] 258.05 非62.61亿(+30.08%)。 近12个月最高/最低(元) 265.00/183.95 ➢ 23Q4:收入51.84亿(+27.38%),归母10.07亿(+1.95%),扣非 总股本(百万股) 1,220 10.17亿(+3.22%)。 流通股本(百万股) 1,220 ➢ 23 年:收入319.28 亿(+21.80%),归母104.38 亿(+28.93%), 流通股比例(%) 100.00 扣非104.45亿(+29.15%)。 总市值(亿元) 3,148 ➢ 每股派发现金股利 4.37 元,分红率51.07%,同比提高1. ...