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——小金属双周报(2026/1/12-2026/1/23):供需紧张格局持续,钨&锡价格突破历史新高-20260125
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-01-25 05:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The supply-demand tension continues, with tungsten and tin prices breaking historical highs [4] - Rare earth elements are experiencing a supply tightness, leading to increased prices, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which rose by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton [12] - Molybdenum prices are expected to stabilize due to cost support and improved supply-demand dynamics, despite a recent decline [23] - Tungsten prices are at historical highs due to supply contraction and price increases in long-term contracts [30] - Tin prices are strong due to macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply disruptions, with SHFE tin rising by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton [33] - Antimony prices are fluctuating, awaiting signals for export recovery, with recent increases noted [42] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton, while dysprosium decreased by 1.39% to 1,420,000 CNY/ton [12][4] - The supply side remains tight due to policy and supply constraints, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies has shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling [4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices fell by 1.94% to 4,035 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron prices decreased by 1.90% to 258,500 CNY/ton [23] - The market sentiment is supported by a stabilization in international molybdenum oxide prices and reduced mine shipments [23] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 11.43% to 536,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices increased by 12.06% to 790,000 CNY/ton [30] - Supply is tightening due to reduced mining quotas and slower production rates, while domestic demand remains stable [30] Tin - SHFE tin prices increased by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices rose by 21.73% to 54,200 USD/ton [33] - Supply disruptions from key mining regions and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors are driving price increases [33] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices rose by 1.26% to 160,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices increased by 1.42% to 142,500 CNY/ton [42] - The supply remains tight, and demand is expected to decline as the market approaches the Lunar New Year [42]
特朗普下了死命令!180天内必须和中国稀土切割,不照做就加税,这是要逼死全世界?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 11:52
最近,特朗普再次在全球政治舞台上投下了一颗重磅炸弹!他公开向全球所有拥有战略矿产的国家下达了最后通牒:在180天内,必须断绝与中国的稀土等 战略矿产供应链,要么站在美国一边围堵中国,要么就准备迎接美国的高额关税!这一场全球供应链的大洗牌,已经悄然进入了倒计时,接下来的180天到 底隐藏着怎样的阴谋,值得深思。 这哪里是谈判,简直就是赤裸裸的逼宫!就在不久前,白宫官网发布了特朗普亲笔签署的公告,内容简单粗暴,毫不掩饰:所有拥有战略矿产的国家,必须 在180天内和美国重新签订供应协议,核心要求是要切断与中国的关系。公告中冠冕堂皇地提到供应链多元化和国家安全,但谁都能看出,这实际上就是针 对中国的!毕竟中国掌握了全球70%以上的稀土加工产能,无论是美国的F-35战机,还是欧洲的汽车、日本的电子产品,想要彻底摆脱中国的稀土供应,简 直就是不可能的任务! 特朗普这次还派遣商务部长和贸易代表来主导谈判,并授予他们采取一切必要手段的权力,实际上就是表明,如果谈不拢,就准备摊牌。过去美国虽然还装 作平等伙伴的样子,现在已经毫不掩饰地暴露出自己的真实面目,盟友们在美国眼里,随时都可以被牺牲。曾经美国对欧盟加征钢铝关税,逼迫韩国 ...
中国稀土集团:统筹稀土经济价值与战略价值 以科技创新培育新质生产力
人民财讯1月24日电,1月23日,中国稀土(000831)集团在总部召开2026年科技工作会。会议强调,集 团公司必须站在战略全局高度,充分发挥中央企业"三个作用",争当"三个排头兵"。要坚持战略引领, 自觉融入国家发展大局,统筹稀土经济价值与战略价值,以科技创新培育新质生产力;要深化改革突 破,积极构建"五链融合"创新生态,完善成果转化与收益分享机制;要强化系统赋能,建强国家战略科 技力量,全面推行"两总"工作机制,构建常态化协同创新网络,营造高水平创新生态。 ...
