Core Viewpoint - The disappearance of long-term deposit products, particularly five-year large certificates of deposit (CDs), reflects the ongoing pressure on banks' net interest margins, leading to a reevaluation of their liability structures and product offerings [1][3][9] Group 1: Changes in Deposit Products - Major state-owned banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and others, have completely discontinued five-year large CDs, with some also reducing the availability of three-year products [3][5] - The current interest rate for a three-year large CD at Industrial and Commercial Bank is only 1.55%, with a minimum deposit requirement of 1 million yuan, contrasting sharply with the 50 yuan minimum for regular fixed deposits [5][17] - The trend of reducing long-term deposit products is not limited to large banks; some joint-stock banks and city commercial banks are also following suit, indicating a broader industry shift [3][7] Group 2: Impact on Customers - The increasing minimum deposit requirements for three-year products mean that large CDs are becoming exclusive to high-net-worth clients, moving away from their original target demographic of middle-class savers [5][11] - Ordinary depositors are facing challenges in asset allocation due to the scarcity of long-term deposit options, leading to a shift in savings behavior, with a notable decrease in the percentage of savers preferring to save more [13][17] - The current environment has prompted some depositors to seek higher returns or more diversified investment channels, reflecting a change in asset allocation strategies [13][15] Group 3: Industry Response - Banks are adjusting their product offerings in response to the pressure on net interest margins, with state-owned banks discontinuing five-year large CDs while smaller banks focus on shorter-term products [7][9] - The ongoing decline in loan rates and intense competition for deposits are squeezing banks' profit margins, necessitating a reevaluation of high-interest long-term deposit products [9][11] - Banks are increasingly using large CDs to attract high-quality new clients and as a stable asset for private banking clients, indicating a strategic shift in how these products are utilized [11][15]

Core Viewpoint - The recent collective removal of 5-year large denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) by major Chinese banks indicates a shift in banks' strategies towards more cautious interest margin management and a potential reduction in the supply of long-term fixed-rate deposits [1][11]. Group 1: Market Changes - Major state-owned banks have collectively removed 5-year large denomination CDs from their mobile banking platforms, with current offerings limited to terms of 3 years or less, and interest rates ranging from 1.20% to 1.55% [1][2]. - The trend of discontinuing 5-year large denomination CDs is not new, as some institutions had already begun this practice last year [1]. - The interest rates for 3-year large denomination CDs are approximately 1.55%, with minimum purchase amounts typically set at 200,000 yuan [2]. Group 2: Historical Context - The development of large denomination CDs spans nearly 40 years, with their initial issuance by the Bank of Communications in 1986, followed by a long hiatus until their reintroduction in 2015 [5][6]. - The popularity of large denomination CDs surged around 2018 due to changes in the banking landscape, including the relaxation of interest rate caps and increased demand for fixed-term deposits [6]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The discontinuation of long-term high-interest deposits is primarily driven by banks' need to manage net interest margins more effectively, as the current environment of low loan rates and high deposit costs creates pressure on profitability [11]. - As of the end of Q3, the net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.42%, indicating a challenging environment for maintaining high-interest deposit products [11]. Group 4: Customer Behavior - The removal of 5-year large denomination CDs has prompted customers to reconsider their investment strategies, shifting from a focus on high-interest deposits to a more diversified asset allocation approach [12][15]. - A survey indicated that 18.5% of residents are inclined to invest more, with non-principal guaranteed bank wealth management products becoming increasingly popular [14].

