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芯原股份(688521):国产算力卖铲人,受益ASIC定制趋势(国产ASIC系列研究之2)
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-21 08:39
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, Chip Origin Technology [7][6]. Core Views - Chip Origin Technology has over 20 years of experience in semiconductor IP and provides comprehensive chip customization services and semiconductor IP licensing. The company serves a diverse range of clients, including chip design firms, IDM manufacturers, system vendors, internet companies, and CSPs, across various sectors such as consumer electronics, IoT, data processing, automotive electronics, and industrial applications [6][17]. - The company is the largest domestic and eighth largest global design IP provider, with a robust product matrix that includes six categories of processor IP, smart pixel processing platforms, and over 1600 mixed-signal IPs [6][21]. - The SiPaaS model positions the company as a "shovel seller" in chip development, focusing on delivering IP products and design services without designing end products, which enhances the reusability of IP and meets the growing demand for outsourced chip design services [6][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for ASIC customization driven by domestic internet giants and the growing trend of AI services, with projected revenues of 2.753 billion, 6.104 billion, and 8.525 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 2,322 in 2024, 2,753 in 2025, 6,104 in 2026, and 8,525 in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.7%, 18.6%, 121.7%, and 39.7% respectively [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be -601 million in 2024, -439 million in 2025, -158 million in 2026, and 347 million in 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -1.20 yuan in 2024 to 0.66 yuan in 2027 [2]. Market Data - As of September 19, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 173.00 yuan, with a market capitalization of 86.648 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 25.2 and a projected price-to-sales ratio of 33 for 2025, which is below the average of comparable companies [3][7]. Key Assumptions - The company anticipates a significant increase in ASIC customization orders from domestic system vendors, with an order backlog of approximately 3 billion yuan as of Q2 2025, indicating a high demand environment [8][50]. - Revenue from chip design services is expected to grow at a rate of 20% annually from 2025 to 2027, reflecting the increasing complexity and demand for customized chips [9]. - The semiconductor IP licensing business is projected to generate substantial revenue growth, driven by the ongoing demand for high-quality IP assets [9][38]. Industry Context - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a trend towards increased specialization and outsourcing, with a growing need for customized solutions to meet diverse application requirements [10][23]. - The report highlights the significant market concentration among leading IP providers, with the top four companies holding a 75% market share, indicating a competitive landscape where Chip Origin Technology is well-positioned to capture growth opportunities [6][10].
芯原股份(688521):国产算力卖铲人,受益 ASIC 定制趋势(国产 ASIC 系列研究之 2)
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-21 08:35
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7][6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading provider of customized chip services and semiconductor IP licensing in China, benefiting from the increasing demand for chip design, customization, and mass production services from various chip companies and terminal manufacturers [7][6]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.753 billion yuan, 6.104 billion yuan, and 8.525 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PS ratios of 33 and 15 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, which are below the average values of comparable companies [7][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (million yuan) for 2024 is projected at 2,322, with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.7%. For 2025H1, revenue is expected to be 974 million yuan, with a growth rate of 4.5%. The estimated revenue for 2025 is 2,753 million yuan, reflecting an 18.6% growth rate. By 2026 and 2027, revenues are forecasted to reach 6,104 million yuan and 8,525 million yuan, with growth rates of 121.7% and 39.7%, respectively [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -601 million yuan in 2024, -320 million yuan in 2025H1, and -439 million yuan in 2025, with a gradual improvement to -158 million yuan in 2026 and a positive net profit of 347 million yuan in 2027 [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be -1.20 yuan in 2024, -0.64 yuan in 2025H1, -0.84 yuan in 2025, -0.30 yuan in 2026, and 0.66 yuan in 2027 [2]. Market Data - As of September 19, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 173.00 yuan, with a one-year high of 200.00 yuan and a low of 24.72 yuan. The price-to-book ratio is 25.2, and the circulating A-share market value is 86.648 billion yuan [3]. Business Model and Market Position - The company operates under a SiPaaS (Silicon Platform as a Service) model, providing a neutral position in the semiconductor industry by not designing end products but offering IP products and design + mass production management services to clients [15][21]. - The company has a comprehensive product matrix, including six major categories of processor IP, over 1,600 mixed-signal IPs, and various IoT connection IPs, covering a wide range of applications from consumer electronics to automotive electronics [19][20]. Growth Drivers - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the increasing demand for ASIC customization and AI integration in domestic internet companies, with a projected order growth of approximately 30 billion yuan by the end of Q2 2025 [8][45]. - The one-stop chip customization business is anticipated to account for nearly 90% of the current orders, with a significant portion expected to convert into mass production orders [8][45]. Competitive Landscape - The semiconductor IP market is highly concentrated, with the top four companies holding a 75% market share. The company is positioned as the largest domestic and eighth-largest global design IP provider, indicating a strong competitive position [7][19].
