信心比黄金更重要！ 展望后市，券商机构认为，中国股票市场具备较多有利条件，包括地缘叙事和科技叙事的变化，以及中国 资产本身的估值优势和宏观政策发力的空间，中国资产相比全球股市更具韧性。 汇金公司明确了自己是资本市场上的"国家队"，发挥着类"平准基金"作用。央行表示，必要时向汇金公司 提供充足的再贷款支持。 汇金公司有关负责人就2025年4月7日公告答记者问表示，将继续发挥好资本市场"稳定器"作用，有效平 抑市场异常波动，该出手时将果断出手；下一步，汇金公司将坚定增持各类市场风格的ETF，加大增持力 度，均衡增持结构；汇金公司具有充分信心、足够能力，坚决维护资本市场平稳运行。 重磅政策出台、类"平准基金"发力、"国家队"行动、地方国资出手、险资发声、上市公司掀起增持回购 潮……关键时刻，多方力量正在形成合力，坚决维护中国资本市场稳定运行。 受一系列利好举措刺激，4月8日A股三大指数强势反攻，截至收盘，沪指涨1.58%，深成指涨0.64%，创 业板指涨1.83%。港股亦明显回暖，恒生指数收涨1.51%，恒生科技指数收涨3.79%。 瑞银估计，在2025年期间，除了"国家队"（包括汇金公司、中国证金及国家外汇管理局 ...

超强"外脑"蔡强开启职业生涯新阶段。 4月7日晚间，中国太平洋保险（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"中国太保"）发布公告称，因工作变动原因，蔡 强已向公司董事会提交辞呈，辞去公司非执行董事以及董事会战略与投资决策及ESG委员会委员职务。蔡强的辞 任自4月6日起生效。记者注意到，英国保诚集团近日宣布，将委任蔡强为区域执行总裁，负责马来西亚、印尼及 越南市场和代理人销售事务。该委任于4月7日生效。 公开资料显示，蔡强出生于1967年7月，是一名保险"老将"。1991年毕业于西安交大，随后远渡重洋，进入法国安 盛保险集团（美国公司），从个险营销员一路做到地区总监。2003年，蔡强出任法国安盛保险集团（香港公司） 个险总经理，2007年升任该公司首席执行官。 曾是太保转型"舵手"，辞职未获致谢 2009年，蔡强加入友邦保险有限公司（简称"友邦保险"）担任友邦中国首席执行官，全面负责友邦保险在中国市 场的寿险业务。在任期间，蔡强先后制定了两个五年计划，积极推动友邦中国渠道转型，五年时间内带领友邦中 国的新业务价值增长了三倍，成为友邦中国营销员体系改革的功臣。 记者观察发现，在中国太保寿险三年的时间里，蔡强作为"长航行动" ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance industry, indicating a potential increase in stock prices relative to benchmark indices by over 15% [6][18]. Core Insights - The recent notification from the National Financial Supervision Administration optimizes the regulatory policy for insurance funds, increasing the equity investment ratio by 5% for certain solvency levels, which is expected to enhance the flexibility of equity investments and support capital market development [3][4]. - The theoretical potential for equity allocation among major listed insurance companies is significant, with a total potential increase of approximately 47,504 billion yuan across the sector [5][8]. - The adjustment in regulatory requirements is anticipated to facilitate long-term capital entering the market, thereby promoting stable development in the capital market and allowing insurance companies to benefit from market growth [6][7]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The notification simplifies the standards for solvency ratios and increases the upper limits for equity asset allocation for companies with solvency ratios in the ranges of [150%,200%), [250%,300%), and above 350% by 5% [3][8]. - It also raises the concentration ratio for venture capital investments and relaxes the regulatory requirements for tax-deferred pension accounts, enhancing investment flexibility [3]. Financial Metrics - As of the end of 2024, major listed insurance companies have total assets of 67,695 billion yuan (China Life), 129,578 billion yuan (Ping An), and others, with solvency ratios ranging from 186.0% to 281.0% [4][5]. - The theoretical increase in equity investment capacity for China Taiping, China Re, and China Pacific is estimated at 1,417 billion yuan, 883 billion yuan, and 867 billion yuan respectively, totaling approximately 3,168 billion yuan [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the insurance sector, particularly leading companies with larger investable assets and robust investment capabilities, will benefit significantly from the regulatory changes [6][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring market conditions and suggests a focus on companies like China Taiping, China Re, and others for potential investment opportunities [6][7].

