行业研究丨深度报告丨航天航空与国防 [Table_Title] 转型，增长的信心—— 国防军工行业 2026 年度投资策略 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年，内装、军贸和军转民行情相继成为国防军工的主线行情，总体来讲，第二成长曲线成 为选股的核心矛盾，因此我们提出一种自下而上、以第二成长曲线为核心的新投资框架。展望 2026 年，我们判断军转民、军贸仍旧为国防军工行业投资主线。国防军工开支持续稳定增长背 景下，内装仍将随军费稳定增长，结合政策导向、装备建设现状、技术发展方向，我们判断网 络信息体系建设、无人化智能化作战集群、网络空间与电磁频谱对抗、以及弹药消耗等方向或 将是后续建设的弹性领域。依据前述投资框架，我们筛选出若干投资方向/标的供投资者参考。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王贺嘉 王清 杨继虎 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490524050001 SAC：S0490525040001 SFC：BUX462 张晨晨 张飞 李麟君 SAC：S049052408000 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "globalization and AI+" in advancing high-quality development in the defense and military industry, highlighting the need for modernization and efficiency improvements in military systems [5][30][34] - The investment strategy focuses on balancing value and growth, with traditional sectors entering an S-curve evolution phase while new demands and replacements coexist [5][30] Section Summaries 1. Current Development Stage from the S-Curve Perspective - The defense and military industry is in a growth phase, with traditional sectors experiencing rapid development during the previous five-year plan, but not yet entering a slowdown [16][26] - The S-curve model indicates that the industry lifecycle includes multiple product lifecycles, with the current focus on extending product lifespans through innovation [23][24] 2. S-Curve Cycle Expansion - Global military trade remains robust, emphasizing the importance of lifecycle management from equipment to services [9][18] - The report anticipates that the demand for large aircraft and low-altitude economic activities will accelerate due to supportive policies [9][28] 3. S-Curve Cycle Evolution - Supply chain reforms are crucial for reducing costs and complexity, enhancing the focus on maintenance and repair services [9][33] - The integration of unmanned systems and intelligent technologies is expected to drive significant advancements in military capabilities [9][51] 4. New Cycle of the S-Curve: Emerging Industries - The report identifies commercial aerospace, AI, controllable nuclear fusion, quantum information, and deep-sea technology as key areas for future growth [9][57][65] - The acceleration of technological advancements and policy support is expected to unlock new market opportunities in these sectors [9][58] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the evolving S-curve, particularly those involved in supply chain reform, maintenance, and unmanned systems [5][30] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include 航发动力, 中航高科, and 国睿科技, among others, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [6][9]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [9] Core Viewpoints - The military sector has seen an increase, with the Russian military's use of "Dagger" missiles reaching record levels. The recent joint air strategic patrol between China and Russia, along with the potential for U.S. defense spending to hit new highs, indicates a long-term positive trend for the military industry [2][7][8] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment themes include: 1) Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [9] 2) Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Guobo Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [9] 3) Subsystems: Aero Engine Corporation of China, AVIC Avionics, North Navigation [9] 4) Materials and Processing: Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huayin Technology, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [9] Market Review - The military sector index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the market by 3.92 percentage points, ranking 2nd out of 29 sectors during the week of December 8-12 [11][12] - The defense information technology sector performed particularly well, with notable stock performances including Aerospace Power and West Materials [19][20] Major News in the Military Industry - Domestic news includes the completion of nearly 200 million yuan in Series A financing by Dream Sky Technology, leading the hybrid tilt-rotor sector [22][23] - Internationally, the U.S. defense budget for fiscal year 2026 is projected to exceed 900 billion USD, with significant military aid to Ukraine [28][29]

Core Insights - The defense and aerospace industry is experiencing sustained high demand, particularly in the two aircraft sectors and commercial aerospace, which are seen as new growth drivers [2][5][13] - The report highlights the increasing frequency of commercial space launches, with companies like SpaceX targeting a valuation of $1.5 trillion as they prepare for an IPO [5][14] - Investment opportunities are identified in various sectors, including domestic demand and overseas expansion, AI-driven upgrades in military technology, and the potential for new materials and technologies in aviation and space [5][15] Industry Overview - The report notes that the demand for high-end aviation equipment is expected to continue, with significant opportunities for domestic engine replacements in the civil aviation market [23] - The commercial aerospace sector is seeing a notable increase in aircraft deliveries, with a reported 44% year-on-year growth in the delivery of wide-body aircraft as of October 2025 [5][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic partnerships, such as the long-term supply agreement between Yingliu Aviation and Ansaldo Energia, which marks a shift towards large-scale collaboration [5][13] Company Analysis - Companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group are highlighted for their potential to benefit from increased domestic and international demand [15][29] - The report discusses the strong growth prospects for companies involved in AI-driven military upgrades, recommending a focus on firms like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and AVIC Optoelectronics [15][18] - The financial outlook for key companies is optimistic, with projected earnings growth and favorable valuation metrics, such as a dynamic PE ratio of approximately 40X for Ruichuang Micro-Nano [18][19] Market Performance - The report indicates that the China Securities Military Industry Index has shown a weekly increase of 2.53%, with a year-to-date increase of 27.99% as of the report date [36] - The military sector has outperformed major indices, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the defense and aerospace markets [36] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding domestic and international markets, particularly those involved in military and aerospace technology [15][23] - Specific companies recommended for investment include AVIC Shenyang, AVIC Xi'an, and Ruichuang Micro-Nano, among others, due to their strategic positioning and growth potential [15][18][29]

