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抢铜浪潮激涌、行业进入超级周期,铜价涨势还能延续多久
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 00:38
Core Viewpoint - The copper market is experiencing a significant upward trend driven by supply shortages, macroeconomic monetary easing, and surging demand from emerging sectors, with prices reaching historical highs in December 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Trends and Market Performance - As of December 5, 2023, LME copper futures peaked at $11,705 per ton, marking a historical high, while domestic copper futures approached 93,000 yuan per ton [1]. - The A-share copper sector has seen over a 70% increase this year, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining witnessing stock price increases exceeding 100% [1]. - The price surge is attributed to multiple factors, including supply constraints from major production areas and increased demand for copper due to infrastructure upgrades and renewable energy developments [1][2]. Group 2: Supply Constraints - Global copper supply is tightening due to significant production disruptions, including a 28% reduction in annual output guidance from the Kamoa-Kakula mine and a complete suspension of operations at the Grasberg mine until mid-2026 [2]. - The International Copper Study Group reported a mere 1.4% increase in global copper mine production this year, resulting in a supply-demand gap of 150,000 tons, which is expected to widen to 300,000 tons by 2026 [2]. Group 3: Demand Drivers - The transition to renewable energy is driving copper demand, with the International Energy Agency projecting that copper usage in data centers could reach between 250,000 to 550,000 tons by 2030, accounting for 1%-2% of global copper demand [3]. - Analysts expect that structural factors driving copper prices will remain unchanged, keeping prices in an upward trajectory with limited short-term correction opportunities [3]. Group 4: Economic and Financial Factors - The ongoing economic recovery and a loose monetary policy environment are expected to enhance copper's financial attributes, with historical trends indicating that global interest rate cuts can strengthen copper prices [4]. - Optimism regarding future liquidity easing is prevalent, with expectations of continued supportive fiscal and monetary policies both domestically and internationally [4].
小摩增持洛阳钼业351.35万股 每股作价约17.33港元


Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 11:15
香港联交所最新资料显示,12月2日,小摩增持洛阳钼业(603993)(03993)351.3545万股,每股作价 17.3286港元,总金额约为6088.48万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.997亿股,最新持股比例为 5.07%。 ...
小摩增持洛阳钼业(03993)351.35万股 每股作价约17.33港元


智通财经网· 2025-12-05 11:09
智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新资料显示,12月2日,小摩增持洛阳钼业(03993)351.3545万股,每 股作价17.3286港元,总金额约为6088.48万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.997亿股,最新持股比例为 5.07%。 ...
洛阳钼业涨2.91%,成交额44.37亿元,人气排名19位!后市是否有机会?附走势预测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 07:20
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the production of molybdenum, tungsten, gold, cobalt, and other precious metals, with significant growth in gold production expected in the coming years [2][3][8]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is located in Luoyang, Henan Province, and was established on December 22, 1999. It was listed on October 9, 2012. The company engages in mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals [7]. - The company is among the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer, and a leading copper producer [2][8]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, with cobalt products sold in the international market. It has signed an agreement to acquire a 100% stake in Woyuan Holdings, indirectly increasing its stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt to 30% [2]. - In 2022, the company's gold production from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia was 16,000 ounces, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period. The average trading cost of the stock is 13.40 yuan, with the stock price approaching a resistance level of 18.66 yuan [5][8]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in holdings among the top shareholders [9].
港股异动 | 洛阳钼业(03993)午后涨超4% 公司入选富时A50指数 铜产量极或超越指引
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 05:56
智通财经APP获悉,洛阳钼业(03993)午后涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.09%,报18.86港元,成交4.47亿港 元。 行业层面,国金证券指出,节奏上2026年上半年有望迎来再通胀交易。在美联储历次软着陆降息后,铜 价与美国制造业PMI通常3-6个月企稳回升,本轮降息周期从9月18日降息算起,基本面复苏对应明年一 二季度。此外,在短期宏观偏逆风背景下,铜价之所以维持10500美金以上偏强震荡,价格韧性强于以 往降息后表现,核心支撑在于供给,因此,未来经济基本面好转后,铜价或迎来超越过往的价格弹性表 现。 消息面上,12月3日,富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指数、富时 中国A200指数、富时中国 A400指数的季度审核变更。其中,富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业。本次变 更将于2025年12月19日星期五收盘后生效。瑞银此前指出,洛阳钼业2025年铜产量极有可能超越指引的 60万至66万吨,今年首三季已达54.3万吨,主要受惠于生产线技术升级及供电改善。管理层有信心2026 至27年产量将持续增长,并认为新增产量的贡献可持续。 ...