证券代码：601601 证券简称：中国太保 公告编号：2025-017 重要提示 目前该事项正在筹划之中，公司将制定合理可行的回购股份方案， 并按照相关规定履行审批程序并及时履行信息披露义务。该回购事项 需按有关监管规定履行相关审批程序后方可实施，审议通过后的最终 方案可能与本次公告内容存在差异，请以经公司履行审批程序后最终 审议通过的方案为准。上述事项尚存在不确定性，敬请广大投资者注 意投资风险。 特此公告。 中国太平洋保险（集团）股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 4 月 8 日 2 中国太保坚信中国经济长期向好的基本面没有改变，坚定看好中 国资本市场发展前景。公司坚持"价值投资、长期投资、稳健投资、 责任投资"理念，看好中国权益市场长期配置价值，发挥保险资金长 期投资优势，做市场真正的耐心资本。 公司已于 4 月 7 日增持了宽基交易型开放式指数基金（ETF）等 产品，未来将进一步发挥保险资金长期投资优势，加大战略性新兴产 业、先进制造业、新型基础设施等领域投资力度，服务新质生产力发 展，继续增持代表中国未来经济发展方向的优质资产。 同时，基于对公司未来发展的信心以及对公司价值的认可，为维 护公司全体股东 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the insurance industry, highlighting strong profit growth driven by investment performance and manageable impacts from economic assumption adjustments [3][4]. Core Insights - The insurance industry is expected to see a significant increase in net profit, with A-share listed insurance companies projected to achieve a total net profit of CNY 347.6 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 77.7% [3][5]. - Investment performance is the primary driver of profit growth, contributing 94.5% to the pre-tax profit increase, while total investment income is expected to grow by 110% year-on-year [3][10]. - Economic assumption adjustments have a controllable impact on core indicators, with the investment return rate lowered from 4.5% to 4.0%, and the net value of new business (NBV) expected to decline between 5.4% and 36.2% [3][20][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment-Driven Profit Growth - The capital market recovery has significantly boosted the investment performance of insurance companies, leading to a substantial increase in net profit [5][10]. - The total investment income for A-share listed insurance companies is projected to reach CNY 781.1 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 110% [13][10]. 2. Economic Assumption Adjustments - The report indicates a cautious adjustment of economic assumptions, with the investment return rate reduced by 50 basis points to 4.0% [20][22]. - The adjustments are expected to have a limited negative impact on core indicators, with most insurance companies maintaining positive growth in embedded value (EV) [27][30]. 3. Liability Side: NBVM Driving NBV Growth - The NBV growth for listed insurance companies is projected to range from 17.8% to 127% year-on-year, driven by improvements in the new business value margin (NBVM) [3][42]. - The report highlights a mixed performance in new business growth across different companies, influenced by the "reporting and operation integration" policy [47][48]. 4. Asset Side: Strong Investment Performance - The report notes a significant increase in investment assets, with a year-on-year growth of 20.8% to CNY 18.15 trillion by the end of 2024 [3][10]. - The allocation towards bonds and equities has increased, reflecting a positive investment strategy among listed insurance companies [3][10]. 5. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report recommends continued investment in companies such as New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, AIA, and China Life, based on their strong performance and growth potential [3][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance sector, expecting it to outperform the market [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the insurance sector is expected to benefit from a collective improvement in performance, with specific companies like China Ping An showing strong profit growth and dividend increases [10]. - The report suggests a focus on companies such as China Ping An, China Taiping, New China Life, and China Life, with a recommendation to pay attention to China Property & Casualty Insurance [3][10]. Summary by Sections Key Company Earnings Forecast, Valuation, and Investment Ratings - China Taiping: EPS forecast for 2025E is 4.87 CNY, with a PE of 6.62 and a PB of 0.91, rated as "Recommended" [4]. - New China Life: EPS forecast for 2025E is 6.39 CNY, with a PE of 8.05 and a PB of 1.80, rated as "Recommended" [4]. - China Ping An: EPS forecast for 2025E is 7.56 CNY, with a PE of 6.81 and a PB of 0.95, rated as "Strongly Recommended" [4]. - Guangfa Securities: EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.45 CNY, with a PE of 11.19 and a PB of 0.99, rated as "Recommended" [4]. - CITIC Securities: EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.82 CNY, with a PE of 14.49 and a PB of 1.41, rated