Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The value of layout in the high-end liquor sector is becoming evident, and the optimization of raw milk supply and demand is creating investment opportunities [3][12] - The food and beverage index experienced a decline of 0.6% from December 22 to December 26, ranking 25th among 28 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 2.5 percentage points [12][14] - The high-end liquor industry is currently in a deep adjustment period due to slowing economic growth and insufficient consumer confidence, but there are signs of demand improvement compared to the second and third quarters [12] - The price strategy for premium liquor brands like Moutai is stabilizing, with recent prices in the range of 1500-1600 RMB, and significant price drops are not expected in the near future [12] - The raw milk supply-demand gap has slightly narrowed, with a short-term recovery in demand due to pre-holiday stocking, but long-term supply remains in surplus [4][13] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - The liquor sector shows layout value, and the raw milk supply-demand optimization is generating investment opportunities [3][12] - The food and beverage index underperformed the market, with specific sub-sectors like health products and other foods showing relative strength [12][14] Market Performance - The food and beverage index fell by 0.6%, ranking 25th out of 28 sectors, with health products (+0.5%) and other foods (+0.0%) performing relatively better [12][14] Upstream Data - Recent data indicates a decline in some upstream raw material prices, with full-fat milk powder auction prices down 18.7% year-on-year [20][21] Liquor Industry News - Prices for premium Moutai products have increased, reflecting strong market demand and limited supply [42] Recommended Portfolio - Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and West Oat Foods, among others, focusing on companies with strong performance stability and risk resilience [5][48]

Core Viewpoint - The recent acquisition of a 49% stake in Nanjing Wanyou Commercial Management Co., Ltd. by Wancheng Group is a strategic move to enhance control over its snack brand "Laiyoupin," but it poses significant financial risks due to a sharp increase in the company's debt levels [1][2][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Wancheng Group has completed the cash acquisition of a 49% stake in Nanjing Wanyou, increasing its total ownership to 75.01% [1][3]. - The acquisition involves a combination of cash payment, share transfer, and voting rights delegation, with shareholders transferring 9.89 million shares (5.27% of total shares) to the original controller of Nanjing Wanyou [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Following the acquisition, Wancheng Group's debt-to-asset ratio is projected to rise dramatically from 67.57% to 90.97% [2][4]. - The cash payment of 1.379 billion yuan will significantly deplete the company's cash reserves and increase interest-bearing liabilities [5]. - Nanjing Wanyou is expected to meet profit commitments of at least 320 million yuan, 330 million yuan, and 350 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [5]. Group 3: Industry Context - The snack retail industry is characterized by high turnover and low profit margins, with Nanjing Wanyou's net profit margins at 3.19% for 2024 and 3.45% for the first five months of 2025 [5]. - Wancheng Group's overall revenue is projected to exceed 30 billion yuan in 2024, but the net profit margin is only 0.91% [5]. - The sustainability of the low-margin business model under high leverage remains uncertain, especially in the face of intensified competition and potential slowdowns in expansion [5].

Core Viewpoint - The leisure food sector experienced a slight increase of 0.02% on December 26, with Wancheng Group leading the gains, while the overall market indices also showed positive movement [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68, up by 0.1% [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13603.89, up by 0.54% [1]. - Key stocks in the leisure food sector showed varied performance, with Wancheng Group closing at 202.40, up by 1.64% [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance Summary - Wancheng Group (300972) led the sector with a closing price of 202.40 and a gain of 1.64% [1]. - Other notable performers included Ximai Food (002956) at 27.08, up by 1.27%, and Laiyifen (603777) at 14.39, also up by 1.27% [1]. - Stocks such as Good Idea (002582) and Guilin Faxiang (002820) saw slight declines of 0.28% and 0.32%, respectively [1]. Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The leisure food sector saw a net outflow of 55.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 48.18 million yuan [2]. - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors showed interest [2]. Group 4: Individual Stock Capital Flow - Laiyifen (603777) experienced a significant net outflow of 42.53 million yuan from institutional investors, indicating a bearish sentiment [3]. - Wancheng Group (300972) had a net inflow of 2.78 million yuan from retail investors, suggesting some level of support from individual investors [3]. - Ximai Food (002956) saw a net inflow of 3.03 million yuan from institutional investors, reflecting positive interest [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][3]. Core Insights - The company, a leader in the snack retail industry, has established a strong position through a network of over 15,000 stores, leveraging supply chain scale effects to thrive in a rapidly changing market. Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 497.2 billion, 625.1 billion, and 715.8 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 53.8%, 25.7%, and 14.5%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 10.7 billion, 17.5 billion, and 24.0 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 266.0%, 63.2%, and 36.7% [3][5]. Summary by Sections Investment Rating and Valuation - The company is rated "Buy" based on its leading position in the snack retail sector and robust revenue growth forecasts. The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 32.5X, 19.9X, and 14.6X, respectively [2][3]. Industry and Company Analysis - Originally focused on edible fungi, the company entered the snack retail market in 2022 through acquisitions, rapidly increasing its revenue share from this segment to 98.9% by Q1-Q3 2025. The snack retail market in China has grown from 21.1 billion yuan in 2019 to 80.9 billion yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 40%, and is projected to reach 123.9 billion yuan by 2025 [3][5]. Key Assumptions - The company plans to maintain a steady pace of store expansion, with the number of stores expected to reach 18,000, 21,000, and 22,500 by the end of 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Single-store revenue is projected to stabilize and grow, with estimates of 273.2, 295.1, and 315.7 thousand yuan for the same years [3][5]. Market Dynamics - The company is positioned to benefit from ongoing expansion in the East China region and penetration into untapped areas. The number of stores in East China reached 8,727 in H1 2025, contributing significantly to profits. The company’s supply chain infrastructure, including a 90,000 square meter warehouse system, provides a competitive edge [5][3]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 9.3 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 71.6 billion yuan by 2027. The net profit is expected to turn positive by 2024, reaching 3.4 billion yuan by 2027 [5][24].

