Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the food and beverage industry, highlighting long-term investment value in leading traditional consumer companies after adjustments [2]. Core Insights - Traditional consumer companies have adjusted and now possess long-term investment value from a dividend and yield perspective. The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with long-term competitiveness and improvement potential [6]. - The white liquor sector faces significant pressure due to slow macro demand recovery and limited consumption scenarios, with key recommendations including Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao [6]. - In the mass consumer goods sector, cost advantages are expected to support profitability, with growth opportunities in emerging categories driven by new retail formats and consumer trends towards health and convenience [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights on Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 0.88% last week, with the liquor segment down 1.66%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.80 percentage points [5]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The food and beverage industry underperformed the Shenwan A index by 4.34 percentage points from June 23 to June 27, with various sub-sectors also lagging behind [37]. 3. Industry Matters - The report highlights the need for patience in observing market conditions and potential changes in the industry fundamentals, particularly in the white liquor sector [7][8]. 4. Valuation Table - The food and beverage sector's dynamic PE is reported at 18.16x, with a premium rate of 32%, while the liquor sector's dynamic PE is at 16.62x, with a premium rate of 21% [20].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.70% on June 27, with 18 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the metals and communications sectors, which rose by 2.17% and 1.79% respectively [2] - The banking and public utilities sectors saw the largest declines, down by 2.95% and 1.01% respectively [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 19.41 billion yuan, with 8 sectors seeing net inflows [2] - The communications sector had the highest net inflow of 2.579 billion yuan, contributing to its 1.79% increase [2] - The electronics sector also saw a positive net inflow of 2.435 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 0.92% [2] - In contrast, 23 sectors experienced net capital outflows, with the computer sector leading at 6.630 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military sector with 2.891 billion yuan [2] Food and Beverage Sector Performance - The food and beverage sector declined by 0.80%, with a net capital outflow of 884 million yuan [3] - Out of 123 stocks in this sector, 57 rose while 60 fell [3] - Notably, 42 stocks had net capital inflows, with Sunshine Dairy leading at 69.11 million yuan, followed by Yili and Beingmate with inflows of 47.95 million yuan and 42.58 million yuan respectively [3] - Major outflows were seen in stocks like Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Yanghe Brewery, with outflows of 675.12 million yuan, 64.08 million yuan, and 49.90 million yuan respectively [5] Food and Beverage Sector Capital Inflows - Top inflow stocks included: - Sunshine Dairy: +4.89%, 10.20% turnover, 69.11 million yuan inflow - Yili: -0.29%, 0.54% turnover, 47.95 million yuan inflow - Beingmate: +1.74%, 18.88% turnover, 42.58 million yuan inflow [4] Food and Beverage Sector Capital Outflows - Top outflow stocks included: - Kweichow Moutai: -1.19%, 0.30% turnover, -675.12 million yuan outflow - Shanxi Fenjiu: -1.78%, 0.45% turnover, -64.08 million yuan outflow - Yanghe Brewery: -1.40%, 0.57% turnover, -49.90 million yuan outflow [5]

