Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International reports that Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) faces pressure on gross margin due to increased depreciation from new factories, leading to a conservative outlook on gross margin and a downward revision of earnings forecasts for 2025-2027. However, demand for power devices and MCUs is expected to significantly recover in the second half of the year, driven by a rebound in the industrial and automotive markets. As a result, the valuation target multiple for Huahong Semiconductor has been raised, and the target price for H-shares has been increased by 20%, from HKD 30 to HKD 36, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]. Group 1 - Huahong Semiconductor's gross margin outlook is conservative due to increased depreciation from new factories [1] - Earnings forecasts for Huahong Semiconductor for 2025-2027 have been revised downward [1] - The average book value per share forecast has been slightly adjusted downwards [1] Group 2 - Demand for power devices and MCUs is expected to see significant recovery in the second half of the year [1] - The rebound in the industrial and automotive markets is a key driver for this demand recovery [1] - The valuation target multiple for Huahong Semiconductor has been increased, leading to a target price adjustment from HKD 30 to HKD 36 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a divergence in performance between major players, with SMIC showing significant growth while Hua Hong Semiconductor faces challenges due to increased competition and operational pressures [3][4][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance - SMIC reported a revenue of 16.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.44%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial growth driven by the demand for 12-inch wafers and the release of capacity in mature processes [3]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor's revenue grew by 18.66% to 3.913 billion yuan, but its net profit plummeted by 89.73% to 22.76 million yuan, indicating severe pressure in the mature process segment [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The market reacted negatively to the financial disclosures and shareholder reduction, with SMIC and Hua Hong's stock prices dropping by 7% and over 11% respectively [2][8]. - The reduction of holdings by major shareholders, including the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, has raised concerns about the future prospects of these companies [5][7]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - SMIC's focus on advanced process breakthroughs, particularly in 14nm and below, is crucial for its future growth, with a planned capital expenditure of $7.5 billion (approximately 54.4 billion yuan) for 2025, 70% of which will be allocated to advanced process R&D [3][9]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor faces the challenge of maintaining its competitive edge in specialty processes while needing to extend into more advanced processes like 40nm to capitalize on opportunities in automotive electronics [4][9]. Group 4: Industry Context - The semiconductor sector is currently in a cyclical fluctuation phase, with uncertainties in market demand and intensified international competition impacting company performance [8]. - The contrasting situations of SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor highlight deeper contradictions within China's semiconductor industry, particularly regarding reliance on imported equipment for advanced processes [9].

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - SMIC achieved a record sales revenue of $2.2472 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.4%, with a gross margin remaining stable and an operating profit of $395.71 million, up 12,766.6% year-on-year [3] - For Q2, SMIC projects a revenue decline of 4% to 6% and a gross margin of 18% to 20%, indicating a mixed outlook for the second half of the year [3] - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported Q1 sales revenue of $540.9 million, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with a gross margin of 9.2%, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Hua Hong expects Q2 sales revenue to be between $550 million and $570 million, with a gross margin between 7% and 9%, amid uncertainties in customer demand and procurement costs [5] Group 2: Display Panel Industry - In May, domestic panel manufacturers increased production control and reduced utilization rates to stabilize prices, leading to a forecast of stable panel prices for the month [6] - Analysts believe that while end-market demand may experience temporary adjustments, domestic panel companies are well-prepared to respond through dynamic capacity adjustments and product optimization [6] - BOE indicated that the average utilization rate in the LCD industry has been above 80% since Q1 2025, but anticipates flexible adjustments in production lines in response to declining demand in Q2 [7] - The consolidation of the industry is accelerating, with BOE open to acquiring shares in Huacai and TCL completing the acquisition of LGD's Guangzhou factory, which will optimize the industry structure [7] Group 3: Automotive Industry - Geely Auto announced plans to fully merge with Zeekr Technology, aiming to enhance competitiveness in the smart electric vehicle sector through resource integration and cost reduction [8] - Post-merger, Geely's brands will maintain independent positioning while seeking collaborative development in technology, products, and supply chains [8] - Geely's chairman emphasized the importance of adapting to market competition and economic conditions to enhance innovation and profitability, creating long-term value in the global smart electric vehicle market [8]

