Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][4]. Core Viewpoints - Longbai Group is a global leader in titanium dioxide (TiO2) production, with a total capacity of 850,000 tons/year for sulfate process and 660,000 tons/year for chloride process, benefiting from strong resource and technological advantages [1][10]. - The domestic supply of titanium dioxide is expected to tighten, while overseas capacity is being reduced, leading to a favorable industry outlook [1][67]. - The company is expanding its sponge titanium production capacity, which is currently 80,000 tons/year, and is focusing on high-end applications in aerospace and defense [1][10]. - The company is strategically positioned in the new energy materials sector, with existing capacities of 100,000 tons for iron phosphate, 50,000 tons for lithium iron phosphate, and 25,000 tons for graphite anodes, although it plans to pause new investments in this area due to industry overcapacity [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - Longbai Group is a diversified enterprise focusing on new material research and manufacturing, with a history of significant mergers and acquisitions that have bolstered its market position [10][19]. - The company has a young and professional management team, enhancing its innovative capabilities [19]. 2. Resource Supply Advantage - The company has secured mining rights for several iron mines, ensuring a resource reserve of over 300 million tons, which can sustain operations for approximately 20 years [1][45]. - The global supply of titanium ore is limited, with China being a major contributor to new resource increments [37][39]. 3. Titanium Dioxide Leadership - Longbai Group holds the largest production capacity for sulfate titanium dioxide globally and ranks first in China for chloride titanium dioxide production [1][62]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the titanium dioxide market as the real estate sector stabilizes [53][67]. 4. Sponge Titanium Production - The company is a pioneer in high-end sponge titanium production, with plans for further expansion and potential listing of its subsidiary to enhance market competitiveness [1][10]. 5. New Energy Materials - Longbai Group has established a foothold in the new energy materials market but will delay further capacity investments due to current industry overcapacity [2][10]. 6. Financial Forecast and Investment Advice - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 301.9 billion, 332.6 billion, and 367.0 billion yuan, with net profits of 34.6 billion, 40.8 billion, and 49.2 billion yuan respectively [2][3].

龙佰集团股份有限公司 证券代码：002601 证券简称：龙佰集团 公告编号：2024-060 公司回购股份的时间、回购股份的数量、回购股份价格及集中竞价交易的委 托时段等均符合《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 9 号——回购股份》 的相关规定，具体说明如下： 1、公司未在下列期间回购公司股份： 关于回购公司股份的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 龙佰集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2024年6月17日召开的第八 届董事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》，同意公 司使用自有资金以集中竞价的方式回购公司股份，回购股份的种类为公司已发行 的人民币普通股（A股）股票，将用于股权激励或员工持股计划。本次回购股份 的资金总额不低于人民币10,000万元（含）且不超过人民币20,000万元（含）， 回购股份的价格为不超过人民币32.10元/股（含），具体回购股份的数量以回购 期满时实际回购的股份数量为准。本次回购股份的实施期限自公司董事会审议通 过本次回购股份方案之日起12个月内。具体内容详见公司于2024年6月18 ...