as "Recommended" [4]. Industry Basic Data - The non-bank financial sector consists of 72 companies, with a total market capitalization of 52,964.03 billion CNY and a circulating market capitalization of 39,161.16 billion CNY [5]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance over 1 month is +10.1%, over 6 months is +6.8%, and over 12 months is -13.9% [6]. Market Trends - The report notes a decrease in average daily trading volume to 11,367.50 billion CNY, down 27.90% week-on-week [10]. - The insurance index has outperformed the market, while the securities index has underperformed [10]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends Guangfa Securities, CITIC Securities, and China Ping An, among others, based on their strong fundamentals and market positioning [10].

证券代码：601601 证券简称：中国太保 公告编号：2025-016 重要提示 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 中国太平洋保险（集团）股份有限公司 董事辞任公告 因工作变动原因，蔡强先生已向本公司董事会提交辞呈，辞去本 公司非执行董事以及董事会战略与投资决策及 ESG 委员会委员职务。 蔡先生的辞任自 2025 年 4 月 6 日起生效。蔡先生已确认与本公司董 事会并无不同意见，而就其辞任一事，亦无任何需要通知本公司股东 和债权人的事项。 特此公告。 中国太平洋保险（集团）股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 4 月 8 日 1 ...

Macroeconomic Insights - China will impose a 34% tariff on all imports from the United States starting April 10, 2025, which is expected to significantly reduce agricultural imports from the U.S. [3] - In 2024, China imported agricultural products worth $24.9 billion from the U.S., with major imports including soybeans (22.1 million tons), sorghum (5.7 million tons), corn (2.1 million tons), and wheat (1.9 million tons) [3]. Agricultural Sector - The increase in tariffs is likely to enhance domestic grain prices and benefit the planting industry chain, emphasizing the need for self-sufficiency in grain production [3]. - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in agriculture, particularly in genetically modified and gene-edited crops, which are expected to accelerate, benefiting seed companies with leading technology reserves [3]. - The report recommends focusing on companies that are actively expanding their domestic brands in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which primarily generate revenue from domestic sales [4]. Livestock Industry - The report indicates that the pig farming sector is expected to see a significant improvement in profitability for the 2024 annual report and the first quarter of 2025, driven by favorable pig prices and reduced costs [5]. - The analysis of March's supply and demand dynamics in the pig farming industry shows a balanced market, but a potential downward trend in prices is anticipated if there is no support from state reserves [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the poultry sector include Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Lihua Shares; for the post-cycle sector, recommended stocks are KQ Bio, Haida Group; in the pig farming sector, recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Tiankang Bio, and Shennong Group [7]. - In the seed industry, recommended stocks include Fengle Seed Industry, Quanyin High-Tech, Longping High-Tech, and Dabeinong [7]. - In the pet sector, recommended stocks are Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipu Bio [7]. Chemical Industry - The report suggests that the imposition of a 34% tariff on U.S. imports will accelerate the domestic substitution process for chemical products, particularly in high-end markets [17]. - Beneficiary products include lubricant additives, nucleating agents, adsorption separation resins, and nano-silica, with specific companies recommended for investment [19]. Rare Earth Industry - The report maintains an "overweight" rating on the rare earth sector, anticipating that the recent tariffs will enhance China's strategic advantages in rare earth production and lead to price increases due to supply-demand mismatches [22]. - The export control measures on heavy rare earths are expected to stimulate overseas stockpiling, further driving up prices [23]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is projected to see stable growth in 2025, with a focus on improving asset-liability matching strategies [25]. - The report recommends increasing holdings in companies like China Pacific Insurance and New China Life Insurance, which are expected to benefit from improved investment returns and stable business strategies [40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the insurance industry [8] Core