上市公司积极 布局钨新兴产业应用
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 05:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collective rise of tungsten production stocks in the A-share market, with an average increase of 2.02% in early trading, driven by the continuous rise in tungsten product prices [1] - Seven stocks related to tungsten production have been identified, with notable gains from Zhongtung High-tech, Xianglu Tungsten, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which rose by 3.82%, 3.22%, and 2.85% respectively [1] - Institutional interest in tungsten-related stocks has surged, with Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, and Zhangyuan Tungsten being the most researched, receiving 275, 87, and 52 institutional inquiries respectively [1] Group 2 - The performance of tungsten-related stocks has improved significantly in the third quarter, with Xianglu Tungsten and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals turning losses into profits [1] - The remaining five stocks reported year-on-year growth in net profit, with Luoyang Molybdenum, Hunan Gold, and Zhangyuan Tungsten showing the highest increases of 72.61%, 54.28%, and 29.71% respectively [1]
洛阳钼业午后涨超4% 公司入选富时A50指数 铜产量极或超越指引
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 05:55
行业层面,国金证券指出,节奏上2026年上半年有望迎来再通胀交易。在美联储历次软着陆降息后,铜 价与美国制造业PMI通常3-6个月企稳回升,本轮降息周期从9月18日降息算起,基本面复苏对应明年一 二季度。此外,在短期宏观偏逆风背景下,铜价之所以维持10500美金以上偏强震荡,价格韧性强于以 往降息后表现,核心支撑在于供给,因此,未来经济基本面好转后,铜价或迎来超越过往的价格弹性表 现。 洛阳钼业(603993)(03993)午后涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.09%,报18.86港元,成交4.47亿港元。 消息面上,12月3日,富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指数、富时 中国A200指数、富时中国A400指数的季度审核变更。其中,富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业。本次变 更将于2025年12月19日星期五收盘后生效。瑞银此前指出,洛阳钼业2025年铜产量极有可能超越指引的 60万至66万吨,今年首三季已达54.3万吨,主要受惠于生产线技术升级及供电改善。管理层有信心2026 至27年产量将持续增长,并认为新增产量的贡献可持续。 ...
“超强新股”登场 概念股却集体回调!年内暴涨超140% 这一稀有金属全线飙升
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-05 05:26
Market Overview - Major stock indices in the A-share market experienced a collective rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.39%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.47% [1] Sector Performance - The optical module sector continued to show strength, with the concept index rising by 4.41%. Other sectors such as superconductors, fiberglass, and charging piles also saw significant gains [2] New Stock Performance - The stock N-Mole-U debuted on the STAR Market, opening with a surge of 468% and reaching a peak increase of 502.03%, trading at 688 CNY per share. By midday, it closed with a gain of 416.79% at 590.59 CNY per share. Investors holding one lot (500 shares) could potentially earn over 286,860 CNY [3] Market Reaction to New Listings - Following the listing of N-Mole-U, related A-share stocks experienced a collective pullback. For instance, Heertai saw a drop of 9.32%, while Yingqu Technology and others also faced declines of over 3% [4] Tungsten Market Dynamics - Tungsten product prices have surged significantly, with black tungsten concentrate prices reaching 353,000 CNY per ton, reflecting a 146.85% increase since the beginning of the year. APT and tungsten powder prices also saw substantial increases of 145.5% and 161.08%, respectively [6][9] Supply and Demand Factors - The price increase in tungsten products is attributed to supply constraints and rising demand. China, being a major producer and consumer, is projected to produce approximately 67,000 metric tons of tungsten in 2024, accounting for 82.7% of global output. The government has also implemented mining quotas, reducing the total output for 2025 by 6.45% compared to 2024 [9] Emerging Applications and Industry Outlook - Companies in the tungsten sector are actively exploring new applications in emerging industries. For instance, Zhongtung High-tech has developed high-quality nano-grade tungsten carbide powder for PCB micro-drills, while Xiamen Tungsten is expanding its tungsten wire applications in the photovoltaic sector [11][12] Company Performance - Tungsten-related stocks have shown positive earnings trends, with companies like Xianglu Tungsten and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals turning profitable. Other companies reported significant year-on-year profit growth, with Luoyang Molybdenum and Hunan Gold seeing increases of 72.61% and 54.28%, respectively [12]