证 2024 年 09 月 23 日 研 告 s 公 司 研 究 究 报 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price of 20.75 yuan, corresponding to a 14.17X PE ratio for 2024 [5] Core Views - Titanium dioxide exports in August showed steady growth, with a 16.88% YoY increase and a 0.65% MoM increase, totaling 16.07 million tons [5] - The export price of titanium dioxide in August was approximately 2,161 USD/ton, a 1.39% YoY increase but a 4.42% MoM decrease [5] - The proportion of exports to the EU rebounded to 11% in August after a sharp drop to 4% in July due to anti-dumping measures, with a 163.40% MoM increase in export volume [5] - Domestic apparent consumption of titanium dioxide in August was 243,000 tons, a 11.53% YoY increase and a 5.65% MoM increase [5] - The company's titanium dioxide production capacity is the largest globally, with significant cost advantages due to its integrated titanium concentrate production capacity exceeding 1 million tons annually [5] Industry Analysis - The operating rate of the titanium dioxide industry in China reached 80.96% in August, a 4.38 percentage point increase MoM, with production of 397,200 tons, a 14.76% YoY increase and a 4.39% MoM increase [5] - The domestic demand for titanium dioxide is expected to improve further as real estate policies and related stimulus measures take effect [5] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 26,794 million yuan in 2023 to 36,079 million yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 10.3% [10] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 3,226 million yuan in 2023 to 5,623 million yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 20.3% [10] - EPS is forecasted to rise from 1.35 yuan in 2023 to 2.36 yuan in 2026 [10] Valuation - The company's current PE ratio is 12.31x for 2023, 11.36x for 2024, and 8.84x for 2025, based on the latest share capital [10] - The PB ratio is 1.77x for 2023, 1.68x for 2024, and 1.55x for 2025 [10] Key Projects and Resources - The company is advancing projects such as the Fengyuan technical transformation, the integration of the Hongge mining area, and the development of the Xujiagou project [5] - It recently announced the acquisition of the exploration rights for the Changchong titanium mine in Yunnan Province [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 13.792 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.10%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.721 billion yuan, up 36.40% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.72 yuan [2][3]. - The recovery in titanium dioxide prices has driven growth in the company's performance, with domestic prices rising from 14,967 yuan/ton to 16,050 yuan/ton in 2023, a 7.23% increase. The average price in the first half of 2024 was 16,174 yuan/ton, up 4.62% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has strengthened its competitive position through vertical integration, acquiring several upstream titanium resources, which has improved its cost structure and resource security [6][3]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 27.53%, an increase of 2.42 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 2.95 percentage points to 12.47% [3]. - The titanium dioxide business achieved a gross margin of 33.51%, up 7.67 percentage points year-on-year, contributing significantly to the overall profitability [3]. - The company produced 1.049 million tons of titanium concentrate in the first half of 2024, a 73.00% increase year-on-year, all of which was used internally [6]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in performance in the second half of 2024, driven by seasonal demand and improved product competitiveness [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.47 yuan and 1.64 yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10.95 and 9.80 based on the closing price of 16.11 yuan on September 18, 2024 [6].

证券代码：002601 证券简称：龙佰集团 公告编号：2024-059 龙佰集团股份有限公司 关于下属子公司竞拍获得探矿权的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本次交易概述 （一）交易的基本情况 云南省公共资源交易信息网于 2024 年 7 月发布了《云南省武定县长冲钛矿 普查探矿权新立挂牌出让公告》（楚矿业交易〔2024〕04 号），根据《中华人 民共和国矿产资源法》《探矿权采矿权招标拍卖挂牌管理办法（试行）》（国 土资发〔2003〕197 号）和《自然资源部关于印发矿业权出让交易规则的通 知》（自然资规〔2023〕1 号）、《云南省自然资源厅关于贯彻落实自然资源 部深化矿产资源管理改革若干事项的通知》（云自然资规〔2024〕2 号）和 《云南省公共资源交易平台矿业权挂牌电子交易实施细则（试行）》（云公管 发〔2017〕37 号）的规定，经楚雄州人民政府批准，楚雄州自然资源和规划局 在云南省公共资源交易信息网、楚雄州公共资源交易中心以挂牌方式公开出让 云南省武定县长冲钛矿普查探矿权新立项目。 经公开竞争，龙佰集团股份有限公司（以下简称" ...

关于 2021 年限制性股票激励计划暂缓授予部分第三个解除 限售期解除限售股份上市流通的提示性公告 证券代码：002601 证券简称：龙佰集团 公告编号：2024-058 龙佰集团股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 1、公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划暂缓授予部分第三个解除限售期符合 解除限售条件的激励对象共计 1 人，可解除限售的限制性股票数量 840,000 股， 占公司目前总股本 2,386,293,256 股的 0.0352%，其第三个限售期将于 2024 年 9 月 23 日届满。 2、经中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司确认，本次解除限售股份 可上市流通的日期为：2024 年 9 月 24 日。 龙佰集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 6 月 17 日召开第八 届董事会第十二会议、第八届监事会第十二次会议审议通过了《关于 2021 年限 制性股票激励计划首次授予第三个解除限售期、预留授予第二个解除限售期解除 限售条件成就的议案》，具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 6 月 18 日刊 ...

证券研究报告|公司动态点评 2024 年 09 月 10 日 龙佰集团（002601.SZ） 钛白粉量价齐升推动业绩增长，看好公司上游钛矿布局及钪钒新材 料项目 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 24,113 | 26,765 | 29,913 | 33,856 | 37,558 | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 17.2 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 13.2 | 10.9 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 3,419 | 3,226 | 3,483 | 4,326 | 5,141 | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | -26.9 | -5.6 | 8.0 | 24.2 | 18.8 | | ROE （ % ） | 15.2 | 13.0 | 12.4 | 13.3 | 13.7 | | EPS ...

