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动储需求旺盛,看好磷化工产业链发展前景 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-12-10 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the expected growth in demand for phosphate rock driven by emerging sectors, while traditional demand is projected to decline. The overall supply and demand dynamics for phosphate rock and iron phosphate are analyzed for the years 2024 to 2026 [1][2][3]. Demand Side - Phosphate rock demand in China is projected to be 11,320 million tons in 2024, with expectations of 11,802 million tons and 12,414 million tons in 2025 and 2026 respectively. The actual increase in demand is estimated at 482 million tons and 612 million tons [1]. - Emerging sectors, particularly energy storage and power batteries, are expected to drive demand for phosphate rock, with an increase of 393 million tons and 431 million tons in 2025 and 2026 respectively. Iron phosphate is anticipated to contribute significantly to this demand [1]. - Traditional demand for phosphate fertilizers is expected to weaken due to rising raw material prices, with a forecasted decline in phosphate fertilizer production in early 2025 [1]. - Iron phosphate demand is projected to reach 214 million tons in 2024, increasing to 325 million tons and 449 million tons in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with significant contributions from energy storage [1]. Supply Side - Phosphate rock production capacity in China is expected to be 19,447 million tons in 2024, with projections of 21,732 million tons and 24,762 million tons for 2025 and 2026. Effective capacity and production are also expected to increase correspondingly [2]. - The supply of phosphate rock is significantly impacted by environmental safety incidents, leading to a gap between planned and actual production capacity [2]. - The iron phosphate industry is characterized by long-term overcapacity, with effective capacity and production expected to rise from 426 million tons and 205 million tons in 2024 to 499 million tons and 540 million tons in 2025 and 2026, respectively [2]. Price Outlook - The operating rate for phosphate rock capacity is projected to be 58% in 2024, with expectations of 57% and 54% in 2025 and 2026. High-grade phosphate rock prices are expected to remain elevated, while low-grade prices may face slight pressure [3]. - The iron phosphate market is anticipated to experience tight supply conditions, with operating rates expected to improve significantly in 2025 and 2026, indicating a potential supply gap [3]. Recommended Companies - Companies with phosphate iron and phosphate rock layouts are recommended, including Tianci Materials, Hunan YN, and Zhongwei Co. [4]. - Integrated chemical companies with phosphate iron production and phosphate rock resources are expected to benefit from rising phosphate iron prices, with suggested companies including Chuanheng Co., Xingfa Group, and others [4].
龙佰集团股份有限公司2025年第三季度权益分派实施公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-09 20:20
证券代码:002601 证券简称:龙佰集团 公告编号:2025-080 龙佰集团股份有限公司 2025年第三季度权益分派实施公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 特别提示: 1、龙佰集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")2025年第三季度权益分派方案已获2025年11月12日召开 的2025年第二次临时股东大会审议通过,以2025年9月30日公司总股本2,386,293,256股扣除公司回购专 用证券账户持有的公司股份13,447,300股及拟回购注销的限制性股票2,045,200股后的股本,即 2,370,800,756股为基数,拟向全体股东每10股派发人民币现金股利1.00元(含税),共计派发现金红利 额237,080,075.60元(含税)。在利润分配方案实施前,公司总股本如发生变动,将按照分配比例不变 的原则对分配总额进行调整。 2、自权益分派方案披露至权益分派业务申请期间,公司实施了回购注销限制性股票2,045,200股,导致 公司总股本发生变化,本次回购注销完成后公司股份总数由原来的2,386,293,256股减至2,384,248, ...
