Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The announcement of the 2026 refrigerant quota indicates a long-term constraint on the supply side of both second and third-generation refrigerants, suggesting a continuation of product prosperity in the refrigerant market [3][5] - For second-generation refrigerants, the production and usage in 2026 will be reduced by 71.5% and 76.1% from the baseline, respectively, with R22 production quota reduced by 3,005 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.02% [3][6] - The total production quota for third-generation refrigerants in 2026 is set at 797,800 tons, an increase of 5,963 tons compared to the beginning of 2025, with specific increases in R32, R125, and R134a quotas [2][3][7] - The report emphasizes that the tightening of refrigerant quotas is a long-term trend, and it is expected that the main third-generation refrigerants will maintain a tight supply-demand balance in 2026, with significant price upside potential [3][20] Summary by Sections Second-Generation Refrigerants - The production quota for second-generation refrigerants in 2026 is 151,400 tons, a decrease of 12,100 tons from 2025, with R22 production quota at 146,100 tons, down 3,005 tons year-on-year [6][3] - The internal usage quota for R22 is 77,900 tons, reflecting a year-on-year reduction of 3.60% [6] Third-Generation Refrigerants - The total production quota for third-generation refrigerants is 797,800 tons, with an internal usage quota of 394,100 tons, both showing increases from 2025 [7][3] - Specific increases in production quotas include R32 at 281,500 tons, R134a at 211,500 tons, and R125 at 167,600 tons, while R143a, R152a, and R227ea show slight decreases [7][3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading fluorochemical companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and strong quota positions, such as Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., and Dongyue Group [20][21]

Core Insights - The stock price of Sanmei Co., Ltd. increased by 2.05% on December 4, reaching 54.15 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 33.057 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 43.98%, with a recent 5-day increase of 4.13% but a decline of 3.82% over the last 20 days and 8.99% over the last 60 days [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Sanmei Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 4.429 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.72%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.591 billion CNY, which is a significant increase of 183.66% year-on-year [2] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 1.122 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 755 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 26.46% to 22,600, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 20.92% to 27,014 shares [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the sixth largest with 8.2222 million shares, an increase of 3.3558 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is currently experiencing a dual bottom in valuation and profitability, with signs of recovery in profit margins and a potential upward trend in the economic cycle driven by demand recovery and resource supply contraction [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of December 3, 2025, the chemical sector index rose by 0.87%, with notable gains from stocks such as Hangzhou Oxygen Plant (up 4.48%) and Yara International (up 4.42%) [1]. - The basic chemical sector's net profit increased by 7.45% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a recovery trend despite mixed performance across sub-sectors [1]. - The overall chemical industry remains at a low level of prosperity, but a gradual improvement in profit margins is becoming evident [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The industry is expected to benefit from reduced supply-side pressures and a global monetary easing environment, particularly with the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could stimulate downstream demand [1]. - The focus on "anti-involution" policies is crucial as multiple sub-industries face competitive pressures, and the industry is likely to accelerate the release of high-performance new materials driven by AI demand [1][2]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors can track the chemical sector through the Jia Shi Chemical ETF (159129), which closely follows the China Securities Index for the chemical industry [2]. - There are also opportunities for off-market investors to engage with the chemical sector via the Chemical ETF Connect Fund (013527) [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the refrigerant industry, indicating a positive outlook based on supply-demand dynamics and industry performance [2][12]. Core Insights - The third-generation refrigerants are expected to remain the long-term mainstream due to their efficiency and cost advantages over fourth-generation refrigerants, which face higher production costs and lower efficiency [9][10]. - The supply-demand gap for refrigerants is anticipated to widen further, driven by increasing demand from the air conditioning and automotive sectors, alongside supply constraints from production quotas [10][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The refrigerant industry has shown a significant price increase for major refrigerants due to quota restrictions, with R32 priced at 63,000 CNY/ton, R134a at 55,500 CNY/ton, and R22 at 16,000 CNY/ton as of December 1, 2025 [4][10]. Production Quotas - High utilization rates for R32 and R134a production quotas were reported, with R32 at 96.71% and R134a at 94.17% for the first ten months of 2025 [5][6]. - The 2026 production quotas for HFCs remain unchanged, but companies with flexible quota allocations are expected to benefit from the adjustments [6][7]. Demand Growth - The domestic air conditioning market has seen a production increase of 2.46% year-on-year, with a total of approximately 230 million units produced from January to October 2025 [10]. - The automotive sector is also recovering, with a 10.80% increase in production during the same period, further driving demand for refrigerants [11]. Future Projections - The internal demand gap for R32 and R134a is projected to increase from -1.24 million tons in 2025 to -2.39 million tons by 2027, indicating a tightening supply situation [11][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring individual companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Chemical, and others for potential investment opportunities [12][13].

Group 1: Market Overview - As of November 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.67%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index dropped by 2.95% and 4.23%, respectively[5] - The average decline of the stock portfolio in November was 4.83%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index, which fell by 2.46%[5] - The market is expected to experience consolidation, with external economic conditions remaining stable and the potential for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve[5] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - Huaxin Cement (600801) is positioned for overseas expansion, with a closing price of 22.42 CNY and a projected EPS of 1.42 CNY for 2025[8][12] - Sanmei Co. (603379) focuses on refrigerants, with a closing price of 52.17 CNY and an expected EPS of 3.50 CNY for 2025[13][15] - China Duty Free Group (601888) benefits from policy dividends, closing at 79.03 CNY with a projected EPS of 1.94 CNY for 2025[16][19] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (300750) is undergoing valuation recovery, with a closing price of 373.20 CNY and an expected EPS of 15.00 CNY for 2025[20][23] - Sungrow Power Supply (300274) is seeing favorable conditions in new energy storage, closing at 182.90 CNY with a projected EPS of 7.07 CNY for 2025[24][26] - SANY Heavy Industry (600031) is focused on engineering machinery, with a closing price of 20.32 CNY and an expected EPS of 1.00 CNY for 2025[27][29] - Yutong Bus (600066) is expanding its overseas market, closing at 31.11 CNY with a projected EPS of 2.14 CNY for 2025[33][37] - North Huachuang (002371) specializes in semiconductor equipment, with a closing price of 427.90 CNY and an expected EPS of 10.03 CNY for 2025[38][41] - Kingsoft Office (688111) is leveraging AI in office solutions, closing at 311.31 CNY with a projected EPS of 4.07 CNY for 2025[42][44]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The HFCs industry is operating steadily, with unchanged trends and clear opportunities [4] - The fluorochemical index increased by 4.59%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.19% [6][28] - The fluorochemical industry is entering a long prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across various segments, including fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [24][25] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Market Overview - As of November 28, the average market price for 97% wet fluorite is 3,346 CNY/ton, down 0.65% from the previous week [20][37] - The average price for November is 3,398 CNY/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 7.76% [20][37] - The average price for 2025 is projected at 3,498 CNY/ton, down 1.34% from 2024 [20][37] 2. Refrigerant Market Trends - As of November 28, the prices for various refrigerants are as follows: R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 45,500 CNY/ton, R134a at 55,500 CNY/ton, R410a at 53,500 CNY/ton, and R22 at 16,000 CNY/ton [22] - The market for R134a is supported by centralized procurement, with prices expected to rise [9][23] - R125 is experiencing tight supply due to limited remaining quotas, maintaining prices around 46,000 CNY/ton [9][23] 3. Beneficiary Companies - Recommended stocks include: Jinshi Resources (fluorite), Juhua Co. (refrigerants, fluororesins), Sanmei Co. (refrigerants), and Haohua Technology (refrigerants, fluororesins, fine fluorochemicals) [11][25] - Other beneficiary companies include Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhou Bang [11][25] 4. Recent Industry Developments - A safety incident at a U.S. R134a plant may impact future production [10] - Haohua Technology has successfully launched its trifluoride nitrogen project [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [31]. Core Insights - As of November 27, the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has decreased by 7.3% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.3 percentage points, ranking 30th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has increased by 26.0%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 11.2 percentage points, ranking 8th among 31 industries [5][13]. - All sub-sectors of the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index experienced declines in the past two weeks, with the non-metallic materials sector down 12.0%, chemical fiber down 9.3%, and chemical raw materials down 8.4% [16]. - Among the 404 listed companies in the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index, 46 saw their stock prices rise, with Huaron Chemical, Guofeng New Materials, and Xinjin Road leading with increases of 30.4%, 29.1%, and 25.8%, respectively. Conversely, 358 companies experienced declines, with Jiaao Environmental Protection, Taihe Technology, and Annada showing significant drops of -29.2%, -28.5%, and -26.9% [18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 26.0%, with significant performance variations across sub-sectors [5][13]. - The non-metallic materials sector has been the worst performer recently, while the plastic sector has shown the highest year-to-date growth of 51.3% [16]. Chemical Product Price Trends - Recent price increases were noted in several chemical products, including caprolactam (+5.49%) and synthetic ammonia (+3.32%), indicating a general upward trend in the market [23][24]. Key Industry News - DuPont announced the groundbreaking of a new production base for MOLYKOTE® special lubricants in Jiangsu, expected to commence operations in early 2027 [27]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between BASF and Sinopec to promote the large-scale application of biogas in Nanjing [27]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights that from January to October, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 59,502.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector seeing a profit decline of 5.4% [28]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like Sanmei Co., Ltd. and Juhua Co., Ltd. due to their significant profit growth driven by rising refrigerant prices [28][29].

关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理 单位：万元 证券代码：603379 证券简称：三美股份 公告编号：2025-075 | 受托方 | 产品名称 | 认购金额 | 预期年化收 益率 | 起息日 | 到期日 | 赎回本金 | 收益金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 农行武义 | 单位定期 | 1,200.00 | 1.00% | 2025/5/20 | 2025/11/20 | 1,200.00 | 6.00 | | 支行 | 存款 | | | | | | | | 合计 | | 1,200.00 | / | / | / | 1,200.00 | 6.00 | 特此公告 浙江三美化工股份有限公司 到期赎回的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 浙江三美化工股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 3 月 24 日召开 第六届董事会第十八次会议和第六届监事会第十六次会议，分别审议通过《关于 使用闲置募集资金进行现金管理的议案》，同 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant drop on November 17, with the chemical ETF (516020) initially rising by 1.69% before falling to a decrease of 0.24% at the time of reporting [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including coatings, battery chemicals, and fluorochemicals, saw notable declines, with SanKeTree dropping over 3%, and Enjie and Sanmei both falling over 2% [1] - The report indicates that the peak of new capacity additions in the chemical industry has passed, leading to a reduction in capital expenditure, which is expected to improve the supply-demand balance in the sector [1][3] Group 2 - The current PB-LF valuation of the basic chemical industry is close to the bottom levels seen in 2019 and 2024, indicating that the sector is still undervalued [3] - The chemical industry is expected to see a continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with a potential upward trend in industry prosperity [3] - Analysts suggest that the chemical sector may experience a rebound starting in 2026, driven by improved domestic demand and supply-side adjustments [3] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks [4] - Investors can also access the chemical ETF through linked funds, providing a more efficient way to invest in the chemical sector [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the price of R134a has exceeded expectations, indicating a significant value proposition in the refrigerant sector, and suggests that long-term positioning is timely [4] - The fluorochemical index has shown a strong performance, increasing by 7.71% and outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [6][25] - The report emphasizes the ongoing upward trend in refrigerant prices, particularly for R134a, R32, and R125, while noting a structural differentiation in the market [22][23] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Industry Overview - The fluorochemical market is experiencing a positive trend, with R134a prices rising significantly due to concentrated purchasing demand, reaching 60,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 6,000 yuan/ton [9][22] - The overall market sentiment for fluorite is weak, with prices for 97% fluorite powder averaging 3,391 yuan/ton, down 0.96% from the previous week [19][33] 2. Refrigerant Market Trends - As of November 14, refrigerant prices are as follows: R32 at 63,000 yuan/ton, R125 at 45,500 yuan/ton, R134a at 55,000 yuan/ton, and R410a at 53,500 yuan/ton, with R134a showing a weekly increase of 1.85% [21][24] - The report notes that the refrigerant market is characterized by a strong upward trend for R32 and R134a, while R125 remains stable, and other products like R404 and R507 are experiencing downward pressure [22][23] 3. Beneficiary Companies - Recommended stocks include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhoubang [11][23]