锂电池产业链 超配（维持） 锂电池产业链双周报(2025/10/10-2025/10/23) Q3 我国储能电池出货量同比增超六成 2025 年 10 月 24 日 投资要点： 行 业 分析师：黄秀瑜 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340512090001 行情回顾：截至2025年10月23日，锂电池指数近两周下跌9.36%，跑输沪 深300指数7.17个百分点；锂电池指数本月至今累计下跌7.99%，跑输沪 深300指数7.25个百分点；锂电池指数年初至今上涨49.03%，跑赢沪深300 指数31.97个百分点。 周 报 电话：0769-22119455 邮箱：hxy3@dgzq.com.cn 锂电池产业链近两周价格变动： 锂电池指数走势 锂盐：截至2025年10月23日，电池级碳酸锂均价7.48万元/吨，近两周上 涨2.61%；氢氧化锂(LiOH 56.5%)报价7.22万元/吨，近两周上涨0.84%。 正极材料：磷酸铁锂报价3.34万元/吨，近两周下跌2.62%；NCM523、 NCM622、NCM811分别报价14.30万元/吨、14.15万元/吨、16.20万元/吨， 近两周分别上涨16.26%、13. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry chain [1] Core Views - In Q3 2025, China's energy storage battery shipments increased by over 60% year-on-year, with total shipments for the first three quarters exceeding 30% of last year's total [8][44] - The domestic energy storage cell supply is tight, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity, and this supply-demand imbalance is expected to continue until Q1 2026 [8][49] - The new energy vehicle market is in a traditional peak season, particularly with rapid growth in sales of new energy commercial vehicles, sustaining overall demand for lithium batteries [8][49] - The report highlights the ongoing industrialization of solid-state batteries, with significant breakthroughs in key technologies recently achieved [8][49] - It suggests focusing on leading companies with technological and cost advantages across the industry chain, particularly those involved in solid-state battery core processes and materials [8][49] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of October 23, 2025, the lithium battery index has decreased by 9.36% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 7.17 percentage points [15] - Year-to-date, the lithium battery index has increased by 49.03%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 31.97 percentage points [15] Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Industry Chain - As of October 23, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 74,800 CNY/ton, up 2.61% in the last two weeks [29] - The price of lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) is 72,200 CNY/ton, increasing by 0.84% [29] - The price of lithium iron phosphate has decreased by 2.62% to 33,400 CNY/ton, while NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 have seen increases of 16.26%, 13.20%, and 8.36% respectively [32] - The price of electrolyte lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged by 38.10% to 87,000 CNY/ton [35] - The average price of wet separators has risen by 5.80% to 0.73 CNY/sqm [40] Industry News - The report notes that in Q3 2025, China's energy storage battery shipments reached 165 GWh, a 65% increase year-on-year, with total shipments for the first three quarters reaching 430 GWh [44] - The report also highlights that from January to September 2025, China's lithium battery exports increased by 19.14% in quantity and 26.75% in value [44] - The global battery production in September 2025 was 216.7 GWh, a 50.8% year-on-year increase [44] Company Announcements - The report identifies key companies to watch, including CATL (300750), EVE Energy (300014), and others, based on their strong performance and market positioning [51]

Group 1 - The core material price of electrolyte continues to rise, with lithium hexafluorophosphate reaching 87,000 yuan per ton, a 51% increase over the past month [1] - Lithium carbonate futures have rebounded over 9% in the last six trading days [1] - The CSI New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) has increased by 1.16%, with constituent stocks such as Yahua Group rising by 10.03% and Zhongmin Resources by 6.79% [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Vehicle Industry Index account for 54.61% of the index, including CATL, Huichuan Technology, and BYD [2] - The weightings of the top stocks include CATL at 9.80%, Huichuan Technology at 9.63%, and BYD at 9.10% [4]

Company Overview - Tianqi Materials, established on June 6, 2000, and listed on January 23, 2014, is located in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of fine chemical new materials [1] - The main business revenue composition includes lithium-ion battery materials (89.66%), daily chemical materials and specialty chemicals (8.73%), and others (1.61%) [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Tianqi Materials achieved operating revenue of 7.029 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 268 million yuan, up 12.79% year-on-year [2] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 2.756 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.922 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of October 23, Tianqi Materials' stock price was 32.26 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 61.757 billion yuan. The stock has increased by 64.42% year-to-date but has seen a decline of 8.48% over the last five trading days [1] - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard three times this year, with the most recent net buying on September 29 amounting to 595.917 million yuan [1] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders was 182,300, a decrease of 3.47% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person increased by 3.60% to 7,595 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder, holding 56.3328 million shares, an increase of 3.2657 million shares from the previous period [3]