央企重仓广东,一年内至少25家新公司落地
2025年,临近"十四五"收官,南方电网一口气在广州成立了三家全资子公司:11月,南网产融集团揭牌 成立;12月,南网电碳公司、南网产业发展集团相继揭牌。此外12月,南方电网综合能源(广东)有限 公司还与广州科学城集团旗下环保集团签约,拟设立合资公司协同打造智慧能源项目。 2026年1月,招商拜访马不停蹄:广东投促局、广州企业及相关部门组队赴京,与央企代表开展产业交 流对接;佛山明确提出深入开展央国企招商攻坚,并落地了中旅国际文旅合作;珠海迎来中农集团项目 签约……央地合作热潮涌动,在经济第一大省尤为活跃。 央企项目或新公司落地,往往意味其资金、技术、人才、管理经验等资源的导入,对地方经济产生重要 影响。一直以来,央企都将广东作为长期布局的战略要地,大批高质量项目落户转化为经济社会的有力 支撑。近年来,央企更是加强产业投资、科技合作、金融赋能等力度和广度,持续加码广东。 相比于项目合作,设立实体公司是更具长期性、战略性之举,意味着将此地作为长期发展、独立的增长 极来培育。中央企业正以这种方式在大湾区扩大布局,据不完全统计,仅2025年一年,至少有25家央企 (含子公司)在广东设立了新公司。进入2026年,节奏 ...
4万吨!90亿逆差!中国稀土,正在下一盘大棋
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 01:21
没错,过去很多年,确实是如此,所以全球高科技产业,从手机到新能源汽车,从战斗机到精密仪器, 都眼巴巴地看着中国,生怕咱们的稀土一"断供",他们的生产线就得停摆。美国、日本、欧盟这些地 方,没少为这事跟咱们拉扯。 一提到稀土,大家脑子里蹦出来的肯定都是这几个词:中国储量多,中国产量大,中国是出口大国。 所以,在很多人看来,中国的稀土策略,似乎就是"我有,我卖,你得求着我"。 但是,刚刚公布的2025年海关数据,却给我们展示了一个完全不一样的、甚至有点"反常"的画面。这个 画面,值得我们好好琢磨。 数据显示,2025年,中国确实出口了6.26万吨稀土,出口额36.6亿元,创了近11年的新高。你看,出口 的大门依然敞开着,生意照做。可真正的"重磅炸弹"在另一边:去年,中国进口了10.1万吨稀土,花费 了128.8亿元! 这个账,怎么算都觉得有点"怪"。 可能有人会想,这有啥怪的?咱们稀土提炼技术全球第一嘛,肯定是别人把粗矿运过来,咱们加工成高 纯度的产品,再高价卖出去,赚个加工费。 但仔细看价格,这个说法就站不住脚了。算一下单价:进口的稀土,平均每万吨要花12.8亿元;而咱们 出口的稀土,平均每万吨只卖5.85亿元 ...
有色金属行业2026年投资策略:资源大周期,把握金属全面牛市
Southwest Securities· 2026-01-23 10:36
Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish outlook for the metals sector, driven by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and a recovering global economy, particularly in China [3][44] - Key investment themes for 2026 include expanding demand for precious metals like gold and silver, improving fundamentals for aluminum and copper, strategic opportunities in rare earths, and supply-side disruptions due to overcapacity in certain sectors [3][4] Group 1: Precious Metals - The report suggests a long-term bullish view on gold, with expectations of price increases driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, which enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3][44] - Silver is also highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its high price ratio to gold, indicating potential for significant price appreciation [3] - Specific companies to watch include Shandong Gold (600547.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH), which are expected to benefit from increased production and operational efficiencies [4] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The report notes that aluminum and copper are set to see improved profitability due to lower production costs and increased demand, particularly in the context of infrastructure investments [3][4] - Companies such as Zhongfu Industrial (600595.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH) are identified as having strong positions in the copper market, with expected profit growth [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in copper, where inventory levels are shifting significantly [18][58] Group 3: Rare Earths and Strategic Metals - The report identifies rare earth elements as a critical area for investment, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions between the US and China, which may create opportunities for companies involved in rare earth mining and processing [3][4] - Companies like Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and China Rare Earth (000831.SZ) are highlighted for their potential to benefit from price increases in rare earth materials [4] Group 4: Energy Metals - The report discusses the rebound in lithium and nickel prices, driven by strong demand from the battery sector, with specific mention of companies like Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [4][27] - The expected growth in energy storage solutions is also noted as a significant driver for demand in these metals [4] Group 5: Overall Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is noted to have outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 96.46% in 2025 compared to a 21.65% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [33][35] - The report indicates that while the sector has seen significant gains, valuations are currently at historical averages, suggesting potential for further growth [35]
中国稀土今日大宗交易平价成交80万股,成交额4439.2万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 09:13
1月23日,中国稀土大宗交易成交80万股,成交额4439.2万元,占当日总成交额的1.5%,成交价55.49 元,较市场收盘价55.49元持平。 | 权益类证券大宗交易(协议交易) | | --- | | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | 2026-01-23 | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 55.49 | 80.00 | 4,439.2 招商证券股份有限 | 招商证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 公司北京景辉街证 | 公司北京景辉街证 | | | | | | | 券营业部 | 券营业部 | ...
