Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Bank reported a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, showing year-on-year growth of 1.81% and 6.15% respectively, with stable asset quality indicators [1][2][5] Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for H1 2025 were 1.81% and 6.15%, with improvements in net interest margin decline and narrowing of other non-interest income decline contributing positively to performance [2] - Net interest income increased by 2.72% year-on-year, with a net interest margin of 1.33%, down 5 basis points from the previous year [2][3] - Non-interest income from fees and commissions grew by 9.0% year-on-year, with significant increases in agency and investment financing services [3] Asset and Liability Summary - Total assets reached 755 billion yuan and total loans amounted to 363.5 billion yuan by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.5% and 11.8% respectively [4] - Total deposits were 462.8 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year, with a net increase of 45.8 billion yuan in H1 2025 [4] Asset Quality Summary - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 0.83% at the end of Q2 2025, with a coverage ratio of 437.91%, indicating stable asset quality [5][6] - The NPL ratio for corporate loans was 0.51%, while personal loans had an NPL ratio of 1.80%, reflecting some pressure on personal loan quality [5][6] Investment Recommendation - Suzhou Bank is positioned as a high-quality regional city commercial bank with strong asset quality and growth potential, with projected net profit growth rates of 6.86%, 5.36%, and 4.51% for 2025-2027 [7]

Group 1 - Hailiang Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 44.476 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.17%, and a net profit of 711 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.03% [1] - Yinfai Storage reported a revenue of 543 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.97%, and a net profit of 62.347 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.05% [1] - Huamao Technology achieved a revenue of 1.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.42%, and a net profit of 137 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.21% [2] Group 2 - Postal Savings Bank reported a revenue of 179.446 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, and a net profit of 49.228 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.85% [4] - Bright Dairy achieved a revenue of 12.472 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9%, and a net profit of 217 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.53% [6] - Pianzaihuang reported a revenue of 5.379 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.81%, and a net profit of 1.442 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.22% [7] Group 3 - Great Wall Motors achieved a revenue of 92.335 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.99%, and a net profit of 6.337 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.21% [9] - Haowei Group reported a revenue of 13.956 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.42%, and a net profit of 2.028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.34% [10] - Batian Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 2.543 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63.93%, and a net profit of 456 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 203.71% [12] Group 4 - Yuxin Technology reported a revenue of 1.415 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.01%, and a net profit of 220 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.26% [14] - Zhongti Industry reported a revenue of 787 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.24%, and a net loss of 24.3955 million yuan [15] - Kemei Diagnostics achieved a revenue of 165 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.03%, and a net profit of 24.3408 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 68.24% [16] Group 5 - Huatai Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 6.409 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.86%, and a net profit of 67.6382 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 63.13% [17] - Fudan Fuhua reported a revenue of 326 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.20%, and a net loss of 711.58 million yuan [19] - Haili Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 12.426 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.16%, and a net profit of 333.546 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 693.76% [21] Group 6 - Xintong New Science reported a revenue of 61.852 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.49%, and a net loss of 30.393 million yuan [22] - Newzhisoft achieved a revenue of 897 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.40%, and a net profit of 30.3531 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.84% [24] - Maolai Optics reported a revenue of 319 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.26%, and a net profit of 32.7555 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110.36% [25] Group 7 - Qianjin Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 1.818 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.52%, and a net profit of 128 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.50% [28] - Quanfeng Automotive reported a revenue of 1.218 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.90%, and a net loss of 167 million yuan [29] - Zhongjin Lingnan's application for a specific issuance of A-shares has been accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [31] Group 8 - Zhonglv Electric achieved a revenue of 2.333 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.30%, and a net profit of 618 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.06% [33] - Sanhuan Group reported a revenue of 4.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.05%, and a net profit of 1.237 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.63% [35] - China Energy Construction achieved a revenue of 212.091 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.18%, and a net profit of 28.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.72% [37] Group 9 - Liou Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 9.635 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.62%, and a net profit of 478 million yuan, turning from a loss to profit [38] - Suzhou Bank achieved a revenue of 6.504 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.81%, and a net profit of 3.134 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.15% [40] - Shunxin Agriculture reported a revenue of 4.593 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.24%, and a net profit of 173 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 59.09% [43] Group 10 - Tongfu Microelectronics achieved a revenue of 13.038 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.67%, and a net profit of 412 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.72% [44] - Weidao Nano reported a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.42%, and a net profit of 192 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 348.95% [44] - ZTE Corporation achieved a revenue of 715.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, and a net profit of 50.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.77% [46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank [2] Core Views - Suzhou Bank's performance in the first half of 2025 shows a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.13 billion yuan, up 6.2% year-on-year [5][7] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.83% in the second quarter of 2025, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 9.3 percentage points to 438% [5][7] - The bank's interest income growth has turned positive, driven by an increase in asset scale and a slowdown in the decline of interest margins [7][10] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for Suzhou Bank from 2023 to 2027 is as follows: - 2023: 11,866.12 million yuan - 2024: 12,223.79 million yuan - 2025E: 12,621.08 million yuan - 2026E: 13,415.66 million yuan - 2027E: 14,377.10 million yuan - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 4,600.65 million yuan in 2023 to 6,353.92 million yuan in 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.34% in 2025 [6][10] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline slightly from 11.96% in 2023 to 10.70% in 2027 [6] Credit and Asset Quality - The bank's credit growth in the first half of 2025 was primarily driven by corporate loans, with a total of 301 billion yuan in new loans [10][11] - The bank's focus on improving asset quality is evident, with a significant increase in provisions for credit impairment losses, reflecting a proactive approach to risk management [7][10] - The contribution of non-performing loans from retail banking has increased, with the retail non-performing loan ratio rising to 1.80% [10][12] Market Position and Shareholder Confidence - The first major shareholder, Guofang Group, increased its stake to 14.92%, indicating growing confidence in the bank's performance [7][10] - The bank's strategy of expanding its presence in out-of-province branches has contributed to asset growth, with these branches accounting for 40% of the asset increase in the first half of 2025 [10][14]

