Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to falling titanium dioxide prices and low industry demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.87% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring items was 1.618 billion yuan, down 35.97% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 6.109 billion yuan, a decline of 13.73% year-on-year and 2.76% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The net profit for Q3 was 272 million yuan, a significant drop of 68.12% year-on-year [1]. Industry Analysis - The decline in Longbai Group's performance is attributed to a decrease in titanium dioxide prices, with the average price for the first three quarters of 2025 at 14,120.02 yuan/ton, down 11.01% year-on-year [2]. - Q3 2025 saw an average price of 13,386.09 yuan/ton, reflecting a 13.10% year-on-year decrease and an 8.26% quarter-on-quarter decline [2]. - National production of titanium dioxide for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.3651 million tons, down 3.48% year-on-year [2]. - Q3 production was 1.06 million tons, a decrease of 9.61% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin in Q3 was -1,317.96 yuan/ton, a decline of 181.51% year-on-year [2]. Shareholder Returns - The board proposed a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 237.08 million yuan, to enhance shareholder returns [3]. Strategic Moves - Longbai Group's subsidiary, Bailian Europe, plans to acquire assets related to titanium dioxide from Venator UK for 69.9 million USD, indicating a strategic move towards global expansion [3][4]. - The acquisition includes land, buildings, machinery, and inventory, with an estimated tax liability of about 14.19 million USD [3]. Earnings Forecast - Due to the downturn in the titanium dioxide industry, the company's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 26.504 billion, 29.329 billion, and 29.609 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.946 billion, 2.609 billion, and 3.317 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 1.09, and 1.39 yuan per share [5]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating a potential recovery in profitability due to capacity expansion and overseas acquisitions [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to a significant drop in titanium dioxide profitability and reduced titanium concentrate production caused by mine maintenance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 19.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.9% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.674 billion yuan, corresponding to earnings per share of 0.70 yuan, down 34.7% year-on-year, which was below expectations [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 6.11 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.7% year-on-year and 2.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was 1.188 billion yuan, down 35% year-on-year and 23% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 fell to 19.4%, a decline of 6.4 and 5.1 percentage points year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, respectively, due to falling titanium dioxide prices and rising sulfuric acid costs [1] Development Trends - The company announced plans to acquire Venator's UK titanium dioxide assets, which includes a 150,000 tons/year chlorination titanium dioxide plant for a transaction price of $69.9 million, aiming to enhance its global industrial layout [2] - The establishment of a subsidiary in Malaysia is also planned, which is expected to further promote international development and increase global market share [2] - New titanium concentrate production capacity is anticipated to drive profit growth, with an expected capacity of 2.48 million tons by 2026 [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in titanium dioxide profitability, the company has lowered its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 23% and 15% to 0.91 and 1.50 yuan per share, respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 21.0 and 12.7 times for 2025 and 2026, respectively [3] - The target price is maintained at 23 yuan, indicating a 20% upside potential, with P/E ratios of 25 and 15 times for 2025 and 2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, indicating ongoing challenges in the titanium dioxide market and overall industry performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Longbai Group achieved revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 289 million yuan, down 66% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 was 19.4%, a decrease of 6 percentage points year-on-year and 5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 19.436 billion yuan, down 7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.674 billion yuan, down 35% year-on-year [1]. Market Conditions - The titanium dioxide market remains at a low point, with prices for various titanium products showing significant declines: titanium concentrate at 1,707 yuan/ton (-23% YoY), sulfuric acid titanium dioxide at 13,725 yuan/ton (-12% YoY), and chlorinated titanium dioxide at 17,492 yuan/ton (-11% YoY) [2]. - The company faced pressure from increased supply of titanium iron ore and weak downstream demand, which negatively impacted the price differentials in the industry [2]. Export Dynamics - In Q3, titanium ore and concentrate imports were nearly 1.2 million tons, down 12% year-on-year, while titanium dioxide exports were approximately 430,000 tons, down 8% year-on-year but up 3% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The temporary cancellation of anti-dumping duties by India is expected to provide short-term benefits for domestic exports, with increased activity anticipated as overseas Christmas stocking begins [2]. Strategic Developments - Longbai Group's subsidiary, Bailian Europe, plans to acquire assets related to titanium dioxide from Venator UK for $69.9 million, which includes land, equipment, and intellectual property [3]. - This acquisition aims to enhance production efficiency, reduce costs, and expand the company's global footprint in the titanium dioxide market [3]. Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 2.03 billion, 3.40 billion, and 3.89 billion yuan, respectively, maintaining a "recommended" investment rating [4].

