Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down by 0.13%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.89% [1] - The Hong Kong Tech ETF (159751) rose by 0.98%, and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF (159318) fell by 0.35% [1] Sector Performance - Semiconductor products and equipment, as well as hotel and resort REIT sectors, showed strong gains [1] - Conversely, the computer and peripheral equipment, along with personal care products sectors, experienced significant declines [1] Individual Stock Movements - Jingji Group surged over 160%, and Datong Group increased by over 115% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum rose by 11.73%, CATL increased by 5.14%, Zijin Mining gained 5.13%, ZTE Corporation rose by 4.8%, Huahong Semiconductor increased by 4.74%, and Xiaomi Group-W rose by 4.48% [1] - Hong Kong Broadband fell by 11.71%, and Zhongqing Holdings dropped by 11.94% [1] - China Everbright Holdings surged by 25.89%, and Yimai Sunshine increased by 14.08% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has restarted interest rate cuts after nine months, lowering rates by 25 basis points, which aligns with market expectations and signals the potential beginning of a new easing cycle [1] Group 1: Market Impact - The Fed's rate cut is expected to support the non-ferrous metals sector by enhancing purchasing demand and boosting metal prices due to a weaker dollar [1] - The easing of monetary policy is likely to improve liquidity globally, increasing risk appetite and attracting funds to cyclical commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - A moderate global economic recovery driven by lower financing costs is anticipated to benefit demand for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and zinc, as well as strategic metals such as nickel and rare earths [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The fundamentals for most non-ferrous metals remain strong, supported by global economic recovery and domestic policies aimed at optimizing production factors [2] - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies in China are expected to enhance profitability across various sectors, facilitating the transmission of rising metal prices to downstream industries [2] Group 3: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector ETF (159876) experienced a significant increase, with a peak intraday rise of 2.7% and a cumulative increase of 55.21% since its low on April 8, outperforming major indices [3] - Leading copper companies have shown substantial gains, with several stocks, including Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Copper, experiencing significant price increases [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metals sector ETF and its associated funds is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks [7]

Core Viewpoint - The copper metal sector in Hong Kong and A-shares has experienced significant gains due to a supply disruption at the Grasberg mine, which is expected to impact global copper supply and prices substantially [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 25, copper-related stocks in Hong Kong surged, with China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) up 11.9%, Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) up 9.93%, and Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) up 8.71% [2][3]. - A-share market also saw similar gains, with Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) hitting the daily limit, and Northern Copper (000737.SZ) rising 8.77% [3]. Group 2: Copper Price Movement - Futures markets showed a strong upward trend, with Shanghai copper futures reaching a high of 82,920 yuan/ton, marking a 3.28% increase [4]. - The price of copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose by 3.46% to $10,320 per ton on September 24, reaching $10,328.5 per ton on September 25, the highest level since June 2024 [5]. Group 3: Supply Disruption Details - The Grasberg mine, operated by Freeport-McMoRan, experienced a fatal landslide on September 8, leading to a complete production halt and an expected 35% drop in copper output for 2026 [5][6]. - The mine accounts for 3.2% of global copper supply and over 70% of Freeport's total copper production, indicating a significant impact on the overall market [5][6]. Group 4: Demand Outlook - The demand for copper is expected to remain strong due to its essential role in electric vehicles, power infrastructure, and AI data centers, with projections indicating that global data centers will consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade [7]. - Increased defense spending globally is also anticipated to drive copper demand, as it is required for various military applications [7]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The copper sector has seen heightened interest in capital markets, with the Hong Kong copper index up 167.5% and the corresponding A-share index up 62.12% [7]. - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on copper prices, citing ongoing supply disruptions and favorable macroeconomic conditions as key factors [7].

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities projects Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion, 18.5 billion, and 21 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.84, 14.86, and 13.09 times, recommending a "buy" rating based on the company's industry position, growth potential, and low-cost advantages [1] Production Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved significant increases in production across various metals: copper at 353,600 tons (up 12.68%), cobalt at 61,100 tons (up 13.05%), and niobium at 5,231 tons (up 2.94%), all reaching historical highs [2] - The company completed over half of its production targets for the first half of the year, with the TFM and KFM projects contributing significantly to copper production [2] Price Trends - The average LME copper price in the first half of 2025 increased by 3.75% to $9,431 per ton, with cobalt and molybdenum prices rising by 7.69% and 23.90% respectively [3] Cost Management - The company has made significant progress in cost reduction and efficiency improvements through refined management and technological innovations, with copper production costs around 33,700 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025 [4] Strategic Developments - The company has successfully acquired the Odin Mining project in Ecuador, aiming to enhance its gold resource portfolio and diversify its product matrix, with production expected to commence by 2029 [5] Market Dynamics - The ongoing cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo has led to a significant price increase for electrolytic cobalt, from 160,000 yuan per ton to 275,000 yuan per ton, with domestic supply tightening and potential policy adjustments on the horizon [6]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in non-ferrous metal stocks, with notable increases in companies such as China Daye Nonferrous Metals, which rose over 12%, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which reached a historical high with an increase of over 11% [1][2]. Company Performance - **China Daye Nonferrous Metals**: Increased by 12.50%, latest price at 0.063, market cap at 1.127 billion, year-to-date increase of 31.25% [2]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum**: Increased by 11.01%, latest price at 13.910, market cap at 297.595 billion, year-to-date increase of 179.76% [2]. - **Jiangxi Copper**: Increased by 7.98%, latest price at 26.780, market cap at 92.732 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.95% [2]. - **Jinli Permanent Magnet**: Increased by 5.71%, latest price at 22.200, market cap at 30.38 billion, year-to-date increase of 189.09% [2]. - **Zijin Mining**: Increased by 4.59%, latest price at 31.000, market cap at 823.905 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.01% [2]. - **Ganfeng Lithium**: Increased by 3.35%, latest price at 38.860, market cap at 79.94377 billion, year-to-date increase of 94.93% [2]. Market Dynamics - Freeport McMoRan announced a force majeure on its Grasberg mine contract in Indonesia, which has raised concerns about copper supply, pushing LME copper futures to a new high in over a year [2]. - The Grasberg mine accounts for 3.2% of global copper supply and over 70% of Freeport's total copper production, with expected supply disruptions potentially affecting over 6% of global copper output [2].

