内容概要：近年来，中国高纯铟行业得到快速发展，成为半导体材料、光伏产业以及电子器件制造等领 域的重要支撑。数据显示，2021-2022年中国高纯铟行业市场规模呈现上升趋势，但2023年半导体市场 进入深度去库存周期，叠加消费电子市场持续低迷，导致高纯铟需求下滑，市场规模同比下降25%；随 后2024年高纯铟行业市场需求逐渐恢复，市场规模达到20亿元，同比上涨6%。预计未来在高端制造和 新能源产业持续扩张的带动下，高纯铟行业市场规模将继续保持增长趋势。特别是在半导体材料领域， 随着5G通信、人工智能和数据中心建设的加速推进，对高纯铟的依赖程度进一步加深。 相关上市企业：锡业股份（000960）、豫光金铅（600531）、锌业股份（000751）、株冶集团 （600961）、华虹公司（688347）、捷捷微电（300623）、苏州固锝（002079）、华润微（688396）、 派瑞股份（300831）等。 相关企业：南京中锗科技有限责任公司、东方电气（乐山）峨半高纯材料有限公司、云南锡业集团(控 股)有限责任公司、广东先导稀材股份有限公司、广西铟泰科技有限公司、株洲科能新材料股份有限公 司等。 关键词：高纯铟行业 ...

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a positive outlook on copper, aluminum, and rare earths, indicating high market activity and potential for growth [12][33][34]. Core Insights - Copper prices increased by 4.38% to $11,665.00 per ton on LME, with domestic prices rising by 6.12% to 92,800 yuan per ton, driven by supply constraints and high demand [1][13]. - Aluminum prices rose by 1.24% to $2,900.50 per ton on LME, with domestic prices up 3.4% to 22,300 yuan per ton, reflecting stable demand despite seasonal fluctuations [2][14]. - Gold prices decreased by 0.87% to $4,227.7 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical risks and market volatility, while SPDR gold holdings increased [3][15]. - Rare earth prices, particularly praseodymium-neodymium oxide, rose by 2.79%, with expectations of increased demand due to supply constraints and favorable export conditions [4][34]. - Antimony prices decreased by 1.79%, but the outlook remains positive due to anticipated recovery in exports [4][35]. - Tin prices increased by 4.70%, supported by low inventory levels and supply disruptions in Indonesia and Myanmar [4][36]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 4.38% to $11,665.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 92,800 yuan per ton [1][13]. - Supply constraints are evident with a decrease in copper inventory and processing fees [1][13]. - Downstream demand is weakening due to high prices, leading to a decline in new orders [1][13]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 1.24% to $2,900.50 per ton, with domestic prices at 22,300 yuan per ton [2][14]. - Inventory levels remain stable, but processing rates have decreased slightly [2][14]. - Demand is cautious due to high prices affecting transaction volumes [2][14]. Precious Metals - Gold prices fell by 0.87% to $4,227.7 per ounce, with geopolitical factors influencing market dynamics [3][15]. - SPDR gold holdings increased, indicating a slight uptick in investor interest [3][15]. Rare Earths - Praseodymium-neodymium oxide prices increased by 2.79%, with expectations of higher demand due to supply constraints [4][34]. - Export conditions are improving, contributing to a positive outlook for the sector [4][34]. Antimony - Antimony prices decreased by 1.79%, but the long-term outlook remains optimistic due to potential export recovery [4][35]. Tin - Tin prices increased by 4.70%, driven by low inventory levels and supply disruptions [4][36].

Group 1: Copper Price Surge - Copper prices have reached historical highs due to global supply tightness, explosive demand, and interest rate cut expectations, with domestic spot copper prices exceeding 90,000 yuan/ton for the first time [1][4] - On December 3, LME three-month copper closed at $11,487.50 per ton, marking a significant daily increase of $342.50 [1] - The tight supply in the domestic market has led to a rise in the net value of the China Securities Index Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme ETF [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The processing fees for copper smelting have dropped to negative territory due to tight copper concentrate supply, causing smelting companies to struggle [2][8] - Fitch Solutions analysts predict a contraction in China's copper mine production by 2030 due to the closure of low-grade mines and delays in capacity expansion plans [2] - Global copper mine production is expected to decline by 0.12% in 2025, while demand continues to rise, particularly from sectors like solar energy and electric vehicles [5][6] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The ongoing supply constraints and high demand are expected to lead to a substantial shortage of cathode copper in Asia, potentially triggering further price increases [7] - The TC/RC (treatment and refining charges) have fallen to historical lows, with the current spot price at -$43 per ton, indicating significant pressure on smelting companies [10] - Analysts expect that the growth rate of China's copper mine production will gradually slow down over the next decade, with a focus on overseas investments, particularly in Africa [13]