周观点:继续推荐国产AI算力-20250921
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-21 08:14
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the continued recommendation for domestic AI computing power, highlighting Huawei's announcement of a clear product roadmap for its Ascend AI chips, which showcases a long-term strategic plan in the AI chip sector [5][11] - Domestic AI chip manufacturers, represented by companies like Cambricon, Haiguang Information, and Chipone, are rapidly improving product performance and gradually replacing foreign products, indicating a strong domestic demand for AI computing power [6][12] - The report identifies significant investment opportunities in domestic computing power, recommending key companies such as Haiguang Information, Zhongke Shuguang, and Inspur Information, among others [7][13] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of September 15-19, 2025, the CSI 300 index declined by 0.44%, while the computer index fell by 0.16% [4][14] Company Dynamics - Neusoft Group received a designated notification from a well-known domestic automobile manufacturer for supplying intelligent cockpit domain controllers, with an estimated total amount of approximately 5.6 billion RMB over the product lifecycle [15] - Calat announced a stock option incentive plan for 2025, with a total of 1.8 million stock options to be granted [16] Industry Dynamics - Huawei launched the world's strongest computing power supernodes and clusters, with the Atlas 950 SuperPoD and Atlas 960 SuperPoD supporting 8192 and 15488 Ascend cards, respectively, leading in key metrics [25][23] - The report notes that the domestic AI chip market is witnessing a shift towards self-developed chips by major companies like Baidu and Alibaba, which are gradually replacing NVIDIA products [6][12]
“AI ASIC龙头”芯原股份披露并购RISC-V IP公司芯来科技预案 公司在手订单屡创新高
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-09-19 04:53
Group 1: Acquisition and Financial Details - Chipone Technology plans to acquire 97.0070% equity of Chiplet Technology through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, with the stock resuming trading on September 12 [1] - The proposed issuance price is set at 106.66 yuan per share, which is 81.11% of the average stock price over the last 20 trading days and 69.71% of the closing price before the suspension [1] - The acquisition price is significantly higher than the previous fundraising price of 72.68 yuan per share in June and slightly above the transfer price of 105.21 yuan per share in August, indicating confidence in the long-term value of Chipone Technology [1] Group 2: Order and Revenue Growth - As of the end of Q2 2025, Chipone Technology has a backlog of orders amounting to 3.025 billion yuan, maintaining a high level for seven consecutive quarters [2] - New orders signed from July 1 to September 11, 2025, reached 1.205 billion yuan, representing a substantial increase of 85.88% compared to the same period last year, with AI computing-related orders accounting for approximately 64% [2] Group 3: Chiplet Technology Overview - Chiplet Technology, established in 2018, is a leading provider of RISC-V CPU IP in China, with a workforce of 111 employees, 75.68% of whom are in R&D [3] - The company has developed over 70 IP products, including more than 20 RISC-V IPs, and has authorized over 300 global clients, making it one of the largest RISC-V IP suppliers in China [3] - Chiplet Technology achieved ISO26262 ASIL-D certification for automotive functional safety in July 2023, and its RISC-V IP business revenue ranks among the top in China [3] Group 4: Chipone Technology's Market Position - Chipone Technology is recognized as a leader in the AI ASIC sector, leveraging its extensive IP and chip customization capabilities to provide comprehensive chip design services [4] - In the first half of 2025, AI computing-related revenue accounted for approximately 52% of the company's chip design business [4] Group 5: RISC-V Industry Development - Chipone Technology has been actively involved in the RISC-V industry for over seven years, founding the China RISC-V Industry Alliance in 2018, which now has 204 member units [5] - The company has organized multiple RISC-V industry forums, promoting over 40 domestic RISC-V chip products [5] Group 6: Future Prospects and Strategic Goals - The acquisition of Chiplet Technology will enhance Chipone Technology's capabilities in RISC-V, allowing for a more comprehensive heterogeneous computing IP platform [7] - The integration of Chiplet Technology's RISC-V IP will enable Chipone Technology to offer differentiated and competitive chip solutions for AI ASIC applications [7] - The transaction is expected to boost Chipone Technology's total assets and revenue, enhancing its market competitiveness and industry influence [8]
