Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has received official approval for the mining construction project of the Inner Mongolia Velashto Mining Co., Ltd., which has a capacity of 2.4 million tons per year for lithium-tin polymetallic mining [1] Group 1 - The Velashto project has officially obtained the necessary approvals for its development [1] - Mining equipment is currently being delivered in batches to the project site [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the electric power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The lithium battery prices are rapidly linked, and there is significant long-term potential in space photovoltaic technology [1] - The energy storage sector is expected to see substantial growth, with a projected increase of over 60% in 2026 due to rising demand and supply constraints [3][7] - The electric vehicle market is anticipated to grow by 15% in 2026, supported by continued subsidies and a strong export contribution [26] Industry Trends - The electric power equipment sector experienced a decline of 2.18%, underperforming the market, with specific segments like wind power and new energy vehicles showing slight increases [3] - The report highlights the release of independent energy storage capacity compensation in Hubei Province at 165 RMB/kW·year, indicating government support for energy storage development [3] - The report notes that the global energy storage market is expected to grow significantly, with the U.S. projected to see a 60% increase in energy storage installations in 2025 [7] Market Prices and Changes - Lithium carbonate prices are reported at 112,500 RMB/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.9% [3] - The average price of polysilicon is reported at 53.00 RMB/kg, with no change, while N-type silicon wafers have seen a price increase of 20% [3] - The report indicates that the average bidding price for onshore wind power is 1,800 RMB/kW, reflecting a competitive market environment [3] Company Performance - Companies like Ningde Times and BYD are highlighted for their strong performance, with Ningde Times expected to see a net profit of 11-16 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 127%-230% [3] - Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium are noted for their strategic partnerships and production capacity expansions, positioning them well in the lithium supply chain [3] - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential for companies involved in energy storage and lithium battery production, recommending investments in leading firms such as Ningde Times and Yiwei Lithium Energy [3][6]

A-Share Market - As of December 30, 2025, over 2,800 A-share listed companies have received broker research, indicating that more than half of the market's listed companies have attracted broker attention. The most focused sectors include machinery, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, with over 290 companies in each sector receiving broker research [2] - On December 29, Ganfeng Lithium announced it received a notice from the Yichun Public Security Bureau regarding prosecution for suspected insider trading, with the case now transferred to the procuratorate for review and prosecution. The company had previously received an administrative penalty from the Jiangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau in July 2024 and has complied with disclosure obligations and paid fines [2] - Minmetals Development announced on December 29 that it received a notice from its actual controller, China Minmetals, regarding a planned major asset restructuring. The company intends to acquire equity stakes in Minmetals Mining and Luzhong Mining from its controlling shareholder through asset swaps, share issuance, and cash payments, while also raising matching funds [2] - On December 29, Huali Co., a leader in decorative composite materials, disclosed the termination of its intention to acquire a 51% stake in Beijing Zhongke Huilian Technology Co., due to failure to reach consensus on core transaction terms [3] - On December 22, Beijing Haizhi Technology Group submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time, having previously let its application expire in June 2025. The company reported net losses of 176 million, 266 million, 93.73 million, and 128 million yuan for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively, primarily due to high upfront investments in upgrading products and technology [3] - On December 29, SMIC announced plans to issue 547 million shares to acquire a 49% stake in SMIC North from five shareholders, with a transaction price of 40.601 billion yuan [3] - As of December 28, 19 A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong capital market this year, a significant increase of 533% compared to 3 companies in 2024, accounting for over 50% of the total fundraising for new shares in Hong Kong [4] Financial Management - On January 5, 2026, new local government special bonds and replacement bonds will be issued, with Shandong Province planning to issue its first batch of 24.609 billion yuan in bonds, including 24.609 billion yuan for replacing existing hidden debts [5] - As of September 2025, China's banking sector had foreign financial assets of 1.8114 trillion USD and foreign liabilities of 1.4399 trillion USD, resulting in a net foreign asset of 371.6 billion USD, with net liabilities in RMB of 224.9 billion USD and net assets in foreign currency of 596.5 billion USD [5] - As of the end of November, there were 165 public fund management institutions in China, with a total net asset value of public funds amounting to 37.02 trillion yuan, a slight increase of approximately 60 billion yuan from the end of October [5] - As of December 28, the issuance of FOF (fund of funds) products surged to 83.828 billion units, marking a historical high, with both the number and scale of products reaching new records as more investors shift their funds into these products [5]