Market Overview - The chemical raw materials sector experienced a decline of 1.15% on October 28, with Shilong Industrial leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the chemical raw materials sector included: - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. (603067) with a closing price of 19.82, up 6.90% [1] - Shanshui Technology (301190) at 23.85, up 4.93% [1] - Boyuan Chemical (000683) at 6.50, up 4.84% [1] - Major decliners included: - Shilong Industrial (002748) at 15.50, down 8.39% [2] - Longbai Group (002601) at 18.20, down 4.91% [2] - Chlor-alkali Chemical (600618) at 10.58, down 4.60% [2] Capital Flow - The chemical raw materials sector saw a net outflow of 718 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 630 million yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors remained active [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. (603067) with a net inflow of 57.74 million yuan from main funds [3] - Boyuan Chemical (000683) with a net inflow of 46.66 million yuan from main funds [3] - Hongxing Development (600367) with a net inflow of 16.16 million yuan from main funds [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Longbai Group's stock price has dropped by 5.02%, currently trading at 18.18 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 43.383 billion yuan [1] - Longbai Group, established on August 20, 1998, and listed on July 15, 2011, is primarily engaged in the production and sales of titanium dioxide, zirconium products, and aluminum sulfate [1] - The main revenue composition of Longbai Group includes titanium dioxide (64.99%), sponge titanium (11.17%), iron-based products (8.77%), and other segments [1] Group 2 - According to data, Guotai Fund holds a significant position in Longbai Group through its fund, Guotai CSI Sub-Segmented Chemical Industry Theme ETF (516220), which reduced its holdings by 2,700 shares in the second quarter [2] - The current holding of Guotai CSI Sub-Segmented Chemical Industry Theme ETF is 198,100 shares, accounting for 2.75% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding [2] - The fund has a total scale of 1.17 billion yuan and has achieved a return of 22.97% this year, ranking 2,595 out of 4,218 in its category [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 19.45 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 6.9% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.67 billion RMB, down 35% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the titanium dioxide sector, showing resilience in profitability during the industry's downturn [1][4]. - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion and has announced a dividend of 0.1 RMB per share for Q3, reflecting management's confidence in the company's future [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 290 million RMB, down 66% year-on-year and 59% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to rising raw material costs [1][2]. - The average price of titanium dioxide in Q3 2025 was 13,230 RMB/ton for the sulfate method and 17,300 RMB/ton for the chloride method, showing a year-on-year decline of 13% and 6% respectively [2][3]. - The company's comprehensive gross margin decreased by 4.7 percentage points year-on-year to 22.3% for the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. Market Outlook - The titanium dioxide market remains weak, but the company is expected to benefit from its integrated cost advantages and ongoing development of its mining projects [3][4]. - The company plans to acquire overseas titanium dioxide assets to mitigate the impact of anti-dumping measures from the EU, enhancing its international presence [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 2.1 billion RMB, 3.0 billion RMB, and 3.5 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][9]. - The target price is set at 21.59 RMB, based on a 17x PE for 2026, reflecting the company's strong profitability resilience [4][11].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In September, industrial enterprises' profits improved year-on-year to 21.6%, up from 20.4% in August, driven by a low base effect and strong export performance [3] - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises also increased to 3.1% in September from 2.3% in August, indicating a positive trend in cash flow due to anti-involution policies [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Market Analysis - The bond market has shown signs of recovery in October, influenced by trade tensions and a loose liquidity environment, with expectations for a better fourth quarter compared to the third [5] - The market anticipates a controlled impact from new redemption regulations, with a focus on short to medium-term credit bonds as a primary investment strategy [5] Group 3: Oil and Gas Sector - Oil prices have entered a downward trend due to OPEC+ increasing production targets and seasonal demand decline, with Brent crude expected to average $68 in 2025 and $62 in 2026 [9] - Despite short-term volatility from geopolitical tensions, the long-term outlook suggests limited impact from sanctions on oil prices, with high-dividend energy companies presenting investment opportunities [9] Group 4: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market is experiencing a decline in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes, attributed to high base effects and seasonal factors [8] - The construction sector shows mixed signals, with some recovery in cement supply and demand, while asphalt production rates have decreased [8] Group 5: Key Company Performances - Beike-W (2423 HK) is projected to benefit from a gradual market recovery, with a target price of HKD 65.64 based on a 26x PE ratio for 2026 [11] - Zhiou Technology (301376 CH) reported a revenue of CNY 60.8 billion for the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, and is expected to improve profitability as tariff risks ease [12] - Tianhai Defense (300008 CH) showed significant growth in Q3, with a revenue increase of 57.27% year-on-year, driven by strong orders in shipbuilding and defense sectors [14] - Kuka Home (603816 CH) reported steady revenue growth of 6.5% in Q3, with a focus on global expansion and brand strength [15] - Weixing New Materials (002372 CH) experienced a revenue decline of 9.83% in Q3, but is expected to see margin recovery as product prices stabilize [16] Group 6: Consumer Goods and Services - Salted Fish (002847 CH) reported a revenue increase of 14.7% year-on-year, with a focus on optimizing