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研报掘金丨国海证券:首予山推股份“买入”评级,挖机有望实现量升价稳逻辑
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-26 05:30
国海证券研报指出,山推股份是推土机龙头企业,迈向智能化+高端化+全球化。从公司的α来看,公司 的核心产品推土机有望实现量价齐升逻辑,量受益于亚太地区基建加速+非洲地区的矿企资本开支;价 有望受益结构性供需失衡而涨价。公司的挖掘机受益内外挖机β共振,公司挖机有望实现量升价稳逻 辑。首次覆盖,给予"买入"评级。 ...
2026年第29期:晨会纪要-20260226
Guohai Securities· 2026-02-26 00:46
Group 1: Online Subscription Revenue Growth and AI Development - NetEase Cloud Music - Adjusted operating profit increased by over 30% year-on-year, indicating continuous improvement in profitability [3][4] - In 2025, revenue reached 7.759 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a more cautious operational strategy in social entertainment services [3] - The number of paid users increased, driving online music subscription revenue growth, with 2025 online music business revenue at 5.994 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [5][6] Group 2: Price Increase in Overseas MDI and Polyurethane Market Outlook - Wanhua Chemical - Major overseas manufacturers have raised MDI prices, indicating a potential price increase trend in the market [9][10] - As of February 24, 2026, domestic MDI prices were 13,900 yuan/ton, with TDI prices at 14,900 yuan/ton, showing stability compared to pre-Spring Festival levels [10] - The report anticipates a recovery in polyurethane demand post-Spring Festival, supported by low inventory levels [12] Group 3: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Suzuki - From FY2014 to FY2024, Suzuki's motorcycle production increased from 1.799 million units to 2.042 million units, with a CAGR of approximately 1.3% [14] - The company's motorcycle revenue grew from 250.5 billion yen to 398.1 billion yen during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 4.7% [15] - Suzuki's global motorcycle market share for FY2023 is estimated at around 4% [18] Group 4: Movie Industry Performance and Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival box office reached 5.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.9% due to high base effects [20][21] - The number of attendees during the Spring Festival was 119 million, down 36.3% year-on-year, with an average ticket price of 47.8 yuan, a decrease of 6.1% [21] - The report highlights strong performance in lower-tier markets, with a significant share of box office revenue coming from these areas [21] Group 5: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Honda - Honda's motorcycle sales revenue increased from 1.85 trillion yen to 3.22 trillion yen from FY2015 to FY2024, with a CAGR of approximately 6.37% [25] - The company's motorcycle sales volume grew from 17.59 million units to 18.82 million units during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 0.75% [26] - Honda's global motorcycle market share is approximately 40% [29] Group 6: Express Logistics Industry Trends - In the first eight weeks of 2026, the total express delivery volume reached 32.734 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [36][37] - YTO Express led the growth in business volume, with a year-on-year increase of 29.75% in January [38] - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the express logistics sector, anticipating steady growth in business volume [40] Group 7: Engineering Machinery - Shantui - Shantui is positioned as a leading enterprise in bulldozers, focusing on smart, high-end, and globalized products [45][46] - The company expects revenue growth driven by increased infrastructure investment in Southeast Asia and mining capital expenditure in Africa [46][47] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 15.4 billion, 17.4 billion, and 20.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.61 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan [49]
山推股份(000680):公司深度研究:“挖”出新天地,“推”向全世界
Guohai Securities· 2026-02-25 15:40
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The report addresses key aspects of the company's development history, industry analysis of its core products (bulldozers and excavators), and the company's competitive advantages in these areas [3]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the bulldozer market, advancing towards smart, high-end, and global operations [3]. - The report highlights the stable industry structure and the potential benefits from increased capital expenditure in mining and accelerated infrastructure projects [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved from its inception, fulfilling the mission of domesticating high-power bulldozers in China, thus eliminating reliance on imports for bulldozers over 180 horsepower [12][13]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with significant stakes held by Shandong Heavy Industry Group and Weichai Power [20][24]. - The company has seen a steady increase in overseas revenue, with the proportion rising from 38.7% in 2022 to 55.7% in the first half of 2025 [34]. Bulldozer Market Analysis - The global bulldozer market is expected to grow from 33.6 billion yuan in 2020 to 53.9 billion yuan by 2024, driven by infrastructure development and mining activities [45]. - The report indicates that the market concentration is high, with the top five manufacturers expected to hold a 66% market share by 2024 [45]. - The domestic market is projected to recover in 2024, with the company maintaining a leading market share of 64.7% [48]. Competitive Advantages - The company is recognized as the leader in the domestic bulldozer market, having maintained a market share above 60% since 2010 [49]. - The report suggests that the company's bulldozers are likely to benefit from a structural supply-demand imbalance, leading to potential price increases [3][6]. - The company has a unique position in the excavator market, with a focus on internal and external demand recovery, supported by various factors such as policy stimulation and large-scale engineering projects [4][6]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 14.22 billion yuan in 2024 to 20.16 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% from 2020 to 2024 [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1.10 billion yuan in 2024 to 1.93 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [5]. - The report anticipates a stable gross margin and improved profitability due to effective cost control measures [29].