证券之星食品饮料行业周报：2025年6月23日-2025年6月27日，沪深300指数上涨1.95%，申万食品饮料 指数下跌0.94%。前五大上涨个股分别为：金达威（002626）、欢乐家（300997）、骑士乳业、桂发祥 （002820）、莫高股份（600543）。 机构观点 国海证券本周观点(含个股)： 行业评级及投资策略：政策密集出台，有望扭转宏观经济预期并促进食品饮料板块估值和业绩双提升， 目前板块估值仍然较低，基于此我们维持食品饮料行业"推荐"评级。 世界卫生组织6月26日表示，该组织25日向加沙地带运送了自3月2日以来的第一批医疗援助物资。世卫 组织总干事谭德塞在社交媒体上表示，本次运送物资的9辆卡车装载有基本医疗用品、血液和血浆等， 通过与以色列接壤的凯雷姆沙洛姆过境点运送至加沙地带，血液和血浆被运送到加沙南部汗尤尼斯的纳 赛尔医院并储存在冷藏设施中，将在未来几天内分发给巴勒斯坦地区物资严重短缺的医院。以色列于3 月2日对加沙地带实施全面封锁。两个多月后，以色列开始允许部分食品进入加沙地带，但直到现在才 允许其他援助物资进入。世卫组织表示，加沙地带大部分医院已经完全无法运作。 贵州仁怀全面开展白酒 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [2]. Core Insights - The wholesale prices of major baijiu brands have generally fallen, with Moutai's prices dropping significantly. For instance, the wholesale price of Feitian Moutai (case) is now 1,950 yuan, down by 190 yuan from last month, and down 290 yuan year-to-date [29][35]. - The discount rates for soft drinks, condiments, and beer have decreased compared to the end of May, indicating a potential increase in consumer demand or pricing power for these categories [30][31]. - The average discount rate for liquid milk products has increased slightly, suggesting a shift in pricing dynamics within this segment [32]. Summary by Sections Baijiu Pricing - Feitian Moutai (case) is priced at 1,950 yuan, down 190 yuan from last month and down 290 yuan year-to-date. The price has decreased by 460 yuan compared to the same period last year [35]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price is stable at 920 yuan, with a slight decrease of 25 yuan from last month [35]. - Other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu also show minor price adjustments, reflecting a broader trend in the baijiu market [29][35]. Consumer Goods Discounts - The average discount rate for soft drinks has improved from 88.7% to 94.8%, indicating a reduction in discounting practices [30][31]. - For condiments, the average discount rate increased from 83.4% to 87.7%, suggesting stronger pricing power [30][31]. - Beer products also saw a rise in average discount rates from 78.7% to 81.2%, reflecting a similar trend [30][31]. Liquid Milk and Other Products - The average discount rate for liquid milk products has slightly increased from 69.7% to 68.8%, indicating a potential tightening in pricing strategies [32]. - Infant formula and convenience foods have maintained stable pricing, with discount rates remaining relatively unchanged [32][33].

Market Overview - The FTSE China A50 Index components showed a significant decline, with many stocks closing in the red, particularly in the banking sector [1][5]. Insurance Sector - China Pacific Insurance had a market capitalization of 387.40 billion, with a trading volume of 1.207 billion, experiencing a decrease of 0.68 (-1.81%) [3]. - China Life Insurance had a market capitalization of 355.57 billion, with a trading volume of 3.833 billion, down by 0.62 (-1.08%) [3]. - Ping An Insurance reported a market capitalization of 1,037.26 billion, with a trading volume of 10.68 billion, declining by 0.24 (-2.67%) [3]. Alcohol Industry - Kweichow Moutai had a market capitalization of 1,762.56 billion, with a trading volume of 54.04 billion, down by 3.19 (-1.78%) [3]. - Wuliangye Yibin reported a market capitalization of 215.28 billion, with a trading volume of 19.14 billion, decreasing by 0.55 (-0.46%) [3]. - Shanxi Fenjiu had a market capitalization of 462.61 billion, with a trading volume of 9.74 billion, down by 16.91 (-1.19%) [3]. Semiconductor Sector - Northern Huachuang had a market capitalization of 232.26 billion, with a trading volume of 17.24 billion, decreasing by 3.40 (-0.78%) [3]. - Cambricon Technologies reported a market capitalization of 244.42 billion, with a trading volume of 48.08 billion, down by 25.00 (-4.10%) [3]. - Haiguang Information had a market capitalization of 323.08 billion, with a trading volume of 23.89 billion, declining by 2.75 (-1.94%) [3]. Automotive Sector - BYD had a market capitalization of 282.79 billion, with a trading volume of 46.33 billion, down by 3.20 (-0.95%) [3]. - Great Wall Motors reported a market capitalization of 1,836.54 billion, with a trading volume of 3.08 billion, remaining unchanged [3]. - Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway had a market capitalization of 182.56 billion, with a trading volume of 6.01 billion, down by 0.07 (-1.20%) [3]. Oil and Shipping Sector - China COSCO Shipping had a market capitalization of 686.25 billion, with a trading volume of 7.22 billion, down by 0.12 (-1.37%) [3]. - Sinopec reported a market capitalization of 1,577.64 billion, with a trading volume of 10.47 billion, increasing by 0.04 (+0.27%) [3]. - China