product categories and channels to enhance profitability [27] - Petty Co. (300673 CH) continues to see strong growth in its domestic brand, with a focus on single product strategies despite challenges in overseas markets [18] - Jiangsu Bank (601009 CH) reported a steady growth in net profit and revenue, driven by stable interest income and effective cost management [32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Longbai Group is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][19] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in net profit in Q3 2025, with revenue of 6.1 billion yuan (down 13.7% year-on-year, down 2.7% quarter-on-quarter) and a net profit of 290 million yuan (down 65.7% year-on-year, down 58.6% quarter-on-quarter) [1][10] - The decline in revenue and net profit is primarily attributed to the drop in titanium dioxide prices and weak demand in the domestic market [1][10] - The report anticipates that the industry concentration will further increase due to the ongoing supply-demand imbalance in the titanium dioxide market [2][14] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the gross margin was 19.4% (down 6.4 percentage points year-on-year, down 5.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter), and the net profit margin was 4.7% (down 7.2 percentage points year-on-year, down 6.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter) [1][10] - The company’s operating expenses ratio was 12.1% (up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, up 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter) [1][10] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been revised down to 2.179 billion, 2.601 billion, and 2.920 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91, 1.09, and 1.22 yuan [4][19] Market Conditions - The average price of rutile titanium dioxide in Q3 2025 was approximately 12,997 yuan/ton (down 14% year-on-year, down 9% quarter-on-quarter) [2][14] - The total production of titanium dioxide in China for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.4 million tons, an increase of about 570,000 tons (20% year-on-year) [2][14] - The report notes that the domestic real estate market is under pressure, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 15% in housing completion area as of September 2025 [2][14] Future Outlook - The company is actively advancing projects such as the joint development of the Hongge North Mine and the Xujia Mine, which are expected to increase titanium concentrate capacity to 2.48 million tons and iron concentrate capacity to 7.6 million tons [3][17] - Despite the current challenges, the company maintains a strong position in the titanium dioxide industry, and the report suggests that the stock remains a favorable investment option [4][19]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Longbai Group, has announced its third-quarter financial report for 2025, which includes a profit distribution plan and the renewal of its accounting firm. Financial Data - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1,674,452,840.92 yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with the parent company achieving a net profit of 1,607,370,852.89 yuan [46][47]. - As of September 30, 2025, the consolidated distributable profits amounted to 5,572,362,699.58 yuan, while the parent company's distributable profits were 442,759,883.68 yuan [46][47]. Profit Distribution Plan - The board proposed a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 237,080,075.60 yuan (including tax) to be distributed to shareholders [47][48]. - The profit distribution plan is subject to approval at the upcoming second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025 [49][50]. Board and Supervisory Committee Meetings - The eighth board of directors and the supervisory committee held their 23rd meetings on October 27, 2025, where they approved the third-quarter report and the profit distribution plan [11][32]. - All resolutions were passed unanimously, with no votes against or abstentions [13][36]. Renewal of Accounting Firm - The company has proposed to renew its contract with Lixin Certified Public Accountants for the 2025 fiscal year, with a total fee of 2 million yuan, which includes 1.6 million yuan for financial statement audits and 400,000 yuan for internal control audits [53][54]. - This renewal is also subject to approval at the upcoming extraordinary general meeting of shareholders [61]. Amendments to Company Governance - The company plans to amend its articles of association to eliminate the supervisory board, transferring its responsibilities to the audit committee of the board [62][63]. - The amendments will also include updates to various governance documents to enhance operational standards and compliance with regulatory requirements [64]. Capital Increase for Subsidiary - The company intends to increase the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Gansu Baililian Chemical Co., Ltd., by 400 million yuan to enhance its financial strength and operational capacity [68]. - This capital increase will be funded through self-owned and self-raised funds, including 130 million yuan from a new policy financial tool provided by the Export-Import Bank of China [68].

Group 1 - The company is planning a capital increase to enhance the financial strength and operational capabilities of its subsidiaries, which aligns with its development strategy and benefits all shareholders [3] - The funding for the capital increase will come from the company's own funds and self-raised funds, and it will not change the scope of the company's consolidated financial statements or adversely affect its financial and operational status [3] - The company is not listed as a dishonest executor [2] Group 2 - The company will hold its second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025 on November 12, 2025, with both on-site and online voting options available [9][10] - The meeting will include proposals that have been approved by the company's board and supervisory board, with specific voting requirements for different proposals [16] - Shareholders must register to attend the meeting, with specific documentation required for both individual and corporate shareholders [18][20] Group 3 - The company has announced the release and extension of share pledges by shareholder Tan Ruiqing, with details on the status of pledged shares provided [37][38] - The pledged shares do not carry obligations related to major asset restructuring or performance compensation [38]