Group 1 - The State Council of China, led by Premier Li Qiang, approved the draft of the "Regulations on Government Data Sharing," aiming to enhance public services and create a unified national government big data system [3] - The People's Bank of China announced a new loan program for service consumption and elderly care, with a total quota of 500 billion yuan and an interest rate of 1.5% [7] - The People's Bank of China released the first quarter monetary policy report for 2025, indicating a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic recovery [8] Group 2 - The G20 Trade and Investment Working Group held its second meeting, discussing global trade challenges and criticizing unilateral tariff policies by the U.S. government [6] - Panasonic announced plans to cut approximately 10,000 jobs globally, including 5,000 in Japan, as part of a strategy to terminate unprofitable businesses [18] - Tencent launched a new open-source video generation tool, indicating ongoing innovation in the multi-modal video technology sector [23] Group 3 - Alibaba's founder Jack Ma visited the company's headquarters to encourage employees to maintain their entrepreneurial spirit [17] - The Chinese government is intensifying efforts to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals, emphasizing the importance of resource export control for national security [12] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Ministry of Finance are seeking public opinions on the revised draft of the "Securities Settlement Risk Fund Management Measures" [10]

Group 1: Market Activity - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 4.044 billion HKD on May 9, with significant purchases in Huahong Semiconductor (516 million HKD), Pop Mart (280 million HKD), Meituan-W (249 million HKD), Alibaba-W (209 million HKD), SMIC (201 million HKD), and China Mobile (175 million HKD) [1] - Continuous net buying of Meituan for 10 consecutive days, totaling 8.98639 billion HKD [4] - Continuous net selling of Tencent and Xiaomi for 4 days, amounting to 4.76434 billion HKD and 3.99379 billion HKD respectively [5] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Huahong Semiconductor and SMIC reported Q1 2025 results, with significant share reductions by state investment funds, raising market concerns about the semiconductor industry's capital movements [6] - Pop Mart is focusing on enhancing consumer demand through new IP consumption initiatives as highlighted in a recent article by the Minister of Commerce [6] - Meituan launched a comprehensive service guarantee plan for instant retail, indicating a strategic push into the sector [6] - Alibaba's CEO emphasized a startup mentality to leverage opportunities in the AI technology revolution, planning significant investments in core battles [7] - China Mobile's Q1 results showed a slowdown in revenue and net profit growth, but capital expenditure reductions are expected to stabilize cash flow in the coming years [7] - Morgan Stanley raised Xiaomi's target price to 62 HKD, projecting a market cap of 2.5 trillion HKD by 2030, driven by growth in electric vehicles and AIoT [7] - UBS forecasts stable growth in the fintech sector for Chinese internet platforms, with Tencent expected to benefit significantly from this trend [8]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net buying from Northbound funds, totaling HKD 40.44 billion on May 9, with notable net purchases in semiconductor stocks and consumer brands [1][4]. Group 1: Northbound Fund Activity - Northbound funds recorded a net purchase of HKD 40.44 billion, with HKD 32.46 billion from the Shanghai Stock Connect and HKD 7.98 billion from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [1]. - The most purchased stocks included Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), Pop Mart (09992), and Meituan-W (03690) [1]. - The most sold stocks were Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Tencent (00700), and Shandong Molong (00568) [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) received a net inflow of HKD 5.16 billion, while SMIC (00981) saw a net inflow of HKD 2.01 billion [4]. - SMIC reported a net profit of HKD 1.356 billion for Q1 2025, a 166.5% year-on-year increase, but expects a revenue decline of 4% to 6% in Q2 [4]. - Pop Mart (09992) had a net inflow of HKD 2.8 billion, supported by strategic initiatives to enhance brand recognition and expand overseas [5]. - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a net inflow of HKD 2.09 billion following a strategic partnership with Xiaohongshu [5]. - China Mobile (00941) saw a net inflow of HKD 1.75 billion, despite a slowdown in revenue and net profit growth [6]. Group 3: Selling Pressure on Certain Stocks - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) faced a net outflow of HKD 6.34 billion due to concerns over its automotive division's marketing practices [7]. - Tencent (00700) experienced a net outflow of HKD 4.38 billion, reflecting broader market sentiment [7]. - Shandong Molong (00568) had a net outflow of HKD 25.41 million following a significant share reduction by major shareholders [6].