挖掘机1月内外销大增,龙头公司业绩预增
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2026-02-10 01:37
Core Viewpoint - The sales of excavators and loaders in January 2026 show significant growth, indicating a strong recovery in the domestic and international construction machinery market driven by major infrastructure projects and increasing demand for equipment upgrades [2][3][4]. Excavator Sales - In January 2026, a total of 18,708 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales reaching 8,723 units (up 61.4%) and exports totaling 9,985 units (up 40.5%) [2][3]. - The strong growth in domestic sales is attributed to a low base from the previous year due to the early Spring Festival, and upcoming projects in various sectors are expected to further boost demand [3]. - The export value of excavators in December 2025 was $1.277 billion, a month-on-month increase of 39.28%, and a year-on-year increase of 75.17% compared to December 2024 [3]. Loader Sales - In January 2026, a total of 11,759 loaders were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 48.5%, with domestic sales of 5,293 units (up 42.8%) and exports of 6,466 units (up 53.4%) [2][4]. - The growth in domestic loader sales is driven by the commencement of major projects, such as the Yaxia Hydropower Station and the New Tibet Railway, which have increased demand for earth-moving equipment [4]. - The sales of electric loaders reached 2,990 units, with an electric penetration rate of 25.43%, indicating a growing acceptance of electric machinery in the market [4]. Company Performance - Liugong (000528) is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.526 billion to 1.659 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15-25%, driven by stable demand in the domestic construction machinery sector [4]. - The company's growth strategy focuses on comprehensive solutions, digitalization, and globalization, aiming to optimize business combinations and reduce costs across the value chain [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong brand recognition, comprehensive product matrices, efficient cost management, and robust R&D capabilities, such as SANY Heavy Industry (600031), Zoomlion (000157), Liugong, Shantui (000680), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100) [5].
山推股份:公司零部件产品包括履带底盘件及传动部件两大类
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-09 10:52
南财智讯2月9日电,山推股份在投资者关系活动中表示,公司零部件产品主要包括履带底盘件及传动部 件:履带底盘件包括履带总成、"四轮"(即托轮、链轮、支重轮和引导轮)及张紧装置总成、整体底盘 总成等3大类别产品;传动部件包括变矩器和变速箱,变矩器产品涵盖20余个型号、100多种规格,变速 箱产品包括定轴式和行星式两大类产品。 ...
山推股份:与集团动力总成企业一体化协同研发
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-09 10:52
南财智讯2月9日电,山推股份在投资者关系活动中表示,公司作为整车整机企业,与集团动力总成企 业"一体化协同"研发,积极挖掘并互相提出研发协同需求,共同研究市场、技术和产品,共同做好产品 的策划、研发和应用,共同打造出具有差异化竞争优势的产品组合。 ...
山推股份(000680) - 000680山推股份投资者关系管理信息20260209
2026-02-09 10:44
投资者关系活动记录表 山推工程机械股份有限公司 | | 【请在您选择的方式的"( )"中打"√",下同】 | | --- | --- | | ( | √)特定对象调研 ( )分析师会议 | | 投资者关系活动 ( | )媒体采访 ( )业绩说明会 | | 类别 ( | )新闻发布会 ( )路演活动 | | ( | √)现场参观 | | ( | )其他 (请文字说明其他活动内容) | | | 财通证券:郭亚新 | | 参与单位名称及 | 泓德基金:李昕阳 | | 人员姓名 | 景领投资:王胜 | | | 爱建证券资管:李致远 | | 时间 2026 年 | 2 月 9 日 | | 地点 | 山推股份办公楼 201 会议室 | | 上市公司接待 肖尧、董建军 | | | 人员姓名 | | | | 一、互动交流 | | | 1、公司零部件业务情况: | | | 公司零部件产品主要包括履带底盘件及传动部件:履带底盘件 | | 投资者关系活动 | 包括履带总成、"四轮"(即托轮、链轮、支重轮和引导轮)及张 | | 主要内容介绍 | 紧装置总成、整体底盘总成等 3 大类别产品;传动部件包括变矩器 | | | 和变速箱,变 ...
山推股份:2025年实施两次权益分派,合计派发现金分红约1.42亿元
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-05 10:15
南财智讯2月5日电,山推股份在投资者关系活动中表示,2025年公司共实施两次权益分派:2024年度权 益分派派发现金分红89,676,093.72元;2025年中期权益分派派发现金分红52,128,298.67元,合计约1.42 亿元。未来公司将严格按照《公司章程》执行利润分配政策。 ...
山推股份:拥有国家级企业技术中心及多个省级重点实验室,建设智能控制、新能源等实验平台
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-05 10:15
南财智讯2月5日电,山推股份在投资者关系活动中表示,公司下设工程机械研究总院、智慧施工研究院 等多个研发机构,拥有国家级企业技术中心、工业设计中心和博士后科研工作站,以及山东省土方机械 智慧施工技术重点实验室等省级平台,并建设有智能控制、新能源、智慧网联、工业设计、传动液压等 实验平台。 ...
山推股份(000680) - 000680山推股份投资者关系管理信息20260205
2026-02-05 10:00
| | 【请在您选择的方式的"( )"中打"√",下同】 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | ( √)特定对象调研 ( )分析师会议 | | | 投资者关系活动 | ( )媒体采访 ( | )业绩说明会 | | 类别 | ( )新闻发布会 ( )路演活动 | | | | ( √)现场参观 | | | | ( )其他 (请文字说明其他活动内容) | | | | 申万宏源证券:刘建伟 煜德投资:管俊玮、冯超 | | | 参与单位名称及 | | | | 人员姓名 | 中加基金:苗超 | | | | 南京证券:李承书 | | | | 长城财富:药晓东 | | | 时间 | 2026 年 2 月 5 日 | | | 地点 | 山推股份办公楼 202 会议室 | | | 上市公司接待 | 肖尧、董建军 | | | 人员姓名 | 一、互动交流 | | | | 1、2026 年国内市场布局方向: | | | | 2026 年公司将聚焦国内市场核心发展方向,多措并举推动经 | | | | 营提质增效: | | | 投资者关系活动 | (1)公司将紧扣重大工程建设、行业电动化升级趋势,丰富 | | | 主要内 ...