证券研究报告 杭州银行 (600926 CH) 转债夯实资本，助力业务拓张 | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 26 日│中国内地 | 区域性银行 | 2025 年 5 月 26 日，杭州银行公告称已触发 "杭银转债"有条件赎回条款。 杭州银行植根优质区域，扩表保持强劲力度，盈利能力领先，资产质量优异。 25Q1 各项经营指标均保持上市银行第一梯队，彰显优异成长性。转债完成 强赎后，将进一步夯实公司资本，支撑业务扩张，维持增持评级。 转债触发强赎，夯实公司资本 公司公告称自 2025 年 4 月 29 日至 2025 年 5 月 26 日期间，已有 15 个交 易日收盘价不低于"杭银转债"当期转股价格 11.35 元/股的 130%（含 130%），已触发"杭银转债"的有条件赎回条款。本次可转债提前赎回完成 后，将进一步增强公司的资本实力，为扩表提供支撑。公司 25Q1 末未转股 余额 106 亿元，以 25Q1 末风险加权资产规模测算，将提升核心一级资本充 足率 0.83pct 至 9.84%。 股本摊薄有限，盈利能力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of bank stocks has led to multiple bank convertible bonds approaching early redemption lines, with Hangzhou Bank deciding to exercise its early redemption rights for its "Hangyin Convertible Bonds" [2][4]. Group 1: Early Redemption of Convertible Bonds - Hangzhou Bank announced the early redemption of its "Hangyin Convertible Bonds," which has a total issuance of 15 billion yuan, allowing investors to either convert their bonds into shares or sell them [4]. - The early redemption of bank convertible bonds is closely linked to the performance of their underlying stocks, with the recent strong performance of bank stocks facilitating this trend [4][6]. - Hangzhou Bank's stock price has increased significantly, rising over 77.5% from 8.94 yuan in December 2023 to a peak of 15.87 yuan in May 2025 [5]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Trends - The banking sector has seen a nearly 40% increase in stock prices in 2024, creating favorable conditions for convertible bond conversions [4]. - The early redemption of other bank convertible bonds, such as Chengyin and Suhang, indicates a broader trend in the banking sector [4][5]. - The current market environment has led to a decline in the issuance of new bank convertible bonds, with no new issues since 2023, as banks remain cautious due to market conditions and regulatory restrictions [8]. Group 3: Impact on Bank Capital and Financial Structure - Early redemption of convertible bonds can enhance banks' capital strength by encouraging investors to convert their bonds into equity, thus supporting business expansion and risk management [6]. - The financial cost for banks can be reduced through early redemption, optimizing their financial structure by lowering interest expenses [6]. - The low conversion rates of some past convertible bonds highlight the varying effectiveness of these instruments in enhancing banks' core tier one capital [7].

