Group 1: Hu Dian Co., Ltd. (沪电股份) - The company adopts a differentiated business strategy focusing on long-term sustainable benefits and major head customers, continuously investing in technology and innovation resources [1] - The Thailand production base has commenced small-scale production, accelerating customer certification and product introduction while controlling initial costs and improving production efficiency and yield [1] - A planned investment of 4.3 billion will be made in Q4 2024 to establish a high-end printed circuit board (PCB) expansion project to meet the demands of emerging computing scenarios such as artificial intelligence [1] - The company believes that the development of artificial intelligence and network infrastructure will require more complex and high-performance PCB products, presenting new growth opportunities for the PCB market while posing higher challenges to the technical and innovative capabilities of PCB companies [1] - The company aims to accurately grasp strategic timing, moderately accelerate investment, and allocate resources rationally to enhance competitiveness and respond quickly to market demands [1] Group 2: Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (锡业股份) - The self-sufficiency rates for tin concentrate, copper concentrate, and zinc concentrate in 2024 are projected to be 30.21%, 15.91%, and 72.72% respectively, with plans to increase exploration and resource expansion [2] - Tin prices will be influenced by supply and demand, following a logic of "cost sets the bottom line, demand determines fluctuations" [2] - The company ensures the supply of tin smelting raw materials through self-production, domestic procurement, and processing and re-exporting, with regular planned maintenance based on equipment operation conditions [2] - The company has established an industrial experimental platform for tailings re-selection and plans to build three tailings resource utilization bases in the future [2] - The company will continue to strengthen production operations and explore increasing the frequency of cash dividends to share development dividends with shareholders [2]

Group 1: Production and Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.2 billion to 11.2 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.52% to 40.03% [2] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.6 billion to 13.6 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 26.20% to 36.22% [2] - The company is the only full-industry chain listed company in the tin industry in China, integrating exploration, mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and supply chain [2] Group 2: Strategic Focus and Future Plans - The company aims to strengthen its position as a "value creation center" in the non-ferrous metal raw materials sector, focusing on resource expansion, modern mining, and raw material manufacturing [3] - Future plans include enhancing production capacity and cost control, geological exploration, and resource upgrading in existing mining areas [3] - The company will leverage the "Belt and Road" initiative to accelerate resource expansion efforts [3] Group 3: Resource Self-Sufficiency and Supply Chain Management - In 2024, the self-sufficiency rates for tin concentrate, copper concentrate, and zinc concentrate were 30.21%, 15.91%, and 72.72%, respectively [4] - The company plans to increase resource self-sufficiency through geological research and exploration activities [4] - The company will utilize various channels for tin smelting raw materials, including self-mining, domestic procurement, and processing exports [5] Group 4: Market Outlook and Pricing Strategy - The supply of tin raw materials remains tight, impacting smelting profits, with limited new supply expected in the Chinese market [5] - Demand for tin solder in traditional sectors is expected to maintain positive growth, supported by the automotive industry's increasing tin usage [5] - The company anticipates that tin prices will be influenced by cost structures and demand fluctuations [5] Group 5: Operational Efficiency and Cost Management - The company has implemented a "three-year action plan for cost reduction and efficiency enhancement" to ensure stable and optimal smelting operations [6] - Efforts are being made to improve the recovery of valuable metals from tailings, enhancing overall recovery efficiency [6] - The company is conducting technical research on tailings resource utilization, aiming to establish three tailings resource utilization bases [6] Group 6: Dividend Policy and Shareholder Engagement - The company plans to enhance shareholder returns by increasing cash dividend frequency and exploring share buybacks [6] - Future dividend policies will consider operational performance and long-term development while addressing reasonable shareholder demands [6]