Investment Rating - The semiconductor industry is rated as "Standard Configuration" for investment [1]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry showed signs of recovery in April 2025, with a continued upward trend in prices despite high inventory levels. Key areas of focus include AI computing power, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, and critical components [6][7]. - The demand for semiconductors is expected to continue improving, driven by growth in smartphones, tablets, wearables, AI servers, and new energy vehicles [6][7]. - The report highlights significant performance growth in domestic AI chip companies and sustained high capital expenditure from leading overseas cloud providers [6][7]. Monthly Market Review - The semiconductor sector experienced a price increase of 0.75% in April 2025, while the overall electronic sector declined by 5.07% [13][15]. - The semiconductor industry's valuation metrics indicate a PE ratio of 70.69% and a PB ratio of 46.74%, reflecting a high valuation compared to historical averages [21][24]. Supply and Demand Data - Global semiconductor sales in March 2025 increased by 18.84% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in demand [6]. - The report notes that while supply remains relatively abundant, prices are showing signs of an upward trend, with expectations for further demand recovery in May [6][7]. Downstream Demand Tracking - The report tracks significant growth in the demand for TWS headphones and AI servers, with global smartphone shipments increasing by 1.53% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [6][7]. - New energy vehicle sales in China saw a year-on-year increase of 40.09% in March 2025, contributing to semiconductor demand [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector, such as Lexin Technology and Hengxuan Technology [7]. - It also recommends monitoring AI-driven innovation sectors, including computing chips and optical devices, as well as upstream supply chain companies involved in domestic substitution [7].

南向资金今日净买入超40亿港元 华虹半导体获净买入居前 智通财经5月9日电，南向资金今日净买入40.44亿港元。其中，华虹半导体、泡泡玛特分别合计获净买 入约5.16亿港元、2.80亿港元；小米集团-W遭净卖出约6.34亿港元。 ...

银行股逆势走强。 5月9日，A股主要股指窄幅震荡下探，创业板指一度跌超1%；港股走势分化，恒生指数小幅走高，恒生科技指数跌近1%。 具体来看，A股市场三大股指盘中震荡下探，创业板指一度跌超1%，科创50指数跌约2%。截至收盘，沪指跌0.3%报3342点，深证成指跌0.69%报10126.83 点，创业板指跌0.87%报2011.77点，科创50指数跌1.96%，上证50指数逆市涨0.17%，沪深北三市合计成交12225亿元，较昨日减少近1000亿元。 机构表示，金融增量政策配合宽松财政政策加快落地，预计银行信贷供给加强，有望维持信贷增速相对平稳。降息幅度未超预期，存款利率降息将缓解银 行息差压力。同时，资产质量将在政策支持下继续巩固，后续银行业绩压力可控。本轮降息之后，银行经营稳定性与高股息相对优势均有望得以提升。 纺织服装板块拉升 纺织服装板块盘中强势拉升，截至收盘，万事利20%涨停，太湖雪涨近12%，华纺股份、迎丰股份（605055）、华升股份（600156）等均涨停。 | 代码 | 名称 | · 涨幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 头价 | 卖价 | 总量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Key Points Summary Core Viewpoint - The reduction in holdings by major funds in SMIC and Huahong reflects a strategic exit aligned with investment cycles, amidst pressures from industry cycles and geopolitical factors impacting the semiconductor sector [3][12]. Group 1: Company Performance and Financial Data - SMIC's net profit surged by 166.5% year-on-year to 1.356 billion yuan, driven by an increase in capacity utilization to 89.6% and product mix optimization, despite a projected revenue decline of 4%-6% in Q2 [1][2]. - Huahong's revenue grew by 18.66%, but net profit plummeted by 89.73% to 22.76 million yuan, with Q2 gross margin expected to drop to 7%-9% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment - The market reacted negatively to the reduction in holdings, with SMIC's stock dropping over 10% and Huahong's by 9.33% on the same day [1][7]. - Concerns over capital withdrawal and the potential impact on the semiconductor sector were evident, with a collective decline in the semiconductor sector following the news [7]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is tightening with international giants like TSMC and UMC ramping up their mature process capabilities, posing risks of price wars for domestic foundries [4]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly U.S. export restrictions, are creating uncertainties for SMIC's advanced process equipment procurement, while Huahong's focus on power devices is less affected [4]. Group 4: Strategic Responses and Future Outlook - SMIC plans to increase the share of its mature process capacity (28nm and above) to 70% by 2025 and is focusing on partnerships with domestic clients to reduce reliance on foreign brands [8]. - Huahong is concentrating on niche markets with its 55nm BCD process and IGBT technology, aiming to ramp up production at its new facility to support growth in automotive chip business [9]. Group 5: Long-term Opportunities and Risks - The domestic semiconductor industry is expected to see a rise in localization, with the potential for domestic equipment and materials to increase from 20% to 40% by 2027 [11]. - Emerging markets, particularly in electric vehicles and photovoltaics, are anticipated to drive demand for power devices, with Huahong's automotive chip revenue share projected to grow from 28% in 2024 to 40% in 2026 [11].