Group 1 - A-shares of bank stocks rebounded in the afternoon session [1] - Notable gainers included Hangzhou Bank, Qilu Bank, Zheshang Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Suzhou Bank [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Bank's convertible bonds have triggered mandatory redemption conditions due to the stock price exceeding the specified threshold, indicating strong performance in the A-share banking sector and a significant increase in the bank's stock price and convertible bond trading [1][2]. Group 1: Convertible Bonds and Redemption - Hangzhou Bank issued 150 billion RMB worth of convertible bonds in March 2021, with a conversion price adjusted to 11.35 RMB per share starting November 6, 2024 [1]. - The bank's stock price has remained above 130% of the conversion price for 15 trading days, leading to the decision to exercise early redemption of the bonds [1]. - The bonds will be redeemed at face value plus accrued interest, reflecting the bank's proactive capital management strategy [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Financial Results - Hangzhou Bank's stock price has increased over 6% year-to-date, contributing to a rise in the trading price of its convertible bonds, which are currently around 135 RMB [2]. - The conversion rate of the bonds has significantly increased from less than 10% at the beginning of 2025 to over 70% by May 23, 2025 [2]. - In Q1 2023, the bank reported a revenue increase of 2.22% to 9.978 billion RMB and a net profit increase of 17.30% to 6.021 billion RMB, with a stable non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% [2]. Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - The overall conversion rate of bank convertible bonds is low, with only 4 out of 10 bonds having a conversion rate below 1%, primarily due to banks' stock prices being below their net asset values [3]. - Factors affecting conversion rates include the conversion premium, which must be negative to attract investors, and the general performance of the banks [3]. - The market for convertible bonds is expected to shift from being bank-dominated to a more diversified industry-driven structure due to a decrease in issuance and the retirement of existing bonds [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the banking sector, particularly favoring high-quality city commercial banks [11]. Core Insights - In the current macroeconomic environment, government leverage expansion is the clearest direction for bank operations, with state-owned banks and city commercial banks focusing on government-related business as a core strategy for balance sheet expansion [2][7]. - Leading city commercial banks are accelerating their market share acquisition, with their performance growth consistently outpacing the banking industry, driven primarily by relatively high-speed balance sheet expansion [6][10]. - The asset quality of city commercial banks, primarily engaged in government-related business, is currently the most stable, with expectations for a decline in the net generation rate of non-performing loans this year [2][9]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Environment - The current macroeconomic environment favors government-related business, with city commercial banks focusing on local government, urban construction, and local state-owned enterprises [7]. - The demand for government-led financing continues to expand in key economic regions, such as the Chengdu-Chongqing area and Shandong province, despite concerns about export pressures in the Yangtze River Delta [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive dynamics between state-owned banks and leading city commercial banks are evolving, with state-owned banks experiencing a significant increase in credit market share due to macro policy guidance [8]. - Regulatory measures are being implemented to protect the net interest margins of state-owned banks, indirectly slowing their loan issuance and creating a more favorable competitive environment for city commercial banks [8][9]. Asset Quality and Loan Performance - City commercial banks have maintained low non-performing loan rates due to their focus on government-related loans, which have seen reduced risk following recent debt restructuring efforts [9]. - The tightening of risk control and loan issuance in retail banking is expected to lead to a slight decrease in the net generation rate of non-performing loans this year [9]. Investment Outlook - The report is optimistic about city commercial banks becoming the core focus for institutional investors in the banking sector, with expectations for their valuations to rise above 1x PB [10]. - Specific banks, such as Hangzhou Bank, are anticipated to lead in valuation increases due to their regional economic strength, asset quality, and performance growth [10].

证券代码：600926 证券简称：杭州银行 公告编号：2025-028 优先股代码：360027 优先股简称：杭银优 1 可转债代码：110079 可转债简称：杭银转债 一、可转换公司债券发行上市情况 杭州银行股份有限公司 关于提前赎回"杭银转债"的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确 性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 杭州银行股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票自 2025 年 4 月 29 日至 2025 年 5 月 26 日期间已有 15 个交易日的收盘价 不低于"杭银转债"当期转股价格 11.35 元/股的 130%（含 130%， 即不低于 14.76 元/股），根据《杭州银行股份有限公司公开发行 A 股可转换公司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"） 的相关约定，已触发"杭银转债"的有条件赎回条款。 公司于 2025 年 5 月 26 日召开第八届董事会第十八次会议 审议通过《杭州银行股份有限公司关于提前赎回"杭银转债"的 议案》，决定行使"杭银转债"的提前赎回权，对赎回登记日登 记在册的"杭银转债"按债券 ...

中国国际金融股份有限公司 关于杭州银行股份有限公司 提前赎回"杭银转债"的核查意见 （二）转股价格调整情况 一、"杭银转债"的发行上市情况 （一）发行上市情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）《关于核准杭州银行股份 有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券的批复》（证监许可〔2021〕525 号）核准，杭州银 行于 2021 年 3 月 29 日公开发行了 15,000 万张可转换公司债券，每张面值人民币 100 元，按面值发行，发行总额人民币 150 亿元，期限 6 年，票面利率为第一年 0.2%、第 二年 0.4%、第三年 0.8%、第四年 1.2%、第五年 1.8%、第六年 2.0%。经上海证券交易 所（以下简称"上交所"）自律监管决定书〔2021〕166 号文同意，杭州银行 150 亿元 可转换公司债券于 2021 年 4 月 23 日起在上交所挂牌交易，债券简称"杭银转债"，债 券代码"110079"。"杭银转债"的转股期自可转债发行结束之日（2021 年 4 月 2 日） 起满 6 个月后的第 1 个交易日（2021 年 10 月 8 日）起至可转债到期日（2027 年 3 月 28 日， ...