集成电路ETF(562820)开盘跌1.51%,重仓股中芯国际涨0.70%,海光信息涨1.71%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 03:27
Group 1 - The integrated circuit ETF (562820) opened down 1.51% at 2.289 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include companies like SMIC, which rose 0.70%, and Cambrian, which fell 2.04% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI All Share Integrated Circuit Index return, managed by Harvest Fund Management [1] Group 2 - Since its inception on April 12, 2024, the ETF has achieved a return of 128.02%, with a monthly return of 21.95% [1]
科创芯片ETF基金(588290)开盘跌0.88%,重仓股中芯国际涨0.70%,海光信息涨1.71%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 01:41
Core Viewpoint - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF Fund (588290) opened at a decline of 0.88%, priced at 2.263 yuan, reflecting the current market performance of the semiconductor sector [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - The fund's benchmark is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Board Chip Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on September 30, 2022, the fund has achieved a return of 123.78% [1] - The fund's return over the past month is reported at 27.55% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the fund include: - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) opened with a gain of 0.70% [1] - Haiguang Information increased by 1.71% [1] - Cambrian (寒武纪) decreased by 2.04% [1] - Lattice Technology (澜起科技) rose by 2.66% [1] - Zhongwei Company (中微公司) saw an increase of 4.94% [1] - Chipone Technology (芯原股份) gained 0.57% [1] - Hu Silicon Industry (沪硅产业) increased by 0.28% [1] - Hengxuan Technology (恒玄科技) fell by 0.34% [1] - Sitaiwei (思特威) remained unchanged [1] - Huahai Qingke (华海清科) rose by 0.14% [1]
科创芯片ETF南方(588890)开盘涨0.08%,重仓股中芯国际涨0.70%,海光信息涨1.71%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 01:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Southern Science and Technology Chip ETF (588890), which opened with a slight increase of 0.08% at 2.590 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the ETF include companies such as SMIC, which rose by 0.70%, and Huada Semiconductor, which increased by 1.71%, while Cambrian Technology saw a decline of 2.04% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Index, managed by Southern Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 157.29% since its establishment on April 15, 2024, and a monthly return of 27.99% [1]
股市牛人实战大赛丨9月18日热股榜!专业牛人青睐的十大股票:榜首逆势涨逾9%
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-18 09:34
Group 1 - The "Second Golden Unicorn Best Investment Advisor Selection" event is currently ongoing, with over 3,000 professional investment advisors participating in simulated trading competitions [1] - The event aims to provide a platform for investment advisors to showcase their capabilities, expand services, and enhance skills, thereby promoting the healthy development of China's wealth management industry [1] Group 2 - The top ten stocks by purchase frequency on September 18 include: 1.卧龙电驱 (sh600580) 2.先导智能 (sz300450) 3.神州数码 (sz000034) 4.三花智控 (sz002050) 5.中际旭创 (sz300308) 6.模塑科技 (sz000700) 7.力量钻石 (sz301071) 8.阳光电源 (sz300274) 9.芯原股份 (sh688521) 10.晶瑞电材 (sz300655) [2] - The top ten stocks by purchase amount on September 18 include: 1.三花智控 (sz002050) 2.卧龙电驱 (sh600580) 3.中际旭创 (sz300308) 4.先导智能 (sz300450) 5.芯原股份 (sh688521) 6.神州数码 (sz000034) 7.先进数通 (sz300541) 8.工业富联 (sh601138) 9.紫光股份 (sz000938) 10.太辰光 (sz300570) [3] Group 3 - The event includes an investment capability evaluation segment, divided into three categories: stock simulation group, on-market ETF simulation group, and public fund simulation configuration group [5] - The main trading rules for the simulation include restrictions on the holding ratio of individual investment targets, maximum drawdown rate, and number of adjustments [5]
芯片、算力板块继续强势,科创人工智能ETF(588730)涨近3%,同类唯一百亿的人工智能ETF(159819)涨超2%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-18 08:23
Group 1 - The chip and computing sectors continue to perform strongly, with Cambricon rising nearly 5% and returning above 1500 yuan, while Northern Huachuang, SMIC, and Haiguang Information reached new highs during trading [1] - Huawei's rotating chairman Xu Zhijun emphasized that computing will remain crucial for artificial intelligence, predicting the launch of the Ascend 950PR chip in Q1 2026 [1] - Baidu and Alibaba's recent AI developments have attracted market attention, with Baidu reporting approximately 500 million yuan in revenue from digital human-related businesses in Q2, a 55% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is expected to improve liquidity, benefiting the valuation of technology stocks [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board AI Index, with a semiconductor weight of 54.1%, and the top three weighted stocks being Cambricon (16.62%), Lattice Semiconductor (10%), and Chipone Technology (8.65%) [1] - The Artificial Intelligence ETF covers the entire AI industry chain, attracting 6.369 billion yuan in inflows this year, with a total size of 22.795 billion yuan, making it the largest in its category and the only one exceeding 10 billion yuan, offering a low-cost and high-liquidity investment tool for AI sector exposure [1]
海通证券晨报-20250918
Haitong Securities· 2025-09-18 05:07
Group 1: Commercial Aerospace Industry - The top-level design of commercial aerospace is continuously strengthened, with policies leading to the release of industrial innovation potential. The demand for satellite networking is exploding, and new supply and technology are helping to break development bottlenecks, indicating a positive outlook for low-cost, high-reliability, and large-scale development in the commercial aerospace industry [1][2][4]. - The commercial aerospace industry chain is accelerating its improvement, driven by both supply and demand. China has a complete industry chain from high-end manufacturing to application scenarios, with the global commercial aerospace market size reaching $480 billion. In 2024, China's investment and financing in the commercial aerospace sector is expected to account for 24% of the global total [3][4]. - The demand for satellite networking is surging, with multiple satellite constellations being launched rapidly. The "Long March" series rockets are the main force, and several private rocket companies are expected to become significant contributors to launch capacity [4][5]. Group 2: Company Analysis - GuoBo Electronics - GuoBo Electronics experienced a decline in performance in the first half of 2025 due to revenue confirmation delays in traditional sectors, but achieved significant growth in Q2 with a revenue of 720 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 18.23% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 105.84% [11][13]. - The company is focusing on the low-orbit satellite and commercial aerospace sectors, with multiple T/R component products already delivered to customers, indicating a new growth point for the company [11][14]. - The company has improved production efficiency and reduced costs through lean manufacturing management and automation, ensuring stable growth in profitability, with a gross margin of 39.11% in the first half of 2025 [13][14]. Group 3: Company Analysis - Enhua Pharmaceutical - Enhua Pharmaceutical is a leading domestic enterprise in the field of controlled substances, with a high barrier to entry in its sector. The impact of centralized procurement is expected to bottom out, and the company is focusing on the gradual realization of innovative results [15][17]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.93%, and a net profit of 700 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.38% [16][17]. - The company is actively developing multiple innovative drugs in the central nervous system field, which is expected to drive a second growth curve for the company [18].