《种源扰动与补栏分化并存，白鸡景 气延续、蛋价弱稳待去化—行业点评 报告》-2026.1.26 《供给压力后置春节前后猪价承压， 海外禽流感扰动引发祖代引种暂停— 行业周报》-2026.1.25 《旺季托底叠加大猪偏紧支撑猪价中 枢，年货节后移宠物食品 1 月动销有 望边际走强—行业周报》-2026.1.17 10 农林牧渔 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关研究报告 周观察：二育由惜售转出栏但去化有限，节后猪价回落风险加大 二育由惜售转出栏但去化有限，节后猪价回落风险加大。据涌益咨询，截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日，全国生猪均价 12.24 元/公斤，周环比-0.68 元/公斤，本周猪 价在节前备货博弈下先涨后跌、波动加大。供给端，全国出栏均重小幅下降至 127.86kg，若节前显著降重加大出栏，供给端对价格的压制有望逐步显现。结 构侧看，2026 年 1 月 29 日肥标差继续走扩至 1.04 元/公斤，节前高均重尚未有 效下行，供给压 ...

证券代码：300189 证券简称：神农种业 公告编号：2026-004 海南神农种业科技股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股票交易异常波动的情况 海南神农种业科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票于 2026 年 1 月 28 日、1 月 29 日、1 月 30 日连续三个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 30%， 根据《深圳证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动的情形。 5、控股股东、实际控制人在公司股票交易异常波动期间未发生买卖公司股 票的行为； 6、公司不存在违反公平信息披露的情形。 三、是否存在应披露而未披露信息的说明 公司董事会确认，公司目前没有任何根据《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市 规则》等有关规定应予以披露而未披露的事项或与该事项有关的筹划、商谈、意 向、协议等；董事会也未获悉公司有根据《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市规则》 等有关规定应予以披露而未披露的、对公司股票及其衍生品种交易价格产生较大 影响的信息；公司前期披露的信息不存在需要更正、补充之处。 四、风险提示 二、公司关注 ...

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural sector is experiencing a strong performance driven by rising price expectations and anticipation of policy announcements, particularly the "No. 1 Document" which typically influences market trends at the beginning of the year [2][5]. Group 1: Agricultural Sector Performance - As of January 30, the agricultural sector showed significant strength, with leading stocks like Nongfa Seed Industry hitting the daily limit, and other stocks such as Dunhuang Seed Industry and Denghai Seed Industry also achieving substantial gains [3][4]. - The overall performance of pig farming stocks has been better than the market average, indicating a positive trend in this segment [3]. Group 2: Price Trends and Influences - Recent price trends show a rebound in pig prices, reaching 12.97 yuan/kg, although the increase is limited due to declining slaughter rates [4][7]. - The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from rising prices of agricultural products as a result of the surge in commodity prices [6]. Group 3: Policy and Market Expectations - The "No. 1 Document" is anticipated to have a significant impact on the agricultural market, with expectations for policies that support rural revitalization and food security [5]. - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has emphasized the importance of the seed industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, aiming for major breakthroughs in seed industry revitalization [5]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The pig farming industry is facing challenges such as slow capacity reduction and rising pandemic risks, which may limit profitability despite current price increases [6]. - The chicken market shows a mixed outlook, with white chicken prices stabilizing while yellow chicken prices are expected to rise due to tight supply and seasonal demand [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by expectations of rising prices for agricultural products and anticipation of the annual "No. 1 Document" policy announcement [1][4]. Group 1: Agricultural Sector Performance - As of January 30, the agricultural sector showed strong performance, with leading stocks like Nongfa Seed Industry hitting the daily limit, and other stocks such as Dunhuang Seed Industry and Denghai Seed Industry also achieving significant gains [2][3]. - The overall trend in the agricultural sector is buoyed by rising prices across various commodities, including pork and cotton, with the price of live pigs rebounding to 12.97 yuan/kg [3][4]. Group 2: Price Trends and Influencing Factors - The price of live pigs is influenced by seasonal demand, epidemic control, and policy adjustments, while grain prices are supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and domestic minimum purchase price policies [4][5]. - The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from advancements in genetically modified crops and supply-side reforms in the seed industry, with the "No. 1 Document" anticipated to further stimulate market expectations [4][5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The market anticipates that the surge in commodity prices will lead to a rebound in agricultural product prices, although there are concerns about the sustainability of this trend due to potential policy impacts and epidemic risks [5][6]. - The white chicken industry is facing high production capacity, while the yellow chicken sector is experiencing tighter supply, which may lead to price increases in the latter [5][6].

1月30日，A股三大指数早盘涨跌不一，截至午间休市，沪指跌1.19%，深证成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨 0.8%。沪深北三市半日成交19514亿元，较上日缩量836亿元。 盘面上，亚太交易时段国际金银价跳水，黄金股、有色资源股大幅回调，中金黄金等多股跌停。另一方 面，粮食、农业股逆势走强，登海种业等股封板。算力硬件股盘中同样拉升，天孚通信（300394）大涨 超10%创出历史新高，中际旭创、新易盛涨超4%。 行业层面，近期，海外推理和训练算力需求旺盛，亚马逊云和谷歌云双双涨价。推理侧， MoltBot（原 ClawdBot）、Claude Code等Agent产品加速落地，对于云计算资源的需求显著增加，2026年年初以来 Token调用量已经连续2-3周高速增长。训练侧，Grok-5、Veo4等模型仍然在持续迭代，工业界持续探索 Scaling上限，从而支撑训练算力需求。 中信证券研报认为，尽管当前AI应用大规模商业化落地能见度仍然不足，但展望未来3-6个月，随着推 理端AI应用落地的密集催化叠加训练端模型的持续迭代，预判算力需求仍有望进一步上行，一旦美股 财报季算力需求得到确认，前期压制算力板块情绪与估值的 ...

Group 1: Company Announcements - Meinian Health plans to participate in the restructuring of Zhejiang Bangjie Holdings, aiming to become the controlling shareholder post-restructuring [1] - Silver Industry's gold and silver product revenues are low, with gold sales contributing 18.67% and silver 4.54% to total revenue in H1 2025 [2] - Tianneng Wind Power has decided to implement long-term production halts for six wholly-owned subsidiaries to optimize resource allocation and focus on core offshore wind power business [3] Group 2: Price and Supply Risks - Tongling Nonferrous Metals reports significant uncertainty in the prices of cathode copper and other main products, with low self-sufficiency in copper concentrate posing supply stability risks [4] - ST Aowei received a notice of termination of listing due to market capitalization falling below 500 million yuan for 20 consecutive trading days [5][6] Group 3: Performance Forecasts - Foton Motor expects a net profit increase of approximately 1551% to around 1.33 billion yuan in 2025, driven by sales growth across various segments [7] - Beimo High-Tech anticipates a net profit of 190 million to 220 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1076.16% to 1261.87% [8] - Zhongke Sanhuan forecasts a net profit increase of 566.23% to 899.35%, driven by cost control and market expansion [9] - Wancheng Group expects a net profit of 1.23 billion to 1.4 billion yuan, a growth of 222.38% to 266.94% [10] - Wan Yi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 191.52% to 330.34%, supported by product optimization and cost reduction measures [11] - Nanmo Biology expects a net profit of 24 million to 34 million yuan, a growth of 269.49% to 423.44% [12] - Bai'ao Saitou forecasts a net profit increase of 384.26% to 443.88%, benefiting from overseas market expansion [13] - Hailanxin anticipates a net profit of 40 million to 60 million yuan, a growth of 387.47% to 631.2% [14] - Panzhihua Coal expects a net profit of 318 million to 380 million yuan, a growth of 205.3% to 264.83% [15] - Huaguang New Materials forecasts a net profit increase of 104.67% to 141.88% [16] - Putian Technology expects a net profit of 1.92 million to 2.88 million yuan, a growth of 71.55% to 157.33% [17] - Guoda Special Materials anticipates a net profit increase of 82.61% [18] - Tongkun Co. expects a net profit of 1.95 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, a growth of 62.24% to 78.88% [19] - Yiming Pharmaceutical forecasts a net profit increase of 61.12% to 122.08% [20] - Guosheng Securities expects a net profit of 210 million to 280 million yuan, a growth of 25.44% to 67.25% [21] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 87% to 98% [22] Group 4: Loss Forecasts - Saifutian expects a loss of 30 million to 45 million yuan, significantly reducing previous losses [23] - Magang Group forecasts a loss of 190 million to 250 million yuan, a substantial reduction in losses [24] - Shennong Seed Industry anticipates a profit of 90 million to 120 million yuan, reversing previous losses [25] - Jifeng Co. expects a profit of 410 million to 495 million yuan, reversing previous losses [26] - Bingchuan Network forecasts a profit of 436 million to 516 million yuan, reversing previous losses [27] - Zhongyou Technology anticipates a profit of 540 million to 640 million yuan, reversing previous losses [28] - Dongfang Biology expects a loss of 523 million yuan [29] - Wantai Biological anticipates a loss of 330 million to 410 million yuan due to market pressures [30] - Anbotong expects a loss of 114 million to 165 million yuan [31] - Shunxin Agriculture forecasts a loss of 116 million to 188 million yuan due to declining sales [32] - Guozhong Water expects a loss of 130 million to 104 million yuan, with potential delisting risks [33] Group 5: Major Contracts - China Communication Signal expects to win 21 major projects worth approximately 5.26 billion yuan [34]

证券日报网讯 1月29日，神农种业发布公告称，公司预计2025年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为9， 000万元至12，000万元，上年同期为-4，987.43万元，实现扭亏为盈。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Group 1 - Meinian Health plans to participate in the restructuring of Zhejiang Bangjie Holdings, aiming to become the controlling shareholder after the completion of the restructuring [3] - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals reported that the revenue from gold and silver products accounted for a low proportion of total operating income, with gold sales contributing 18.67% and silver sales 4.54% in the first half of 2025 [4] - Tiens Wind Power decided to implement a long-term production suspension for six wholly-owned subsidiaries to optimize resource allocation and focus on core businesses [5] Group 2 - Tongling Nonferrous Metals indicated significant uncertainty in the price fluctuations of its main products, with a low self-sufficiency rate for copper concentrate posing supply stability risks [6] - *ST Aowei received a notice of termination of listing due to its market capitalization falling below 500 million yuan for twenty consecutive trading days [7] - Foton Motor expects a net profit increase of approximately 1551% year-on-year for 2025, driven by sales growth in new energy vehicles and overseas markets [9] Group 3 - Beimo High-tech anticipates a net profit increase of 1076.16% to 1261.87% for 2025, supported by cost control and reduced credit impairment losses [10] - Zhongke Sanhuan forecasts a net profit growth of 566.23% to 899.35% for 2025, attributed to technological innovation and improved operational efficiency [12] - Wancheng Group expects a net profit increase of 222.38% to 266.94% for 2025, driven by growth in its retail business and improved sales margins [13] Group 4 - Huayi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 191.52% to 330.34% for 2025, benefiting from product optimization and cost reduction measures [14] - Nanmo Biology expects a net profit growth of 269.49% to 423.44% for 2025, supported by increased revenue in the biopharmaceutical sector and improved cost control [15] - Baiao Saitu forecasts a net profit increase of 384.26% to 443.88% for 2025, driven by expansion in overseas markets and recovery in the domestic biopharmaceutical industry [16] Group 5 - Hailanxin expects a net profit increase of 387.47% to 631.2% for 2025, supported by advancements in technology and increased market share in marine observation [17] - Panjiang Co. anticipates a net profit growth of 205.3% to 264.83% for 2025, driven by increased coal production and reduced costs [18] - Huaguang New Materials expects a net profit increase of 104.67% to 141.88% for 2025, with significant growth in the electronic sector [20] Group 6 - Guo Sheng Securities forecasts a net profit increase of 25.44% to 67.25% for 2025, supported by active capital market participation and growth in various business segments [25] - Shengyi Technology expects a net profit growth of 87% to 98% for 2025, driven by increased sales of copper-clad laminates [26] - Sifutian anticipates a net loss of 30 million to 45 million yuan for 2025, although this represents a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [27] Group 7 - Maanshan Steel expects a net loss of 1.9 billion to 2.5 billion yuan for 2025, with a substantial reduction in losses compared to the previous year [28] - Shennong Seed Industry forecasts a net profit of 90 million to 120 million yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from previous losses [30] - Jifeng Co. anticipates a net profit of 410 million to 495 million yuan for 2025, achieving a turnaround from losses [31]

神农种业公告，预计2025年净利润为9000万元—1.2亿元，属于扭亏为盈情形。本报告期公司产品营业 收入较上期显著增长，同时成本费用控制取得一定成效，使得公司业绩实现扭亏为盈。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The planting industry sector experienced a rise of 2.94% on January 29, with Hainan Rubber leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hainan Rubber (601118) closed at 7.84, up 9.96%, with a trading volume of 2.3481 million shares and a transaction value of 1.772 billion [1]. - Shennong Seed Industry (300189) closed at 7.67, up 8.33%, with a trading volume of 3.3919 million shares and a transaction value of 2.561 billion [1]. - Qiule Seed Industry (920087) closed at 19.08, up 7.31%, with a trading volume of 189,600 shares and a transaction value of 354 million [1]. - Other notable stocks include Nongfa Seed Industry (600313) at 8.03, up 6.36%, and Kangnong Seed Industry (920403) at 27.14, up 3.39% [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The planting industry sector saw a net outflow of 229 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 97.6117 million [2]. - Major stocks like Hainan Rubber had a net inflow of 1.62 billion from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 214.089 million from speculative funds [3]. - Shennong Seed Industry experienced a net inflow of 14.4615 million from institutional investors, while facing a net outflow of 1.80467 million from speculative funds [3].