National Petroleum Corporation had a market capitalization of 232.97 billion, with a trading volume of 8.30 billion, down by 0.05 (-0.88%) [3]. Coal Industry - China Shenhua Energy had a market capitalization of 793.35 billion, with a trading volume of 59.85 billion, down by 0.11 (-0.27%) [3]. - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry reported a market capitalization of 187.11 billion, with a trading volume of 9.74 billion, down by 1.80 (-0.71%) [3]. - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) had a market capitalization of 1,144.34 billion, with a trading volume of 7.75 billion, increasing by 0.23 (+1.21%) [3]. Other Sectors - China Nuclear Power had a market capitalization of 192.10 billion, with a trading volume of 4.50 billion, down by 0.89 (-2.86%) [4]. - Yangtze Power reported a market capitalization of 739.43 billion, with a trading volume of 6.81 billion, down by 0.04 (-0.43%) [4]. - Dongfang Fortune had a market capitalization of 364.13 billion, with a trading volume of 194.29 billion, down by 0.09 (-0.39%) [4].

金十图示：2025年06月27日（周五）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：银行股多数飘绿，保险、酿酒、半导体等多个 板块全线下跌 -0.14(-2.4/%) -0.20(-2.28%) -0.08(-1.8/90) 保险 中国太保 中国平安 12,000 中国人保 ■ 3909.40亿市值 3596.08亿市值 10452.67亿市值 6.80亿成交额 21.21亿成交额 6.52亿成交额 37.38 57.40 8.84 -0.26(-0.69%) -0.18(-0.31%) -0.16(-1.78%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 17781.48亿市值 2177.51亿市值 4645.90亿市值 18.80亿成交额 4.15亿成交额 9.29亿成交额 119.69 1415.50 178.49 -4.50(-0.32%) -1.16(-0.65%) -0.04(-0.03%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2335.32亿市值 2495.31亿市值 3267.55亿市值 8.54亿成交额 31.06亿成交额 13.67亿成交额 597.74 140.58 436.9 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the liquor industry, specifically for leading companies in the sector [2]. Core Viewpoints - The liquor industry is currently undergoing extreme pressure testing due to weak demand and intensified policy enforcement, leading to an anticipated bottoming out around mid-year [12][19]. - It is suggested that leading liquor companies should lower their annual growth targets to stabilize pricing systems and build long-term brand value [7][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring policy execution and the adjustment of annual targets by liquor companies as key indicators for market recovery [9][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The liquor industry is facing significant challenges, including a weak demand environment and strict policy enforcement that has led to a decline in consumption [12][13]. - The total market capitalization of the liquor sector is approximately 30,170.68 billion, with 20 listed companies [3]. Performance Metrics - The absolute performance of the liquor sector has declined by 5.8% over the past month, 8.8% over six months, and 6.0% over the past year [4]. Policy Impact - Recent government policies aimed at reducing waste and curbing extravagant spending have negatively impacted liquor consumption, particularly in the restaurant sector [12][13]. - The report notes that the execution of these policies has varied by region, with some areas experiencing stricter enforcement than others [14]. Investment Logic - The report identifies three perspectives on the safety margin for leading liquor companies: high dividend yields, low price-to-earnings ratios, and potential for increased institutional investment [8]. - Leading companies like Moutai and Wuliangye are highlighted for their strong market positions and attractive dividend yields, which exceed 4% [8]. Comparative Analysis - The report compares Moutai and Pop Mart, noting that both possess strong consumer, collectible, and financial attributes, but differ in demand elasticity and product matrix [24][27]. - Moutai's demand is driven by consumption and gifting, while Pop Mart relies on its IP-driven product strategy [25][27]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that investors should focus on acquiring shares of leading liquor companies during this strategic bottoming phase, as the long-term commercial attributes remain strong despite short-term pressures [7][8]. - Specific recommendations include Moutai, Gujing, and Wuliangye as primary targets for investment [8].