股票简称：万辰集团 股票代码：300972 上市地点：深圳证券交易所 福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 重大资产购买暨关联交易实施情况报告书 | 标的公司 | 交易对方 | | --- | --- | | 南京万优商业管理有限公司 | 淮南市盛裕企业管理有限公司 | | | 淮南市会想企业管理有限公司 | 独立财务顾问 | Ж | | --- | | 二、备查地点 18 | | --- | 释 义 二零二五年十二月 上市公司声明 本公司及全体董事、高级管理人员保证本报告书内容的真实、准确、完整， 不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并对本报告书内容的真实性、准确性和 完整性承担个别和连带的法律责任。本次交易的交易对方已出具承诺与声明，保 证其为本次交易所提供的有关信息均为真实、准确和完整的，不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 本次交易有关监管部门对于本次交易相关事项所做的任何决定或意见，均不 表明其对本公司股票的价值或投资者的收益做出实质性判断或保证。 根据《证券法》等相关法律、法规的规定，本次交易完成后，本公司经营与收 益的变化，由本公司自行负责；因本次交易引致的投资风险，由投资者自行负 责。 ...

华兴证券有限公司 关于 福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 重大资产购买暨关联交易实施情况 之 独立财务顾问核查意见 独立财务顾问 （五）本独立财务顾问特别提请广大投资者认真阅读就本次交易事项披露的 相关公告，查阅有关文件。 1 二零二五年十二月 独立财务顾问声明与承诺 华兴证券有限公司接受福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司的委托，担任福 建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司重大资产购买暨关联交易的独立财务顾问，并 出具本独立财务顾问核查意见。 依据《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》《上市公司重大 资产重组管理办法》《公开发行证券的公司信息披露内容与格式准则第 26 号— —上市公司重大资产重组》等法律法规的有关规定和要求，按照证券行业公认的 业务标准、道德规范，本着诚实信用和勤勉尽责的态度，遵循客观、公正原则， 在认真审阅相关资料和充分了解本次交易行为的基础上，本独立财务顾问出具了 本核查意见。 （一）本核查意见所依据的文件和材料由本次交易各方提供，提供方对所提 供文件及资料的真实性、准确性和完整性负责，并保证该等信息不存在虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。本独立财务顾问不承担由此引起的任何风险责任； ...

国浩律师（北京）事务所 关于 福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 重大资产购买暨关联交易实施情况 之 法律意见书 国浩律师（北京）事务所 关于福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 重大资产购买暨关联交易实施情况之 法律意见书 国浩京证字【2025】第 0652 号 致：福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 北京市朝阳区东三环北路 38 号泰康金融大厦 9 层 邮编：100026 9 th Floor, Taikang Financial Tower, No. 38 North Road East Third Ring, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100026, China 电话/Tel: 010-65890699 传真/Fax: 010-65176800 网址/Website: http://www.grandall.com.cn 二〇二五年十二月 国浩律师（北京）事务所 法律意见书 国浩律师（北京）事务所（以下简称"本所"）接受福建万辰生物科技集团股份有 限公司（以下简称"万辰集团"、"上市公司"或"公司"）之委托，担任万辰集团本 次重大资产购买暨关联交易（以下简称"本次交易"）的专项法 ...

福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"上市公司"）以 支付现金的方式向淮南市盛裕企业管理有限公司（以下简称"淮南盛裕"）、淮南 市会想企业管理有限公司（以下简称"淮南会想"）购买其所持有的南京万优商业 管理有限公司（以下简称"南京万优"）49.00%股权（以下简称"本次交易"）， 交易价格为 137,922.50 万元，本次交易完成后，公司将直接及间接合计持有南京 万优 75.01%的股权。公司第四届董事会第三十次会议、2025 年第四次临时股东 会审议通过了与本次交易相关的议案。本次交易构成重大资产重组，构成关联交 易。本次交易为现金交易，不涉及发行股份及募集配套资金的情况，不会导致上 市公司控制权发生变化。 证券代码：300972 证券简称：万辰集团 公告编号：2025-129 福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司 关于重大资产购买暨关联交易之标的资产过户完成的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本次交易概述 截至本公告披露日，淮南盛裕、淮南会想持有的南京万优 49.00%股权已全 部过户登记至公司名下，本次交易的标的资产 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月15日晚间，万辰集团发布公告称，公司第四届董事会第四十一次会议于 2025年 12 月 15 日在公司会议室以现场结合通讯方式召开，本次会议审议通过《关于拟变更公司名称、经营范围、 修订〈公司章程〉并办理工商变更登记的议案》《关于修订的议案》《关于召开公司2025年第八次临时 股东会的议案》等多项议案。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Wancheng Group (300972) announced it will hold its eighth extraordinary general meeting of shareholders on December 31, 2025 [1]