龙佰集团(002601) - 2025年第三季度权益分派实施公告
2025-12-09 11:30
证券代码:002601 证券简称:龙佰集团 公告编号:2025-080 龙佰集团股份有限公司 2025年第三季度权益分派实施公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股东大会审议通过利润分配方案的情况 1、公司于 2025 年 11 月 12 日召开的 2025 年第二次临时股东大会审议通过 的 2025 年第三季度利润分配预案为:以 2025 年 9 月 30 日公司总股本 1 2,386,293,256 股扣除公司回购专用证券账户持有的公司股份 13,447,300 股及拟 回购注销的限制性股票 2,045,200 股后的股本,即 2,370,800,756 股为基数,拟向 全体股东每 10 股派发人民币现金股利 1.00 元(含税),共计派发现金红利额 237,080,075.60 元(含税)。 本次利润分配预案实施时,如在股权登记日公司的股份总数较 2025 年 9 月 30 日公司总股本发生变化,以未来实施分配方案时股权登记日的总股本为基数 (回购专户中的股份及拟回购注销的限制性股票 2,045,200 股不参与分配),按 照分配比例 ...
龙佰集团:2025年第三季度拟派发现金红利2.37亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 11:21
龙佰集团公告称,2025年第三季度权益分派方案已获股东大会通过,将以2370800756股为基数,向全体 股东每10股派1元现金(含税),共派发现金红利2.37亿元。自方案披露至实施,公司回购注销限制性 股票2045200股,总股本减至2384248056股。本次权益分派股权登记日为12月16日,除权除息日为12月 17日。 ...
化学原料板块12月8日跌0.84%,新金路领跌,主力资金净流出3.67亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-12-08 09:04
证券之星消息,12月8日化学原料板块较上一交易日下跌0.84%,新金路领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3924.08,上涨0.54%。深证成指报收于13329.99,上涨1.39%。化学原料板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000830 鲁西化工 | | - 1999.29万 | 4.49% | 1712.83万 | 3.84% | -3712.12万 | -8.33% | | 000545 金浦钛业 | | 1692.77万 | 10.85% | -1164.57万 | -7.46% | -528.20万 | -3.38% | | 601678 滨化股份 | | 1014.14万 | 5.00% | 1695.50万 | 8.36% | -2709.64万 | -13.36% | | 600328 中盐化工 | | 1003.42万 | 5.32% | 505.35万 | 2.68% ...
化工涨价品种再梳理
2025-12-08 00:41
化工涨价品种再梳理 20251207 摘要 MDI 市场:受检修和陶氏、亨斯曼、万华提价影响,供给端支撑强劲, 国内厂商四季度有检修计划,短期内 MDI 整体景气状况预计明显回暖, 价格上涨意愿强烈。 煤化工产品:锦瑞祥安累计上涨 1,300 元/吨,丁腈醇反弹 700-1,200 元/吨,醋酸反弹 174 元/吨,草酸上涨 430 元/吨,尿素反弹 120 元/吨, 受出口配额和储备需求支撑,相关企业具备投资机会。 万华化学:2025-2026 年多个项目投产,显著提升市场供应能力,新 能源业务积极布局磷酸铁锂正极材料,预计 2026 年电池业务大概率实 现盈利。 农药行业:库存压缩至极限位置,海外库存维持在 30-45 天,预计年底 前后将有更多订单补充春耕所需,带动价格积极变化,关注扬农、润丰 等龙头标的。 钛白粉市场:全球供给收紧,需求稳步增长,预计未来价格缓慢上行, 龙佰集团作为全球最大生产商,通过海内外扩张和产业链配套,成本竞 争力显著,利润有望攀升。 Q&A 近期化工品价格上涨的原因主要包括行业协同、工序变化、海外装置不可抗力 以及检修等因素。具体来看,MDI(甲苯二异氰酸酯)方面,亨斯曼荷兰的 ...
龙佰集团(002601.SZ):高压实磷酸铁锂产品暂未开始量产及向下游客户供货
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-05 10:02
格隆汇12月5日丨龙佰集团(002601.SZ)在互动平台表示,目前公司的高压实磷酸铁锂产品暂未开始量产 及向下游客户供货。 ...