社融增速预计 8.5％，M1 增速保持相对高位 [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 2025 年 11 月社融前瞻 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2025-12-03 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 12/24 02/25 04/25 07/25 09/25 12/25 银行 沪深300 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- | --- | | 银行行业:海外银行业如何化 | 2025-12 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent collective removal of 5-year large denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) by major Chinese banks indicates a strategic shift towards more cautious interest margin management, reflecting banks' concerns over future interest rate trends [1][11]. Group 1: Market Changes - Major state-owned banks, including ICBC, ABC, BOC, CCB, and others, have removed 5-year large denomination CDs from their mobile banking platforms, with available terms now generally shortened to 3 years or less, and interest rates concentrated between 1.20% and 1.55% [1][2]. - The trend of reducing the supply of long-term fixed-rate deposits deviates from the traditional year-end practice of increasing such offerings to attract depositors [1][11]. - Some banks have indicated that even the 3-year CDs marked as "available" are often sold out, highlighting a significant shift in product availability [8]. Group 2: Historical Context - The development of 5-year large denomination CDs has spanned nearly 40 years, with their initial introduction in 1986 and a significant hiatus from 1997 until their reintroduction in 2015 [4][5]. - The popularity of these CDs surged around 2018 due to changes in the banking landscape, including the relaxation of interest rate caps and increased demand for fixed-term deposits [5]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The current banking environment is characterized by a narrowing net interest margin, which has led to a strategic decision to limit the issuance of long-term high-interest deposits, as they have become a burden rather than a tool for attracting deposits [11]. - As of the third quarter, the net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.42%, reflecting ongoing pressure on profitability due to high deposit costs amidst declining loan rates [11]. Group 4: Customer Behavior - The discontinuation of 5-year large denomination CDs is prompting customers to shift their investment strategies from seeking high-interest deposits to diversifying their asset allocations [14][15]. - A survey indicated that 18.5% of residents are inclined to invest more, with non-guaranteed bank wealth management products becoming increasingly popular [14].

Core Viewpoint - The recent collective removal of 5-year large denomination time deposits by major banks indicates a strategic shift in banks' approach to interest margin management and a potential reduction in the supply of long-term fixed-rate deposits [1][15]. Group 1: Market Changes - Major state-owned banks have collectively removed 5-year large denomination time deposits from their mobile banking platforms, with current offerings limited to terms of 3 years or less, and interest rates ranging from 1.20% to 1.55% [1][3]. - Some banks have labeled their 3-year large denomination time deposits as "available," but many are already sold out, reflecting a significant departure from the traditional year-end deposit attraction strategies [1][13]. Group 2: Historical Context - The development of 5-year large denomination time deposits spans nearly 40 years, with their initial introduction in 1986 and a significant revival in 2015 after a long hiatus [6][7]. - The peak popularity of these deposits occurred around 2022, where they were highly sought after, often selling out quickly and leading to phenomena like "setting alarms to purchase" [7][9]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The decline in the attractiveness of 5-year large denomination time deposits is attributed to the narrowing net interest margins faced by banks, which have led to a reduction in the issuance of long-term deposits [8][15]. - As of the third quarter, the net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.42%, indicating ongoing pressure on banks' profitability due to high deposit costs amidst declining loan rates [15]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Banks are expected to adopt a differentiated supply model for long-term deposits, with only a few banks with strong liability demands likely to continue offering such products [1][15]. - The minimum investment thresholds for large denomination time deposits have changed, with current offerings showing minimal interest rate differences across various investment amounts, indicating a shift in product positioning [16]. Group 5: Investor Behavior - In response to the changing landscape, investors are shifting from a focus on high-interest deposits to a more diversified asset allocation strategy, with a notable increase in interest in non-principal guaranteed financial products [19][20]. - A significant portion of the population is now inclined to explore various investment options, reflecting a broader change in financial attitudes and strategies among retail investors [19].

Group 1 - The core message is that major state-owned banks, including Industrial and Agricultural Banks, have introduced high-denomination large certificates of deposit (CDs) with varying minimum deposit requirements, while maintaining the same interest rate of 1.55% for both high and low minimum deposits [1][2][4] - Industrial Bank offers two types of three-year large CDs: one with a minimum deposit of 1 million yuan and another with a minimum of 200,000 yuan, both having the same interest rate of 1.55% [1] - Agricultural Bank also provides two options for three-year large CDs, with minimum deposits of 5 million yuan and 20,000 yuan, respectively, and the same interest rate of 1.55% [2] Group 2 - The introduction of high-denomination large CDs by state-owned banks is a market behavior aimed at precise customer segmentation and refined liability management, which complies with regulatory requirements [4] - The minimum subscription amount for personal large CDs is set at no less than 20,000 yuan, with no upper limit, allowing banks to set higher thresholds for certain products [4] - The main advantages of large CDs over regular deposits include higher liquidity and flexibility, such as transferability and pledge options, which should be considered by depositors based on their financial planning [4]