01月22日氧化镨675000.00万元/吨 10天上涨6.72%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 06:42
据生意社监测,氧化镨01月22日最新价格675000.00万元/吨,最近10天上涨6.72%,15天上涨10.20%, 20天上涨13.92%,30天上涨14.89%,60天上涨20.00%。 相关生产商有:北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 相关生产商有:北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 据生意社监测,氧化镨01月22日最新价格675000.00万元/吨,最近10天上涨6.72%,15天上涨10.20%, 20天上涨13.92%,30天上涨14.89%,60天上涨20.00%。 ...
稀有金属ETF基金(561800)盘中最高涨超2%,成分股西部材料10cm涨停,稀有金属供需格局正加速重构
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 03:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance and upward trends in the rare metals market, driven by increasing demand and supply constraints [1][2][3] Group 2 - As of January 23, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) rose by 1.28%, with key stocks like Western Materials hitting the daily limit up and others like Chuaneng Power and Zhuhai Group also showing significant gains [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 59.54% of the index, with companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium leading the list [1] - The rare metals ETF fund (561800) saw a 1.41% increase, with a maximum intraday rise exceeding 2%, and recorded a turnover rate of 6.48% with total transactions of 14.6183 million yuan [1] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 4,000 yuan to 152,500 yuan per ton on January 20, 2026, reflecting a more than 28% rebound from the year's low, driven by surging storage demand and supply constraints [2] - New energy storage technologies are expanding rapidly, with lithium battery shipments in China reaching 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 99.07% [2] - The supply-demand dynamics for rare metals are undergoing significant changes, with tungsten concentrate prices rising by 4.3% week-on-week to 507,000 yuan per ton, and prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide also increasing [3] - The CS Rare Metals Index, tracked by the rare metals ETF fund, is one of the highest in energy metal content, particularly lithium and cobalt, and is expected to benefit from ongoing market trends [3]
事关日企进口中国稀土、中国购买H200芯片等,商务部回应
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 10:08
商务部新闻发言人何咏前表示,中国作为负责任大国,一贯积极履行防扩散国际义务,依法依规针对所 有两用物项,禁止对日本军事用户、军事用途,以及一切参与提升日本军事实力的最终用户用途出口。 其目的是制止再军事化和拥核企图,完全正当合理合法。与此同时,中方始终致力于维护全球产供链稳 定与安全,出口管制申请和审核等程序均依法合规。在此,我愿再次重申对符合确保属民事用途等条件 的出口申请都会得到批准。 来源:智通财经 中国政府只在特殊情况下批准购买H200芯片?商务部回应 智通财经1月22日讯,今天下午,商务部召开例行新闻发布会,介绍近期商务领域重点工作情况。 商务部:坚决反对欧盟将部分中国企业列为高风险供应商 商务部新闻发言人何咏前在回答有关提问时说,欧盟近日发布相关文件,强制要求成员国在能源、交 通、ICT服务管理等18个关键行业排除所谓"高风险供应商"。中方对此表示严重关切。中国企业长期在 欧洲依法合规经营,为欧洲民众提供了优质的产品和服务,有力促进了欧洲电信和数字产业发展。然 而,欧盟却在毫无事实依据的情况下,将部分中国企业列为高风险供应商,限制中国企业参与5G建 设。我们坚决反对欧方对中国企业的歧视行为和将经贸 ...