金十图示：2025年06月26日（周四）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：银行股午后上涨，普遍飘红，保险股维持跌势 保险 中国太保 队 中国人保 中国平安 ■ 3980.16亿市值 3621.10亿市值 10485.45亿市值 10.43亿成交额 28.89亿成交额 7.30亿成交额 57.58 37.64 9.00 -0.40(-1.05%) -0.30(-0.52%) -0.13(-1.42%) 酸酒行业 XD贵州茅 山西汾酒 五粮液 17838.01亿市值 2191.67亿市值 4647.45亿市值 19.97亿成交额 49.56亿成交额 10.69亿成交额 179.65 119.73 1420.00 +0.85(+0.48%) -0.45(-0.37%) +11.74(+0.83%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2340.72亿市值 2548.57亿市值 3294.75亿市值 14.13亿成交额 55.90亿成交额 42.74亿成交额 610.50 141.75 437.91 +3.76(+2.72%) -3.67(-0.83%) -0.61(-0.10%) 汽车整车 ...

广发证券认为，白酒行业2025年有望迎来"估值—业绩"双底，当前已进入中周期买点。板块股息率与十 年期国债收益率比值较高，配置性价比显现。盈利预测下调仍在进行，但估值已处于历史低位，股价或 先于业绩企稳。建议关注行业出清后的需求恢复，核心推荐标的包括山西汾酒（600809）、今世缘 （603369）、古井贡酒（000596）、贵州茅台、泸州老窖（000568）、五粮液（000858）等，这些公司 盈利稳定性较强，有望在调整后走出相对收益。 食品饮料ETF（515170）跟踪中证细分食品饮料产业主题指数，聚焦白酒、饮料乳品、调味发酵品等高 壁垒、强韧性板块，前十大成分股囊括"茅五泸汾洋"，帮助投资者一键配置"吃喝板块"核心资产。相较 于其成分股动辄数万、数十万的最低投资门槛，食品饮料 ETF 是小资金参与板块投资的便捷工具。 （联接A类：013125；联接C类：013126） 6月26日，A股窄幅整理，创新药板块早盘调整，军工板块领涨，稳定币概念股反复活跃。 中金公司（601995）研报认为，当前白酒需求景气度已处历史底部（过去五年景气度分位数28%），向 下风险或有限。政策较宽松为消费回暖提供基础，1~3月份 ...

港股上市（1家）：珍酒李渡（06979.HK）。 流通类上市（1家）：华致酒行。 孟广鑫 一、A股上市（19家） 贵州茅台（600519.SH）、五粮液（000858.SZ）、泸州老窖（000568.SZ）、山西汾酒（600809.SH）、 洋河股份（002304.SZ）、古井贡酒（000596.SZ）、今世缘（603369.SH）、舍得酒业（600702.SH）、 水井坊（600779.SH）、老白干酒（600559.SH）、酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）、 口子窖（603589.SH）、金种子酒（600199.SH）、伊力特（600197.SH）、金徽酒（603919.SH）、天 佑德酒（002646.SZ）、皇台酒业（000995.SZ）、岩石股份（600696.SH，旗下有上海贵酒）。 葡萄酒领域：中粮长城（未上市）。 三、数据说明 白酒行业集中度：头部企业如贵州茅台、五粮液等占据行业大部分利润，2024年20家A股白酒企业总营 收4422亿元，净利润1666亿元。 区域分布：四川（五粮液、泸州老窖）、安徽（古井贡酒、迎驾贡酒）、江苏（洋河股份、今世缘）为 白酒企业聚集地 ...