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower on September 25, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.16% and the ChiNext Index rising by 2.22%, reaching a three-year high [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 134.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Key Stocks - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) saw a rise of approximately 5%, surpassing Kweichow Moutai in total market capitalization. A brokerage report indicated that CATL's battery production capacity could reach 1000 GWh by 2026, a 43% increase from 2025, exceeding market expectations [1] - Morgan Stanley raised its profit forecast for CATL by about 10% for 2025-2026 due to higher-than-expected demand for energy storage batteries, leading to supply tightness and price increases [1] Sector Performance - AI hardware and applications sectors experienced significant gains, with Inspur Information hitting a historical high and Huqin Technology reaching its limit up [1] - The controllable nuclear fusion concept stocks also saw a surge, with Hezhong Intelligent Technology achieving two consecutive limit-ups in four days [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with stocks like Northern Copper and Luoyang Molybdenum hitting their limit-ups [1] - Conversely, the port shipping sector faced collective declines, with Nanjing Port dropping over 8%, and the real estate sector also saw a downturn, with Dalong Real Estate hitting its limit down [1][3] Institutional Insights - China Galaxy Securities noted that the upcoming overseas promotional season could boost panel procurement, which is a leading indicator of TV demand. The global TV panel shipment volume reached 22.3 million units in August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.6% [4] - CITIC Securities expressed optimism regarding the long video industry, anticipating substantial benefits from new regulations aimed at enriching TV content, which could enhance the performance of long video platforms and quality content production companies [4] - Huatai Securities highlighted that electronic cloth is a key material in the PCB-CCL industry chain, with AI trends driving upgrades in high-end PCBs and related materials. They predict a supply shortage for various special electronic cloth products until 2026 [5] Global Steel Production - The World Steel Association reported that global crude steel production in August reached 145.3 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%. Notably, production in the Middle East rose by 21.5% [6] Corporate Developments - Changjiang Storage's parent company, Changcun Group, completed its share reform, indicating a comprehensive upgrade in corporate governance structure [7] - JD.com's CEO Xu Ran announced plans for continued investment in artificial intelligence over the next three years, aiming to create a trillion-yuan AI ecosystem [8]

来源：新浪港股 洛阳钼业（03993）AH股早盘均创历史新高，A股涨停，H股盘中大涨15%，创新高；截至发稿，股价 上涨13.65%，现报14.24港元，成交额14.19亿港元。 9月23日晚，洛阳钼业发布一项重磅股权激励计划，拟建立H股受限制股票计划，在计划有效期之内向 激励对象授予不超过3.93亿股H股股份用于股权激励，上限约占已发行港股总数的10%。以当日收盘价 每股12.760港元计算，此次激励的总计划金额达50亿港元，约占公司港股总市值的1.8%。据悉，这是港 股近几年规模最大的股权激励计划之一。 ...

Group 1 - A-shares saw 43 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 6 stocks hitting the limit down on September 25 [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector was particularly active, with Jingyi Co. achieving a two-day limit up, and Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Copper also hitting the limit up [1] - Notable continuous limit up stocks include *ST Yatai with 13 limit ups in 14 days, Huasoft Technology with 5 consecutive limit ups, and Lanfeng Biochemical with 4 consecutive limit ups [1] Group 2 - *ST Gaohong experienced a continuous limit down for 10 days, while ST Fuhua faced a 3-day limit down [1] - Other stocks facing limit down include *ST Gaosi and Taimushi with 2 consecutive limit downs, and Fulongma and Dazhong Public Utilities hitting the limit down [1]

主力资金早间净流入计算机、电力设备、机械设备等板块，净流出交通运输、房地产、银行等板块。具 体到个股来看，浪潮信息、华工科技、洛阳钼业获净流入37.84亿元、28.91亿元、23.15亿元。净流出方 面，和而泰、立讯精密、胜宏科技遭抛售18.10亿元、9.07亿元、7.21亿元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，洛阳钼业(03993)AH股早盘均创历史新高，截至发稿，A股涨停，H股涨14.53%，报 14.35港元，成交额13.62亿港元。 值得注意的是，9月23日晚，洛阳钼业发布一项重磅股权激励计划，拟建立H股受限制股票计划，在计 划有效期之内向激励对象授予不超过3.93亿股H股股份用于股权激励，上限约占已发行港股总数的 10%。以当日收盘价每股12.760港元计算，此次激励的总计划金额达50亿港元，约占公司港股总市值的 1.8%。据悉，这是港股近几年规模最大的股权激励计划之一。 消息面上，刚果金钴出口政策于9月21日正式落地，包括延长钴出口禁令至2025年10月15日，随后将实 施出口配额，2026至2027年配额将为正常产量的40%。此外，Freeport公司表示，由于发生致命泥流事 故，印度尼西亚格拉斯伯格铜矿的采矿作业自9月8日起已暂时停止，该矿山可能要到2027年才能恢复到 事故前的运营水平。 ...