黑钨精矿年初至今上涨超140%,上市公司积极布局(附概念股)
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-05 05:23
Core Viewpoint - The prices of tungsten products have surged significantly in 2023, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing over 140% year-to-date, driven by supply constraints and rising demand in high-end manufacturing and emerging industries [1][3]. Price Trends - As of December 5, black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 353,000 CNY/ton, up 3.8% week-on-week; APT (ammonium paratungstate: ≥88.5%) is at 518,000 CNY/ton, up 4.7%; tungsten powder is at 825 CNY/kg, up 3.8% [1]. - Compared to the beginning of the year, black tungsten concentrate has increased by 146.85% from 143,000 CNY/ton, APT by 145.5%, and tungsten powder by 161.08% [1][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - China is the world's leading tungsten producer and consumer, with an estimated production of 67,000 metric tons in 2024, accounting for 82.7% of global output [3]. - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology have set a total mining control target of 58,000 tons for tungsten concentrate (65% WO3) in 2025, a decrease of 4,000 tons (6.45%) from 2024 [3]. - The demand for tungsten is driven by its unique physical properties, making it essential in high-end manufacturing and emerging industries such as photovoltaics, military, and semiconductors [3]. Future Outlook - According to Zhejiang Securities, the recovery of China's manufacturing sector is expected to accelerate post-global interest rate cuts, which will boost tungsten consumption [4]. - New applications in AI, controlled nuclear fusion, and new infrastructure are anticipated to increase marginal demand for tungsten-based new materials [4]. Company Developments - Seven A-share companies involved in tungsten production have seen collective stock price increases, averaging 2.02%, with notable gains from Zhongtung High-tech, Xianglu Tungsten, and Luoyang Molybdenum [5]. - Companies are actively expanding tungsten applications in emerging industries, with Zhongtung High-tech successfully producing high-quality nano-grade tungsten carbide powder for PCB micro-drills [5]. - Xiamen Tungsten is focusing on expanding its tungsten wire applications in photovoltaics, achieving significant results with mainstream product lines reaching below 28μ in diameter [5]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten is committed to high-value hard alloy markets, focusing on aerospace and new energy sectors, and developing core business areas including cutting tools and high-end ceramic materials [6]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, tungsten-related companies reported improved profitability, with Xianglu Tungsten and Guangsheng Nonferrous turning profitable, while others like Luoyang Molybdenum, Hunan Gold, and Zhangyuan Tungsten saw significant year-on-year profit growth of 72.61%, 54.28%, and 29.71% respectively [6].
自由现金流ETF中证全指(561080)涨0.73%,半日成交额292.18万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 05:01
Core Viewpoint - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) experienced a 0.73% increase, closing at 1.243 yuan with a trading volume of 2.9218 million yuan on December 5 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) has a performance benchmark based on the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index return [1] - Since its inception on April 23, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 23.58%, with a monthly return of 2.50% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major stocks in the ETF include: - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) down 0.89% - Midea Group up 0.11% - Gree Electric Appliances down 0.54% - Wuliangye Yibin up 0.26% - China Merchants Energy down 0.40% - Luoyang Molybdenum up 2.85% - TCL Technology up 2.06% - China Aluminum Corporation up 3.95% - SF Express up 0.37% - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry down 0.62% [1]