Group 1: Non-ferrous Metals - Tin Industry - The company, Xiyie Co., is a global leader in the tin and indium industry, expected to benefit significantly from the rising price center, leading to profit enhancement. The company has excellent resource endowments with substantial growth potential in tin, tungsten, and indium production [2][4]. - The domestic market share of the company in tin metal is projected to reach 47.98% in 2024, with a global market share of 25.03%, positioning it as the top tin producer worldwide. The company plans to invest 101 million yuan in exploration, adding 52,400 tons of non-ferrous metal resources in 2024 [4]. - The company is actively pursuing both internal resource development and external partnerships to enhance its industry chain advantages, with a production scale of 1.5 million tons/year for tin and 560,000 tons/year for tungsten planned [4][5]. Group 2: Agriculture - Animal Health Industry - Ruip Bio is a leading player in the domestic animal health industry, with robust growth in both livestock and pet health segments. The company is expected to see steady progress in livestock health and rapid growth in pet health products, with a projected market size of 20.95 billion yuan for pet medicine by 2024 [6][7]. - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate of over 16% in revenue from 2015 to 2024, with total revenue expected to reach 3.07 billion yuan in 2024. The company has established a strong presence in over 70 cities through strategic acquisitions and partnerships [7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product matrix in pet health, with a significant emphasis on vaccine development, including a breakthrough in the cat trivalent vaccine, which is expected to double revenue in 2025 [6][7]. Group 3: Communication - New Yi Sheng - New Yi Sheng has raised its earnings forecast and target price, maintaining a buy rating. The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.7 to 4.2 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 327.68% to 385.47% [9][10]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with the first phase of its factory in Thailand completed in the first half of 2023 and the second phase expected to be operational in early 2025. The demand for 1.6T products is anticipated to begin ramping up in the second half of 2025 [10].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among several companies, indicating a concentration of shares and potential investment opportunities in those stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - A total of 94 companies reported their latest shareholder account numbers as of July 20, with 16 companies experiencing a continuous decline for more than three periods, and one company, Guoyuan Securities, seeing a decrease for 12 consecutive periods, with a cumulative decline of 7.13% [1]. - Zhongyuan Media has also seen a significant decline, with its shareholder accounts dropping for 9 consecutive periods, resulting in a cumulative decline of 29.57% [1]. - Other companies with notable declines in shareholder accounts include Jiemai Technology, Xiyu Co., and Shuangxiang Co. [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with decreasing shareholder accounts, 14 have seen their stock prices rise, while only 2 have experienced declines, with Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong showing high cumulative gains of 25.89%, 22.93%, and 16.93%, respectively [2]. - 12 of these companies outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with excess returns of 19.55%, 16.98%, and 11.76% for Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong, respectively [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest - In the past month, 5 companies with decreasing shareholder accounts have been subject to institutional research, with Jiangsu Shentong and Haixia Co. being the most frequently researched, each receiving 3 inquiries [2]. - The number of institutions involved in research is highest for Jiangsu Shentong (23 institutions), followed by Haixia Co. (8 institutions) and AVIC High-Tech (4 institutions) [2]. Group 4: Performance Forecasts - One company has released its half-year performance report, with Guoyuan Securities showing a net profit increase of 40.44% [3]. - Seven companies have issued performance forecasts, with five expecting profit increases and one predicting a profit [3]. - Hai De Control is projected to have the highest median net profit increase of 251.80%, with an expected net profit of 12.50 million [3].

Group 1 - The small metal sector has shown significant activity, with a collective increase of over 3% in stock prices, particularly for companies like Dongfang Zirconium and Haotong Technology, which saw gains exceeding 5% [1] - Supply constraints are evident due to domestic export quota management for antimony, bismuth, germanium, and tungsten, alongside transportation disruptions in Myanmar, leading to a global supply gap exceeding 30% [1] - Demand for small metals is rising, driven by applications in new energy vehicles, energy storage, military high-temperature alloys, and semiconductor packaging materials, with a notable increase in consumption of cobalt and nickel sulfate [1] Group 2 - Small metals have been classified as "strategic resources" by authorities, with export controls on gallium and germanium in 2024 and additional controls on tungsten, bismuth, and antimony in 2025, leading to increased scarcity premiums [1] - Leading companies are expected to report substantial profit growth, with Northern Rare Earth projected to see a more than 18-fold increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025 [1] - Securities firms express optimism, highlighting that the relaxation of export controls could lead to a convergence of domestic and international prices, benefiting the sector through both valuation and profit increases [2][3] Group 3 - Dongfang Zirconium specializes in the research, production, and sales of zirconium series products, including zirconium silicate and zirconium oxide [2] - Haotong Technology focuses on precious metal recovery and related products, with key offerings including platinum, palladium, and rhodium [2] - Shenghe Resources produces rare earth concentrates and various rare earth products, contributing to the small metal supply chain [3] Group 4 - Guiyan Platinum's product range includes various precious metal compounds such as platinum, palladium, and rhodium [3] - Xianglu Tungsten's main products consist of tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, and tungsten carbide [3] - Tin Industry Co. engages in the exploration, mining, and processing of tin, zinc, copper, and indium, offering a wide array of products [3] Group 5 - Dongfang Tantalum is involved in the research, production, and sales of rare metals like tantalum and niobium [4] - Baotai Co. is recognized as China's largest specialized producer of titanium-based rare metal materials, holding over 40% market share [4]