作为我国自主创新的大型通用无人机平台，"九天"机长16.35米、翼展25米，最大起飞重量16吨、载荷 能力达到6吨，航时12小时、转场航程7000千米，具备大载重、高升限、宽速域、短起降等优势，性能 指标位居同类产品前列。 通过模块化任务载荷换装，"九天"无人机既能承担偏远山区、海岛的重型物资运输与精准物流投送任 务，也能在应急救援中快速恢复通信、投送救灾装备，还可提供地理测绘、矿产普查等服务，覆盖文物 勘测、海巡执法、森林灭火等多个领域。 （文章来源：人民日报） 本报北京12月11日电 （记者邱超奕）记者从航空工业集团获悉：11日，由航空工业第一飞机设计研究 院设计的"九天"无人机在陕西蒲城完成首飞任务。 此次首飞成功意味着我国大型无人机技术取得新突破，其规模化应用将为低空经济发展注入新动能。 ...

Core Insights - The defense industry is expected to experience a recovery in 2025, marking a turning point in demand, with a new round of growth anticipated as the "14th Five-Year Plan" concludes and the "15th Five-Year Plan" begins [2][8][24] - The focus on new combat capabilities, including unmanned systems, deep-sea technology, and military AI, is expected to drive significant advancements in the industry [2][8][32] - The commercial aerospace and gas turbine markets are projected to grow, driven by increased demand and recovery in the aviation sector post-pandemic [2][8][31] Group 1: Industry Overview - The defense industry has stabilized and is showing signs of recovery after a period of demand stagnation from 2023 to 2024, with revenue growth returning in 2025 [8][14] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is anticipated to create synergies between military and civilian sectors, enhancing overall industry growth [8][29] - Geopolitical uncertainties are increasing, leading to heightened military spending globally, with defense budgets expected to continue rising [26][30] Group 2: New Combat Capabilities - New combat capabilities are expected to focus on unmanned systems, deep-sea operations, and information technology, with an emphasis on modernizing military capabilities [2][32][36] - The development of unmanned systems is seen as critical, with a growing emphasis on both offensive and defensive capabilities in modern warfare [2][43][44] - The integration of AI into military operations is expected to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency across various combat scenarios [2][32][36] Group 3: Commercial Opportunities - The commercial aerospace sector is poised for significant growth, particularly in the gas turbine market, driven by increased orders and recovery in engine deliveries [2][31][32] - The commercial space sector is also expanding, with advancements in satellite technology and launch capabilities expected to accelerate growth [2][31][32] - The military trade market is anticipated to strengthen, with Chinese equipment gaining recognition and market share in international markets, particularly in the Middle East [2][31][32]

记者12月11日从中国航空工业集团有限公司获悉，"九天"无人机在陕西蒲城圆满完成首飞任务。 作为我国自主创新的大型通用无人机平台，该机型采用"通用平台+模块化任务载荷"设计理念，依托自主集成技术创新，具备大载重、高升 限、宽速域、短起降等核心优势，机长16.35米，翼展25米，最大起飞重量16吨，载荷能力达6000公斤，航时12小时、转场航程7000公里，性 能指标位居同类产品前列。 通过模块化任务载荷换装，"九天"无人机可广泛适配民用多元场景：既能承担偏远山区、海岛的重型物资运输与精准物流投送，也能在应急救 援中快速恢复通信、投送救灾装备，还可提供地理测绘、灾情评估、矿产普查等服务。 图为"九天" 无人机 。（航空工业第一飞机设计研究院供图） 此次首飞成功标志着我国大型无人机技术实现新突破。"九天"无人机由陕西无人装备科技有限责任公司委托航空工业第一飞机设计研究院设 计。 （文章来源：新华社） ...

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the complexity and high production difficulty of aircraft engines, which are considered a capital-intensive industry and a crucial part of modern industrial technology [2] Company Summary - The company is continuously adjusting its product structure and increasing R&D investment to enhance the maturity of its manufacturing processes [2] - The company has established a shareholder return plan for the next three years (2025-2027) to ensure continuity and stability in profit distribution, taking into account industry characteristics and sustainable development [2] - Since its listing, the company has maintained a cash dividend ratio exceeding 30% of its net profit [2]

证券日报网讯12月10日，航发动力（600893）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年10月31 日，公司股东户数为130791户。 ...

数据显示，截至2025年11月28日，中证高端装备细分50指数前十大权重股分别为中航沈飞、航发动力、 中航光电、中航西飞、菲利华、西部超导、中航机载、中国长城、航天电子、中国卫星，前十大权重股 合计占比44.74%。 高端装备ETF(159638)紧密跟踪中证高端装备细分50指数，聚焦航空航天、军工装备、卫星导航等细分 领域龙头企业。 场外投资者可通过中证高端装备细分50ETF联接基金（018028）布局行业轮动机会。 国泰海通发布研报称，军工板块上涨，商业航天迎来密集催化，朱雀三号重复使用运载火箭发射入 轨，"千帆星座"与空客达成合作，二十届四中全会提出"如期实现建军一百年奋斗目标，高质量推进国 防和军队现代化"，军工行业长期向好。 开源证券则表示，伴随着太空算力建设需求拉动和可回收运载火箭技术逐步成熟，中国商业航天有望迎 来成本下降与发射能力双提升，产业或迎来快速增长拐点。建议关注卫星载荷、下游应用、商业火箭等 板块机会。 截至2025年12月9日 10:36，中证高端装备细分50指数下跌1.00%。成分股方面涨跌互现，光电股份领涨 1.90%，菲利华上涨1.81%，电科网安上涨0.97%；中天火箭领跌， ...