近期，上市公司及公募基金三季报披露了多位知名基金经理的调仓路径。在结构化行情极致演绎的三季 度，这些基金经理积极出手调仓换股，例如傅鹏博管理的睿远成长价值、谢治宇管理的兴全合润加仓 PCB龙头东山精密，睿远成长价值和乔迁管理的兴全商业模式增持了玻纤龙头中材科技，朱少醒管理的 富国天惠大举增持华新水泥，赵诣管理的泉果旭源三年持有增持了天赐材料、中芯国际等。 部分基金经理表示，中国权益市场长期稳健向好的态势日渐明朗，海外扰动因素出现边际改善，美元流 动性有望迎来拐点，会对中国股票市场的流动性带来更大的提升。不过，四季度宏观事件的影响仍有不 确定性，成长板块将表现出较大的波动性。产业方面，随着模型和算力架构的深度匹配，计算、通信、 存储产业链的投资机会丰富；锂电中游材料、电池等环节的龙头企业普遍已经满产，在行业需求持续高 涨的情况下，明年供给开始趋紧甚至供不应求。 ● 本报记者 王鹤静 绩优基金捕获牛股机遇 另外，多只三季度绩优基金已率先披露三季度的重点持仓。例如，任桀管理的永赢科技智选A三季度回 报率接近翻倍，赵诣管理的泉果旭源三年持有A、雷涛管理的德邦福鑫A三季度回报率均在45%以上。 具体来看，永赢科技智选聚 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.10.22 电动重卡市场驶入增长快车道 [Table_Industry] 动力锂电 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | | 李依雯(研究助理) | 021-23183948 | liyiwen@gtht.com | S0880125042249 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 动力锂电《再读固态电池投资机会》2025.09.11 动力锂电《再读固态电池投资机会》2025.08.29 动力锂电《固态电池正负极&集流体发展方向》 2025.08.26 动力锂电《上汽半固态装车 10 万级，半/全固态 或情绪联动》2025.07.26 动力锂电《海外固态电池进展积极，产品性能持 续突破》2025.07.08 本 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a positive long-term outlook for the Chinese equity market, with expectations of a turning point in US dollar liquidity and a commitment to high-quality economic development in China [1][6]. Financial Performance - As of the end of Q3, the net asset value of the A-class shares of the fund was 1.1172 yuan, with a quarterly growth rate of 45.58%, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 13.49% [1][3]. - The fund's total assets exceeded 19 billion yuan, establishing it as a representative active equity product managed by the company [1]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager emphasizes a concentrated and in-depth research approach, focusing on sectors such as new energy, electronics, machinery, military industry, and Hong Kong internet stocks [6]. - The investment strategy includes three main lines for AI-themed investments: efficiency-enhancing internet leaders, companies driven by new application scenarios, and firms related to computing power and cloud services [6]. Sector Insights - In the new energy sector, the focus is on the midstream materials of lithium batteries, with an expectation of a healthy supply-demand relationship and potential shortages in certain segments next year [6]. - The military industry is showing signs of improvement in contract liabilities, indicating an upward cycle in orders, supported by increased overseas military trade demand [7]. Market Outlook - The company maintains confidence in the Chinese economy, highlighting the gradual emergence of long-term investment value in the A-share market, particularly for high-quality companies with global competitiveness [7].

下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 准确 快速 权威 专业 创业板指 上证指数 深证成指 -3913.76 ▼12996.61 -3059.32 -2.57 -0.07% -80.71 -0.62% -24.4 -0.79% 市场概况 2264 1730 539 325 194 107 110 72 81 37 34 18 8 大于 小于 涨停 -2% 跌停 +6% +4% +2% 0% -4% -6% -8% +8% +8% -8% 上涨 2280家 下跌 2965家 持平 194家 涨停 72家 停牌 10家 跌停 8家 | 市场热度:38 0 | | 两市成交额:1.67万亿 较上一日:-2060亿 | | --- | --- | --- | | HOUSE COLOR COLLECTION COLLEGION | | | | 0 50 | 100 | 今日预测量能: | | | | 1.67万亿 -2060亿 | 今日A股市场全天弱势震荡，三大指数盘中翻红后均出现回落。 沪深两市成交额1.67万亿，量能进一步萎缩 ，较上一个交易日缩量2060亿，自8月5 日以来首次跌破1.7万亿。 盘面上， 市场热点集中在 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the lack of respect for intellectual property rights in the lithium battery materials industry is a significant factor contributing to intense competition and price declines, leading to profitability challenges for material companies [1] - The competition in the electrolyte sector has concluded, with electrolytes no longer being scarce; shortages are now limited to raw materials, indicating that companies solely producing electrolytes face bleak prospects [1] Group 2 - The article references the 2024 High-Performance New Energy Materials Industry Conference, highlighting ongoing developments and discussions within the industry [2] - The 2025 15th High-Performance Lithium Battery Annual Conference is mentioned, indicating a significant event for the industry, scheduled for November 18-20, 2025, in Shenzhen [5]

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a decline on October 22, with the chemical ETF (516020) dropping over 1% at one point before recovering slightly to a decrease of 0.55% [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including fluorine chemicals, lithium batteries, civil explosives, and potash fertilizers, saw significant declines, with companies like Duofluoride and Tianci Materials both falling over 4% [1][2] - Tianci Materials announced on October 21 that it has completed the technical reserve for sodium-ion battery electrolytes and related core materials, showcasing its strategic extension into sodium-ion battery technology [3] Group 2 - Analysts noted that Tianci Materials' integrated advantages in lithium battery electrolytes have positioned the company favorably for future growth, indicating strong technical adaptability and market insight [3] - As of October 21, the chemical ETF's underlying index had a price-to-book ratio of 2.24, which is at a low point historically, suggesting attractive long-term investment opportunities [3] - Looking ahead, the chemical industry is expected to improve due to the implementation of growth plans, with a focus on sectors such as pesticides, polyester filament, coal chemicals, phosphate, and potash fertilizers [4] Group 3 - Domestic policies are emphasizing supply-side structural optimization, while international factors like rising raw material costs and capacity reductions in Europe and the U.S. are creating uncertainties in chemical supply [4] - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, covering various sub-sectors and concentrating nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks [5] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked funds (Class A 012537/Class C 012538) for exposure to the chemical sector [5]