A股市场有色金属股全线上涨，其中，锡业股份涨7%，合金投资、西部矿业涨超6%，盛屯矿业、威领 股份涨超5%，洛阳钼业、紫金矿业、华友钴业涨超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000960 | 锡业股份 | 1 | 7.05 | 452亿 | 99.99 | | 000633 | 员要投资 | 张 | 6.40 | 35.24 乙 | 106.55 | | 601168 | 西部矿业 | | 6.02 | 609亿 | 69.25 | | 600711 | XD盛屯矿 | 1 | 5.74 | 410亿 | 175.27 | | 002667 | 威领股份 | 1 | 5.03 | 41.90亿 | 51.70 | | 001280 | C中国钮 | 1 | 3.78 | 1459亿 | 294.41 | | 603993 | 洛阳钼业 | 1 | 3.69 | 3909亿 | 183.43 | | 601899 | 紫雯蛇,亦 | 1 | 3.37 | 8234 Z | 109. ...

从供给端看，一方面，缅甸佤邦锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低位。另一方面，刚果（金）地缘政治 冲突导致物流受阻和成本上升，锡矿进口量受限压力未减。冶炼环节虽开工率保持稳定，但原料短缺制 约产量增长，形成"矿紧冶稳"的行业格局。 新华财经上海12月4日电 受矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响，近期锡价频繁刷新阶段新高。12月4 日，上海市场锡期货价格持续走强，盘中最高报价每吨32.3万元，创2022年5月以来新高，今年以来累 计涨逾28%。 在锡价走强的推动下，锡矿四大龙头公司锡业股份、兴业银锡、华锡有色、盛屯矿业年内均收获不俗涨 幅，截至12月4日收盘，兴业银锡年内涨幅达213.25%，盛屯矿业年内涨幅达168.42%，华锡有色年内涨 幅达118.58%，锡业股份年内涨94.32%。 供需紧平衡支撑锡价中枢上移 多位分析师均表示，当前锡供应仍是市场关注的核心问题，缅甸佤邦锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低 位，同时印尼精炼锡10月出口量出现大幅下滑，预计未来两个月锡出口仍将受限，在半导体行业的稳定 需求面前，锡价走势或将继续受到供应问题的支撑。 产业链或迎新机遇 锡价上涨直接惠及产业链上游企业，A股中布局锡产业链的上市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for non-ferrous metals continues to rise, driven by factors such as a weakening dollar, supply concerns, and tight supply in LME registered warehouses, leading to record high copper prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Non-ferrous metal stocks in the A-share market saw significant gains, with Xiyang Co. rising by 6% and Western Mining increasing by over 5% [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 1.3%, expanding its year-to-date increase to 82% [1] - The ETF has experienced a net inflow of 325 million yuan over the past five days [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - LME copper prices reached $11,540 per ton, the highest level since 2013, while Shanghai copper futures surpassed 90,000 yuan per ton, marking a historical peak [1] - The ongoing tight supply of refined copper globally, particularly in non-American regions, is contributing to upward price pressure [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The non-ferrous metal ETF is the only one tracking the Zhongzheng Shenwan Non-ferrous Metal Index, with a current scale of 16.2 billion yuan, covering key sectors such as copper, aluminum, lithium, rare earths, and gold [1] - Key holdings in the ETF include leading companies in the non-ferrous sector such as Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and China Aluminum [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - With rising premiums for American copper and ongoing supply tightness in non-American regions, there is a bullish sentiment in the market [1] - The anticipated demand from the artificial intelligence sector is expected to provide a broad demand outlook for copper, suggesting potential upward price movement in the short term [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with over 4,400 stocks declining, while the non-ferrous metal sector led the gains [1] - As of December 4, the A-share indices showed a mixed performance, with over 3,200 stocks still in decline despite some indices turning positive [1][2] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index was at 3,886.05, up by 0.21% with a trading volume of 355.83 billion CNY [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.12% [4] Sector Performance - Non-ferrous metals, defense and military industry, and non-bank financial sectors showed significant gains, while consumer sectors like Hainan Free Trade Port and ice and snow tourism underperformed [4][22] - The non-ferrous metal sector continued to lead, with individual stocks like Electric Alloy rising over 11% and Alloy Investment hitting the daily limit [11][12] Concept Stocks Activity - Human-robot stocks were notably active, with companies like Junya Technology and Daying Electronics hitting the daily limit, and Huicheng Co. rising over 13% [7][9] - The commercial aerospace index also saw a rise, with Aerospace Universe increasing over 15% [13][14] Notable Stock Movements - Daoming Optical, which had previously seen five consecutive trading limits, faced a trading halt at 14.90 CNY, down 10.02% [18][19] - AI wearable devices sector saw a decline, with companies like Dongshan Precision dropping over 7% [22][23] Future Outlook - The Trump administration is reportedly considering an executive order on robotics technology, which may influence market sentiment in the robotics sector [9][10] - Huawu Co. is focusing on the commercial aerospace sector as a strategic development direction, although its current impact on overall performance is minimal [17]