来源：文轩观察 证券违法行为的成本已大幅提高，任何试图以行政处罚作为"终点"的侥幸心理都将破灭。 一纸《移送起诉告知书》的送达，让锂矿龙头赣锋锂业四年前的内幕交易旧案波澜再起。 2025年12月29日，赣锋锂业公告称，因涉嫌单位内幕交易罪，该案已由宜春市公安局移送检察机关审查 起诉。 源于2020年的行政处罚如今升级为刑案，不仅使公司面临严峻的法律风险，更将其自身发展拖入了资本 运作受阻与战略转型承压的多重困境之中。 从行政处罚到刑事追责 一纸《移送起诉告知书》让赣锋锂业内幕交易案性质发生了根本性转变。 2025年12月29日，赣锋锂业公告收到宜春市公安局告知书，因涉嫌单位内幕交易罪，案件已被移送检察 机关审查起诉。 案件由2024年7月江西证监局行政处罚进入了刑事司法程序，涉嫌触犯《刑法》，可能面临更严厉的法 律后果。 2024年7月，江西证监局已对该案作出定性。经查明，在2020年江特电机筹划控股权变更的内幕信息敏 感期内，由董事长李良彬决策安排、时任董事会秘书欧阳明具体操作，赣锋锂业公司证券账户买卖 了"*ST江特"股票，最终获利110.53万元。 监管部门认定该行为构成内幕交易，并依法作出处罚：没收赣 ...

证券代码：002460 证券简称：赣锋锂业 编号：临2026-001 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及其董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，无 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 1、江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司"或"赣锋 锂业") 于 2025 年 3 月 28 日召开的第五届董事会第九十一次会议、 于 2025 年 6 月 25 日召开 2024 年年度股东会审议通过了《关于 2025 年度公司及子公司对外担保额度预计的议案》，为满足公司及子公司 的发展和生产经营需要，同意公司向子公司提供连带责任保证担保额 度合计人民币 2,521,000 万元，同意子公司向子公司提供连带责任保 证担保额度人民币 1,114,000 万元，两项合计担保总额人民币 3,635,000 万元（包括新增担保和原有担保的展期或续保）。其中公 司及子公司向资产负债率 70%以上的子公司提供总额不超过人民币 1,501,000 万元，向资产负债率 70%以下的子公司（含新设立暂无财 务数据的子公司）提供总额不超过人民币 2,134,000 万元。本次 ...

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery narrative is moving closer to industrialization, with multiple companies making significant moves in technology collaboration, equity binding, and mergers to enhance the supply chain and production capacity [2][7]. Group 1: Company Developments - Xinjie Energy has launched its first batch of products from a 10GWh solid-state lithium metal battery project, emphasizing the importance of solid electrolyte film formation and interface integration for applications in eVTOL, robotics, and consumer electronics [2]. - Tiantian Technology has deepened its collaboration with Xinjie Energy by investing 300 million yuan for a 5.7692% stake, transitioning from a simple order relationship to a more integrated equity partnership [3]. - Haimeixing's investment fund has also increased its stake in Xinjie Energy, now holding 0.7634% equity, while the company claims to have streamlined the entire production process for lithium metal solid-state batteries [4]. - Jiyuan Technology has strategically invested 5 million yuan in Shenzhen Lithium Silicon New Materials, which focuses on ultra-thin lithium metal anode materials, positioning itself within the supply chain of Xinjie Energy [5]. - Shengxin Lithium Energy has established a new solid-state battery materials technology company with a registered capital of 20 million yuan, expanding its operations into new materials research and battery manufacturing [6]. - Ganfeng Lithium's solid-state battery platform is targeting high-value applications and overseas markets, collaborating with Zhejiang Fengli New Energy to develop technologies for drones and robotics [7]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The recent activities of these companies indicate a shift from conceptual discussions about solid-state batteries to tangible actions involving capacity, equipment, materials, and capital allocation [7][8]. - The supply chain is increasingly focusing on new nodes such as lithium metal anodes, solid electrolyte film formation, and ultra-thin lithium metal materials, marking a transition from laboratory research to industrial production [7].