Core Insights - Suzhou Bank's total assets exceeded 750 billion yuan, marking an 8.83% increase compared to the end of the previous year [1] - The bank achieved operating income of 6.504 billion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.81% [1] - Total profit reached 3.810 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.39% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 3.134 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.15% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was 3.100 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.16% [1]

Market Overview - The city commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.92% on August 29, with Suzhou Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xi'an Bank saw a significant increase of 10.00%, closing at 4.18, with a trading volume of 1.51 million shares and a transaction value of 623 million yuan [1] - Qingdao Bank and Xiamen Bank also reported slight increases of 1.03% and 0.75%, respectively [1] - Conversely, Suzhou Bank experienced a decline of 2.40%, closing at 8.12, with a trading volume of 744,000 shares and a transaction value of 612 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector had a net outflow of 1.793 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 913 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that retail investors are showing interest in the sector despite the overall decline [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - Xi'an Bank had a net inflow of 99.76 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 42.89 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Hangzhou Bank also saw a net inflow of 61.29 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors withdrew 35.94 million yuan [3] - In contrast, Qilu Bank experienced a significant net outflow of 62.93 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 35.68 million yuan [3]

Key Insights - The report highlights the stable recovery of the macroeconomic environment, with Japan's GDP growth exceeding expectations in Q2 and manufacturing PMI showing unexpected improvement, leading to a rise in the Nikkei 225 index to a historical high [2][3] - The report emphasizes the investment opportunities in the "AI+" sector, particularly in hardware and infrastructure, driven by government policies promoting AI development [3][4] - The report discusses the performance of specific companies, such as Xiaoxiong Electric and Water Well, noting their revenue growth and strategic focus on product innovation and channel health [5][6][10][12] Company Performance - Xiaoxiong Electric reported a total revenue of 2.535 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.94%, with a net profit of 205 million yuan, up 27.32% [5] - Water Well's H1 2025 revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, with a net profit decline of 56.5%, indicating challenges in demand but a focus on channel health [6] - Guolian Minsheng's H1 2025 revenue reached 4.011 billion yuan, a significant increase of 269%, with net profit soaring by 1185% due to the consolidation of Minsheng Securities [7] Industry Trends - The "AI+" initiative is expected to accelerate the development of related industries, with a focus on hardware such as AI glasses and smart home devices [3] - The report notes the increasing demand for data center services, with companies like WanGuo Data expanding their operations and achieving significant order growth [16] - The banking sector shows signs of stability, with several banks reporting steady growth in net profit and revenue, indicating a resilient financial environment [10][19][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [6]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank reported a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.1 billion yuan, which is a 6.15% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's net interest margin showed signs of stabilization, with a decrease of 5 basis points compared to the previous year, and a net interest margin of 1.33% for the first half of 2025 [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% as of the end of Q2 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter [5][9]. Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit growth rates for H1 2025 were 1.81% and 6.15%, respectively, with net interest income increasing by 2.72% year-on-year [2]. - The bank's total assets reached 755 billion yuan, with total loans amounting to 363.5 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.5% and 11.8%, respectively [4]. - The bank's fee and commission income grew by 9.0% year-on-year, although other non-interest income decreased by 3.7% [2][3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for personal loans was 1.80%, which increased by 14 basis points compared to the end of the previous year [5][9]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 437.91% at the end of Q2 2025, down 9 percentage points from the previous quarter [9]. - The bank's credit cost for H1 2025 was 0.34%, which remained stable compared to the previous year [9]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a net profit growth rate of 6.86%, 5.36%, and 4.51% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]. - The bank's business license is continuously improving, indicating potential for rapid and high-quality development in the future [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Suzhou Bank demonstrates robust profitability with a solid moat in corporate banking, maintaining a stable profit growth trajectory and strong asset quality [3][4] - The bank's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 6.504 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.81%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.134 billion yuan, up 6.15% year-on-year [3] - The bank's net interest margin for the first half of 2025 was 1.33%, showing a slight decrease of 1 basis point from the previous quarter, indicating stable profitability [3] Financial Performance Summary - As of the end of Q2 2025, Suzhou Bank's total assets amounted to 755 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.47%, with loans growing at a rate of 11.81% [4] - The bank's total deposits reached 462.8 billion yuan, up 11.44% year-on-year, with corporate deposits growing by 7.19% and retail deposits by 15.39% [4] - The average cost of deposits decreased to 1.80%, down 31 basis points year-on-year, contributing to a reduction in the interest expense ratio [4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.83% as of the end of Q2 2025, with a high provision coverage ratio of 447.20% [5] - The bank's capital adequacy ratios were robust, with core, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios at 9.87%, 11.67%, and 14.57% respectively, indicating sufficient capital to support ongoing business expansion [5] Financial Projections - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 5.531 billion, 6.056 billion, and 6.474 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 9.14%, 9.49%, and 6.90% respectively [3][6] - The price-to-book ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.70, 0.64, and 0.62 times, suggesting a favorable valuation outlook [3][6]