Insights - The insurance industry experienced a slight decline in premium income, with total premium income for January and February 2025 at 1,515.4 billion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year. Life insurance premium income was 1,195.1 billion yuan, down 2.6%, while property insurance premium income was 320.3 billion yuan, up 4.7% [1][2] - Life insurance showed stable performance in the "opening red" period, with health insurance continuing to grow. Life and health insurance premium income for the first two months was 1,020.9 billion yuan and 167.2 billion yuan, respectively, down 3.5% and up 3.0% year-on-year [2] - The decline in life insurance premium income is attributed to multiple factors, including poor transformation of participating products, early consumption due to lower guaranteed interest rates, and a slowdown in sales due to the implementation of the "reporting and operation in one" policy in the bancassurance channel [2][3] - The property insurance sector saw a 4.7% year-on-year increase in premium income, driven by a significant rise in automobile sales, with 3.948 million passenger cars sold, up 14.4%, and 1.836 million new energy vehicles sold, up 52.1% [4][5] - The outlook for 2025 suggests that life insurance is expected to gradually emerge from the adjustment cycle, moving towards high-quality development in a low-interest-rate environment. Property insurance will focus on rebalancing scale and value [5] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - Life insurance premium income for January and February was 1,020.9 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year. The decline is mainly due to the transformation issues of participating products and the impact of lower interest rates [2][3] - Health insurance continues to show stable growth, supported by policies encouraging the integration of health insurance and medical services [2] Property Insurance - Property insurance premium income reached 320.3 billion yuan, up 4.7% year-on-year, with a notable increase in both auto and non-auto insurance premiums [4] - The growth in non-auto insurance is attributed to agricultural insurance, liability insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance, with respective year-on-year increases of 4.6%, 4.1%, 5.1%, and 11.1% [4] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in life insurance and a focus on professional and refined development in property insurance, with an emphasis on the growth of commercial medical insurance and retirement products [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial industry, indicating an expectation for the sector to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The recent notification from the Financial Regulatory Bureau expands the investment scope for insurance funds, allowing direct investments in unlisted companies and broadening the range of investable industries to include technology, big data, and modern agriculture [2]. - As of the end of 2024, the balance of long-term equity investments by insurance funds reached 2.46 trillion yuan, accounting for 7.4% of total investments, suggesting a shift towards equity investments to enhance returns amid declining long-term interest rates [2]. - The report highlights the potential for insurance companies to optimize asset allocation and support the real economy through these new investment opportunities [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,861.50 with a decline of 1.4% during the week of March 31 to April 4, 2025, while the non-bank index closed at 1,763.44, down 1.3% [5]. - The insurance sector saw a slight decline of 0.7%, while the multi-financial sector increased by 0.3% [5]. Non-Bank Industry Insights - The report notes that the insurance sector's performance is influenced by regulatory changes, with a focus on enhancing the investment landscape for insurance funds [2]. - The brokerage sector experienced a decline of 1.78%, with a notable increase in trading activity, as evidenced by a 70.2% year-on-year increase in stock trading volume for Q1 2025 [2]. Key Data Tracking - As of April 3, 2025, the average daily trading volume was 11,014.61 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 27.91% compared to the previous month [35]. - The margin trading balance reached 19,120.12 billion yuan as of April 2, 2025, indicating a growth of 474.29 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [37].