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is experiencing a structural adjustment in deposit products, with a notable trend of large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) being phased out, particularly the 5-year term, while some small and medium-sized banks are increasing deposit rates to attract customers [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The deposit market has entered a phase of differentiated competition, with large banks reducing long-term high-cost deposits and raising the minimum investment thresholds for large CDs [1][7]. - Major state-owned banks have collectively removed 5-year CDs from their offerings, leaving only shorter-term products available for investors [2][3]. - The exit of 5-year CDs is not sudden; many banks have already stopped offering long-term deposits, indicating a shift in banks' liability management strategies [6][3]. Group 2: Interest Rate Dynamics - There is a growing phenomenon of interest rate inversion, where shorter-term deposits offer higher rates than longer-term ones, challenging traditional pricing logic [5]. - The average net interest margin for commercial banks has decreased, with the latest data showing a net interest margin of 1.42%, down 11 basis points year-on-year [16][17]. - Some small and medium-sized banks are increasing deposit rates to enhance their competitiveness in attracting deposits, with examples showing rates as high as 1.9% for certain terms [15][16]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Large banks are implementing differentiated and tiered management for large CDs, with some products requiring a minimum investment of 1 million yuan, while still offering lower-threshold options [7][13]. - The adjustments reflect a broader industry trend where banks are using traditional deposit products as tools for customer relationship management, especially in a declining interest rate environment [14]. - The ongoing pressure to reduce funding costs will likely lead banks to continue lowering deposit rates, although the pace of such reductions may slow as rates approach their lower limits [17][16].

Core Viewpoint - The five-year large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) have been collectively removed from the offerings of major state-owned banks, leaving only three-year products available, reflecting ongoing pressure on the banking industry's net interest margins [2][11]. Group 1: Product Availability - Major state-owned banks, including Industrial and Agricultural Banks, have removed five-year large-denomination CDs from their online offerings, with only three-year and shorter-term products remaining [2][11]. - The three-year large-denomination CDs are now offered at a reduced interest rate of approximately 1.55%, with varying minimum deposit thresholds of 200,000, 1,000,000, and 5,000,000 yuan [3][7]. - Agricultural Bank's app shows only three-year products available, with interest rates fixed at 1.55% for both 500,000 and 20,000 yuan minimum deposits [7]. Group 2: Interest Rate Trends - The interest rate for three-year large-denomination CDs has decreased from 2.15% to 1.55% over the past year, a decline of 60 basis points [11]. - Other state-owned banks, such as Bank of China and Postal Savings Bank, have also removed five-year large-denomination CDs, with interest rates for three-year and shorter products aligning with the rates of other major banks [11]. Group 3: Market Context - The removal of long-term large-denomination CDs is part of a broader trend in the banking industry, driven by ongoing adjustments in response to a low net interest margin environment [14][15]. - As of the end of Q3, the net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.42%, a decrease of 11 basis points year-on-year, indicating continued pressure on profitability [15]. - Analysts suggest that banks are adjusting their product offerings to manage costs and maintain net interest margins, reflecting a shift in strategy towards shorter-term deposits and higher entry thresholds for large-denomination CDs [15][16]. Group 4: Clarification on Deposit Products - The discontinuation of five-year large-denomination CDs has led to confusion among some depositors, who mistakenly believe that all five-year deposit options have been eliminated; however, regular five-year fixed deposits remain available [12][13]. - Regular five-year fixed deposits have a much lower minimum deposit requirement of 50 yuan and offer a stable interest rate of 1.30%, providing an alternative for customers with lower capital [13].

截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國農業銀行股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月3日 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01288 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 30,738,823,096 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 30,738,823,096 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 30,738,823,096 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 30,738,823,096 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國農業銀行股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01288 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 30,738,823,096 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 30,738,823,096 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 30,738,823,096 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 30,738,823,096 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | ...