Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's revenue and profit growth are expected to remain resilient, with a steady cash collection rhythm [7] - The company is focusing on strengthening its market presence in Northwest China while also expanding into Eastern and Northern markets for future growth [7] - The financial forecasts for the company indicate a slight decrease in net profit for 2025, but a positive outlook for subsequent years [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,548 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.64% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 328.86 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.35% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.65 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.24 [1] - The company anticipates total revenue of 3,027 million yuan for 2025, with a marginal year-on-year growth of 0.19% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 377.15 million yuan, representing a decrease of 2.83% compared to 2024 [1] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.74 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 28.11 [1]

[Table_Main] 公司研究|日常消费|食品、饮料与烟草 证券研究报告 金徽酒(603919)公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 稳健经营夯实底盘，中高端产品增速领先 ——金徽酒 2025 年中报点评 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 事件 公司公告 2025 年中报。2025 年上半年，公司实现总收入 17.59 亿元 （+0.31%），归母净利 2.98 亿元（+1.12%），扣非归母净利 2.90 亿元（- 4.05%）。2025Q2，公司实现总收入 6.51 亿元（-4.02%），归母净利 0.64 亿元（-12.78%），扣非归母净利 0.58 亿元（-27.25%）。 300 元以上产品增速持续领先，100 元以下产品收入规模持续缩减 1）300 元以上产品增速持续领先，100 元以下产品收入规模持续缩减。 2025H1，公司 300 元以上、100-300 元、100 元以下产品收入分别为 3.80、 9.69、3.66 亿元，同比+21.60%、+8.93%、-29.78%；25Q2，公司 300 元 以上、100-300 元、100 元 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant stock performance of various liquor companies, with Shede Liquor and Shui Jing Fang reaching their limits, while other companies like Yingjia Gongjiu, Jiu Gui Jiu, and Luzhou Laojiao saw increases exceeding 6% [1] Group 2 - Shede Liquor previously hit its trading limit, indicating strong market interest and potential investor confidence [1] - Shui Jing Fang is also making a strong push towards its trading limit, suggesting positive market sentiment [1] - Other liquor companies, including Yingjia Gongjiu, Jiu Gui Jiu, and Luzhou Laojiao, experienced stock price increases of over 6%, reflecting a broader trend of growth in the liquor industry [1] - Jin Hui Jiu and other companies followed suit with price increases, indicating a collective upward movement in the sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady operational progress with product structure upgrades [5][6] - The revenue for H1 2025 is reported at 1.759 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is 298 million yuan, up by 1% [4] - The company is focusing on optimizing its cost structure and increasing promotional investments, which has led to a slight decrease in gross margin [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue was 651 million yuan, a decrease of 4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 64 million yuan, down 13% [4] - The gross margin in Q2 2025 decreased by 1 percentage point to 63.67% due to increased promotional activities [5] Product Structure and Market Strategy - The revenue from high-end liquor (above 300 yuan) increased by 11% to 136 million yuan in Q2 2025, driven by user engagement and terminal marketing [6] - The company is focusing on refining its operations in the provincial market and enhancing resource allocation efficiency in the northwest region [7] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts EPS for 2025-2027 to be 0.77, 0.83, and 0.92 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26, 24, and 22 times [7] - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 0.0%, 6.9%, and 9.3% respectively [9]

事件：公司发布《2025 年半年度报告》，2025H1 实现营业总收入17.59 亿元，同比+0.3%；实现归母净 利润2.98 亿元，同比+1.1%；实现扣非归母净利润2.90 亿元，同比-4.1%。单季度来看，公司25Q2 实现 营业总收入6.51亿元，同比-4.0%；实现归母净利润6448 万元，同比-12.8%；实现扣非归母净利润5817 万元，同比-27.3%。 产品体系结构延续升级趋势，300 元以上产品占比超22%。1）分结构看，25Q2 公司300 元以上（金徽 年份、金徽老窖系列等）/100-300 元（柔和金徽系列、正能量系列、世纪金徽五星等）/100 元以下（世 纪金徽二三四星、金徽陈酿等）产品营收分别为1.36/3.40/1.45 亿元，分别同比+11.3%/+0.3%/-26.6%， 上半年100 元/300 元以上产品合计占比达78.7%/22.2%，同比+8.91/+4.02pct。上半年行业受到宏观及政 策双重压力，但在年份系列的引领下，公司300 元以上产品增长亮眼，带动产品结构保持升级趋势。 2）分渠道看，25H1 公司通过经销商/直销（含团购）/互联网销售分别实现收入16 ...

机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，金徽酒十大流通股东中，招商中证白酒指数A（161725）位居第 六大流通股东，持股2096.13万股，相比上期增加641.65万股。 8月25日，金徽酒盘中上涨2.04%，截至10:23，报20.52元/股，成交8260.01万元，换手率0.80%，总市值 104.09亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出148.57万元，特大单买入0.00元，占比0.00%，卖出203.88万元，占比 2.47%；大单买入1117.58万元，占比13.53%，卖出1062.26万元，占比12.86%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 截至6月30日，金徽酒股东户数4.45万，较上期减少7.68%；人均流通股11408股，较上期增加8.32%。 2025年1月-6月，金徽酒实现营业收入17.59亿元，同比增长0.31%；归母净利润2.98亿元，同比增长 1.12%。 分红方面，金徽酒A股上市后累计派现11.68亿元。近三年，累计派现5.98亿元。 金徽酒今年以来股价涨7.38%，近5个交易日涨7.94%，近20日涨9.97%，近60日涨13.56%。 资料显示，金徽酒股份有限公司位于甘肃省陇南市徽县 ...

Group 1 - A-shares in the liquor sector experienced significant gains, driven by favorable factors such as clear valuation advantages and the upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival [1] - Shede Liquor reached the daily limit, while Shui Jing Fang and Ying Jia Gong Jiu rose over 6%, and other notable brands like Jin Hui Jiu and Shanxi Fen Jiu increased by over 4% [1] - Major brands such as Luzhou Laojiao and Wuliangye also saw increases, with Guizhou Moutai rising over 1% [1] Group 2 - The market capitalization and year-to-date performance of several liquor companies were highlighted, with Shede Liquor at 22.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.42% [2] - Shui Jing Fang had a market cap of 23.7 billion but a year-to-date decline of 7.24%, while Ying Jia Gong Jiu's market cap was 37.3 billion with a decline of 10.31% [2] - Shanxi Fen Jiu showed strong performance with a market cap of 249.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 14.93% [2]

Group 1: Industry Overview - More than 10 listed liquor companies reported their semi-annual results, showing a general decline in performance among second-tier liquor brands, with many experiencing significant setbacks [1] - First-tier liquor brands continue to launch new products and upgrade existing ones to capture market share [1] Group 2: New Product Launches - Moutai's new product, Moutai 1935, is positioned as a high-end offering with a price of 998 yuan for 500ml, set to launch on August 28 [2] - Wuliangye is set to launch a new 29-degree product called "Wuliangye·Yijianqingxin" this week, with three different flavor samples previously tested [3] - Shede Liquor will introduce its first low-alcohol, high-flavor aged liquor, "Shede Zizai," also at 29 degrees, on August 30 [3] - Gujing Gongjiu has launched a new low-alcohol product, "Gujing Gongjiu·Nianfen Yuanjiang Qingdu 20," with an alcohol content of 26 degrees, priced at 375 yuan for 375ml [3] Group 3: Company Performance - China Resources Beer reported a 0.8% increase in revenue to 23.942 billion yuan, with a 23% rise in net profit to 5.789 billion yuan, while beer sales grew by 2.2% [6] - Jinhui Liquor achieved a revenue of 1.759 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.31%, and a net profit of 298 million yuan, up 1.12% [7] - Shede Liquor's revenue fell by 17.41% to 2.701 billion yuan, with a net profit decrease of 24.98% [9] - Jiu Gui Jiu reported a 43.54% drop in revenue to 561 million yuan and a 92.6% decline in net profit [10] - Tian You De Jiu's revenue decreased by 11.24% to 674 million yuan, with a net profit drop of 35.37% [10] - Huazhi Liquor's revenue fell by 33.55% to 3.949 billion yuan, with a net profit decline of 63.75% [11] - Kouzi Jiao's revenue decreased by 20.07% to 2.531 billion yuan, with a net profit drop of 24.63% [12] - Kuaijishan reported an 11.03% increase in revenue to 817 million yuan, with a net profit increase of 3.41% [13] - Zhenjiu Lidu's revenue fell by 39.6% to 2.497 billion yuan, but the gross margin increased to 59% [14]

公司最新资产负债率为29.34%。 2025年8月23日，金徽酒(603919.SH)发布2025年中报。 公司营业总收入为17.59亿元，较去年同报告期营业总收入增加549.08万元，实现5年连续上涨，同比较 去年同期上涨0.31%。归母净利润为2.98亿元，较去年同报告期归母净利润增加330.51万元，实现5年连 续上涨，同比较去年同期上涨1.12%。经营活动现金净流入为3.21亿元。 公司最新总资产周转率为0.38次。最新存货周转率为0.36次。 公司股东户数为4.45万户，前十大股东持股数量为3.60亿股，占总股本比例为70.98%，前十大股东持股 情况如下： | 序号 | 股东名称 | 持股比例 | | --- | --- | --- | | T | 甘肃亚特投资集团有限公司 | 23.21% | | 2 | 上海豫园旅游商城(集团)股份有限公司 | 20.00% | | 3 | 陇南众惠投资管理中心(有限合伙) | 5.73% | | 4 | 陇南科立特投资管理中心(有限合伙) | 5.00% | | ર | 济南铁晟叁号投资合伙企业(有限合伙) | 4.54% | | ଚ | 中国银行股份有限公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady structural upgrades and a stable operational rhythm, with a revenue target of 3.28 billion yuan and a net profit target of 408 million yuan for 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8.56% and 5.11% respectively [4]. - The company continues to optimize its product structure, with high-end products showing strong growth while low-end products face pressure [2][3]. - The company is expanding its market presence both domestically and in other regions, with a focus on strengthening its base in Gansu province [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.37%, and a net profit of 298 million yuan, up 1.12% [1]. - The sales gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 65.65%, an increase of 0.53 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.95%, up 0.14 percentage points [3]. - The company reported a total of 960 distributors, with a net increase of 15 in the domestic market and a decrease of 56 in the external market [2]. Product and Market Analysis - The revenue from products priced above 300 yuan increased by 21.60% year-on-year, while products priced between 100-300 yuan grew by 8.93%. However, products priced below 100 yuan saw a decline of 29.78% [2]. - The company’s revenue from Gansu province was 1.334 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.11% year-on-year, while revenue from outside the province increased by 1.78% to 382 million yuan [2]. Future Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 3.073 billion yuan, 3.258 billion yuan, and 3.519 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 394 million yuan, 422 million yuan, and 467 million yuan [5][9]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the next three years are 26, 24, and 22 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [5][9].