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Bank demonstrates steady growth in its mid-term performance, with significant advancements in digital transformation and a strong commitment to serving the real economy [1][5]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Suzhou Bank achieved an operating income of 6.504 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.81%, and a net profit of 3.134 billion yuan, up 6.41% year-on-year [1]. - Total assets reached 754.974 billion yuan, growing by 8.83% compared to the end of the previous year, with total deposits at 462.752 billion yuan, an increase of 10.98%, and total loans at 363.497 billion yuan, up 9.04% [1]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.83%, with a provision coverage ratio of 437.91% and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 3.63%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [2]. Income Sources - Net interest income, the primary source of operating income, amounted to 4.263 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.72% [2]. - The net interest margin was reported at 1.33%, showing a slight decline of 5 basis points from the end of the previous year [2]. - Non-interest income remained stable at 2.241 billion yuan, with net fee and commission income increasing by 9.00% to 735 million yuan [2]. Capital Adequacy - As of the reporting period, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stood at 9.87%, with a Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.67% and a total capital ratio of 14.57%, all meeting regulatory requirements [3]. - Shareholder equity reached 61.058 billion yuan, an increase of 10.50% from the end of the previous year [3]. Earnings Per Share - Basic earnings per share for the first half of 2025 were reported at 0.66 yuan, with diluted earnings per share at 0.65 yuan [4]. Focus on Key Areas - Suzhou Bank actively engages in key sectors such as government finance, technology innovation finance, green finance, cross-border finance, and inclusive finance [5]. - The balance of green loans reached 50.364 billion yuan, with a net increase of 9.133 billion yuan, representing a growth of 22.15% [5]. - The total credit amount for technology innovation enterprises exceeded 130 billion yuan, serving over 13,000 clients [5]. Inclusive Finance and Cross-Border Services - The balance of loans for ordinary small and micro enterprises with a single credit limit of 10 million yuan or less was 68.844 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.51 million yuan [6]. - The international settlement volume surpassed 13.6 billion USD, marking a year-on-year increase of 30%, while cross-border RMB settlement exceeded 14.5 billion yuan, up 53% [6]. Digital Transformation and Risk Management - Suzhou Bank is the first city commercial bank in Jiangsu Province to directly connect with the central bank's digital RMB system, integrating financial technology into its strategic operations [7]. - The bank has established a comprehensive risk management system, with key risk indicators such as non-performing loan ratio and provision coverage ratio ranking among the top tier of listed banks [7]. Subsidiary Integration and Group Synergy - The recent approval for the merger of several village banks is expected to enhance operational efficiency and service capabilities in county markets [8]. - The financing lease balance of Suzhou Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. exceeded 42 billion yuan, while the management scale of Su Xin Fund Management Co., Ltd. surpassed 15 billion yuan, indicating a continuous improvement in the group's integrated operational structure [8]. - In the second half of 2025, the bank plans to maintain a customer-centric integrated operation strategy, focusing on dual engines of "technology innovation + cross-border" and "livelihood + wealth" [8].

息差降幅收窄，成本费用改善 2025 年 8 月 29 日│中国内地 区域性银行 证券研究报告 苏州银行 (002966 CH) 目标价(人民币): 10.07 沈娟 研究员 SAC No. S0570514040002 SFC No. BPN843 贺雅亭 研究员 heyating@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 李润凌* 联系人 SAC No. S0570123090022 lirunling@htsc.com 蒲葭依 联系人 SAC No. S0570123070039 SFC No. BVL774 pujiayi@htsc.com +(86) 755 8249 2388 基本数据 | 目标价 (人民币) | 10.07 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (人民币 截至 8 月 28 日) | 8.32 | | 市值 (人民币百万) | 37,196 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (人民币百万) | 339.50 | | 52 周价格范围 (人民币) | 6.67-9.39 | | BVPS (人民币) | 13.11 | 股价走势图 (8) 3 15 26 37 Au ...