龙佰集团:公司的高压实磷酸铁锂产品暂未开始量产及向下游客户供货
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-05 10:02
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 龙佰集团(002601.SZ)12月5日在投资者互动平台表示,目前公司的高压实磷酸铁锂产品暂未开始量产 及向下游客户供货。 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:半年前曾经向董秘求证公司高压实磷酸铁锂产品正在 下游验证阶段,现在已到年底,请教公司的高压实磷酸铁锂产品现在是否已经开始量产并向下游客户供 货? ...
锂电材料深度:产业望迎来大周期拐点
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-04 05:30
联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] 锂电材料深度:产业望迎来大周期拐点 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 历经几年锂电下游需求的快速增长,上游材料端有望迎来大周期拐点。我们看好布局磷矿石、 工业级磷酸一铵、磷酸铁和(或)磷酸铁锂的企业云天化、兴发集团、川恒股份、云图控股、 万华化学、龙佰集团;PVDF 行业巨化股份、东岳集团;DMC 行业华鲁恒升;VC、六氟磷酸 锂、LiSFI 行业天赐材料、新宙邦等。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马太 邬博华 曹海花 SAC:S0490516100002 SAC:S0490514040001 SAC:S0490522030001 SFC:BUT911 SFC:BQK482 叶之楠 王明 王呈 SAC:S0490520090003 SAC:S0490521030001 SAC:S0490525040004 SFC:BVA881 王晓振 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 33 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table ...
【立方早知道】“阿里系”减持两家A股公司/理想汽车发布首款AI智能眼镜/摩尔线程明日上市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 02:37
Group 1 - Alibaba's major shareholders, including Hangzhou Haoyue, are reducing their stakes in YTO Express and Meikailong, with Meikailong's major shareholder planning to sell up to 130,641,979 shares, representing 3% of the total share capital, valued at approximately 345 million yuan [1] - YTO Express announced that Hangzhou Haoyue transferred 39.925 million shares between November 10 and November 27, 2025, accounting for 1.16% of the total share capital [1] Group 2 - Guizhou Bailing's actual controller, Jiang Wei, is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for insider trading and violations related to stock transfers, although this investigation does not affect the company's operations [3] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the need to address "involution" in the financial industry and improve the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, advocating for better coordination between monetary policy and fiscal and industrial policies [4] Group 4 - FTSE Russell announced changes to the FTSE China A50 Index, including the addition of Luoyang Molybdenum and Sungrow Power, while removing Jiangsu Bank and SF Express, effective December 22, 2025 [6] Group 5 - In November, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China decreased by 7% year-on-year, totaling 2.263 million units, while the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 7% year-on-year, reaching 1.354 million units [7] Group 6 - The London Metal Exchange reported a significant increase in copper delivery applications, with a rise of 50,575 tons, marking the largest increase since 2013 [8] Group 7 - Over 20 cities in China have suspended or adjusted their vehicle replacement subsidy programs as the fourth batch of 69 billion yuan in national subsidies is being consumed [9] Group 8 - Li Auto launched its first AI smart glasses, Livis, priced at 1,999 yuan, with a government subsidy reducing the price to 1,699 yuan for orders placed by December 31 [10] Group 9 - Anyang Iron and Steel's subsidiary plans to apply for a trust loan of up to 600 million yuan, while Longbai Group has received approval for a 4 billion yuan technology innovation bond [12] Group 10 - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has suspended trading of Daxian Education due to serious exaggeration of bank balances in its financial statements [13] Group 11 - Moore Threads is set to be listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board on December 5, 2025 [14] Group 12 - High Energy Environment plans to apply for an initial public offering of H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy [15] - Wanlong Optoelectronics is planning a major asset restructuring involving the acquisition of control over Zhejiang Zhongkong Information Industry Co., with trading suspended [16] Group 13 - Baiwei Storage reported a reduction of 4.646 million shares by the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund II, decreasing its stake from 7.9033% to 6.9078% [17]