Group 1 - The A-share small metal sector is experiencing a volatile rise, with Dongfang Zirconium hitting the daily limit and closing at a maximum increase [1] - Other companies such as Zhongmin Resources, Haotong Technology, Xiyu Co., Yongshan Lithium, Guiyan Platinum, and Western Materials are also seeing gains [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.2-11.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.52% to 40.03%. The net profit for Q2 2025 is expected to be between 5.21-6.21 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.41% to 24.45% and a year-on-year growth of 9.92% to 31.01% [4][5]. - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the increase in market prices for tin, copper, and zinc, alongside effective cost reduction measures and production optimization [4][5]. - The company plans to produce 90,000 tons of tin, 125,000 tons of copper, and 131,600 tons of zinc in 2025, with Q1 production figures showing 24,200 tons of tin, 24,400 tons of copper, and 33,300 tons of zinc [5]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of 48.36 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15.21%. The projected revenues for 2026 and 2027 are 51.90 billion yuan and 54.68 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 7.32% and 5.36% [6][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 23.09 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 59.86%. The expected net profits for 2026 and 2027 are 25.50 billion yuan and 27.38 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10.45% and 7.36% [6][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.40 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.55 yuan in 2026 and 1.66 yuan in 2027 [6][10]. Market Conditions - The report notes that while there may be short-term supply disruptions, the long-term price trend for tin is expected to rise due to ongoing demand from the semiconductor industry, which is projected to grow at around 11% globally [6][10]. - The company has announced a share buyback plan to protect shareholder interests, indicating confidence in future growth [5].

Investment Rating - The report rates the tin industry as "Overweight" [4]. Core Viewpoints - The central thesis of the report suggests that the price of tin is expected to rise, driven by tightening supply and improving demand conditions, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence and consumer electronics recovery [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Tin: A Competitive Advantage for China, Price Center Likely to Rise - Tin has a low abundance in the earth's crust, with significant resource advantages in China [7]. - Price analysis indicates that supply constraints and macroeconomic factors are expected to boost tin prices [18][34]. 2. Continuous Supply Disruptions, Incremental Growth May Fall Short of Expectations - Supply disruptions are ongoing, particularly in Myanmar, where production recovery is slow [46]. - The report anticipates that global tin production in 2025 will be around 300,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2% [2]. 3. Demand Growth Driven by AI Trends - The demand for tin solder is expected to increase significantly due to the high growth in artificial intelligence applications and the recovery of consumer electronics [3][31]. - The report forecasts a global refined tin supply gap of 8,300 tons in 2025, highlighting a pronounced supply-demand imbalance [2]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Tin Industry Co., Ltd., and Xingye Silver Tin, which are positioned well due to their resource advantages and global strategies [2][3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that with the decline in global tin ore grades and limited supply increments, coupled with rising costs, the tin price is expected to increase due to tight supply and high demand driven by AI development and a recovery in consumer electronics [1][2] - The report recommends specific stocks: Xiyes Co., Ltd. (000960.SZ), Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ), and mentions related stocks such as Huaxi Nonferrous (600301.SH) [1] Group 2 - Supply disturbances are ongoing, with limited incremental production from mines; the complete cost of tin mining is projected to rise from approximately $25,581 per ton in 2022 to $33,800 per ton by 2027 [2] - The global tin production is expected to reach 300,000 tons in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2% [2] Group 3 - The downstream industry is experiencing high demand, particularly in soldering materials, which account for about 56% of tin consumption; the stabilization of the semiconductor cycle is expected to drive rapid demand for solder [3] - A projected supply gap of 8,300 tons in global refined tin by 2025 highlights the supply-demand imbalance [3] Group 4 - The global monetary environment is becoming more accommodative, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could positively impact asset prices and upstream raw material prices [4] - The inflation rate in the U.S. is gradually approaching the target of 2%, indicating a shift in market expectations for demand [4]