Group 1: Corporate Leadership Changes - Zong Fuli has resumed her role as the legal representative and manager of Hongsheng Group as of December 26, 2025, replacing Zheng Qundi [2][13] Group 2: Market Performance and Trends - On the first trading day of 2026, Chinese assets, including popular Chinese concept stocks and major Hong Kong indices, experienced significant gains, with the Chinese yuan also strengthening [3][14] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 4.38% on January 3, 2026, with notable individual stock performances including Baidu up 15.03% and Alibaba up 6.24% [19] - The Hong Kong stock market opened strongly in 2026, with the Hang Seng Index and Technology Index increasing by 2.76% and 4%, respectively, driven by gains in technology stocks and a focus on artificial intelligence and chips [20] Group 3: Industry Developments - China Satellite, a leader in the commercial aerospace sector, saw its stock price rise continuously since December 2025, with a significant revenue increase of approximately 85% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a turnaround to profitability [5][16] - The successful IPO of Wallen Technology, a leading domestic GPU company, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marked it as the first domestic GPU stock, with its share price soaring over 100% on the first day of trading [22] Group 4: Regulatory and Compliance Issues - Ganfeng Lithium, a global lithium industry giant, is under criminal investigation for insider trading related to its acquisition of Jiangte Motor, which has impacted its IPO process for its subsidiary Ganfeng Lithium Battery [6][17]

Group 1 - BlackRock, Inc. increased its stake in Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. by 198,400 shares at a price of HKD 55.4049 per share, totaling approximately HKD 10.9923 million [1] - After the increase, BlackRock's total shareholding in Ganfeng Lithium is approximately 28,904,500 shares, representing a holding percentage of 6.01% [1]

Group 1 - BlackRock, Inc. increased its stake in Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. by 198,400 shares at a price of HKD 55.4049 per share, totaling approximately HKD 10.9923 million [1] - After the increase, BlackRock's total shareholding in Ganfeng Lithium is approximately 28.9045 million shares, representing a stake of 6.01% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium industry is currently experiencing a downturn due to oversupply, leading to a significant drop in lithium prices, but a potential recovery is anticipated by 2025 driven by strong demand in energy storage and electric vehicles [1][6][12] Industry Status: Low Point with Signs of Recovery - The lithium industry is in a "winter period" from 2023 to mid-2025, with an overall operating rate around 50% and many high-cost projects either ceasing operations or enduring losses [1] - Lithium prices have dropped over 89% during this downturn, with some projects facing existential threats [1] - As of November 20, 2025, lithium carbonate weekly output reached 22,000 tons, a 3% month-on-month increase, indicating a recovery in supply and demand [3] - Inventory levels for lithium carbonate are at historical lows, with a total of 118,000 tons, down 2,052 tons from the previous period [3] 2025 Market Dynamics - The lithium carbonate market is expected to show a volatile pattern in 2025, with prices initially declining from 73,900 yuan/ton to 59,000 yuan/ton, a drop of 20.11%, before rebounding to a peak of 126,800 yuan/ton in the second half of the year [4] - The demand for lithium carbonate is projected to reach 1.45 million tons in 2025, driven by a 65% year-on-year increase in domestic lithium iron phosphate production [6][8] 2026 Supply and Demand Outlook - The lithium industry is expected to transition from oversupply to a balanced state due to unexpected growth in energy storage demand and the continued rollout of new electric vehicle applications [6] - Energy storage demand is projected to reach 345,000 tons of lithium carbonate in 2025, with expectations of exceeding 500,000 tons in 2026, marking a tenfold increase from 2021 [6] - The global lithium supply is estimated at 1.57 million tons LCE in 2025, with further increases expected in 2026, leading to a narrowing of the oversupply to approximately 30,000 tons [8][10] Price Support Factors - Key factors supporting lithium prices include historically low inventory levels, strong growth in demand from energy storage and electric vehicles, and a willingness among mining companies to maintain price levels [11] - The lowest lithium price in 2025 was 58,000 yuan/ton, which has already impacted high-cost projects, but with improved processing profits, production enthusiasm is expected to rise [11] - Predictions indicate that lithium prices in 2026 will range between 70,000 and 130,000 yuan/ton, with a gradual upward shift in price levels as the industry moves towards a tighter balance [11] Industry Cycle and Valuation - The lithium industry is entering a recovery phase after a prolonged downturn, with historical comparisons suggesting that recovery to profitability may take time [12] - Current valuations for lithium-related companies are at historical lows, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery as profit expectations improve [12] - Leading companies such as Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium are expected to benefit the most from any price rebounds, with current price-to-book ratios significantly below historical averages [12]