业绩稳步增长，持续深化资源和产业链优势 投资要点 事件：龙佰集团发布 2024 半年报，24H1 实现收入 138.04 亿元，同比增长 4.09%； 归母净利润 17.21 亿元，同比增长 36.40%；扣非归母净利润 16.75 亿元，同比增长 40.06%；毛利率 27.53%，同比提升 2.42pct。单季度看，24Q2 实现收入 65.10 亿元， 同比增长 3.59%，环比下降 10.75%；归母净利润 7.70 亿元，同比增长 12.85%，环 比下降 19.00%；扣非归母净利润 7.50 亿元，同比增长 16.71%，环比下降 18.88%； 毛利率 26.68%，同比下滑 0.72pct，环比下滑 1.61pct。 一年股价表现 钛白粉先涨后跌，积极应对挑战，业绩稳步增长。2024 年上半年，国内外供需钛 维持紧平衡，钛矿价格维持高位震荡。2024 年上半年，中国钛白粉市场年初多为消 化库存加之认为价格已触底，备货需求增加，钛白价格开始回升，市场迎来三连涨， 价格稳中有升；随着市场淡季来临，企业出货压力大，价格竞争压力大，加之欧盟 反倾销事件影响，欧盟地区钛白出口受限，厂家库存压力增加，二 ...

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is a global leader in the titanium dioxide industry, with significant integrated advantages and the ability to navigate industry cycles [2] - The company has the lowest production costs in the industry, creating a strong competitive moat [3] - The company has a high dividend payout policy, with an average dividend payout ratio of 72% over the past seven years [4] - The titanium dioxide industry is at the bottom of its cycle, with the company well-positioned to benefit from future growth due to its cost advantages and capacity expansion [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.8, 4.5, and 5.3 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with EPS of 1.59, 1.90, and 2.22 yuan [9] Company Overview - The company is the world's largest titanium dioxide producer, with an annual capacity of 1.51 million tons, and also the largest sponge titanium producer with an annual capacity of 80,000 tons [2] - The company has a fully integrated titanium industry chain, from titanium ore to titanium dioxide and titanium metal/derivatives, which provides significant cost advantages [2] - The company's titanium dioxide production cost in 2023 was 10,538 yuan/ton, significantly lower than its peers, ensuring profitability even during industry downturns [3] - The company plans to expand its titanium concentrate capacity to 2.5 million tons by 2025, further reducing production costs [3] Financial Performance - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, with a total dividend payout of over 14.8 billion yuan in the past seven years [4] - In 2023, the company's dividend yield was 5.25%, well above the industry average [4] - The company's revenue grew from 2.06 billion yuan in 2014 to 26.79 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of 33% [21] - Net profit grew from 63 million yuan in 2014 to 3.23 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of 55% [21] - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 13.8 billion yuan, up 4.09% YoY, and net profit of 1.72 billion yuan, up 36.4% YoY [21] Industry Overview - The global titanium dioxide industry is highly concentrated, with the top six producers accounting for 52% of global capacity [31] - China is the largest producer of titanium dioxide, with a capacity of 5 million tons in 2022, accounting for 53% of global capacity [34] - Overseas titanium dioxide capacity is declining due to environmental pressures and high labor costs, with several major producers closing plants in recent years [35] - Domestic titanium dioxide capacity in China is expected to increase by 700,000 tons in 2024 and 840,000 tons in 2025, but future growth is limited due to environmental regulations [37] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The titanium dioxide industry is at the bottom of its cycle, with most companies operating at a loss [5] - The company's cost advantages allow it to remain profitable even during industry downturns [5] - The company has 250,000 tons of unutilized titanium dioxide capacity, which will contribute to future growth [5] - Domestic demand for titanium dioxide is expected to improve, driven by recovery in downstream industries such as plastics, paper, and coatings [40] - Export demand is also expected to grow, particularly in emerging markets such as India, Brazil, and Turkey [45] Cost Advantages - The company has the lowest production costs in the industry, with a fully integrated supply chain from titanium ore to titanium dioxide [3] - The company's titanium concentrate capacity is expected to double by 2025, further reducing production costs [3] - The company's vertical integration and scale advantages allow it to maintain a significant cost advantage over its peers [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.8, 4.5, and 5.3 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with EPS of 1.59, 1.90, and 2.22 yuan [9] - The company's PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 10.1x, 8.5x, and 7.3x, respectively, indicating significant upside potential [9] - The company's strong cost advantages and capacity expansion plans position it well for future growth [5][9] Risks - Economic downturn risks [10] - Significant fluctuations in product prices [10] - Delays in project construction [10] - Environmental policy restrictions [10] - Lower-than-expected progress in equity incentives [10]