会议审议并通过决议如下： 证券代码：600926 证券简称：杭州银行 公告编号：2025-027 优先股代码：360027 优先股简称：杭银优 1 可转债代码：110079 可转债简称：杭银转债 杭州银行股份有限公司 第八届董事会第十八次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确 性和完整性承担法律责任。 杭州银行股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第八届董事会 第十八次会议于 2025 年 5 月 26 日以电子邮件及书面方式发出会 议通知，并于 2025 年 5 月 26 日以现场结合视频方式召开。由于 《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 12 号——可转换公 司债券》规定，上市公司应当在满足可转债赎回条件的当日召开 董事会决定是否行使赎回权，根据《杭州银行股份有限公司董事 会议事规则》有关规定，本次会议豁免通知时限要求。本次会议 应出席董事 11 名，实际出席董事 11 名。本次会议的召开符合《中 华人民共和国公司法》等法律法规及《杭州银行股份有限公司章 程》的有关规定，会议所形成的决议合法、有效。 一、审议通过《杭州银行股份 ...

根据募集说明书的约定，一旦触发有条件赎回条款，杭州银行有权决定按照债券面值加当期应计利息的 价格赎回全部或部分未转股的杭银转债。 不仅杭州银行，南京银行发行的南银转债也已经步入提前赎回的倒计时阶段。5月23日，南京银行股价 收报10.80元，已高于南银转债提前赎回价。 随着一批银行可转债逼近提前赎回，蓝筹可转债的稀缺性正在凸显。在新券发行方面，今年规模仅170 亿元，远低于今年的退市规模，供需失衡状态尚未改变。市场人士表示，未来随着银行品种的加速退 出，场内蓝筹品种的稀缺性将更加凸显。同时，随着中小规模可转债供给较多，未来整个市场的波动性 将大幅增加。 今年以来，A股震荡回调，但银行板块整体表现仍相对强劲，农业银行、浦发银行等多只银行股创历史 新高。近日，银行板块总市值突破10万亿元大关，再创历史新高。 5月26日，据上海证券报报道，作为可转债市场中的最大板块，银行可转债可能将迎来新一轮提前赎回 潮。 杭州银行上周发布公告称，杭银转债距离触发提前赎回条款仅有一步之遥。过去两年银行股走势强劲， 不少银行可转债正在逼近提前赎回线。其中南银转债悄然站上130元，而齐鲁转债、重银转债、上银转 债等均超过124元。 5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The decline in domestic deposit rates has diminished the attractiveness of traditional savings, leading to a "substitution effect" where bank stocks are favored over deposits, resulting in strong performance in the banking sector [1][3][10]. Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Decline - Since 2025, domestic deposit rates have been continuously decreasing, with the one-year fixed deposit rate falling below 1%, marking a historical low [3]. - The diminishing returns from traditional savings have reignited discussions around the benefits of investing in bank stocks instead of saving [3]. Dividend Yield Comparison - As of May 23, 2025, among 42 A-share listed banks, 31 banks have a dividend yield exceeding 4%, with some banks like Ping An Bank and Minsheng Bank surpassing 8% [3]. - The significant yield difference has prompted a "substitution effect," where investors see greater returns from bank stocks compared to deposits [3]. Strong Performance of Bank Stocks - The banking sector has shown robust performance, with a year-to-date increase of 7.66%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which has declined by 1.34% [3][4]. - Investors, including insurance funds and public funds, have increased their holdings in bank stocks significantly [4][5]. Insurance and Public Fund Involvement - Insurance funds have been the primary players in increasing bank stock holdings, with a 27.2% holding ratio as of Q1 2025, up 4.3 percentage points from the end of 2023 [5]. - Public funds have also increased their allocation to bank stocks, with the proportion rising from 1.2% to 2.5% by the end of Q1 2025 [5]. Sector Performance Disparity - There is a noticeable divergence in performance within the banking sector, with regional banks like Qingdao Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank showing strong gains, while some larger banks have underperformed [7]. - As of Q1 2025, state-owned banks experienced a 1.5% decline in revenue, while city commercial banks saw a 3% increase [8]. Asset Quality and Non-Performing Loans - The non-performing loan generation rate for large banks has increased, while it has decreased for joint-stock and rural commercial banks [9]. - Regional banks, benefiting from local economic support, maintain lower non-performing loan ratios compared to national banks [9]. Future Outlook - Analysts believe that high dividend strategies will continue to drive bank stock prices in the short term, while net interest margins and asset quality will be critical for long-term performance [11][12]. - The banking sector is facing challenges from asymmetric interest rate cuts, which may pressure net interest margins but could also lower funding costs in the long run [12].