渤海证券指出，供给端，受自由港印尼Grasberg矿和刚果（金）卡莫阿-卡库拉铜矿的事故影响，全球2026年铜矿供应预期 进一步收紧，将为铜价提供底部支撑，国内铜冶炼加工端的"反内卷"预期有望进一步改善行业竞争格局；需求端，铜是电 力电网、新能源汽车、AI服务器等领域重要原材料，在全球主要经济体进入降息周期背景下需求有望得到提振。 分析指出，锡价上涨主要由于矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响。供应端上，缅甸锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低位。 此外，新兴领域需求增长亦为锡价提供强劲支撑。从需求端来看，当前锡的下游需求主要由新兴领域拉动，半导体与消费 电子是锡焊料的传统基本盘，今年以来全球半导体行业景气度上升，直接拉动锡焊料需求。 降息预期提振大宗商品整体价格，二级市场有色金属矿业大涨，12月4日开盘，矿业ETF（159690）跳涨2.49%，锡业股份 涨超8%，洛阳钼业、西部矿业、紫金矿业、江西铜业等跟涨。 商品价格方面，12月3日，沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关，创历史新高。锡平均价达到30.97万元/吨，已连续5日处于 30万元上方。 宏观层面，根据CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示，美联储在12月议息会议降 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，12月4日，早盘有色板块震荡走强，铜方向领涨，洛阳钼业、藏格矿业涨超4%，均创历史 新高，盛屯矿业涨超8%，锡业股份、金诚信、西部矿业、江西铜业涨幅靠前。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant upward momentum, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, supply disruptions in key metals, and increased demand from the AI and clean energy sectors [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector opened actively, with notable gains: Tin Industry Co. rose over 8%, Jincheng Mining and Western Mining increased over 6%, and several others including Luoyang Molybdenum and Jiangxi Copper rose over 5% [1]. - Specific stock performances include: - Jincheng Mining at 70.19, up 6.95% with a year-to-date increase of 95.34% [2] - Western Mining at 25.76, up 6.89% with a year-to-date increase of 70.64% [2] - Luoyang Jiya at 18.64, up 5.79% with a year-to-date increase of 189.17% [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported a significant increase in copper delivery applications, reaching 56,875 tons, the largest increase since 2013 [3]. - LME metal futures closed higher, with copper rising by $342 to $11,488 per ton, marking a historical high, and tin increasing by 4.21% to $40,685 per ton [3]. - The semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors are the primary applications for tin, accounting for over 65% of consumption, which is driving demand due to a recovery in the semiconductor industry [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley forecasts that supply disruptions and global inventory mismatches will push copper prices to $12,500 per ton by mid-2026 [3]. - The copper market is experiencing "strategic locking" of COMEX inventories, which reduces market liquidity and exacerbates regional shortages, acting as a catalyst for price increases [4]. - The industrial metals sector is facing ongoing supply-demand imbalances, with global copper mine supply disruptions and increased demand from the clean energy transition [4]. Group 4: Precious and Minor Metals - The precious metals sector is benefiting from rising expectations of interest rate cuts, with silver prices reaching historical highs and ongoing supply shortages [5]. - The small metals sector, particularly tin, is gaining attention due to its critical role in the electronics supply chain, with recent price increases reflecting a recovery in demand from semiconductor and AI device sectors [5].